Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 12
Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Trends
- Over the past ten games, Toledo has a record of 7-3 against the spread.
- The over/under record for Toledo’s last seven games versus Miami-Ohio is 5-2.
- With Miami-Ohio, Toledo has a winning record of 5-2 in its last seven games.
- On the road, Toledo has a losing record of 0-5 in its last five games.
- Over the course of its last 20 games versus teams from the Mid-American conference, Toledo has a win-loss record of 13-7.
- In Toledo’s last seven games against opponents from the East Division, the team has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
- All four of Toledo’s most recent six games played in November have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- Each of Toledo’s last eight games played in week 12 has resulted in the total going over seven times.
- Over the past six games, Miami-Ohio has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
- In its last six games, Miami-Ohio has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
- There have been six of Miami-Ohio’s last nine games against Toledo in which the total has been UNDER.
- In its previous nine games played at home, Miami-Ohio has a winning record of 8-1 against the spread.
- When it comes to its most recent 13 games versus teams from the Mid-American conference, Miami-Ohio has a winning record of 11-2.
- Versus the spread, Miami-Ohio has a record of 6-1 in its previous seven games versus teams that are in the West Division division.
- Seven of Miami-Ohio’s most recent nine games played in November have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- Out of the six games that Miami-Ohio has played in week 12, the total has been UNDER in five of those games.
- In its last ten games played on Wednesdays, Miami-Ohio has a record of 8-2 against the bet.
Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction
Now we have the Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction for both teams.
This Week 12 MAC matchup between the Toledo Rockets and the Miami (Ohio) RedHawks is shaping up to be one of the most compelling games of the season, with both teams still jockeying for position atop their respective divisions. Toledo enters the game boasting one of the most balanced offenses in the conference, averaging 32.9 points per game and ranking among the top 40 nationally in both passing and rushing production. The Rockets have shown the ability to light up the scoreboard, with multiple 40-point performances this year, but they’ve also been inconsistent on the road, failing to win any of their last five away games. That’s a concern against a Miami team that has been nearly unbeatable at home, both straight up and against the spread. History tells us these games tend to be tight — six of the last nine matchups have gone under the total, and the last three have all been decided by 10 points or fewer. With both programs fielding top-50 defenses and plenty of motivation down the stretch, this clash could come down to who protects the ball and executes better in the fourth quarter.
For Toledo, this matchup represents a chance to reestablish themselves as the premier program in the MAC West. Offensively, the Rockets are dynamic and efficient, ranking 31st in yards per play and top-40 in total offense. Quarterback play has been a strength, as Toledo averages over 259 passing yards per game, complemented by a ground attack that racks up nearly 180 yards. However, their road struggles are glaring — they’ve gone 0-5 in their last five away contests and often fail to match their usual scoring output outside the Glass Bowl. On defense, the Rockets are elite, ranking 9th nationally in points allowed (14.6) and 4th in pass defense, surrendering just 142.5 yards per game through the air. That combination of a balanced offense and shutdown defense makes them dangerous in any setting, but discipline remains a concern. Toledo ranks near the bottom nationally in penalty yards, averaging over 70 per game, something that could easily swing momentum in a close contest. If the Rockets can stay composed and establish the run early, their offensive versatility could be enough to overcome a hostile environment in Oxford.
