Bengals vs Steelers Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Bengals vs Steelers Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Bengals vs Steelers Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.

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Bengals vs Steelers Prediction

Now we have the Bengals vs Steelers Prediction for both teams.

The Week 11 AFC North showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers brings yet another chapter to one of the NFL’s most physical rivalries. These two teams are no strangers to close, hard-fought contests, and their recent meetings have proven that games between them often come down to a single possession. In their latest clash earlier this season, Cincinnati edged out Pittsburgh 33-31 in a thrilling shootout, but the Bengals have struggled mightily since then, losing five of their last six games. Meanwhile, the Steelers have played more consistent football, winning four of their last six and keeping pace in the AFC playoff race. Both teams have offensive firepower, but they’ve shown it in different ways—Cincinnati leans on Joe Burrow’s arm despite inconsistent protection, while Pittsburgh has relied on a more balanced attack led by a revitalized ground game and a defense that can create game-changing turnovers. With so much history and playoff positioning on the line, this matchup isn’t just another divisional game—it’s a must-win for both sides fighting to stay relevant in a crowded AFC landscape.

The Bengals’ recent struggles tell a story of an offense that simply can’t stay on the field long enough to sustain drives. Ranked 32nd in time of possession and 26th in total plays per game, Cincinnati’s offense has been forced into quick possessions far too often, leaving their defense gassed. Despite that, Burrow continues to put up solid numbers, averaging over 200 passing yards per game, though his protection has been spotty. The Bengals rank near the bottom in rushing offense at just 82.9 yards per game, making them one-dimensional and easier to defend. Defensively, the story is even more concerning—they allow over 31 points per game, with opponents gouging them both on the ground and through the air. Their run defense ranks dead last in the NFL, giving up 151.9 yards per game, and their secondary has struggled to contain big plays. While Burrow has the weapons to light up any defense on his best days, the lack of balance and defensive breakdowns have made it difficult for Cincinnati to close out tight games, something that could cost them again here.

The Steelers, on the other hand, come into this matchup with growing confidence and momentum. After a shaky start to the year, their offense has found its footing, averaging 25 points per game and showing better rhythm behind an improving offensive line. Quarterback Kenny Pickett hasn’t been perfect, but he’s done a solid job protecting the ball and spreading it around. Pittsburgh’s run game has shown life as well, averaging just over 94 yards per game, while their defense remains opportunistic, ranking in the top half of the league in takeaways. The biggest advantage Pittsburgh brings into this game is its defensive front. Against a Bengals offensive line that has struggled to keep Burrow upright, the Steelers’ pass rush could dictate the pace early and often. Pittsburgh’s ability to pressure the quarterback and capitalize on turnovers could be the deciding factor, especially at home where they tend to play their best football. If the Steelers can establish balance and control the clock, they’re in prime position to avenge their earlier loss to Cincinnati and make a statement in the division race.

Our Bengals vs Steelers Pick: STEELERS

Bengals vs Steelers Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/16/25
CIN 33-31
CIN-4.5
O46.5
CIN-205
1/04/25
CIN 19-17
PIT+0.5
U45.5
PIT-108
12/01/24
PIT 44-38
CIN-5.0
O44.5
CIN-218
12/23/23
PIT 34-11
PIT+2.5
O39.5
PIT+110
11/26/23
PIT 16-10
CIN-4.5
U41.5
CIN-200
11/20/22
CIN 37-30
PIT+3.0
O45
PIT+120
9/11/22
PIT 23-20
CIN-6.0
U44.5
CIN-240
11/28/21
CIN 41-10
CIN+3.0
O46
CIN-200
9/26/21
CIN 24-10
PIT-2.5
U42.5
PIT-145
12/21/20
CIN 27-17
CIN+14.5
O40.5
CIN+670

Bengals vs Steelers Prediction: Cincinnati Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/02/25
L 47-42
L-3.0
O48.5
L-162
10/26/25
L 39-38
L-7.5
O45.5
L-340
10/16/25
W 33-31
L-4.5
O46.5
W-205
10/12/25
L 27-18
L+2.5
U48.5
L+120
10/05/25
L 37-24
L+8.5
O50.5
LEVEN
9/29/25
L 28-3
L+1.5
U44.5
L+110
9/21/25
L 48-10
L+1.5
O47.5
L+102
9/14/25
W 31-27
L-5.5
O49.5
W-225
9/07/25
W 17-16
L-5.5
U45.5
W-240
1/04/25
W 19-17
W-0.5
U45.5
W-112

