Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 12

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 12

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 12. The game is set for Sunday, November 24th, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.

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Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Odds

Here are the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Odds:

TEAM SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
PATRIOTS +7 +257 46 O
DOLPHINS -7 -335 46 U

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Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Trends

Here are the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting trends for both teams, but first, we have the head-to-head for both teams:

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting: Head-to-Head

Date Team Opp Close Result ATS/OU
Oct 6, 2024 Dolphins @Patriots -2 / 37 Won 15-10 Won / Under
Oct 29, 2023 Dolphins Patriots -7.5 / 46.5 Won 31-17 Won / Over
Sep 17, 2023 Dolphins @Patriots -2 / 46.5 Won 24-17 Won / Under
Jan 1, 2023 Dolphins @Patriots +3 / 41.5 Lost 21-23 Won / Over
Sep 11, 2022 Dolphins Patriots -3 / 46 Won 20-7 Won / Under
Jan 9, 2022 Dolphins Patriots +6.5 / 41 Won 33-24 Won / Over
Sep 12, 2021 Dolphins @Patriots +3.5 / 43.5 Won 17-16 Won / Under
Dec 20, 2020 Dolphins Patriots +1 / 40.5 Won 22-12 Won / Under
Sep 13, 2020 Dolphins @Patriots +7.5 / 41.5 Lost 11-21 Lost / Under
Dec 29, 2019 Dolphins @Patriots +17 / 45 Won 27-24 Won / Over

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Trends: New England

These are the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting trends for New England:

  • In their previous 9 games, New England is 3-6 ATS.
  • Four of New England’s last six games have gone OVER.
  • Last 10 games, New England is 2-8 SU.
  • New England is 0-8 ATS against Miami in their previous 8 games.
  • In their previous 8 games versus Miami, New England is 1-7 SU.
  • In their previous five road games, New England is 1-4 SU.
  • New England is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 away games versus Miami.
  • New England is 1-5 SU in its previous 6 games against an AFC opponent.
  • The Patriots are 6-12 ATS in their previous 18 games versus an AFC East opponent.
  • The total has been under in 5 of New England’s 6 November games.

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Trends: Miami

These are the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting trends for Miami:

  • In their previous 13 games, Miami is 4-9 ATS.
  • Miami has lost 10 of 15 games under the total.
  • Last 13 games, Miami is 4-9 SU.
  • Six of Miami’s last nine games versus New England have been under.
  • Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • Miami is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games versus New England.
  • Miami is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against an AFC opponent.
  • Miami has drawn the under in 4 of its last 5 games against an AFC East opponent.
  • Miami is 12-2 SU in 14 November games.
  • Seven of Miami’s previous 10 week 12 games have gone OVER.

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Prediction

Now, we have the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting prediction for both teams.

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Prediction: New England

This is the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting prediction for New England.

Several players have significant projections that could potentially impact the game’s dynamic as the New England Patriots prepare to face the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Drake Maye, the quarterback, is expected to have a satisfactory performance, as his anticipated completions indicate that the Dolphins’ defense will present a challenging but manageable challenge. He is expected to pass for approximately 188 yards and could potentially contribute an intriguing element with his mobility, as he is expected to rush for over 21 yards. This performance will be instrumental in establishing the tone for the Patriots’ offense. Rhamondre Stevenson is anticipated to be the frontrunner in the backfield, with an anticipated total of over 50 rushing yards. He will also make a significant contribution to the team’s receiving game, which will be crucial for the offensive attack to be balanced against the strong Dolphins defense.