Miami (Ohio), meanwhile, has been one of the most consistent programs in the MAC all season long, covering the spread in five of their last six games and holding an impressive 8-1 ATS record at home. The RedHawks rely heavily on their defense, which ranks 42nd nationally in scoring, giving up just 21.7 points per game, and they’ve been especially tough against the run, limiting opponents to 124.7 yards per game. Offensively, Miami doesn’t flash the same explosiveness as Toledo, but their efficiency and control-oriented style are their calling cards. They average 25.3 points per game behind a balanced attack that features 199 passing yards and 160 on the ground. Quarterback consistency and time of possession — they average just over 31 minutes per game — have allowed Miami to wear down opponents late, especially at home. Historically, they’ve also performed well in November and during midweek MACtion, going 8-2 ATS in their last ten Wednesday games. If they can force Toledo into third-and-long situations and keep the game low-scoring, Miami’s formula of defense and patience could pay off once again.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: MIAMI OHIO
Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/05/24
|
@TOL
|
TOL 30-20
|
TOL-9.5
|
O43.5
|
TOL-345
|
|
12/02/23
|
@TOL
|
MOH 23-14
|
TOL-9.0
|
U46.5
|
TOL-350
|
|
10/21/23
|
@MOH
|
TOL 21-17
|
MOH+1.0
|
U49.5
|
MOH-112
|
Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Toledo Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/05/25
|
NIL
|
W 42-3
|
W-13.5
|
O42.5
|
W-650
|
|
10/25/25
|
@WST
|
L 28-7
|
L-1.5
|
U49.5
|
L+106
|
|
10/18/25
|
KNT
|
W 45-10
|
W-23.5
|
O51.5
|
W-3500
|
|
10/11/25
|
@BGN
|
L 28-23
|
L-7.0
|
O49.5
|
L-345
|
|
9/27/25
|
AKR
|
W 45-3
|
W-21.0
|
U48.5
|
W-2000
|
|
9/20/25
|
@WMC
|
L 14-13
|
L-13.5
|
U51.5
|
L-430
|
|
9/13/25
|
MGN
|
W 60-0
|
W-35.5
|
O50.5
|
W-30000
|
|
9/06/25
|
WKY
|
W 45-21
|
W-4.5
|
O61.5
|
W-196
|
|
8/30/25
|
@KEN
|
L 24-16
|
W+11.5
|
U48.5
|
L+315
|
|
12/26/24
|
PIT
|
W 48-46
|
W+9.5
|
O51.5
|
W+260
|
Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Miami Ohio Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/04/25
|
@OHI
|
L 24-20
|
L+3.5
|
U50.5
|
L+132
|
|
10/25/25
|
WMC
|
W 26-17
|
W-3.5
|
U43.5
|
W-162
|
|
10/18/25
|
EMC
|
W 44-30
|
W-11.5
|
O47.5
|
W-525
|
|
10/11/25
|
@AKR
|
W 20-7
|
W-9.5
|
U45.5
|
W-420
|
|
10/04/25
|
@NIL
|
W 25-14
|
W-1.5
|
U39.5
|
W-156
|
|
9/27/25
|
|
W 38-0
|
W-20.5
|
U49.5
|
W-1400
|
|
9/20/25
|
UNLV
|
L 41-38
|
W+4.5
|
O51.5
|
L+152
|
|
9/06/25
|
@RUT
|
L 45-17
|
L+15.5
|
O48.5
|
L+400
|
|
8/28/25
|
@WIS
|
L 17-0
|
L+16.5
|
U41.5
|
L+680
|
|
12/28/24
|
@CSU
|
W 43-17
|
W-3.5
|
O42.5
|
W-166
|
Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Toledo Offense
Overall
| TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | M-OH Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.89 | 38 | Points Scored | 42 | 21.67 |
| 259.44 | 33 | Passing Yards | 45 | 202.89 |
| 178.56 | 44 | Rushing Yards | 36 | 124.78 |
| 31:06 | 37 | Time on Field | 12 | 27:11 |
| 69.11 | 39 | Number of Plays | 68 | 66.22 |
| 6.34 | 31 | Yards Per Play | 25 | 4.95 |
Scoring
| TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | M-OH Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.89 | 38 | Points Scored | 42 | 21.67 |
| 7.33 | 42 | First Quarter | 18 | 2.67 |
| 13.78 | 3 | Second Quarter | 47 | 6.44 |
| 6.89 | 49 | Third Quarter | 12 | 2.67 |
| 4.89 | 114 | Fourth Quarter | 132 | 9.89 |
Passing
| TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | M-OH Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259.44 | 33 | Passing Yards | 45 | 202.89 |
