Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction and Pick, Week 14, NFL Betting Picks
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction and Pick, Week 14, NFL Betting Picks. Place a bet on this game with the best odds.
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction
Now we have the Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction for both teams.
My Lions vs. Cowboys prediction is that the Dallas Cowboys will win because of the difficulties that Detroit’s defense has had against strong offenses and the injuries that have occurred on offense.
In terms of the Lions’ performance this season, there is a consistent pattern that can be observed: when the defense is there, the game is typically successful.
When the home team’s defense allows 24 points or fewer, Detroit has a record of 5-1. Aside from that, the team has a record of 2-4 in the state championship.
The Lions finished the season with a record of 0-4 against teams that started Week 13 rated 10th or higher in offensive DVOA. This was the case throughout the entire season.
The Cowboys offense is now in the process of cooking. Ever since Week 4, the team has only scored 23 points or fewer on a single occasion.
With the exception of Dallas’ performance in Week 13, the Cowboys entered the season ranked ninth in offensive DVOA. It is expected that this will continue against a Lions secondary that is injured.
In terms of EPA per dropback against man coverage, Dak Prescott is ranked higher than only four other quarterbacks. The product of Mississippi State University also leads the National Football League in yards against man coverage.
That coverage scheme is played by the Lions at a rate that is among the top 10 in the NFL.
During the previous week, the task became a great deal less difficult with regard to Dallas’ defensive matchup. It is anticipated that Amon-Ra St. Brown will be out of action for one to two weeks due to a knee injury.
Due to the fact that St. Brown has only missed two games over the course of the past three and a half seasons, this is a significant setback for the Lions’ offense.
The fact that Dallas’ defense performed exceptionally well against Kansas City is another thing that should not be overlooked. During the previous week, Dallas had a defensive success percentage of 42.4%, which included a 40% success rate versus the run.
From the first to the twelveth week, such percentages were 49.4 percent and 46.9 percent, respectively.
As a result of these considerations, I anticipate that Dallas will maintain its position on Thursday.
✅ Our Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Pick: LIONS
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction: Trends
- Over the past nine games, Dallas has a record of 6-3 against the spread.
- 7 out of Dallas’ most recent 9 games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last six games, Dallas has a winning percentage of 4-2 on the road.
- Dallas has a winning record of 6-1 against Detroit in its last seven meetings.
- Eight of Dallas’ past eleven games played away from home have resulted in the total going over.
- When playing on the road versus Detroit, Dallas has a record of 4-1 against the spread in its last five games.
- During the last 19 games that Dallas has played against teams that are members of the National Football Conference North division, the total has been over in 14 of those games.
- In its last twenty games played in December, Dallas has a cumulative record of 15-5.
- In the last five games that Dallas has played in week 14, the team has a winning record of 4-1 against the spread.
- Over the past five games, Detroit has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- In four of Detroit’s most recent five games, the total has been taken over.
- In its previous 20 games, Detroit has a winning percentage of 13-7.
- All nine of Detroit’s most recent twelve games against Dallas have resulted in the total going over.
- Over the course of its last 20 games played at home, Detroit has a winning record of 15-5.
- When playing at home versus Dallas, Detroit has a record of 2-5 against the spread in its last seven games.
- In the last 19 games that Detroit has played against an opponent from the National Football Conference, the team has a winning percentage of 14-5.
- During the past 17 games that Detroit has played against teams that are members of the National Football Conference East division, the total has been over in thirteen of those games.
- Six out of Detroit’s seven most recent games played in December have resulted in the total going over.
