South Florida vs Navy Prediction and Pick, Week 12
South Florida vs Navy Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
South Florida vs Navy Prediction: Trends
- The over/under record for South Florida’s last ten games is 7-2-1.
- Six of South Florida’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last six games, South Florida has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
- Nine out of South Florida’s previous twelve games played away from home have resulted in the total going over.
- Seven out of South Florida’s previous eight games against opponents from the American Conference conference have resulted in the total ending higher than the point spread.
- Out of the last twenty games that South Florida has played against teams from the West Division, the team has a winning percentage of 5-15.
- After seven games played in November, South Florida has a record of 5-2 against the spread.
- After playing six games in week 12, South Florida has a record of 1-5 on the road.
- Over the past six games, Navy has a record of 0-6 against the spread.
- In four of Navy’s most recent five games, the total has included an over.
- In its last 12 games, Navy has a winning percentage of 10-2.
- Over the course of its last five games played at home, Navy has a perfect 5-0 record.
- In the last eight games that Navy has played against an opponent from the American Conference, Navy has a winning record of 7-1.
- Over the course of its last 19 games versus opponents from the East Division, Navy has a record of 14-5 against the spread.
- Not a single one of Navy’s last six games played in November has resulted in the total going UNDER.
- In its last 11 games played in week 12, Navy has a 9-2 overall (ATS) record.
- Eight out of the last ten games that Navy has played on a Saturday have resulted in the total going over.
South Florida vs Navy Prediction
Now we have the South Florida vs Navy Prediction for both teams.
South Florida vs. Navy in Week 12 features two programs that have been on vastly different trajectories throughout the 2025 season, yet this matchup carries plenty of intrigue from a betting perspective. The Bulls have been one of the most explosive offenses in the country, ranking top-10 nationally in both points scored (42.0) and rushing yards (226.9) per game. They have also been one of the most reliable teams against the spread, going 5-1 ATS over their last six games. Meanwhile, Navy has continued to lean on its traditional triple-option attack, but with added efficiency — leading the nation in rushing yards per game (304.9) and boasting a 10-2 record over its last 12 contests. Bettors will note that both teams have a strong tendency to hit the over, with South Florida’s last seven of eight AAC matchups and six of their last seven overall going above the total, while eight of Navy’s last ten Saturday games have also cleared the number. This is a matchup between two teams that can move the ball in very different ways, setting up a fascinating contrast of styles in Annapolis.
For South Florida, the story continues to be about offensive dominance and relentless tempo. The Bulls have combined balance with explosiveness — averaging nearly 70 plays per game while ranking top-15 nationally in yards per play (6.92). Their ground attack has been electric, producing 5.8 yards per rush, good for ninth in the country, and their passing game adds another layer with 258.3 yards per game. Quarterback play has been sharp and efficient, supported by an offensive line that allows fewer than two sacks per contest. Defensively, South Florida is middle-of-the-pack statistically, giving up 24.2 points per game and struggling at times against the pass, allowing over 275 yards through the air. But where they shine is in turnover creation and discipline — ranking top-20 nationally in fewest turnovers and penalties. The Bulls’ ability to finish drives, especially in the third quarter where they average 12.6 points, has made them one of the most consistent scoring teams in the FBS. If their defense can slow down Navy’s rushing attack just enough, their offensive firepower could be too much to overcome.