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting: New England Injury Report

Pos Player Status
C David Andrews (Shoulder) Out
S Jabrill Peppers (Commissioner Exempt List) Out
DE Deatrich Wise Jr. (Foot) Questionable
OT Chukwuma Okorafor (Commissioner Exempt List) Out
LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (Pectoral) Out
OLB Oshane Ximines (Knee) Out
G Cole Strange (Undisclosed) Out
DT Jaquelin Roy (Neck) Questionable
C Jake Andrews (Undisclosed) Out
S Marte Mapu (Neck) Questionable
OT Caedan Wallace (Ankle) Out
LB Curtis Jacobs (Head) Questionable
WR JaQuae Jackson (Knee) Out

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Prediction: Miami

This is the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting prediction for Miami.

Tua Tagovailoa appears to be on the brink of a strong performance for the Miami Dolphins, as he is in possession of an impressive array of targets. There is a high probability that he will complete over 22 passes for a total of 257 yards, which indicates a highly active passing game. The aerial attack of the Dolphins will be essential, given the potential of Tyreek Hill to accumulate approximately 70 receiving yards, as well as the formidable receiving corps at his disposal. Projections indicate that De’Von Achane will be responsible for the majority of the rushing responsibilities on the ground, with an estimated 58 yards. His dual-threat capability is also evident in the passing game, where he has the potential to add an additional 37 yards through the air. This could be a critical factor in the diversification of Miami’s offensive playbook.

Given the team dynamics and projections, the Miami Dolphins are in a favorable position to leverage their home field advantage at Hard Rock Stadium. Their offensive lineup is robust, with a versatile running back corps and a purportedly sharp Tua Tagovailoa at the helm. This combination positions them for a potential victory. In contrast, the New England Patriots’ inability to consistently apply pressure to the opposition’s defense could prove to be a deciding factor. Consequently, the Dolphins are expected to capitalize on their strategic home-field preparation and offensive weaponry to secure a victory in this match-up, despite the fact that it is expected to be a closely contested affair.

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting: Miami Injury Report

Pos Player Status
CB Kendall Fuller (Concussion) Questionable
LB Bradley Chubb (Knee) Out
OL Isaiah Wynn (Undisclosed) Questionable
WR Braxton Berrios (Knee) Out
FB Alec Ingold (Calf) Questionable
QB Tyler Huntley (Right Shoulder) Out
OL Austin Jackson (Knee) Out
ILB Cam Brown (Knee) Out
LS Blake Ferguson (Personal) Out
WR Anthony Schwartz (Knee) Out
LB Jaelan Phillips (Knee) Out
OT Kion Smith (Knee) Out
LB Cameron Goode (Undisclosed) Out
TE Tanner Conner (Undisclosed) Out
WR Grant DuBose (Shoulder) Out
S Patrick McMorris (Foot) Questionable
WR Tahj Washington (Undisclosed) Out
LB Grayson Murphy (Knee) Out

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Picks

Next, we have the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting picks for this game.

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Pick: MoneyLine

First, we have the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting pick on the moneyline.

Our offensive power rankings place the Patriots at 25th place as they enter week 12. They rank 31st in yards per game with 281.2 and are 28th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 16.5. New England ranks 13th in passing attempts, but its passing yards per game average of 165.9 places it at the 30th position. They rank 21st in both rushing attempts and yards per game on the ground, with 115.3. The Patriots are 10th in red zone conversions, but they rank 24th in 3rd-down conversions with a 35.3% success rate.

In week 11, Drake Maye completed 30 of 40 passes for 282 yards and two touchdowns, while also throwing one interception. Kendrick Bourne was the team’s top receiver, with five receptions for 70 yards and a touchdown, while Rhamondre Stevenson amassed 73 rushing yards on 20 carries. In the fourth quarter, New England scored 9 points against the Rams, converting 6 of 14 third downs and 2 of 5 red zone attempts.

The Dolphins are present in the 21st position in our offensive power rankings as we approach week 12. They rank 22nd in both passing yards (197 per game) and total yards (319 per game), and they are 25th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 18.1 points per game. Miami ranks ninth in terms of rushing attempts and eleventh in terms of rushing yards, with an average of 122 per game. They are the ninth-ranked team in the NFL in terms of red zone conversion percentage and have been particularly effective on third down, converting 42.6% of their attempts.

