Jets vs Dolphins Betting Prediction Week 4, 2025
Jets vs Dolphins Betting Prediction Week 4, 2025. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.
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The Jets and Dolphins renew their AFC East rivalry in Week 4, and the betting angles are as sharp as the on-field storylines.
Jets vs Dolphins Betting Prediction
From a betting perspective, this matchup screams volatility and points. The Jets have hit the over in nearly every recent matchup, and the Dolphins have seen seven straight home games go over the total. Both teams struggle defensively, and turnovers could spark additional scoring swings. If you’re looking for a betting angle, the over looks particularly strong given both trends and current defensive form. Miami has the edge historically at home, but New York’s run game and recent upset win show they cannot be counted out entirely. Bettors should keep a close eye on line movement, but one thing seems certain: this AFC East clash is more likely to produce fireworks than a defensive slugfest.
Jets vs Dolphins Betting Prediction: Head to Head
Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan 5, 2025 | Dolphins | @Jets | +2.5 / 39.5 | Lost 20-32 | Lost / Over |
Dec 8, 2024 | Dolphins | Jets | -6.5 / 45 | Won 32-26 | Lost / Over |
Dec 17, 2023 | Dolphins | Jets | -7 / 35.5 | Won 30-0 | Won / Under |
Nov 24, 2023 | Dolphins | @Jets | -9.5 / 40.5 | Won 34-13 | Won / Over |
Jan 8, 2023 | Dolphins | Jets | -4 / 37 | Won 9-6 | Lost / Under |
Oct 9, 2022 | Dolphins | @Jets | -3.5 / 46.5 | Lost 17-40 | Lost / Over |
Dec 19, 2021 | Dolphins | Jets | -10 / 42 | Won 31-24 | Lost / Over |
Nov 21, 2021 | Dolphins | @Jets | -4 / 44.5 | Won 24-17 | Won / Under |
Nov 29, 2020 | Dolphins | @Jets | -7.5 / 46 | Won 20-3 | Won / Under |
Oct 18, 2020 | Dolphins | Jets | -10 / 46 | Won 24-0 | Won / Under |
Jets vs Dolphins Betting Prediction: New York
New York enters this game with a poor 1-5 record in its last six and an abysmal road record when visiting Miami, having lost nine straight as underdogs in South Florida. However, the Jets do carry momentum from a surprising 32-20 victory over the Dolphins in January, one of the few bright spots in an otherwise inconsistent stretch. Their offense has leaned heavily on the run, averaging 127 yards per game, while struggling mightily through the air with only 144 passing yards per contest. Turnovers have been an issue, but the Jets have managed to keep games high-scoring, with eight of their last ten hitting the over.
Jets vs Dolphins Betting Prediction: New York Trends
- In eight of the previous ten games that the New York Jets have played, the total has been higher than the point spread.
- In their last six games, the New York Jets have a winning percentage of 1-5.
- The New York Jets have a record of 4-10 against Miami in their last 14 games.
- In their last ten games versus Miami, the New York Jets have a record of 2-8 against the Dolphins.
- The New York Jets have a record of 1-7 against the spread in their previous eight games played away from home.
- When playing on the road against Miami, the New York Jets have a losing record of 0-9 in terms of underdogs.
- At least six of the seven most recent games that the New York Jets have played against teams from the American Football Conference have resulted in the total going over.
- In five of the last six games that the New York Jets have played against teams that are members of the American Football Conference East division, the total has been above.
- The New York Jets have a record of 6-13 against the spread in their previous 19 games played in the month of September.
