Jets vs Patriots Prediction and Pick, Week 11

The Week 11 matchup between the New York Jets and New England Patriots renews one of the AFC East’s oldest rivalries, with both teams coming in at dramatically different points in their season trajectories.

The Patriots Spread (-11.5, -110) is my prediction for the Patriots versus the Jets game. This prediction is based on the fact that New England has an advantage in the matchup and has the potential to sell New York off a fortuitous win. A short respite for New England after a game away from home is the only thing that should be a concern in this situation. Considering that this spread is located over a few important numbers, it is highly likely that I will not participate in the game. However, the advantages that New England has in terms of matchups are quite obvious. The Jets are ranked in what order? In each of the related categories, the squad led by Aaron Glenn has the following positions: 31st, 12th, 28th, and 16th.

On the offensive side, it’s a matter of strength on weakness, and on the defensive side, it’s that strength on strength. In addition, the Patriots boast the most difficult pass offense that the Jets will have to deal with throughout the entire season. Two of the Jets’ games this season have been played against pass offense DVOA groups that are ranked in the top 15. While losing by 15 and 20 points (against Dallas and Buffalo, respectively), they allowed at least 30 points to be scored against them in both games. On two separate occasions, New England has been unable to cover this number at home. In the first game, which took place in Week 1, the team faced Las Vegas, which was ranked 15th in pass defense DVOA when Week 10 began.

After that, the second game was played against the Falcons, who were ranked fifth going into Week 10. I am not sure how the Jets defense will be able to generate stops in this game if Sauce Gardner and Michael Carter are not on the field. This indicates that the outcome of the game is largely determined by whether or not you have faith in Justin Fields to locate the back door. On Sunday, he only completed 54 passes for 134 yards. The offense as a whole finished with only 169 yards of total offense. That is not a plan for success that can be maintained over time. Because of these advantages, I will be rooting for the Patriots on Thursday, even if it means losing.

✅ Our Jets vs Patriots Pick: PATRIOTS

Jets vs Patriots Total Pick: Over 43

• A total of seven out of ten games played by the Patriots this season have resulted in more than 43 points being scored.
• In six of the nine games that the Jets have played so far this season, the total number of points scored has been greater than 43.
• With the playoffs included, the two teams have a combined average of 48.2 points per game, which is 4.7 more points than the total of 43 points that were scored in this game.
• The over/under for this battle is 43 points, while the opponents of the two clubs play an average of 46 points per game, which is 2.5 more points than the over/under.
• There is a difference of 1.1 points between the point total of this particular game and the average total that the Patriots have had in their confrontations from the beginning of the season to the end of the postseason.
• There is a difference of 0.7 points between the over/under for this game and the average point total for Jets matches this season, which includes postseason games.

Jets vs Patriots Odds

Now, we have the Jets vs Patriots odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
Jets	+12.5	+570	43 O
Patriots	-12.5	-770	43 U

Jets Futures Odds, and Patriots Futures Odds

Jets Division Odds, and Patriots Division Odds

Now, we have the Jets Division Odds, and Patriots Division Odds:

TEAM	DIVISION ODDS
Jets Division Odds	+40000
Patriots Division Odds	-250

Jets AFC Championship Odds, and Patriots AFC Championship Odds

Now, we have the Jets AFC Championship Odds, and Patriots AFC Championship Odds:

TEAM	CONFERENCE ODDS
Jets AFC Championship Odds	+75000
Patriots AFC Championship Odds	+750

Jets vs Patriots Prediction: Head to Head

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
10/27/24	@NE	NE 25-22	NE+3.5	O42	NE+145
9/19/24	@NYJ	NYJ 24-3	NYJ-7.5	U42	NYJ-345
1/07/24	@NE	NYJ 17-3	NE+1.0	U38	NE-105
9/24/23	@NYJ	NE 15-10	NYJ-3.5	U40	NYJ-175
11/20/22	@NE	NE 10-3	NE-6.5	U39.5	NE-255
10/30/22	@NYJ	NE 22-17	NYJ+2.0	U40	NYJ+105
10/24/21	@NE	NE 54-13	NE-6.5	O44.5	NE-295
9/19/21	@NYJ	NE 25-6	NYJ+5.5	U43	NYJ+200
1/03/21	@NE	NE 28-14	NE-3.0	O40.5	NE-154
11/09/20	@NYJ	NE 30-27	NYJ+9.5	O41.5	NYJ+340

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
11/02/25	ATL	W 24-23	L-3.0	O44.5	W-162
10/26/25	CLE	W 32-13	W-5.5	O42.5	W-218
10/19/25	@TEN	W 31-13	W-1.5	U44.5	W-122
10/12/25	@NO	W 25-19	W-3.0	O43.5	W-162
10/05/25	@BUF	W 23-20	W+8.5	U46.5	W+300
9/28/25	CAR	W 42-13	W-3.5	O45.5	W-175
9/21/25	PIT	L 21-14	L-1.5	U43.5	L-122
9/14/25	@MIA	W 33-27	W+2.5	O45.5	W+120
9/07/25	LV	L 20-13	L-1.5	U43.5	L-120
1/05/25	BUF	W 23-16	W+5.5	U44.5	W+150

Jets vs Patriots Prediction: NY Offense

Jets vs Patriots Prediction: New England Offense

Jets vs Patriots Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.