Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3 Picks, and Best Bets
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Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3
From a betting perspective, this matchup sets up as a classic contrast between two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum. Miami is trying to fix broken areas on offense and defense, while Buffalo is already operating like a playoff contender. Head-to-head trends strongly favor Buffalo, especially at home, where the Dolphins haven’t won in nearly a decade. The spread and total will be telling here, but the Bills’ balance, depth, and confidence give them every edge. Unless Miami can steal momentum with turnovers or special teams plays, Buffalo has the tools to dominate yet again.
Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3: Head to Head
Dolphins vs. Bills Head-to-Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | Bills | Dolphins | -6.5 / 49 | Won 30-27 | Lost / Over |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Bills | @Dolphins | +2.5 / 49 | Won 31-10 | Won / Under |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Bills | @Dolphins | -2.5 / 48 | Won 21-14 | Won / Under |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Bills | Dolphins | -3 / 52.5 | Won 48-20 | Won / Over |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Bills | Dolphins | -14 / 44.5 | Won 34-31 | Lost / Over |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Bills | Dolphins | -7 / 44.5 | Won 32-29 | Lost / Over |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Bills | @Dolphins | -4.5 / 54.5 | Lost 19-21 | Lost / Under |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Bills | Dolphins | -15 / 48.5 | Won 26-11 | Push / Under |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Bills | @Dolphins | -3 / 50 | Won 35-0 | Won / Under |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Bills | Dolphins | +3.5 / 42.5 | Won 56-26 | Won / Over |
Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3: Miami
Now in this Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3, we have the Miami betting preview.
The Miami Dolphins come into this matchup in a rough position, having dropped back-to-back games to open the season while showing major flaws in both phases of the game. Their rushing attack is ranked near the bottom of the league, producing under 70 yards per game, and that lack of balance has made them predictable. Time of possession has been a glaring weakness, leaving the defense exhausted, and that has translated to giving up 33 points per game. Against a Buffalo team that thrives on sustaining drives and finishing in the red zone, these weaknesses loom even larger. The Dolphins must find a way to get early stops, limit turnovers, and break tendencies if they want to keep pace.
Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3: Miami Trends
Next in this Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3, we have the Miami trends:
- Over the course of their previous eight games, the Miami team has a record of 2 wins and 6 losses as calculated according to the aggregate total score.
- Over the course of their most recent six games, the Miami team has a straight-up record of 2 wins and 4 losses.
- The score has been 0-6 SU in the past six Miami vs. Buffalo matchups.
- The total has gone under in five of Miami’s most recent six away games.
- The score has been 0-9 in the last nine games that Miami has played versus Buffalo on the road, with Miami failing to win a single game.
- The Miami Dolphins have a record of 1-5 against the spread in their previous six matches against teams in the American Football Conference.
- In five consecutive games against a team in the American Football Conference East division, Miami’s total score has exceeded the amount needed to win five times.
- Over the course of its previous six games played in September, Miami has a record of 0–6 against the spread.
Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3: Miami Picks and Best Bets
- Best Bet: Dolphins team total UNDER – offense struggling mightily.
- ATS Lean: Dolphins unlikely to cover given 0-6 ATS vs Buffalo.
- Prop Angle: Fade Miami rushing yards, consistently bottom-five production.
