Panthers vs Falcons Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Panthers vs Falcons Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.
Panthers vs Falcons Prediction
Now we have the Panthers vs Falcons Prediction for both teams.
The Week 11 matchup between the Carolina Panthers and the Atlanta Falcons carries plenty of intrigue, especially considering how these NFC South rivals have fared against each other recently. The Panthers completely dominated the first meeting this season, shutting out the Falcons 30-0 in Charlotte, which was one of the most one-sided performances of the year. Carolina’s defense suffocated Atlanta’s offense from start to finish, and their ability to control time of possession and limit explosive plays was the key to that result. Historically, this rivalry has swung back and forth, but Carolina has taken four of the last six meetings and seems to have found a defensive formula that frustrates Atlanta’s game plan. The Falcons, on the other hand, are desperate for revenge and to stay relevant in the NFC playoff picture, while the Panthers are looking to build on their recent stretch of tough, grind-it-out wins. Both teams have shown inconsistency, but Carolina’s recent form and defensive confidence could give them the upper hand again here.
For the Carolina Panthers, their identity is clearly rooted in defense and ball control. Despite ranking near the bottom of the league in passing yards (29th) and total offensive production, they’ve managed to win games through disciplined play, a strong running game, and timely defense. The Panthers rank fifth in the NFL in rushing yards per game (136.9) and third in plays per game, showing their commitment to long, methodical drives. Their 31:47 average time of possession also ranks sixth in the league, keeping opposing offenses off the field and their defense fresh. The running attack, complemented by a low-turnover approach, has been the difference in several close victories. Defensively, Carolina has been stout against the pass, allowing just 198.4 yards per game, which ranks 11th in the league. They’ve held teams like the Packers, Cowboys, and Jets in check over recent weeks, proving their ability to contain various offensive styles. While their offense remains inconsistent, the formula is working — control the pace, avoid big mistakes, and let their defense dictate the game.
The Atlanta Falcons, meanwhile, are trending in the opposite direction. After a strong start to the season that included wins over Minnesota, Washington, and Buffalo, the Falcons have hit a rough patch, losing four of their last five. Their offensive struggles have been glaring, averaging just 17.1 points per game (28th in the NFL) and failing to find rhythm through the air. Atlanta’s defense, which ranks first in passing yards allowed (149.1 per game), has kept them competitive, but the offense’s inability to capitalize has been their downfall. The Falcons’ running game remains solid at 123.3 yards per game, yet without consistent quarterback play and red-zone efficiency, it hasn’t translated to wins. Against Carolina, Atlanta’s offensive line must find a way to handle the Panthers’ front seven and open lanes for their backs, while avoiding the costly turnovers that doomed them in their Week 3 blowout loss. Unless Atlanta can rediscover the balance that fueled their early-season success, this could be another frustrating divisional outing.
✅ Our Panthers vs Falcons Pick: PANTHERS
Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9/21/25
|
@CAR
|
CAR 30-0
|
CAR-1.5
|
U46.5
|
CAR-120
|
|
1/05/25
|
@ATL
|
CAR 44-38
|
ATL-6.5
|
O45.5
|
ATL-278
|
|
10/13/24
|
@CAR
|
ATL 38-20
|
CAR+3.5
|
O44
|
CAR+154
|
|
12/17/23
|
@CAR
|
CAR 9-7
|
CAR-1.0
|
U36
|
CAR-115
|
|
9/10/23
|
@ATL
|
ATL 24-10
|
ATL-1.5
|
U43.5
|
ATL-122
|
|
11/10/22
|
@CAR
|
CAR 25-15
|
CAR-3.5
|
U44
|
CAR+108
|
|
10/30/22
|
@ATL
|
ATL 37-34
|
ATL-1.0
|
O41
|
ATL-110
|
|
12/12/21
|
@CAR
|
ATL 29-21
|
CAR-3.5
|
O48.5
|
CAR-132
|
|
10/31/21
|
@ATL
|
CAR 19-13
|
ATL-3.5
|
U49.5
|
ATL-138
|
|
10/29/20
|
@CAR
|
ATL 25-17
|
CAR-1.5
|
U51.5
|
CAR-119
|
Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Carolina Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/02/25
|
@GB
|
W 16-13
|
W+7.5
|
U45.5
|
W+270
|
|
10/26/25
|
BUF
|
L 40-9
|
L+7.0
|
O47.5
|
L+250
|
|
10/19/25
|
@NYJ
|
W 13-6
|
W+1.5
|
U43.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
10/12/25
|
DAL
|
W 30-27
|
W+1.5
|
O46.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
10/05/25
|
MIA
|
W 27-24
|
W+1.5
|