Navy, on the other hand, has reestablished its identity this season through its relentless ground game and home dominance. The Midshipmen are 5-0 at home and 7-1 against AAC opponents in their last eight, thriving behind a run-heavy offense that grinds defenses down over four quarters. Navy’s rushing attack is first in the nation at 304.9 yards per game, averaging a remarkable 6.4 yards per carry. While their passing numbers are among the lowest in the FBS, their efficiency per attempt (16.2 yards per completion) keeps defenses honest. Their defense, however, has been inconsistent — allowing over 26 points per game and struggling to contain explosive plays through the air. Despite that, Navy remains a strong ATS team in late-season situations, boasting a 9-2 record in Week 12 games and a 14-5 mark against East Division opponents. The Midshipmen’s physicality, time of possession advantage, and home-field edge make them a tough out for anyone, especially teams that rely on tempo like South Florida. Still, facing one of the most balanced and explosive offenses they’ve seen all year could test Navy’s defensive limits.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: SOUTH FLORIDA
South Florida vs Navy Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/09/24
|
@USF
|
NAV 28-7
|
USF+3.5
|
U53.5
|
USF+138
|
|
9/30/23
|
@NAV
|
USF 44-30
|
NAV-3.0
|
O53
|
NAV-180
|
|
10/19/19
|
@NAV
|
NAV 35-3
|
NAV-15.0
|
U51
|
NAV-835
|
|
10/28/16
|
@USF
|
USF 52-45
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/31/15
|
@NAV
|
NAV 29-17
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
South Florida vs Navy Prediction: South Florida Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/06/25
|
UTSA
|
W 55-23
|
W-12.5
|
O67.5
|
W-520
|
|
10/25/25
|
@MEM
|
L 34-31
|
W+3.5
|
U69.5
|
L+126
|
|
10/18/25
|
FAU
|
W 48-13
|
W-20.5
|
U70.5
|
W-1800
|
|
10/10/25
|
@NTX
|
W 63-36
|
W+2.5
|
O61.5
|
W-118
|
|
10/03/25
|
CHA
|
W 54-26
|
W-26.5
|
O53.5
|
W-4500
|
|
9/20/25
|
SCS
|
W 63-14
|
W-27.5
|
O56.5
|
W-4500
|
|
9/13/25
|
@MFL
|
L 49-12
|
L+18.5
|
O53.5
|
L+500
|
|
9/06/25
|
@FLA
|
W 18-16
|
W+18.5
|
U52.5
|
W+660
|
|
8/28/25
|
BOISE
|
W 34-7
|
W+10.0
|
U63.5
|
W+260
|
|
12/24/24
|
|
W 41-39
|
W+2.5
|
O62.5
|
W+112
|
South Florida vs Navy Prediction: Navy Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/08/25
|
@ND
|
L 49-10
|
L+24.5
|
O55.5
|
L+1400
|
|
11/01/25
|
@NTX
|
L 31-17
|
L+4.5
|
U55.5
|
L+168
|
|
10/25/25
|
FAU
|
W 42-32
|
L-14.5
|
O62.5
|
W-600
|
|
10/11/25
|
@TEM
|
W 32-31
|
L-9.5
|
O52.5
|
W-265
|
|
10/04/25
|
|
W 34-31
|
L-11.5
|
O57.5
|
W-420
|
|
9/27/25
|
RICE
|
W 21-13
|
L-14.0
|
U46
|
W-650
|
|
9/13/25
|
@TSA
|
W 42-23
|
W-14.5
|
O53.5
|
W-530
|
|
9/06/25
|
UAB
|
W 38-24
|
L-20.5
|
O58.5
|
W-1200
|
|
8/30/25
|
VMI
|
W 52-7
|
W-38.5
|
O49.5
|
W-20000
|
|
12/27/24
|
OKL
|
W 21-20
|
W+8.5
|
U46.5
|
W+235
|
South Florida vs Navy Prediction: South Florida Offense
Overall
| USF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NAVY Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.00 | 5 | Points Scored | 88 | 26.78 |
| 258.33 | 36 | Passing Yards | 116 | 253.67 |
| 226.89 | 10 | Rushing Yards | 54 | 139.89 |
| 25:06 | 135 | Time on Field | 29 | 28:19 |
| 70.11 | 32 | Number of Plays | 51 | 65.33 |
| 6.92 | 13 | Yards Per Play | 109 | 6.02 |
Scoring
| USF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NAVY Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.00 | 5 | Points Scored | 88 | 26.78 |
| 8.33 | 22 | First Quarter | 109 | 7.33 |
| 12.44 | 11 | Second Quarter | 56 | 6.67 |
| 12.56 | 1 | Third Quarter | 80 | 5.78 |
| 8.67 | 30 | Fourth Quarter | 84 | 7.00 |
Passing