Miami Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9/14/25
|
NE
|
L 33-27
|
L-2.5
|
O45.5
|
L-142
|
|
9/07/25
|
@IND
|
L 33-8
|
L+1.5
|
U45.5
|
L-104
|
|
1/05/25
|
@NYJ
|
L 32-20
|
L+1.5
|
O47
|
L+102
|
|
12/29/24
|
@CLE
|
W 20-3
|
W+2.0
|
U44.5
|
W+110
|
|
12/22/24
|
SF
|
W 29-17
|
W+1.0
|
U49
|
W-105
|
|
12/15/24
|
@HOU
|
L 20-12
|
L+2.5
|
U49.5
|
L+120
|
|
12/08/24
|
NYJ
|
W 32-26
|
W-2.0
|
O47.5
|
W-130
|
|
11/28/24
|
@GB
|
L 30-17
|
L+3.0
|
O46.5
|
L+140
|
|
11/24/24
|
NE
|
W 34-15
|
W-6.5
|
O45
|
W-265
|
|
11/17/24
|
LV
|
W 34-19
|
W-6.0
|
O47
|
W-250
|
Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3: Miami Offense
Overall
| MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.50 | 26 | Points Scored | 22 | 25.00 |
| 215.00 | 15 | Passing Yards | 1 | 124.00 |
| 69.50 | 29 | Rushing Yards | 31 | 169.00 |
| 23:46 | 32 | Time on Field | 1 | 23:25 |
| 49.00 | 31 | Number of Plays | 1 | 48.50 |
| 5.81 | 10 | Yards Per Play | 26 | 6.04 |
Scoring
| MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.50 | 26 | Points Scored | 22 | 25.00 |
| 0.00 | 29 | First Quarter | 7 | 1.50 |
| 7.00 | 16 | Second Quarter | 23 | 10.00 |
| 3.00 | 23 | Third Quarter | 28 | 7.00 |
| 7.50 | 16 | Fourth Quarter | 14 | 6.50 |
Passing
| MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215.00 | 15 | Passing Yards | 1 | 124.00 |
| 31.50 | 22 | Pass Attempts | 1 | 20.50 |
| 22.50 | 14 | Pass Completions | 1 | 12.00 |
| 4.00 | 30 | Sacks | 8 | 3.00 |
| 15.50 | 15 | Sack Yards | 25 | 22.00 |
| 9.56 | 20 | Yards Per Pass | 19 | 10.33 |
Rushing
| MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69.50 | 29 | Rushing Yards | 31 | 169.00 |
| 13.50 | 32 | Rush Attempts | 11 | 25.00 |
| 5.15 | 4 | Yards Per Rush | 32 | 6.76 |
Turn Overs
| MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 31 | Interceptions | 20 | 0.00 |
| 0.50 | 11 | Fumbles | 1 | 2.50 |
| 0.50 | 22 | Fumbles Lost | 3 | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | 28 | Total Turnovers | 12 | 1.00 |
| 6.50 | 14 | Penalties | 19 | 6.00 |
| 40.00 | 6 | Penalty Yards | 23 | 43.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:46 | 32 | Time on Field | 1 | 23:25 |
| 49.00 | 31 | Number of Plays | 1 | 48.50 |
| 5.81 | 10 | Yards Per Play | 26 | 6.04 |
| 1.50 | 2 | Punts | 4 | 5.00 |
| 43.33 | 29 | Punt Average | 19 | 49.23 |
| 195.00 | 3 | Return Yards | 31 | 179.00 |
Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3: Buffalo
Now in this Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3, we have the Buffalo betting preview.
On the other side, the Buffalo Bills look like one of the league’s most complete teams through two weeks. Josh Allen has been efficient and explosive, backed by a rushing game that’s producing top-tier results. Buffalo’s offense is not only putting up points, but doing so with balance, which makes them almost impossible to defend. Defensively, they’ve clamped down on opposing passing attacks, allowing just 124 yards through the air, the best in the NFL. Add in their dominant home-field advantage and track record against Miami, and the Bills come into Week 3 as clear favorites.
Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3: Buffalo Trends
Next in this Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3, we have the Buffalo trends:
- Over the course of their most recent five games, the Buffalo team has earned an ATS record of 4-1.
- The overall number of points scored in ten of Buffalo’s fourteen most recent games has been above average.
- In its most recent seventeen games, Buffalo has recorded a score of 14-3 SU.
- In the last six games between Miami and Buffalo, the total has gone OVER four times.
- Buffalo has a record of 11 wins and 0 losses in their most recent 11 home games.
- The Buffalo Sabres have a perfect record of 9 wins and 0 losses when they have played the Miami Hurricanes at home in their last nine games.
- Over the course of the past 13 contests played against an opponent from the American Football league league, Buffalo has had an OVER total in 10 of those games.
- In four of the six most recent Buffalo games against a team in the American Football Conference East division, the total has exceeded the prediction.
- The Buffalo Sabres have a record of six wins and two losses with one tied game in their previous eight matches played in September.