- After six games played in week 14, Detroit has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | Cowboys | Lions | +3.5 / 53.5 | Lost 9-47 | Lost / Over |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Cowboys | Lions | -4.5 / 53.5 | Won 20-19 | Lost / Under |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Cowboys | Lions | -7 / 49 | Won 24-6 | Won / Under |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Cowboys | @Lions | -7.5 / 46.5 | Won 35-27 | Won / Over |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Cowboys | Lions | -2.5 / 44 | Won 26-24 | Lost / Over |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Cowboys | @Lions | +6.5 / 47 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Cowboys | @Lions | +6 / 47.5 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Cowboys | Lions | -3 / 51 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Cowboys | @Lions | +2.5 / 46 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
| Nov 21, 2010 | Cowboys | @Lions | +5 / 47.5 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction: Dallas Injury List
N/A
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction: Detroit Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| WR | Kalif Raymond (Ankle) | Out |
| TE | Brock Wright (Neck) | Out |
| TE | Brock Wright (Ankle) | Questionable |
| TE | Sam LaPorta (Back) | Out |
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction: Dallas Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/27/25
|
KC
|
W 31-28
|
W+4.5
|
O47.5
|
W+166
|
|
11/23/25
|
PHI
|
W 24-21
|
W+4.5
|
U46.5
|
W+164
|
|
11/17/25
|
@LV
|
W 33-16
|
W-1.5
|
O45.5
|
W-120
|
|
11/03/25
|
ARI
|
L 27-17
|
L-1.5
|
U52.5
|
L-122
|
|
10/26/25
|
@DEN
|
L 44-24
|
L+4.5
|
O45.5
|
L+164
|
|
10/19/25
|
WAS
|
W 44-22
|
W+2.5
|
O48.5
|
W+110
|
|
10/12/25
|
@CAR
|
L 30-27
|
L-1.5
|
O46.5
|
L-120
|
|
10/05/25
|
@NYJ
|
W 37-22
|
W-1.5
|
O44.5
|
W-120
|
|
9/28/25
|
GB
|
W 40-40
|
W+1.5
|
O47.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/21/25
|
@CHI
|
L 31-14
|
L+3.0
|
U47.5
|
L+130
|
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction: Detroit Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/27/25
|
GB
|
L 31-24
|
L-2.5
|
O48.5
|
L-142
|
|
11/23/25
|
NYG
|
W 34-27
|
L-8.5
|
O45.5
|
W-375
|
|
11/16/25
|
@PHI
|
L 16-9
|
L+3.5
|
U47.5
|
L+150
|
|
11/09/25
|
@WAS
|
W 44-22
|
W+1.5
|
O49.5
|
W+102
|
|
11/02/25
|
MIN
|
L 27-24
|
L-4.5
|
O47.5
|
L-198
|
|
10/20/25
|
TB
|
W 24-9
|
W-4.5
|
U49.5
|
W-180
|
|
10/12/25
|
@KC
|
L 30-17
|
L+3.0
|
U48.5
|
L+130
|
|
10/05/25
|
@CIN
|
W 37-24
|
W-8.5
|
O50.5
|
W-120
|
|
9/28/25
|
CLE
|
W 34-10
|
W-10.5
|
U45.5
|
W-500
|
|
9/22/25
|
@BAL
|
W 38-30
|
W+3.5
|
O49.5
|
W+145
|
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction: Dallas Offense
Overall
| DAL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.25 | 2 | Points Scored | 15 | 22.83 |
| 271.25 | 1 | Passing Yards | 16 | 212.50 |
| 121.83 | 13 | Rushing Yards | 11 | 103.67 |
| 30:41 | 14 | Time on Field | 11 | 29:37 |
| 64.83 | 5 | Number of Plays | 14 | 61.00 |
| 6.06 | 3 | Yards Per Play | 12 | 5.18 |
Scoring
| DAL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.25 | 2 | Points Scored | 15 | 22.83 |