Bengals vs Steelers Prediction: Pittsburgh Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/02/25
W 27-20
W-3.5
O44.5
W-175
10/26/25
L 35-25
L+1.5
O44.5
LEVEN
10/16/25
L 33-31
W+4.5
O46.5
L+170
10/12/25
W 23-9
W-6.5
U42.5
W-278
9/28/25
W 24-21
W+2.5
O41.5
W+114
9/21/25
W 21-14
W+1.5
U43.5
W+102
9/14/25
L 31-17
L-1.5
O43.5
L-122
9/07/25
W 34-32
L-3.0
O39.5
W-172
1/11/25
L 28-14
L+8.5
U46.5
L+360
1/04/25
L 19-17
L+0.5
U45.5
L-108

Bengals vs Steelers Prediction: Cincinnati Offense

Overall

CIN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank PIT Defense
21.75 21 Points Scored 22 25.00
202.00 21 Passing Yards 32 273.29
82.88 31 Rushing Yards 18 112.71
26:59 32 Time on Field 31 32:28
57.38 26 Number of Plays 32 68.43
4.97 25 Yards Per Play 24 5.64

Scoring

CIN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank PIT Defense
21.75 21 Points Scored 22 25.00
3.38 21 First Quarter 12 3.71
5.88 22 Second Quarter 11 5.71
4.25 18 Third Quarter 10 3.86
8.25 7 Fourth Quarter 32 11.71

Passing

CIN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank PIT Defense
202.00 21 Passing Yards 32 273.29
35.75 7 Pass Attempts 31 39.14
22.75 8 Pass Completions 32 26.43
2.38 18 Sacks 6 3.14
14.25 15 Sack Yards 26 20.14
8.88 26 Yards Per Pass 24 10.34

Rushing

CIN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank PIT Defense
82.88 31 Rushing Yards 18 112.71
19.25 32 Rush Attempts 16 26.14
4.31 17 Yards Per Rush 17 4.31

Turn Overs

CIN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank PIT Defense
1.00 27 Interceptions 15 0.71
0.88 12 Fumbles 9 1.29
0.38 14 Fumbles Lost 7 0.71
1.38 23 Total Turnovers 8 1.43
5.00 1 Penalties 28 5.57
33.63 1 Penalty Yards 25 49.43

Drives & Special Teams

CIN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank PIT Defense
26:59 32 Time on Field 31 32:28
57.38 26 Number of Plays 32 68.43
4.97 25 Yards Per Play 24 5.64
4.63 29 Punts 29 2.86
52.80 1 Punt Average 14 47.46
127.88 14 Return Yards 30 159.14

Bengals vs Steelers Prediction: Pittsburgh Offense

Overall

CIN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank PIT Offense
31.63 32 Points Scored 13 25.00
256.00 30 Passing Yards 19 202.86
151.88 32 Rushing Yards 25 94.29
33:00 32 Time on Field 31 27:31
65.50 28 Number of Plays 32 54.86
6.23 32 Yards Per Play 16 5.42

Scoring

CIN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank PIT Offense
31.63 32 Points Scored 13 25.00
5.25 22 First Quarter 11 5.71
10.88 31 Second Quarter 9 7.71
6.38 25 Third Quarter 26 3.43
9.13 27 Fourth Quarter 8 8.14

Passing

CIN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank PIT Offense
256.00 30 Passing Yards 19 202.86
33.75 20 Pass Attempts 23 30.00
23.00 24 Pass Completions 20 20.57
1.38 29 Sacks 9 1.71
7.25 1 Sack Yards 24 11.57
11.13 30 Yards Per Pass 21 9.86

Rushing

CIN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank PIT Offense
151.88 32 Rushing Yards 25 94.29
30.38 30 Rush Attempts 28 23.14
5.00 28 Yards Per Rush 22 4.07

Turn Overs

CIN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank PIT Offense
1.00 6 Interceptions 19 0.71
0.38 29 Fumbles 11 0.86
0.13 27 Fumbles Lost 5 0.14
1.13 16 Total Turnovers 10 0.86
7.13 17 Penalties 6 6.00
58.13 11 Penalty Yards 5 45.43

Drives & Special Teams

CIN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank PIT Offense
33:00 32 Time on Field 31 27:31
65.50 28 Number of Plays 32 54.86
6.23 32 Yards Per Play 16 5.42
3.00 25 Punts 12 3.29
45.47 7 Punt Average 19 47.33
164.38 32 Return Yards 16 126.43

 

All NFL Week 11 Predictions

 

 

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