Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Trends

  • Over the past six games, Troy has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
  • Out of Troy’s last five games, the total has been over in four of them.
  • In its last six games, Troy has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
  • In its previous seven games played away from home, Troy has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
  • Over the past seven games that Troy has played against an opponent from the Sun Belt conference, the total has been over in six of those contests.
  • Versus the spread, Troy has a perfect record of 7-0 in its last seven games versus teams that are in the East Division.
  • In its previous thirteen games played in November, Troy has a winning record of 11-2.
  • Overall, Troy has a record of 5-2 in its past seven games played in week 12.
  • The over/under record for Old Dominion’s previous six games is 2-4.
  • Eight of Old Dominion’s most recent twelve games have resulted in the total going over.
  • In its previous eight games, Old Dominion has a winning record of 6-2 against the spread.
  • At home, Old Dominion has a winning record of 4-1 in its previous five games.
  • During the last eight games that Old Dominion has played against teams from the Sun Belt conference, the total has been over in six of those games.
  • In the last six games that Old Dominion has played against opponents from the West Division, the team has a perfect 6-0 overall record.
  • During the month of November, Old Dominion has a record of 4-9 with a winning percentage.
  • In its past five games played in week 12, Old Dominion has a straight-up record of 4-1.

Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction

Now we have the Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction for both teams.

The Week 12 matchup between Troy and Old Dominion brings together two teams that have been trending in different ways despite both showing flashes of strong play within the Sun Belt. Troy has been one of the most consistent teams against the spread, covering in five of its last six games and six of its last seven on the road. The Trojans have also performed well against East Division opponents, boasting an impressive 7-0 record ATS in their last seven matchups. On the other side, Old Dominion enters this game with plenty of momentum after a convincing 31-6 win over ULM and a home record of 4-1 over their last five contests. While the Monarchs’ totals have leaned slightly toward the under in recent weeks, their overall body of work suggests they can still put up points against solid defenses. This game features a clash of strengths — Troy’s physicality and road-tested defense versus Old Dominion’s explosive offensive production, especially in the passing game. With both teams eyeing postseason positioning, this contest has major implications for the Sun Belt’s closing stretch, and both squads are capable of taking control if their strengths hold up under pressure.

For Troy, the recent offensive numbers might not jump off the page, but they’ve found ways to win with balance, discipline, and late-game execution. The Trojans are averaging 27 points per game, led by a steady passing attack that racks up just over 200 yards per contest. Their passing game has shown efficiency, with 11.8 yards per pass attempt ranking in the top half nationally, though the offensive line has struggled to protect the quarterback, allowing nearly four sacks per game. The run game has been inconsistent, averaging only 3.3 yards per carry, but the defense and special teams have often compensated by flipping field position — Troy ranks third in the nation in punt average at 48.3 yards. Defensively, Troy remains one of the most well-coached units in the conference, giving up only 24 points per game and holding opponents under 200 passing yards per outing. Their ability to tighten up in the red zone and play smart, physical football has been a defining trait during their 5-1 stretch against the spread. If Troy’s defense can contain Old Dominion’s ground attack and pressure their quarterback effectively, the Trojans have a strong chance to control tempo and pull out another Sun Belt road win.

Old Dominion, meanwhile, comes into this matchup with confidence and an offense firing on all cylinders. The Monarchs are averaging 31.9 points per game and over 450 yards of total offense, led by one of the most explosive passing attacks in the conference at nearly 250 yards per game and 15.4 yards per completion. Their rushing attack has been equally impressive, ranking 20th nationally at 202 yards per game, giving them a balanced look that can attack defenses in multiple ways. The defense has quietly been improving, allowing just 23.4 points per game and forcing opponents into longer, grinding drives. Their 6-2 record against the spread in their last eight games shows how often they’ve exceeded expectations. The key for Old Dominion will be avoiding turnovers — they’ve struggled with ball security, averaging more than two per game — and protecting their quarterback against a Troy defense that loves to bring pressure. If they can sustain drives and get an early rhythm going through the air, they could force Troy into a shootout, which would favor the Monarchs’ high-octane offense. Given their recent home dominance and balanced offensive production, Old Dominion looks ready to make a statement in this pivotal Sun Belt clash.

