Dolphins vs Bills Betting Trends, Odds, Prediction, NFL Week 9. The game is set for Sunday, November 3rd, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.

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Dolphins vs Bills Betting Odds

Here are the Dolphins vs Bills Betting Odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
DOLPHINS	+6	+222	50 O
BILLS	-6	-265	50 U

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Trends

Here are the Dolphins vs Bills Betting trends for both teams.

Dolphins vs. Bills Head-to-Head

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Trends: Miami

These are the Dolphins vs Bills Betting trends for Miami:

• Miami is 1-9 ATS in its last ten games.
• Seven of Miami’s previous nine games have had the total go UNDER.
• Miami is 1-5 SU in its previous six games.
• Miami is 0-5 SU in its previous five games versus Buffalo.
• The total has gone UNDER in four of Miami’s last five road games.
• Miami is 0-8 SU in its previous eight road games versus Buffalo.
• Miami is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents from the American Football Conference.
• The total has gone UNDER in four of Miami’s last five games against an American Football Conference East opponent.
• Miami is 10-1 SU over their last 11 games in November.

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Trends: Miami Player Prop Facts

Now in these Dolphins vs Bills Betting trends, we have the player prop facts for Miami.

• Raheem Mostert has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last seven November games.
• Raheem Mostert has at least 43 rushing and receiving yards in 20 of his last 21 regular-season games versus AFC opponents.
• Raheem Mostert has over 65 rushing yards in each of his last five November games against AFC opponents.
• Odell Beckham Jr. has amassed 73 or more receiving yards in each of his past nine November appearances as an underdog.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded at least 21 completions in each of the Dolphins’ last six November games against AFC opponents.
• Marcus Maye is just two interceptions away from reaching ten for his career.

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo

These are the Dolphins vs Bills Betting trends for Buffalo:

• Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
• Buffalo is 12-3 SU in its previous 15 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 13 of Buffalo’s last 20 meetings with Miami.
• The total has gone over in Buffalo’s last six home games.
• Buffalo is 8-0 SU in its previous eight home games against Miami.
• Buffalo is 10-3 SU in their previous 13 games against opponents from the American Football Conference.
• Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against teams from the American Football Conference East division.
• The total has gone UNDER in four of Buffalo’s previous five November games.
• Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 9.

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo Player Prop Facts

• James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six games.
• Curtis Samuel has averaged 19+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his previous five November games versus AFC opponents.
• Curtis Samuel has rushed for 10 or more yards in all four of his prior Week 9 home games.
• Josh Allen has two touchdowns in three of Buffalo’s last four Sunday games at Highmark Stadium.
• Josh Allen has at least 232 passing yards in ten of the Bills’ last eleven games at Highmark Stadium as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Dawson Knox has at least 17 receiving yards in each of his previous seven November appearances with the Bills as favorites.
• Josh Allen has thrown at least two touchdowns in 13 of the Bills’ last 14 games against the Dolphins.
• Josh Allen has had at least 21 completions in 10 of the Bills’ last 11 games at Highmark Stadium as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Rasul Douglas is one interception away from reaching 20 in his career (including playoffs).

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Prediction

Now, we have the Dolphins vs Bills Betting prediction for both teams.

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Prediction: Miami

This is the Dolphins vs Bills Betting prediction for Miami.

Miami began to experience a decline following a 20-17 victory over Jacksonville in their opener, as they suffered losses to the Bills, Seahawks, and Titans. The Dolphins would recoup with a 15-10 victory over the Patriots; however, they have since suffered losses to the Cardinals and Colts.

The Dolphins carried a 20-18 advantage into the fourth quarter of the Arizona game last weekend. Miami’s subsequent score was 10-7, resulting in a 28-27 loss. Tyreek Hill paced the receivers with six catches for 72 yards, while Tua Tagovailoa amassed 234 yards and one pass touchdown.

• Team:  The Dolphins’ ability to play on the East Coast when the weather changes has received a lot of attention—they don’t play another real East Coast game on the road until Week 17 (at Cleveland and New York to complete the season).
• QB: In his first game back, Tua Tagovailoa completed 28 passes, his highest total since Week 8 of last season.
• Offense: Miami averaged 5.9 yards per play on Sunday, their best mark since Week 1, when Tua Tagovailoa played the entire game. In weeks 2-7, they averaged only 4.4 yards per play.
• Defense: The average NFL team records a sack on 21.5% of dropbacks that generate pressure. Miami’s percentage through eight weeks is 12.3%, the second-lowest in the league (behind Atlanta).
• Fantasy: De’Von Achane generated 56.1% more than expected in QB1’s comeback; in the four games Tagovailoa missed, his rate was 39.1% lower.
• Betting: Miami covered 13 of Tua Tagovailoa’s first 19 starts, which occurred in November or later. Since then, they’ve gone 5-9 ATS in similar situations, including three straight losses (103-40).

Dolphins vs Bills Betting: Miami Injury

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Prediction: Buffalo

This is the Dolphins vs Bills Betting prediction for Buffalo.

The Buffalo Bills won their first three games this season, defeating the Cardinals, Dolphins, and Jaguars. Buffalo fell to the Ravens and Texans after that, but they’ve since defeated the Jets, Titans, and Seahawks.