In week 11, Tua Tagovailoa had a significant performance, completing 28 of 36 passes and throwing for 288 yards and 3 touchdowns without any interceptions. De’Von Achane was the team’s leading rusher, accumulating 73 yards on 17 carries, while Jonnu Smith accumulated 101 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Miami tallied 17 points against the Raiders in the fourth quarter.

  • Free MoneyLine Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Pick: MIAMI.

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Pick: Total

Next, we have the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting pick on the total.

The Patriots’ defense conceded four passing touchdowns and a significant play through the air in their 28-22 loss to the Rams, as the Rams averaged 10.9 yards per attempt. New England encountered difficulty in producing pressure, as they failed to accumulate a sack and suffered losses in the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. In spite of this, the Patriots performed admirably on third downs, allowing the Rams to convert only 25% of their efforts.

In total, the Patriots conceded 295 passing yards on 18 completions and 107 rushing yards on 24 attempts. One of the primary factors contributing to their defensive difficulties in this game was their inability to defend the huge play in the passing game…

The Dolphins’ defense conceded 328 total yards in their 34-19 victory over the Raiders. They effectively defended the run, allowing only 60 yards on 16 attempts. Nevertheless, Las Vegas was successful on third down, converting 57.1% of their attempts. Opposing quarterbacks completed 69.8% of their passes, while Miami’s defense conceded 268 passing yards. They were able to secure one interception and document three tackles.

Despite allowing two passing touchdowns, the Dolphins’ defense impeded the Raiders’ ability to establish the run, limiting them to 3.8 yards per rush. Miami also recorded more quarterback hits than Las Vegas, resulting in a positive differential of +2. However, they were unsuccessful in the tackles for loss competition.

  • Free Total Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Pick: UNDER.

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Pick: Spread

And now, we have the Patriots vs Dolphins Betting pick on the spread.

The Patriots are currently 3-8 as they enter week 12, following a 28-22 loss to the Rams in week 11. New England was unable to capitalize on their victory over the Bears in week 10, which ended a four-game losing streak. Despite being a +6 underdog in that contest, they emerged victorious by 16 points. This season, the Patriots have been underdogs in all of their contests and have a record of 4-6-1 against the spread.

New England currently occupies the 27th position in our power rankings, and their probability of qualifying for the postseason is a mere 0.2%. At present, they hold the fourth position in the AFC East, with a division record of 1-2. This season, the Patriots have a record of 2-4 on the road and 1-4 at home.

The Patriots have been 1-2 in their last three regular season contests. They have maintained a strong record against the spread in these matchups, with a 2-1 record and an over-under record of 1-2. The Patriots have averaged 13 points per game in their last five road contests, while they have allowed 21. In these contests, they had a 2-3 record against the spread and a 1-4 record straight up.

Miami has now won two consecutive games, including a 34-19 victory over the Raiders in week 11. The Miami Dolphins were 8-point favorites and successfully covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 4-6. They have scored in three consecutive meetings. Prior to this, they emerged victorious over the Rams 23-15 in week 10, despite being 2-point underdogs.

The Dolphins are currently 18th in our NFL power rankings and have a 4-6 record as they enter week 12. They have a 14.5% likelihood of qualifying for the postseason; however, their likelihood of winning the AFC East is 0.0%. Miami has a 1-2 record in the division and a 3-4 record in conference contests.

Miami has accumulated a 1-2 record in their most recent three regular season games. Their record against the spread during this period is 1-2, with an over/under of 3-0. Miami has a 3-2 record against the spread in their last five home games. Their average score in these contests was 15 points, and their overall record was 2-3.

  • Free Spread Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Pick: MIAMI.

FREE Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Picks

  • Free MoneyLine Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Pick: MIAMI.
  • Free Total Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Pick: UNDER.
  • Free Spread Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Pick: MIAMI.

 

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