| 32.11 | 53 | Pass Attempts | 108 | 33.33 |
| 21.33 | 37 | Pass Completions | 62 | 18.67 |
| 1.11 | 24 | Sacks | 11 | 2.89 |
| 8.78 | 102 | Sack Yards | 109 | 17.78 |
| 12.16 | 54 | Yards Per Pass | 38 | 10.87 |
Rushing
| TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | M-OH Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.56 | 44 | Rushing Yards | 36 | 124.78 |
| 37.00 | 53 | Rush Attempts | 33 | 32.89 |
| 4.83 | 34 | Yards Per Rush | 46 | 3.79 |
Turn Overs
| TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | M-OH Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 63 | Interceptions | 25 | 1.11 |
| 0.78 | 33 | Fumbles | 108 | 0.78 |
| 0.22 | 18 | Fumbles Lost | 103 | 0.33 |
| 0.89 | 23 | Total Turnovers | 46 | 1.44 |
| 8.11 | 134 | Penalties | 121 | 4.67 |
| 71.89 | 133 | Penalty Yards | 131 | 31.78 |
Drives & Special Teams
| TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | M-OH Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:06 | 37 | Time on Field | 12 | 27:11 |
| 69.11 | 39 | Number of Plays | 68 | 66.22 |
| 6.34 | 31 | Yards Per Play | 25 | 4.95 |
| 5.00 | 110 | Punts | 56 | 4.67 |
| 40.83 | 109 | Punt Average | 8 | 39.42 |
| 75.00 | 19 | Return Yards | 120 | 79.22 |
Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Miami Ohio Offense
Overall
| TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | M-OH Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.56 | 9 | Points Scored | 85 | 25.33 |
| 142.56 | 4 | Passing Yards | 98 | 199.22 |
| 91.22 | 8 | Rushing Yards | 61 | 160.22 |
| 28:38 | 34 | Time on Field | 38 | 31:05 |
| 60.56 | 16 | Number of Plays | 130 | 60.78 |
| 3.86 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 56 | 5.91 |
Scoring
| TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | M-OH Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.56 | 9 | Points Scored | 85 | 25.33 |
| 3.00 | 26 | First Quarter | 107 | 4.22 |
| 3.78 | 10 | Second Quarter | 101 | 6.56 |
| 1.44 | 4 | Third Quarter | 59 | 6.33 |
| 6.33 | 67 | Fourth Quarter | 39 | 8.22 |
Passing
| TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | M-OH Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142.56 | 4 | Passing Yards | 98 | 199.22 |
| 25.33 | 3 | Pass Attempts | 124 | 24.78 |
| 12.89 | 2 | Pass Completions | 124 | 14.11 |
| 2.00 | 73 | Sacks | 22 | 1.11 |
| 15.33 | 86 | Sack Yards | 123 | 5.89 |
| 11.06 | 55 | Yards Per Pass | 11 | 14.12 |
Rushing
| TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | M-OH Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.22 | 8 | Rushing Yards | 61 | 160.22 |
| 35.22 | 69 | Rush Attempts | 63 | 36.00 |
| 2.59 | 5 | Yards Per Rush | 58 | 4.45 |
Turn Overs
| TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | M-OH Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 64 | Interceptions | 77 | 0.78 |
| 1.11 | 63 | Fumbles | 3 | 0.44 |
| 0.67 | 41 | Fumbles Lost | 15 | 0.22 |
| 1.44 | 49 | Total Turnovers | 37 | 1.00 |
| 4.89 | 116 | Penalties | 62 | 6.11 |
| 38.56 | 121 | Penalty Yards | 73 | 55.78 |
Drives & Special Teams
| TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | M-OH Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:38 | 34 | Time on Field | 38 | 31:05 |
| 60.56 | 16 | Number of Plays | 130 | 60.78 |
| 3.86 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 56 | 5.91 |
| 7.22 | 1 | Punts | 81 | 4.33 |
| 41.23 | 25 | Punt Average | 94 | 41.80 |
| 42.33 | 54 | Return Yards | 56 | 61.22 |
All NFL Week 12 Predictions
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Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 12, by YouWager.lv.