Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Trends

  • Over the past ten games, Toledo has a record of 7-3 against the spread.
  • The over/under record for Toledo’s last seven games versus Miami-Ohio is 5-2.
  • With Miami-Ohio, Toledo has a winning record of 5-2 in its last seven games.
  • On the road, Toledo has a losing record of 0-5 in its last five games.
  • Over the course of its last 20 games versus teams from the Mid-American conference, Toledo has a win-loss record of 13-7.
  • In Toledo’s last seven games against opponents from the East Division, the team has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
  • All four of Toledo’s most recent six games played in November have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • Each of Toledo’s last eight games played in week 12 has resulted in the total going over seven times.
  • Over the past six games, Miami-Ohio has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
  • In its last six games, Miami-Ohio has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
  • There have been six of Miami-Ohio’s last nine games against Toledo in which the total has been UNDER.
  • In its previous nine games played at home, Miami-Ohio has a winning record of 8-1 against the spread.
  • When it comes to its most recent 13 games versus teams from the Mid-American conference, Miami-Ohio has a winning record of 11-2.
  • Versus the spread, Miami-Ohio has a record of 6-1 in its previous seven games versus teams that are in the West Division division.
  • Seven of Miami-Ohio’s most recent nine games played in November have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • Out of the six games that Miami-Ohio has played in week 12, the total has been UNDER in five of those games.
  • In its last ten games played on Wednesdays, Miami-Ohio has a record of 8-2 against the bet.

Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction

Now we have the Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction for both teams.

This Week 12 MAC matchup between the Toledo Rockets and the Miami (Ohio) RedHawks is shaping up to be one of the most compelling games of the season, with both teams still jockeying for position atop their respective divisions. Toledo enters the game boasting one of the most balanced offenses in the conference, averaging 32.9 points per game and ranking among the top 40 nationally in both passing and rushing production. The Rockets have shown the ability to light up the scoreboard, with multiple 40-point performances this year, but they’ve also been inconsistent on the road, failing to win any of their last five away games. That’s a concern against a Miami team that has been nearly unbeatable at home, both straight up and against the spread. History tells us these games tend to be tight — six of the last nine matchups have gone under the total, and the last three have all been decided by 10 points or fewer. With both programs fielding top-50 defenses and plenty of motivation down the stretch, this clash could come down to who protects the ball and executes better in the fourth quarter.

For Toledo, this matchup represents a chance to reestablish themselves as the premier program in the MAC West. Offensively, the Rockets are dynamic and efficient, ranking 31st in yards per play and top-40 in total offense. Quarterback play has been a strength, as Toledo averages over 259 passing yards per game, complemented by a ground attack that racks up nearly 180 yards. However, their road struggles are glaring — they’ve gone 0-5 in their last five away contests and often fail to match their usual scoring output outside the Glass Bowl. On defense, the Rockets are elite, ranking 9th nationally in points allowed (14.6) and 4th in pass defense, surrendering just 142.5 yards per game through the air. That combination of a balanced offense and shutdown defense makes them dangerous in any setting, but discipline remains a concern. Toledo ranks near the bottom nationally in penalty yards, averaging over 70 per game, something that could easily swing momentum in a close contest. If the Rockets can stay composed and establish the run early, their offensive versatility could be enough to overcome a hostile environment in Oxford.

Miami (Ohio), meanwhile, has been one of the most consistent programs in the MAC all season long, covering the spread in five of their last six games and holding an impressive 8-1 ATS record at home. The RedHawks rely heavily on their defense, which ranks 42nd nationally in scoring, giving up just 21.7 points per game, and they’ve been especially tough against the run, limiting opponents to 124.7 yards per game. Offensively, Miami doesn’t flash the same explosiveness as Toledo, but their efficiency and control-oriented style are their calling cards. They average 25.3 points per game behind a balanced attack that features 199 passing yards and 160 on the ground. Quarterback consistency and time of possession — they average just over 31 minutes per game — have allowed Miami to wear down opponents late, especially at home. Historically, they’ve also performed well in November and during midweek MACtion, going 8-2 ATS in their last ten Wednesday games. If they can force Toledo into third-and-long situations and keep the game low-scoring, Miami’s formula of defense and patience could pay off once again.