| USF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NAVY Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258.33 | 36 | Passing Yards | 116 | 253.67 |
| 31.00 | 61 | Pass Attempts | 65 | 30.33 |
| 20.22 | 57 | Pass Completions | 89 | 19.89 |
| 1.56 | 55 | Sacks | 61 | 2.11 |
| 11.67 | 74 | Sack Yards | 85 | 15.33 |
| 12.77 | 30 | Yards Per Pass | 116 | 12.75 |
Rushing
| USF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NAVY Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226.89 | 10 | Rushing Yards | 54 | 139.89 |
| 39.11 | 31 | Rush Attempts | 66 | 35.00 |
| 5.80 | 9 | Yards Per Rush | 64 | 4.00 |
Turn Overs
| USF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NAVY Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 58 | Interceptions | 114 | 0.44 |
| 1.11 | 82 | Fumbles | 121 | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | 106 | Fumbles Lost | 35 | 0.67 |
| 1.33 | 83 | Total Turnovers | 88 | 1.11 |
| 6.44 | 79 | Penalties | 133 | 3.78 |
| 62.56 | 105 | Penalty Yards | 133 | 30.22 |
Drives & Special Teams
| USF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NAVY Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25:06 | 135 | Time on Field | 29 | 28:19 |
| 70.11 | 32 | Number of Plays | 51 | 65.33 |
| 6.92 | 13 | Yards Per Play | 109 | 6.02 |
| 3.78 | 59 | Punts | 130 | 2.78 |
| 42.30 | 82 | Punt Average | 27 | 41.34 |
| 71.22 | 30 | Return Yards | 83 | 54.44 |
South Florida vs Navy Prediction: Navy Offense
Overall
| USF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NAVY Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.22 | 69 | Points Scored | 49 | 32.00 |
| 275.33 | 131 | Passing Yards | 131 | 134.89 |
| 109.00 | 23 | Rushing Yards | 1 | 304.89 |
| 34:53 | 135 | Time on Field | 29 | 31:40 |
| 76.33 | 135 | Number of Plays | 126 | 61.56 |
| 5.03 | 33 | Yards Per Play | 8 | 7.14 |
Scoring
| USF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NAVY Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.22 | 69 | Points Scored | 49 | 32.00 |
| 5.67 | 77 | First Quarter | 57 | 6.56 |
| 6.44 | 48 | Second Quarter | 40 | 10.33 |
| 3.33 | 22 | Third Quarter | 55 | 6.56 |
| 8.78 | 120 | Fourth Quarter | 34 | 8.56 |
Passing
| USF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NAVY Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275.33 | 131 | Passing Yards | 131 | 134.89 |
| 42.00 | 136 | Pass Attempts | 135 | 13.89 |
| 27.11 | 136 | Pass Completions | 135 | 8.33 |
| 2.78 | 17 | Sacks | 4 | 0.56 |
| 18.33 | 112 | Sack Yards | 132 | 3.78 |
| 10.16 | 15 | Yards Per Pass | 2 | 16.19 |
Rushing
| USF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NAVY Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109.00 | 23 | Rushing Yards | 1 | 304.89 |
| 34.33 | 58 | Rush Attempts | 5 | 47.67 |
| 3.17 | 19 | Yards Per Rush | 1 | 6.40 |
Turn Overs
| USF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NAVY Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 17 | Interceptions | 32 | 0.56 |
| 1.89 | 9 | Fumbles | 103 | 1.33 |
| 0.89 | 13 | Fumbles Lost | 52 | 0.44 |
| 2.11 | 8 | Total Turnovers | 39 | 1.00 |
| 8.78 | 2 | Penalties | 67 | 6.22 |
| 67.22 | 12 | Penalty Yards | 65 | 53.56 |
Drives & Special Teams
| USF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NAVY Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34:53 | 135 | Time on Field | 29 | 31:40 |
| 76.33 | 135 | Number of Plays | 126 | 61.56 |
| 5.03 | 33 | Yards Per Play | 8 | 7.14 |
| 5.22 | 21 | Punts | 11 | 2.44 |
| 41.57 | 33 | Punt Average | 36 | 44.74 |
| 38.56 | 34 | Return Yards | 85 | 50.33 |
All NFL Week 12 Predictions
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