O46.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
9/28/25
|
@NE
|
L 42-13
|
L+3.5
|
O45.5
|
L+145
|
|
9/21/25
|
ATL
|
W 30-0
|
W-1.5
|
U46.5
|
W-120
|
|
9/14/25
|
@ARI
|
L 27-22
|
L+4.5
|
O46.5
|
L+164
|
|
9/07/25
|
@JAC
|
L 26-10
|
L+2.5
|
U46.5
|
L+120
|
|
1/05/25
|
@ATL
|
W 44-38
|
W+6.5
|
O45.5
|
W+225
|
Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/02/25
|
@NE
|
L 24-23
|
W+3.0
|
O44.5
|
L+136
|
|
10/26/25
|
MIA
|
L 34-10
|
L-1.5
|
U46.5
|
L-120
|
|
10/19/25
|
@SF
|
L 20-10
|
L+6.5
|
U47.5
|
L+225
|
|
10/13/25
|
BUF
|
W 24-14
|
W+5.5
|
U48.5
|
W+185
|
|
9/28/25
|
WAS
|
W 34-27
|
W+3.5
|
O48.5
|
W+145
|
|
9/21/25
|
@CAR
|
L 30-0
|
L+1.5
|
U46.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/14/25
|
@MIN
|
W 22-6
|
W+4.5
|
U45.5
|
W+170
|
|
9/07/25
|
TB
|
L 23-20
|
L+1.5
|
U48.5
|
L+108
|
|
1/05/25
|
CAR
|
L 44-38
|
L-6.5
|
O45.5
|
L-278
|
|
12/29/24
|
@WAS
|
L 30-24
|
L+4.5
|
O48
|
L-130
|
Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Carolina Offense
Overall
| CAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.25 | 27 | Points Scored | 14 | 22.00 |
| 179.50 | 29 | Passing Yards | 1 | 149.14 |
| 136.88 | 5 | Rushing Yards | 22 | 126.43 |
| 31:47 | 6 | Time on Field | 12 | 29:12 |
| 64.50 | 5 | Number of Plays | 4 | 56.14 |
| 4.91 | 29 | Yards Per Play | 7 | 4.91 |
Scoring
| CAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.25 | 27 | Points Scored | 14 | 22.00 |
| 3.13 | 26 | First Quarter | 5 | 3.00 |
| 4.13 | 29 | Second Quarter | 20 | 7.00 |
| 3.63 | 23 | Third Quarter | 22 | 5.71 |
| 8.38 | 6 | Fourth Quarter | 16 | 6.29 |
Passing
| CAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179.50 | 29 | Passing Yards | 1 | 149.14 |
| 32.63 | 16 | Pass Attempts | 1 | 26.14 |
| 20.38 | 21 | Pass Completions | 1 | 16.14 |
| 2.38 | 17 | Sacks | 16 | 2.29 |
| 18.13 | 8 | Sack Yards | 13 | 13.57 |
| 8.81 | 27 | Yards Per Pass | 5 | 9.24 |
Rushing
| CAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136.88 | 5 | Rushing Yards | 22 | 126.43 |
| 29.50 | 3 | Rush Attempts | 23 | 27.71 |
| 4.64 | 10 | Yards Per Rush | 23 | 4.56 |
Turn Overs
| CAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 21 | Interceptions | 11 | 0.86 |
| 1.38 | 29 | Fumbles | 3 | 1.57 |
| 0.75 | 28 | Fumbles Lost | 18 | 0.43 |
| 1.50 | 25 | Total Turnovers | 10 | 1.29 |
| 5.75 | 3 | Penalties | 26 | 5.71 |
| 46.25 | 6 | Penalty Yards | 24 | 51.14 |
Drives & Special Teams
| CAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:47 | 6 | Time on Field | 12 | 29:12 |
| 64.50 | 5 | Number of Plays | 4 | 56.14 |
| 4.91 | 29 | Yards Per Play | 7 | 4.91 |
| 3.38 | 13 | Punts | 15 | 3.57 |
| 47.90 | 15 | Punt Average | 17 | 47.89 |
| 103.00 | 29 | Return Yards | 10 | 120.86 |
Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Offense
Overall
| CAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.00 | 20 | Points Scored | 28 | 17.14 |
| 198.38 | 11 | Passing Yards | 13 | 219.43 |
| 111.63 | 16 | Rushing Yards | 11 | 123.29 |
| 28:13 | 6 | Time on Field | 15 | 30:47 |
| 56.38 | 5 | Number of Plays | 12 | 62.71 |
| 5.50 | 22 | Yards Per Play | 15 | 5.46 |
Scoring
| CAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.00 | 20 | Points Scored | 28 | 17.14 |
| 3.63 | 11 | First Quarter | 13 | 5.29 |
| 11.88 | 32 | Second Quarter | 31 | 3.71 |
| 5.25 | 19 | Third Quarter | 20 | 3.86 |
| 3.25 | 2 | Fourth Quarter | 29 | 4.29 |
Passing
| CAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198.38 | 11 | Passing Yards | 13 | 219.43 |
| 30.50 | 11 | Pass Attempts | 15 | 33.29 |
| 19.38 | 10 | Pass Completions | 19 | 20.71 |
| 1.63 | 27 | Sacks | 5 | 1.43 |
| 11.13 | 9 | Sack Yards | 25 | 10.71 |
| 10.24 | 22 | Yards Per Pass | 11 | 10.59 |
Rushing
| CAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111.63 | 16 | Rushing Yards | 11 | 123.29 |
| 24.25 | 11 | Rush Attempts | 10 | 28.00 |
| 4.60 | 24 | Yards Per Rush | 16 | 4.40 |
Turn Overs
| CAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 12 | Interceptions | 8 | 0.43 |
| 0.38 | 28 | Fumbles | 17 | 1.00 |
| 0.13 | 26 | Fumbles Lost | 22 | 0.57 |
| 0.88 | 23 | Total Turnovers | 11 | 1.00 |
| 7.50 | 9 | Penalties | 4 | 5.86 |
| 56.63 | 13 | Penalty Yards | 2 | 43.71 |
Drives & Special Teams
| CAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:13 | 6 | Time on Field | 15 | 30:47 |
| 56.38 | 5 | Number of Plays | 12 | 62.71 |
| 5.50 | 22 | Yards Per Play | 15 | 5.46 |
| 3.50 | 17 | Punts | 7 | 3.14 |
| 49.26 | 27 | Punt Average | 27 | 44.66 |
| 113.00 | 7 | Return Yards | 28 | 103.14 |
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