Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction and Pick, Week 12
Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Trends
- Over the past six games, Troy has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
- Out of Troy’s last five games, the total has been over in four of them.
- In its last six games, Troy has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
- In its previous seven games played away from home, Troy has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
- Over the past seven games that Troy has played against an opponent from the Sun Belt conference, the total has been over in six of those contests.
- Versus the spread, Troy has a perfect record of 7-0 in its last seven games versus teams that are in the East Division.
- In its previous thirteen games played in November, Troy has a winning record of 11-2.
- Overall, Troy has a record of 5-2 in its past seven games played in week 12.
- The over/under record for Old Dominion’s previous six games is 2-4.
- Eight of Old Dominion’s most recent twelve games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its previous eight games, Old Dominion has a winning record of 6-2 against the spread.
- At home, Old Dominion has a winning record of 4-1 in its previous five games.
- During the last eight games that Old Dominion has played against teams from the Sun Belt conference, the total has been over in six of those games.
- In the last six games that Old Dominion has played against opponents from the West Division, the team has a perfect 6-0 overall record.
- During the month of November, Old Dominion has a record of 4-9 with a winning percentage.
- In its past five games played in week 12, Old Dominion has a straight-up record of 4-1.
Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction
Now we have the Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction for both teams.
The Week 12 matchup between Troy and Old Dominion brings together two teams that have been trending in different ways despite both showing flashes of strong play within the Sun Belt. Troy has been one of the most consistent teams against the spread, covering in five of its last six games and six of its last seven on the road. The Trojans have also performed well against East Division opponents, boasting an impressive 7-0 record ATS in their last seven matchups. On the other side, Old Dominion enters this game with plenty of momentum after a convincing 31-6 win over ULM and a home record of 4-1 over their last five contests. While the Monarchs’ totals have leaned slightly toward the under in recent weeks, their overall body of work suggests they can still put up points against solid defenses. This game features a clash of strengths — Troy’s physicality and road-tested defense versus Old Dominion’s explosive offensive production, especially in the passing game. With both teams eyeing postseason positioning, this contest has major implications for the Sun Belt’s closing stretch, and both squads are capable of taking control if their strengths hold up under pressure.
For Troy, the recent offensive numbers might not jump off the page, but they’ve found ways to win with balance, discipline, and late-game execution. The Trojans are averaging 27 points per game, led by a steady passing attack that racks up just over 200 yards per contest. Their passing game has shown efficiency, with 11.8 yards per pass attempt ranking in the top half nationally, though the offensive line has struggled to protect the quarterback, allowing nearly four sacks per game. The run game has been inconsistent, averaging only 3.3 yards per carry, but the defense and special teams have often compensated by flipping field position — Troy ranks third in the nation in punt average at 48.3 yards. Defensively, Troy remains one of the most well-coached units in the conference, giving up only 24 points per game and holding opponents under 200 passing yards per outing. Their ability to tighten up in the red zone and play smart, physical football has been a defining trait during their 5-1 stretch against the spread. If Troy’s defense can contain Old Dominion’s ground attack and pressure their quarterback effectively, the Trojans have a strong chance to control tempo and pull out another Sun Belt road win.
Old Dominion, meanwhile, comes into this matchup with confidence and an offense firing on all cylinders. The Monarchs are averaging 31.9 points per game and over 450 yards of total offense, led by one of the most explosive passing attacks in the conference at nearly 250 yards per game and 15.4 yards per completion. Their rushing attack has been equally impressive, ranking 20th nationally at 202 yards per game, giving them a balanced look that can attack defenses in multiple ways. The defense has quietly been improving, allowing just 23.4 points per game and forcing opponents into longer, grinding drives. Their 6-2 record against the spread in their last eight games shows how often they’ve exceeded expectations. The key for Old Dominion will be avoiding turnovers — they’ve struggled with ball security, averaging more than two per game — and protecting their quarterback against a Troy defense that loves to bring pressure. If they can sustain drives and get an early rhythm going through the air, they could force Troy into a shootout, which would favor the Monarchs’ high-octane offense. Given their recent home dominance and balanced offensive production, Old Dominion looks ready to make a statement in this pivotal Sun Belt clash.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: OLD DOMINION
Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Head to Head
N/A
Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Troy Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
|
L 23-10
|
L-5.5
|
U55.5
|
L-205
|
|
10/25/25
|
ULL
|
W 35-23
|
W-8.5
|
O50.5
|
W-320
|
|
10/18/25
|
|
W 37-14
|
W-5.5
|
O46.5
|
W-250
|
|
10/11/25
|
@TXST
|
W 48-41
|
W+10.0
|
O53.5
|
W+310
|
|
10/04/25
|
SAB
|
W 31-24
|
W-3.0
|
O47.5
|
W-152
|
|
9/20/25
|
@BUF
|
W 21-17
|
W+6.5
|
U43.5
|
W+190
|
|
9/13/25
|
MEM
|
L 28-7
|
L+6.5
|
U51.5
|
L+198
|
|
9/06/25
|
@CLE
|
L 27-16
|
W+33.5
|
U51.5
|
L+4000
|
|
8/30/25
|
|
W 38-20
|
L-22.5
|
O50.5
|
W-2300
|
|
11/30/24
|
USM
|
W 52-20
|
W-15.5
|
O48.5
|
W-880
|
Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Old Dominion Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
|
W 31-6
|
W-13.5
|
U51.5
|
W-580
|
|
10/25/25
|
APP
|
W 24-21
|
L-13.5
|
U58.5
|
W-480
|
|
10/18/25
|
@JM
|
L 63-27
|
L-1.5
|
O50.5
|
L-111
|
|
10/11/25
|
@MSH
|
L 48-24
|
L-12.5
|
O55.5
|
L-490
|
|
10/04/25
|
CC
|
W 47-7
|
W-14.0
|
U54.5
|
W-1050
|
|
9/27/25
|
LIB
|
W 21-7
|
W-10.0
|
U50.5
|
W-645
|
|
9/13/25
|
@VT
|
W 45-26
|
W+9.5
|
O49.5
|
W+270
|
|
9/06/25
|
NCC
|
W 54-6
|
W-18.5
|
O50.5
|
W-1200
|
|
8/30/25
|
@IU
|
L 27-14
|
W+23.5
|
U53
|
L+1100
|
|
11/30/24
|
|
W 40-32
|
W-2.0
|
O58.5
|
W-166
|
Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Troy Offense
Overall
| TROY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ODU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.00 | 75 | Points Scored | 61 | 23.44 |
| 203.11 | 96 | Passing Yards | 35 | 193.56 |
| 121.11 | 111 | Rushing Yards | 107 | 173.89 |
| 29:43 | 71 | Time on Field | 129 | 33:03 |
| 65.78 | 81 | Number of Plays | 120 | 71.67 |
| 4.93 | 120 | Yards Per Play | 41 | 5.13 |
Scoring
| TROY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ODU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.00 | 75 | Points Scored | 61 | 23.44 |
| 4.22 | 111 | First Quarter | 27 | 3.11 |
| 7.11 | 93 | Second Quarter | 32 | 5.67 |
| 4.11 | 112 | Third Quarter | 111 | 7.22 |
| 10.00 | 13 | Fourth Quarter | 97 | 7.44 |
Passing
| TROY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ODU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.11 | 96 | Passing Yards | 35 | 193.56 |
| 29.33 | 84 | Pass Attempts | 53 | 29.67 |
| 17.22 | 100 | Pass Completions | 52 | 18.11 |
| 3.78 | 134 | Sacks | 30 | 2.56 |
| 24.11 | 5 | Sack Yards | 99 | 16.44 |
| 11.79 | 68 | Yards Per Pass | 28 | 10.69 |
Rushing
| TROY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ODU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121.11 | 111 | Rushing Yards | 107 | 173.89 |
| 36.44 | 60 | Rush Attempts | 131 | 42.00 |
| 3.32 | 125 | Yards Per Rush | 74 | 4.14 |
Turn Overs
| TROY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ODU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | 100 | Interceptions | 54 | 0.89 |
| 0.78 | 34 | Fumbles | 47 | 1.22 |
| 0.33 | 32 | Fumbles Lost | 5 | 1.00 |
| 1.22 | 75 | Total Turnovers | 16 | 1.89 |
| 5.67 | 45 | Penalties | 11 | 7.78 |
| 54.67 | 70 | Penalty Yards | 9 | 68.78 |
Drives & Special Teams
| TROY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ODU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:43 | 71 | Time on Field | 129 | 33:03 |
| 65.78 | 81 | Number of Plays | 120 | 71.67 |
| 4.93 | 120 | Yards Per Play | 41 | 5.13 |
| 4.33 | 84 | Punts | 46 | 4.78 |
| 48.35 | 3 | Punt Average | 51 | 41.93 |
| 69.89 | 32 | Return Yards | 132 | 93.00 |
Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction: Old Dominion Offense
Overall
| TROY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ODU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.11 | 67 | Points Scored | 50 | 31.89 |
| 195.56 | 37 | Passing Yards | 47 | 249.78 |
| 161.11 | 91 | Rushing Yards | 20 | 202.00 |
| 30:16 | 73 | Time on Field | 132 | 26:22 |
| 64.89 | 44 | Number of Plays | 102 | 64.33 |
| 5.50 | 70 | Yards Per Play | 9 | 7.02 |
Scoring
| TROY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ODU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.11 | 67 | Points Scored | 50 | 31.89 |
| 8.11 | 121 | First Quarter | 10 | 9.33 |
| 5.33 | 26 | Second Quarter | 53 | 9.56 |
| 6.67 | 105 | Third Quarter | 47 | 6.89 |
| 4.00 | 17 | Fourth Quarter | 82 | 6.11 |
Passing
| TROY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ODU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.56 | 37 | Passing Yards | 47 | 249.78 |
| 26.22 | 12 | Pass Attempts | 114 | 26.44 |
| 17.22 | 37 | Pass Completions | 113 | 16.22 |
| 2.56 | 32 | Sacks | 42 | 1.44 |
| 15.33 | 87 | Sack Yards | 110 | 7.44 |
| 11.35 | 75 | Yards Per Pass | 5 | 15.40 |
Rushing
| TROY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ODU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161.11 | 91 | Rushing Yards | 20 | 202.00 |
| 38.67 | 106 | Rush Attempts | 45 | 37.89 |
| 4.17 | 76 | Yards Per Rush | 15 | 5.33 |
Turn Overs
| TROY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ODU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 65 | Interceptions | 115 | 1.00 |
| 0.89 | 101 | Fumbles | 134 | 2.00 |
| 0.67 | 42 | Fumbles Lost | 136 | 1.22 |
| 1.44 | 50 | Total Turnovers | 135 | 2.22 |
| 5.78 | 83 | Penalties | 76 | 6.44 |
| 46.56 | 99 | Penalty Yards | 77 | 56.44 |
Drives & Special Teams
| TROY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ODU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:16 | 73 | Time on Field | 132 | 26:22 |
| 64.89 | 44 | Number of Plays | 102 | 64.33 |
| 5.50 | 70 | Yards Per Play | 9 | 7.02 |
| 4.11 | 91 | Punts | 51 | 3.67 |
| 41.27 | 26 | Punt Average | 113 | 40.59 |
| 45.78 | 62 | Return Yards | 118 | 35.33 |
All NFL Week 12 Predictions
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