Panthers vs Falcons Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Panthers vs Falcons Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Panthers vs Falcons Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.

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Panthers vs Falcons Prediction

Now we have the Panthers vs Falcons Prediction for both teams.

The Week 11 matchup between the Carolina Panthers and the Atlanta Falcons carries plenty of intrigue, especially considering how these NFC South rivals have fared against each other recently. The Panthers completely dominated the first meeting this season, shutting out the Falcons 30-0 in Charlotte, which was one of the most one-sided performances of the year. Carolina’s defense suffocated Atlanta’s offense from start to finish, and their ability to control time of possession and limit explosive plays was the key to that result. Historically, this rivalry has swung back and forth, but Carolina has taken four of the last six meetings and seems to have found a defensive formula that frustrates Atlanta’s game plan. The Falcons, on the other hand, are desperate for revenge and to stay relevant in the NFC playoff picture, while the Panthers are looking to build on their recent stretch of tough, grind-it-out wins. Both teams have shown inconsistency, but Carolina’s recent form and defensive confidence could give them the upper hand again here.

For the Carolina Panthers, their identity is clearly rooted in defense and ball control. Despite ranking near the bottom of the league in passing yards (29th) and total offensive production, they’ve managed to win games through disciplined play, a strong running game, and timely defense. The Panthers rank fifth in the NFL in rushing yards per game (136.9) and third in plays per game, showing their commitment to long, methodical drives. Their 31:47 average time of possession also ranks sixth in the league, keeping opposing offenses off the field and their defense fresh. The running attack, complemented by a low-turnover approach, has been the difference in several close victories. Defensively, Carolina has been stout against the pass, allowing just 198.4 yards per game, which ranks 11th in the league. They’ve held teams like the Packers, Cowboys, and Jets in check over recent weeks, proving their ability to contain various offensive styles. While their offense remains inconsistent, the formula is working — control the pace, avoid big mistakes, and let their defense dictate the game.

The Atlanta Falcons, meanwhile, are trending in the opposite direction. After a strong start to the season that included wins over Minnesota, Washington, and Buffalo, the Falcons have hit a rough patch, losing four of their last five. Their offensive struggles have been glaring, averaging just 17.1 points per game (28th in the NFL) and failing to find rhythm through the air. Atlanta’s defense, which ranks first in passing yards allowed (149.1 per game), has kept them competitive, but the offense’s inability to capitalize has been their downfall. The Falcons’ running game remains solid at 123.3 yards per game, yet without consistent quarterback play and red-zone efficiency, it hasn’t translated to wins. Against Carolina, Atlanta’s offensive line must find a way to handle the Panthers’ front seven and open lanes for their backs, while avoiding the costly turnovers that doomed them in their Week 3 blowout loss. Unless Atlanta can rediscover the balance that fueled their early-season success, this could be another frustrating divisional outing.

Our Panthers vs Falcons Pick: PANTHERS

Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
9/21/25
CAR 30-0
CAR-1.5
U46.5
CAR-120
1/05/25
CAR 44-38
ATL-6.5
O45.5
ATL-278
10/13/24
ATL 38-20
CAR+3.5
O44
CAR+154
12/17/23
CAR 9-7
CAR-1.0
U36
CAR-115
9/10/23
ATL 24-10
ATL-1.5
U43.5
ATL-122
11/10/22
CAR 25-15
CAR-3.5
U44
CAR+108
10/30/22
ATL 37-34
ATL-1.0
O41
ATL-110
12/12/21
ATL 29-21
CAR-3.5
O48.5
CAR-132
10/31/21
CAR 19-13
ATL-3.5
U49.5
ATL-138
10/29/20
ATL 25-17
CAR-1.5
U51.5
CAR-119

Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Carolina Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/02/25
W 16-13
W+7.5
U45.5
W+270
10/26/25
L 40-9
L+7.0
O47.5
L+250
10/19/25
W 13-6
W+1.5
U43.5
WEVEN
10/12/25
W 30-27
W+1.5
O46.5
WEVEN
10/05/25
W 27-24
W+1.5
O46.5
WEVEN
9/28/25
L 42-13
L+3.5
O45.5
L+145
9/21/25
W 30-0
W-1.5
U46.5
W-120
9/14/25
L 27-22
L+4.5
O46.5
L+164
9/07/25
L 26-10
L+2.5
U46.5
L+120
1/05/25
W 44-38
W+6.5
O45.5
W+225

Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/02/25
L 24-23
W+3.0
O44.5
L+136
10/26/25
L 34-10
L-1.5
U46.5
L-120
10/19/25
L 20-10
L+6.5
U47.5
L+225
10/13/25
W 24-14
W+5.5
U48.5
W+185
9/28/25
W 34-27
W+3.5
O48.5
W+145
9/21/25
L 30-0
L+1.5
U46.5
LEVEN
9/14/25
W 22-6
W+4.5
U45.5
W+170
9/07/25
L 23-20
L+1.5
U48.5
L+108
1/05/25
L 44-38
L-6.5
O45.5
L-278
12/29/24
L 30-24
L+4.5
O48
L-130

Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Carolina Offense

Overall

CAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ATL Defense
19.25 27 Points Scored 14 22.00
179.50 29 Passing Yards 1 149.14
136.88 5 Rushing Yards 22 126.43
31:47 6 Time on Field 12 29:12
64.50 5 Number of Plays 4 56.14
4.91 29 Yards Per Play 7 4.91

Scoring

CAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ATL Defense
19.25 27 Points Scored 14 22.00
3.13 26 First Quarter 5 3.00
4.13 29 Second Quarter 20 7.00
3.63 23 Third Quarter 22 5.71
8.38 6 Fourth Quarter 16 6.29

Passing

CAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ATL Defense
179.50 29 Passing Yards 1 149.14
32.63 16 Pass Attempts 1 26.14
20.38 21 Pass Completions 1 16.14
2.38 17 Sacks 16 2.29
18.13 8 Sack Yards 13 13.57
8.81 27 Yards Per Pass 5 9.24

Rushing

CAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ATL Defense
136.88 5 Rushing Yards 22 126.43
29.50 3 Rush Attempts 23 27.71
4.64 10 Yards Per Rush 23 4.56

Turn Overs

CAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ATL Defense
0.75 21 Interceptions 11 0.86
1.38 29 Fumbles 3 1.57
0.75 28 Fumbles Lost 18 0.43
1.50 25 Total Turnovers 10 1.29
5.75 3 Penalties 26 5.71
46.25 6 Penalty Yards 24 51.14

Drives & Special Teams

CAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ATL Defense
31:47 6 Time on Field 12 29:12
64.50 5 Number of Plays 4 56.14
4.91 29 Yards Per Play 7 4.91
3.38 13 Punts 15 3.57
47.90 15 Punt Average 17 47.89
103.00 29 Return Yards 10 120.86

Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Offense

Overall

CAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ATL Offense
24.00 20 Points Scored 28 17.14
198.38 11 Passing Yards 13 219.43
111.63 16 Rushing Yards 11 123.29
28:13 6 Time on Field 15 30:47
56.38 5 Number of Plays 12 62.71
5.50 22 Yards Per Play 15 5.46

Scoring

CAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ATL Offense
24.00 20 Points Scored 28 17.14
3.63 11 First Quarter 13 5.29
11.88 32 Second Quarter 31 3.71
5.25 19 Third Quarter 20 3.86
3.25 2 Fourth Quarter 29 4.29

Passing

CAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ATL Offense
198.38 11 Passing Yards 13 219.43
30.50 11 Pass Attempts 15 33.29
19.38 10 Pass Completions 19 20.71
1.63 27 Sacks 5 1.43
11.13 9 Sack Yards 25 10.71
10.24 22 Yards Per Pass 11 10.59

Rushing

CAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ATL Offense
111.63 16 Rushing Yards 11 123.29
24.25 11 Rush Attempts 10 28.00
4.60 24 Yards Per Rush 16 4.40

Turn Overs

CAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ATL Offense
0.75 12 Interceptions 8 0.43
0.38 28 Fumbles 17 1.00
0.13 26 Fumbles Lost 22 0.57
0.88 23 Total Turnovers 11 1.00
7.50 9 Penalties 4 5.86
56.63 13 Penalty Yards 2 43.71

Drives & Special Teams

CAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ATL Offense
28:13 6 Time on Field 15 30:47
56.38 5 Number of Plays 12 62.71
5.50 22 Yards Per Play 15 5.46
3.50 17 Punts 7 3.14
49.26 27 Punt Average 27 44.66
113.00 7 Return Yards 28 103.14

 

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