Our CFB Week 12 Pick: OLD DOMINION

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Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Head to Head

N/A

Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Troy Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
L 23-10
L-5.5
U55.5
L-205
10/25/25
W 35-23
W-8.5
O50.5
W-320
10/18/25
W 37-14
W-5.5
O46.5
W-250
10/11/25
W 48-41
W+10.0
O53.5
W+310
10/04/25
W 31-24
W-3.0
O47.5
W-152
9/20/25
W 21-17
W+6.5
U43.5
W+190
9/13/25
L 28-7
L+6.5
U51.5
L+198
9/06/25
L 27-16
W+33.5
U51.5
L+4000
8/30/25
W 38-20
L-22.5
O50.5
W-2300
11/30/24
W 52-20
W-15.5
O48.5
W-880

Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Old Dominion Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
W 31-6
W-13.5
U51.5
W-580
10/25/25
W 24-21
L-13.5
U58.5
W-480
10/18/25
L 63-27
L-1.5
O50.5
L-111
10/11/25
L 48-24
L-12.5
O55.5
L-490
10/04/25
W 47-7
W-14.0
U54.5
W-1050
9/27/25
W 21-7
W-10.0
U50.5
W-645
9/13/25
W 45-26
W+9.5
O49.5
W+270
9/06/25
W 54-6
W-18.5
O50.5
W-1200
8/30/25
L 27-14
W+23.5
U53
L+1100
11/30/24
W 40-32
W-2.0
O58.5
W-166

Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Troy Offense

Overall

TROY Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ODU Defense
27.00 75 Points Scored 61 23.44
203.11 96 Passing Yards 35 193.56
121.11 111 Rushing Yards 107 173.89
29:43 71 Time on Field 129 33:03
65.78 81 Number of Plays 120 71.67
4.93 120 Yards Per Play 41 5.13

Scoring

TROY Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ODU Defense
27.00 75 Points Scored 61 23.44
4.22 111 First Quarter 27 3.11
7.11 93 Second Quarter 32 5.67
4.11 112 Third Quarter 111 7.22
10.00 13 Fourth Quarter 97 7.44

Passing

TROY Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ODU Defense
203.11 96 Passing Yards 35 193.56
29.33 84 Pass Attempts 53 29.67
17.22 100 Pass Completions 52 18.11
3.78 134 Sacks 30 2.56
24.11 5 Sack Yards 99 16.44
11.79 68 Yards Per Pass 28 10.69

Rushing

TROY Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ODU Defense
121.11 111 Rushing Yards 107 173.89
36.44 60 Rush Attempts 131 42.00
3.32 125 Yards Per Rush 74 4.14

Turn Overs

TROY Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ODU Defense
0.89 100 Interceptions 54 0.89
0.78 34 Fumbles 47 1.22
0.33 32 Fumbles Lost 5 1.00
1.22 75 Total Turnovers 16 1.89
5.67 45 Penalties 11 7.78
54.67 70 Penalty Yards 9 68.78

Drives & Special Teams

TROY Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ODU Defense
29:43 71 Time on Field 129 33:03
65.78 81 Number of Plays 120 71.67
4.93 120 Yards Per Play 41 5.13
4.33 84 Punts 46 4.78
48.35 3 Punt Average 51 41.93
69.89 32 Return Yards 132 93.00

Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Old Dominion Offense

Overall

TROY Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ODU Offense
24.11 67 Points Scored 50 31.89
195.56 37 Passing Yards 47 249.78
161.11 91 Rushing Yards 20 202.00
30:16 73 Time on Field 132 26:22
64.89 44 Number of Plays 102 64.33
5.50 70 Yards Per Play 9 7.02

Scoring

TROY Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ODU Offense
24.11 67 Points Scored 50 31.89
8.11 121 First Quarter 10 9.33
5.33 26 Second Quarter 53 9.56
6.67 105 Third Quarter 47 6.89
4.00 17 Fourth Quarter 82 6.11

Passing

TROY Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ODU Offense
195.56 37 Passing Yards 47 249.78
26.22 12 Pass Attempts 114 26.44
17.22 37 Pass Completions 113 16.22
2.56 32 Sacks 42 1.44
15.33 87 Sack Yards 110 7.44
11.35 75 Yards Per Pass 5 15.40

Rushing

TROY Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ODU Offense
161.11 91 Rushing Yards 20 202.00
38.67 106 Rush Attempts 45 37.89
4.17 76 Yards Per Rush 15 5.33

Turn Overs

TROY Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ODU Offense
0.78 65 Interceptions 115 1.00
0.89 101 Fumbles 134 2.00
0.67 42 Fumbles Lost 136 1.22
1.44 50 Total Turnovers 135 2.22
5.78 83 Penalties 76 6.44
46.56 99 Penalty Yards 77 56.44

Drives & Special Teams

TROY Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ODU Offense
30:16 73 Time on Field 132 26:22
64.89 44 Number of Plays 102 64.33
5.50 70 Yards Per Play 9 7.02
4.11 91 Punts 51 3.67
41.27 26 Punt Average 113 40.59
45.78 62 Return Yards 118 35.33

 

All NFL Week 12 Predictions

 

 

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