New York Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/21/25
|
@TB
|
L 29-27
|
W+7.5
|
O45.5
|
L+260
|
9/14/25
|
BUF
|
L 30-10
|
L+8.5
|
U44.5
|
L+300
|
9/07/25
|
PIT
|
L 34-32
|
W+3.0
|
O39.5
|
L+144
|
1/05/25
|
MIA
|
W 32-20
|
W-1.5
|
O47
|
W-122
|
12/29/24
|
@BUF
|
L 40-14
|
L+2.5
|
O45.5
|
L+114
|
12/22/24
|
LAR
|
L 19-9
|
L-3.0
|
U47.5
|
L-155
|
12/15/24
|
@JAC
|
W 32-25
|
W-1.0
|
O46
|
W-115
|
12/08/24
|
@MIA
|
L 32-26
|
L+2.0
|
O47.5
|
L+110
|
12/01/24
|
SEA
|
L 26-21
|
L-4.5
|
O46.5
|
L-198
|
11/17/24
|
IND
|
L 28-27
|
L-4.0
|
O46
|
L-192
|
Jets vs Dolphins Betting Prediction: New York Offense
Overall
NYJ Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
23.00 | 16 | Points Scored | 32 | 32.33 |
144.67 | 31 | Passing Yards | 21 | 225.33 |
127.00 | 10 | Rushing Yards | 29 | 145.00 |
28:03 | 24 | Time on Field | 32 | 34:45 |
57.33 | 24 | Number of Plays | 16 | 60.67 |
4.74 | 25 | Yards Per Play | 29 | 6.10 |
Scoring
NYJ Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
23.00 | 16 | Points Scored | 32 | 32.33 |
4.00 | 22 | First Quarter | 27 | 7.33 |
5.33 | 24 | Second Quarter | 26 | 9.00 |
2.33 | 25 | Third Quarter | 28 | 6.00 |
11.33 | 3 | Fourth Quarter | 25 | 10.00 |
Passing
NYJ Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
144.67 | 31 | Passing Yards | 21 | 225.33 |
26.67 | 27 | Pass Attempts | 4 | 26.67 |
17.33 | 30 | Pass Completions | 14 | 21.00 |
3.00 | 26 | Sacks | 22 | 2.00 |
21.33 | 6 | Sack Yards | 13 | 13.00 |
8.35 | 26 | Yards Per Pass | 26 | 10.73 |
Rushing
NYJ Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
127.00 | 10 | Rushing Yards | 29 | 145.00 |
27.67 | 9 | Rush Attempts | 30 | 32.00 |
4.59 | 12 | Yards Per Rush | 23 | 4.53 |
Turn Overs
NYJ Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
0.33 | 12 | Interceptions | 28 | 0.00 |
1.67 | 31 | Fumbles | 13 | 1.00 |
1.00 | 29 | Fumbles Lost | 27 | 0.00 |
1.33 | 20 | Total Turnovers | 30 | 0.00 |
6.33 | 12 | Penalties | 23 | 6.33 |
63.33 | 19 | Penalty Yards | 21 | 51.67 |
Drives & Special Teams
NYJ Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
28:03 | 24 | Time on Field | 32 | 34:45 |
57.33 | 24 | Number of Plays | 16 | 60.67 |
4.74 | 25 | Yards Per Play | 29 | 6.10 |
3.67 | 16 | Punts | 32 | 1.33 |
48.29 | 12 | Punt Average | 32 | 57.75 |
189.00 | 2 | Return Yards | 14 | 125.33 |
Jets vs Dolphins Betting Prediction: Miami
Miami, on the other hand, has been equally frustrating for bettors. The Dolphins are 1-4 against the spread in their last five and have failed to cover in Week 4 games for ten straight years. Their defense has been porous, allowing over 32 points per game, the worst mark in the league through three weeks. Offensively, they are averaging just 18 points per game and have been inconsistent both passing and rushing. However, what cannot be ignored is Miami’s home dominance over the Jets—nine straight victories when hosting their division rival. This home-field advantage, coupled with their ability to generate explosive plays, keeps Miami a dangerous but volatile betting option.
Jets vs Dolphins Betting Prediction: Miami Trends
- Over the past nine games, Miami has a record of 3-6 against the spread.
- Four of Miami’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last five games, Miami has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- Five of Miami’s last seven games against the New York Jets have resulted in the total going over.
- In seven of Miami’s most recent seven games played at home, the total has been over.