The Bills defeated the Seahawks 31-10, scoring points in all four quarters. QB Josh Allen passed for 283 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. James Cook carried 17 times for 111 yards and two touchdowns of his own.

• Team: The Bills are coming off a stretch of four of five road games, with three of the next four in front of #BillsMafia (Chiefs in Week 11 and 49ers in Week 13).
• QB: In Week 2, James Cook ran for 78 yards and two touchdowns on 11 carries while the Bills had the ball for less than 24 minutes. For the first time in 14 career games versus the Dolphins, Josh Allen did not throw multiple touchdown passes due to a mix of factors.
• Offense: In Week 4’s blowout loss to the Ravens, the Bills scored a touchdown on 9.1% of their drives. They followed up with 16.7% in Week 5, 33.3% in Week 6, 36.4% in Week 7, and 40% in Seattle last week.
• Defense: Buffalo has the fifth-highest pressure rate when bringing the heat (48%), a strength they carried over from last season (47.3%).
• Fantasy: Including the playoffs, Allen has cleared 21 fantasy points in 11 of 14 career starts versus the Dolphins, five times exceeding 33 points (most recently in Week 3, 2023).
• Betting: Buffalo’s last three covers against the Dolphins have come in under the total.

Dolphins vs Bills Betting: Buffalo Injury List

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Picks

Next, we have the Dolphins vs Bills Betting picks for this game.

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Pick: MoneyLine

First, we have the Dolphins vs Bills Betting pick on the moneyline.

Heading into week 9, the Miami Dolphins rank 29th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 13.9 points per game, which is 31st in the NFL. They are 21st in passing yards per game (186.3) on 32.1 attempts per game. Miami has been strong in the red zone, converting 77.8% of their opportunities, which ranks 3rd in the league.

In week 8, Tua Tagovailoa threw for 234 yards and a touchdown, completing 28 of 38 passes. De’Von Achane rushed for 97 yards on 10 carries, while Tyreek Hill had 6 receptions for 72 yards. The Dolphins converted 11 of 15 third downs and scored on 3 of 4 red zone trips.

Buffalo heads into week 9 ranked 4th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 28.8 points per game, which is 5th in the NFL. They are 12th in rushing yards per game (122.2) and passing yards per game (214.2), despite ranking 24th in passing attempts. The Bills have struggled on 3rd down, ranking 20th with a 37% conversion rate, and they are 28th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 2nd in red zone attempts.

Josh Allen has been playing well, with a passer rating of 102 in week 8, throwing for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Seahawks. James Cook led the team in rushing with 111 yards on 17 carries, while Khalil Shakir had 9 receptions for 107 yards.

• Free MoneyLine Dolphins vs Bills Betting Pick: BUFFALO.

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Pick: Total

Now, we have the Dolphins vs Bills Betting pick for the total.

In their 28-27 loss to the Cardinals, the Dolphins’ defense gave up 307 passing yards and allowed Arizona to convert on 53.8% of their third down attempts. Miami’s defense struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and had a tackles for loss differential of -3. The Dolphins’ defense also gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed Arizona to complete 72.2% of their passes.

Miami did a decent job against the run, allowing just 82 yards on 26 attempts (3.2 yards per attempt). However, overall, the Dolphins allowed 389 total yards in the game.

Buffalo’s defense was dominant in their most recent game, holding the Seahawks to just 32 rushing yards on 17 attempts. The Bills’ secondary didn’t allow much in the passing game either, giving up just 201 yards through the air and allowing Seattle to convert only 14.3% of their third down attempts. They also kept Seattle out of the endzone, not allowing a single passing touchdown.

Their defensive front was effective as well, coming away with five more tackles for loss than Seattle and hitting the quarterback five more times than the Seahawks. Overall, the Bills gave up just 233 yards in their 31-10 victory over the Seahawks.

• Free Total Dolphins vs Bills Betting Pick: OVER.

Dolphins vs Bills Betting Pick: Spread

Next, we have Dolphins vs Bills Betting pick on the spread.

Heading into week 9, the Dolphins are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a narrow 28-27 loss to the Cardinals in week 8. Miami was a 4.5-point favorite at home but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 2-5. They now sit 25th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 7.4% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Dolphins are 1-6, with their only win coming in week 5, when they covered as 2-point favorites in a 15-10 victory over the Patriots. Their average scoring margin this season is -8.6 points per game, and their O/U record is 2-5, with their games averaging 36.3 points (43.6 O/U line).

Over their last three regular season games, the Dolphins have gone 1-2 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 1-2 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2. In their last five games away from home, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 10 points per game in this stretch.

With three straight wins, the Bills sit at 6-2 and hold the top spot in the AFC East. After a week 5 loss to the Texans, Buffalo bounced back with wins over the Jets, Titans, and Seahawks. They were favored by 3 points against Seattle in week 8 and easily covered the spread, winning 31-10.

Heading into week 9, our power rankings have the Bills 3rd in the NFL, and they have a 98.6% chance of winning the division. Buffalo is 5-3 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +10.5 points per game.

Buffalo will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 3-0 in those same games. In their last five home games, Buffalo has averaged 23 points per game while allowing 19. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.

• Free Spread Dolphins vs Bills Betting Pick: MIAMI.

 

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