- In the past ten contests played during the third week of the season, Buffalo has a record of 8 wins and 2 losses with ties.
Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3: Buffalo Picks and Best Bets
- Best Bet: Bills spread – historical dominance at home vs Miami.
- Totals Play: Lean OVER – Buffalo’s offense should put up big points.
- Prop Angle: Josh Allen passing + rushing combined yards OVER.
Buffalo Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9/14/25
|
@NYJ
|
W 30-10
|
W-8.5
|
U44.5
|
W-380
|
|
9/07/25
|
BAL
|
W 41-40
|
L-1.5
|
O51.5
|
W-122
|
|
1/26/25
|
@KC
|
L 32-29
|
L+1.5
|
O48.5
|
L+102
|
|
1/19/25
|
BAL
|
W 27-25
|
W-1.0
|
O51.5
|
W-117
|
|
1/12/25
|
DEN
|
W 31-7
|
W-8.5
|
U47.5
|
W-440
|
|
1/05/25
|
@NE
|
L 23-16
|
L-3.5
|
U44.5
|
L-180
|
|
12/29/24
|
NYJ
|
W 40-14
|
W-2.5
|
O45.5
|
W-135
|
|
12/22/24
|
NE
|
W 24-21
|
L-7.5
|
O44.5
|
W-355
|
|
12/15/24
|
@DET
|
W 48-42
|
W+2.0
|
O50.5
|
W+114
|
|
12/08/24
|
@LAR
|
L 44-42
|
L-1.0
|
O48
|
L-115
|
Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3: Buffalo Offense
Overall
| MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.00 | 31 | Points Scored | 2 | 35.50 |
| 236.50 | 22 | Passing Yards | 4 | 284.00 |
| 139.00 | 25 | Rushing Yards | 2 | 166.00 |
| 36:14 | 32 | Time on Field | 1 | 36:35 |
| 62.50 | 16 | Number of Plays | 1 | 74.50 |
| 6.01 | 25 | Yards Per Play | 8 | 6.04 |
Scoring
| MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.00 | 31 | Points Scored | 2 | 35.50 |
| 7.50 | 29 | First Quarter | 2 | 8.50 |
| 10.00 | 27 | Second Quarter | 13 | 8.00 |
| 5.50 | 22 | Third Quarter | 11 | 4.50 |
| 10.00 | 23 | Fourth Quarter | 1 | 14.50 |
Passing
| MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236.50 | 22 | Passing Yards | 4 | 284.00 |
| 26.00 | 4 | Pass Attempts | 7 | 36.50 |
| 20.50 | 16 | Pass Completions | 9 | 24.00 |
| 2.00 | 20 | Sacks | 3 | 1.00 |
| 14.50 | 17 | Sack Yards | 32 | 3.00 |
| 11.54 | 27 | Yards Per Pass | 7 | 11.83 |
Rushing
| MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139.00 | 25 | Rushing Yards | 2 | 166.00 |
| 34.50 | 32 | Rush Attempts | 1 | 37.00 |
| 4.03 | 14 | Yards Per Rush | 11 | 4.49 |
Turn Overs
| MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | 26 | Interceptions | 3 | 0.00 |
| 0.50 | 24 | Fumbles | 14 | 1.00 |
| 0.00 | 26 | Fumbles Lost | 2 | 0.00 |
| 0.00 | 29 | Total Turnovers | 1 | 0.00 |
| 8.00 | 11 | Penalties | 6 | 5.50 |
| 60.00 | 12 | Penalty Yards | 13 | 53.50 |
Drives & Special Teams
| MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36:14 | 32 | Time on Field | 1 | 36:35 |
| 62.50 | 16 | Number of Plays | 1 | 74.50 |
| 6.01 | 25 | Yards Per Play | 8 | 6.04 |
| 1.00 | 32 | Punts | 13 | 3.50 |
| 68.00 | 32 | Punt Average | 30 | 41.13 |
| 121.00 | 14 | Return Yards | 15 | 131.00 |
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Dolphins vs Bills Predictions NFL Week 3, by YouWager.lv.