- The Miami Dolphins have a perfect record of 9-0 in their last nine games versus the New York Jets when they are playing at home.
- Within the last six games that Miami has played against an opponent in the American Football Conference, Miami has a winning percentage of 1-5.
- For the past six games that Miami has played against teams that are members of the American Football Conference East division, the total has been over in six of those games.
- In its last seven games played in September, Miami has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- After ten games played in week 4, Miami has a record of 0-10 against the spread.
Miami Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/18/25
|
@BUF
|
L 31-21
|
L+8.5
|
O48.5
|
L+300
|
9/14/25
|
NE
|
L 33-27
|
L-2.5
|
O45.5
|
L-142
|
9/07/25
|
@IND
|
L 33-8
|
L+1.5
|
U45.5
|
L-104
|
1/05/25
|
@NYJ
|
L 32-20
|
L+1.5
|
O47
|
L+102
|
12/29/24
|
@CLE
|
W 20-3
|
W+2.0
|
U44.5
|
W+110
|
12/22/24
|
SF
|
W 29-17
|
W+1.0
|
U49
|
W-105
|
12/15/24
|
@HOU
|
L 20-12
|
L+2.5
|
U49.5
|
L+120
|
12/08/24
|
NYJ
|
W 32-26
|
W-2.0
|
O47.5
|
W-130
|
11/28/24
|
@GB
|
L 30-17
|
L+3.0
|
O46.5
|
L+140
|
11/24/24
|
NE
|
W 34-15
|
W-6.5
|
O45
|
W-265
|
Jets vs Dolphins Betting Prediction: Miami Offense
Overall
NYJ Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
31.00 | 30 | Points Scored | 25 | 18.67 |
207.33 | 15 | Passing Yards | 21 | 192.00 |
133.00 | 24 | Rushing Yards | 26 | 89.67 |
31:56 | 23 | Time on Field | 32 | 25:15 |
63.00 | 24 | Number of Plays | 30 | 52.33 |
5.40 | 19 | Yards Per Play | 12 | 5.38 |
Scoring
NYJ Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
31.00 | 30 | Points Scored | 25 | 18.67 |
6.67 | 24 | First Quarter | 27 | 2.33 |
12.33 | 30 | Second Quarter | 17 | 7.00 |
2.00 | 6 | Third Quarter | 28 | 2.00 |
10.00 | 26 | Fourth Quarter | 12 | 7.33 |
Passing
NYJ Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
207.33 | 15 | Passing Yards | 21 | 192.00 |
28.67 | 7 | Pass Attempts | 17 | 32.33 |
18.67 | 7 | Pass Completions | 11 | 22.33 |
2.00 | 23 | Sacks | 24 | 2.67 |
11.67 | 10 | Sack Yards | 25 | 10.33 |
11.11 | 27 | Yards Per Pass | 23 | 8.60 |
Rushing
NYJ Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
133.00 | 24 | Rushing Yards | 26 | 89.67 |
32.33 | 31 | Rush Attempts | 32 | 17.33 |
4.11 | 16 | Yards Per Rush | 4 | 5.17 |
Turn Overs
NYJ Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
0.00 | 29 | Interceptions | 31 | 1.33 |
1.33 | 8 | Fumbles | 11 | 0.67 |
0.00 | 29 | Fumbles Lost | 14 | 0.33 |
0.00 | 31 | Total Turnovers | 26 | 1.67 |
8.00 | 11 | Penalties | 11 | 6.33 |
73.00 | 5 | Penalty Yards | 10 | 45.67 |
Drives & Special Teams
NYJ Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
31:56 | 23 | Time on Field | 32 | 25:15 |
63.00 | 24 | Number of Plays | 30 | 52.33 |
5.40 | 19 | Yards Per Play | 12 | 5.38 |
3.67 | 18 | Punts | 3 | 2.33 |
43.81 | 2 | Punt Average | 20 | 47.14 |
137.33 | 20 | Return Yards | 3 | 188.00 |
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