Our CFB Week 12 Pick: MIAMI OHIO

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Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/05/24
TOL 30-20
TOL-9.5
O43.5
TOL-345
12/02/23
MOH 23-14
TOL-9.0
U46.5
TOL-350
10/21/23
TOL 21-17
MOH+1.0
U49.5
MOH-112

Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Toledo Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/05/25
W 42-3
W-13.5
O42.5
W-650
10/25/25
L 28-7
L-1.5
U49.5
L+106
10/18/25
W 45-10
W-23.5
O51.5
W-3500
10/11/25
L 28-23
L-7.0
O49.5
L-345
9/27/25
W 45-3
W-21.0
U48.5
W-2000
9/20/25
L 14-13
L-13.5
U51.5
L-430
9/13/25
W 60-0
W-35.5
O50.5
W-30000
9/06/25
W 45-21
W-4.5
O61.5
W-196
8/30/25
L 24-16
W+11.5
U48.5
L+315
12/26/24
W 48-46
W+9.5
O51.5
W+260

Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Miami Ohio Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/04/25
L 24-20
L+3.5
U50.5
L+132
10/25/25
W 26-17
W-3.5
U43.5
W-162
10/18/25
W 44-30
W-11.5
O47.5
W-525
10/11/25
W 20-7
W-9.5
U45.5
W-420
10/04/25
W 25-14
W-1.5
U39.5
W-156
9/27/25
W 38-0
W-20.5
U49.5
W-1400
9/20/25
L 41-38
W+4.5
O51.5
L+152
9/06/25
L 45-17
L+15.5
O48.5
L+400
8/28/25
L 17-0
L+16.5
U41.5
L+680
12/28/24
W 43-17
W-3.5
O42.5
W-166

Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Toledo Offense

Overall

TOL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank M-OH Defense
32.89 38 Points Scored 42 21.67
259.44 33 Passing Yards 45 202.89
178.56 44 Rushing Yards 36 124.78
31:06 37 Time on Field 12 27:11
69.11 39 Number of Plays 68 66.22
6.34 31 Yards Per Play 25 4.95

Scoring

TOL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank M-OH Defense
32.89 38 Points Scored 42 21.67
7.33 42 First Quarter 18 2.67
13.78 3 Second Quarter 47 6.44
6.89 49 Third Quarter 12 2.67
4.89 114 Fourth Quarter 132 9.89

Passing

TOL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank M-OH Defense
259.44 33 Passing Yards 45 202.89
32.11 53 Pass Attempts 108 33.33
21.33 37 Pass Completions 62 18.67
1.11 24 Sacks 11 2.89
8.78 102 Sack Yards 109 17.78
12.16 54 Yards Per Pass 38 10.87

Rushing

TOL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank M-OH Defense
178.56 44 Rushing Yards 36 124.78
37.00 53 Rush Attempts 33 32.89
4.83 34 Yards Per Rush 46 3.79

Turn Overs

TOL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank M-OH Defense
0.67 63 Interceptions 25 1.11
0.78 33 Fumbles 108 0.78
0.22 18 Fumbles Lost 103 0.33
0.89 23 Total Turnovers 46 1.44
8.11 134 Penalties 121 4.67
71.89 133 Penalty Yards 131 31.78

Drives & Special Teams

TOL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank M-OH Defense
31:06 37 Time on Field 12 27:11
69.11 39 Number of Plays 68 66.22
6.34 31 Yards Per Play 25 4.95
5.00 110 Punts 56 4.67
40.83 109 Punt Average 8 39.42
75.00 19 Return Yards 120 79.22

Toledo vs Miami Ohio Prediction: Miami Ohio Offense

Overall

TOL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank M-OH Offense
14.56 9 Points Scored 85 25.33
142.56 4 Passing Yards 98 199.22
91.22 8 Rushing Yards 61 160.22
28:38 34 Time on Field 38 31:05
60.56 16 Number of Plays 130 60.78
3.86 2 Yards Per Play 56 5.91

Scoring

TOL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank M-OH Offense
14.56 9 Points Scored 85 25.33
3.00 26 First Quarter 107 4.22
3.78 10 Second Quarter 101 6.56
1.44 4 Third Quarter 59 6.33
6.33 67 Fourth Quarter 39 8.22

Passing

TOL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank M-OH Offense
142.56 4 Passing Yards 98 199.22
25.33 3 Pass Attempts 124 24.78
12.89 2 Pass Completions 124 14.11
2.00 73 Sacks 22 1.11
15.33 86 Sack Yards 123 5.89
11.06 55 Yards Per Pass 11 14.12

Rushing

TOL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank M-OH Offense
91.22 8 Rushing Yards 61 160.22
35.22 69 Rush Attempts 63 36.00
2.59 5 Yards Per Rush 58 4.45

Turn Overs

TOL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank M-OH Offense
0.78 64 Interceptions 77 0.78
1.11 63 Fumbles 3 0.44
0.67 41 Fumbles Lost 15 0.22
1.44 49 Total Turnovers 37 1.00
4.89 116 Penalties 62 6.11
38.56 121 Penalty Yards 73 55.78

Drives & Special Teams

TOL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank M-OH Offense
28:38 34 Time on Field 38 31:05
60.56 16 Number of Plays 130 60.78
3.86 2 Yards Per Play 56 5.91
7.22 1 Punts 81 4.33
41.23 25 Punt Average 94 41.80
42.33 54 Return Yards 56 61.22

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