| 3.83 | 23 | First Quarter | 27 | 5.83 |
| 12.17 | 1 | Second Quarter | 15 | 6.50 |
| 5.75 | 7 | Third Quarter | 14 | 4.17 |
| 7.00 | 13 | Fourth Quarter | 15 | 6.33 |
Passing
| DAL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 271.25 | 1 | Passing Yards | 16 | 212.50 |
| 37.17 | 3 | Pass Attempts | 16 | 31.67 |
| 25.75 | 2 | Pass Completions | 9 | 19.25 |
| 1.42 | 3 | Sacks | 10 | 2.67 |
| 8.75 | 30 | Sack Yards | 20 | 17.00 |
| 10.53 | 13 | Yards Per Pass | 29 | 11.04 |
Rushing
| DAL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121.83 | 13 | Rushing Yards | 11 | 103.67 |
| 26.25 | 21 | Rush Attempts | 16 | 26.67 |
| 4.64 | 9 | Yards Per Rush | 5 | 3.89 |
Turn Overs
| DAL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 18 | Interceptions | 15 | 0.75 |
| 1.25 | 27 | Fumbles | 3 | 1.42 |
| 0.50 | 18 | Fumbles Lost | 26 | 0.33 |
| 1.25 | 20 | Total Turnovers | 19 | 1.08 |
| 7.83 | 30 | Penalties | 31 | 5.58 |
| 64.92 | 29 | Penalty Yards | 31 | 40.25 |
Drives & Special Teams
| DAL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:41 | 14 | Time on Field | 11 | 29:37 |
| 64.83 | 5 | Number of Plays | 14 | 61.00 |
| 6.06 | 3 | Yards Per Play | 12 | 5.18 |
| 2.92 | 3 | Punts | 8 | 4.00 |
| 48.15 | 11 | Punt Average | 21 | 47.82 |
| 126.75 | 17 | Return Yards | 20 | 136.25 |
Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction: Detroit Offense
Overall
| DAL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.50 | 31 | Points Scored | 3 | 29.17 |
| 251.50 | 30 | Passing Yards | 7 | 238.17 |
| 124.67 | 20 | Rushing Yards | 4 | 138.08 |
| 30:58 | 19 | Time on Field | 12 | 30:51 |
| 63.50 | 23 | Number of Plays | 16 | 61.58 |
| 5.92 | 28 | Yards Per Play | 2 | 6.11 |
Scoring
| DAL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.50 | 31 | Points Scored | 3 | 29.17 |
| 8.25 | 32 | First Quarter | 8 | 5.50 |
| 7.58 | 23 | Second Quarter | 4 | 9.42 |
| 4.17 | 13 | Third Quarter | 12 | 5.08 |
| 8.25 | 26 | Fourth Quarter | 4 | 8.58 |
Passing
| DAL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251.50 | 30 | Passing Yards | 7 | 238.17 |
| 34.42 | 21 | Pass Attempts | 18 | 31.83 |
| 23.42 | 28 | Pass Completions | 11 | 22.08 |
| 2.33 | 15 | Sacks | 12 | 2.17 |
| 18.00 | 24 | Sack Yards | 17 | 14.17 |
| 10.74 | 28 | Yards Per Pass | 10 | 10.78 |
Rushing
| DAL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.67 | 20 | Rushing Yards | 4 | 138.08 |
| 26.75 | 17 | Rush Attempts | 12 | 27.58 |
| 4.66 | 27 | Yards Per Rush | 2 | 5.01 |
Turn Overs
| DAL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.42 | 26 | Interceptions | 6 | 0.42 |
| 0.83 | 21 | Fumbles | 2 | 0.50 |
| 0.42 | 18 | Fumbles Lost | 2 | 0.25 |
| 0.83 | 26 | Total Turnovers | 2 | 0.67 |
| 8.50 | 1 | Penalties | 10 | 6.17 |
| 75.58 | 1 | Penalty Yards | 7 | 45.25 |
Drives & Special Teams
| DAL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:58 | 19 | Time on Field | 12 | 30:51 |
| 63.50 | 23 | Number of Plays | 16 | 61.58 |
| 5.92 | 28 | Yards Per Play | 2 | 6.11 |
| 3.42 | 18 | Punts | 18 | 3.58 |
| 46.15 | 9 | Punt Average | 24 | 45.73 |
| 133.92 | 17 | Return Yards | 23 | 117.50 |
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