Bengals vs Steelers Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Bengals vs Steelers Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.
Bengals vs Steelers Prediction
Now we have the Bengals vs Steelers Prediction for both teams.
The Week 11 AFC North showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers brings yet another chapter to one of the NFL’s most physical rivalries. These two teams are no strangers to close, hard-fought contests, and their recent meetings have proven that games between them often come down to a single possession. In their latest clash earlier this season, Cincinnati edged out Pittsburgh 33-31 in a thrilling shootout, but the Bengals have struggled mightily since then, losing five of their last six games. Meanwhile, the Steelers have played more consistent football, winning four of their last six and keeping pace in the AFC playoff race. Both teams have offensive firepower, but they’ve shown it in different ways—Cincinnati leans on Joe Burrow’s arm despite inconsistent protection, while Pittsburgh has relied on a more balanced attack led by a revitalized ground game and a defense that can create game-changing turnovers. With so much history and playoff positioning on the line, this matchup isn’t just another divisional game—it’s a must-win for both sides fighting to stay relevant in a crowded AFC landscape.
The Bengals’ recent struggles tell a story of an offense that simply can’t stay on the field long enough to sustain drives. Ranked 32nd in time of possession and 26th in total plays per game, Cincinnati’s offense has been forced into quick possessions far too often, leaving their defense gassed. Despite that, Burrow continues to put up solid numbers, averaging over 200 passing yards per game, though his protection has been spotty. The Bengals rank near the bottom in rushing offense at just 82.9 yards per game, making them one-dimensional and easier to defend. Defensively, the story is even more concerning—they allow over 31 points per game, with opponents gouging them both on the ground and through the air. Their run defense ranks dead last in the NFL, giving up 151.9 yards per game, and their secondary has struggled to contain big plays. While Burrow has the weapons to light up any defense on his best days, the lack of balance and defensive breakdowns have made it difficult for Cincinnati to close out tight games, something that could cost them again here.
The Steelers, on the other hand, come into this matchup with growing confidence and momentum. After a shaky start to the year, their offense has found its footing, averaging 25 points per game and showing better rhythm behind an improving offensive line. Quarterback Kenny Pickett hasn’t been perfect, but he’s done a solid job protecting the ball and spreading it around. Pittsburgh’s run game has shown life as well, averaging just over 94 yards per game, while their defense remains opportunistic, ranking in the top half of the league in takeaways. The biggest advantage Pittsburgh brings into this game is its defensive front. Against a Bengals offensive line that has struggled to keep Burrow upright, the Steelers’ pass rush could dictate the pace early and often. Pittsburgh’s ability to pressure the quarterback and capitalize on turnovers could be the deciding factor, especially at home where they tend to play their best football. If the Steelers can establish balance and control the clock, they’re in prime position to avenge their earlier loss to Cincinnati and make a statement in the division race.
✅ Our Bengals vs Steelers Pick: STEELERS
Bengals vs Steelers Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/16/25
|
@CIN
|
CIN 33-31
|
CIN-4.5
|
O46.5
|
CIN-205
|
|
1/04/25
|
@PIT
|
CIN 19-17
|
PIT+0.5
|
U45.5
|
PIT-108
|
|
12/01/24
|
@CIN
|
PIT 44-38
|
CIN-5.0
|
O44.5
|
CIN-218
|
|
12/23/23
|
@PIT
|
PIT 34-11
|
PIT+2.5
|
O39.5
|
PIT+110
|
|
11/26/23
|
@CIN
|
PIT 16-10
|
CIN-4.5
|
U41.5
|
CIN-200
|
|
11/20/22
|
@PIT
|
CIN 37-30
|
PIT+3.0
|
O45
|
PIT+120
|
|
9/11/22
|
@CIN
|
PIT 23-20
|
CIN-6.0
|
U44.5
|
CIN-240
|
|
11/28/21
|
@CIN
|
CIN 41-10
|
CIN+3.0
|
O46
|
CIN-200
|
|
9/26/21
|
@PIT
|
CIN 24-10
|
PIT-2.5
|
U42.5
|
PIT-145
|
|
12/21/20
|
@CIN
|
CIN 27-17
|
CIN+14.5
|
O40.5
|
CIN+670
|
Bengals vs Steelers Prediction: Cincinnati Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/02/25
|
CHI
|
L 47-42
|
L-3.0
|
O48.5
|
L-162
|
|
10/26/25
|
NYJ
|
L 39-38
|
L-7.5
|
O45.5
|
L-340
|
|
10/16/25
|
PIT
|
W 33-31
|
L-4.5
|
O46.5
|
W-205
|
|
10/12/25
|
@GB
|
L 27-18
|
L+2.5
|
U48.5
|
L+120
|
|
10/05/25
|
DET
|
L 37-24
|
L+8.5
|
O50.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/29/25
|
@DEN
|
L 28-3
|
L+1.5
|
U44.5
|
L+110
|
|
9/21/25
|
@MIN
|
L 48-10
|
L+1.5
|
O47.5
|
L+102
|
|
9/14/25
|
JAC
|
W 31-27
|
L-5.5
|
O49.5
|
W-225
|
|
9/07/25
|
@CLE
|
W 17-16
|
L-5.5
|
U45.5
|
W-240
|
|
1/04/25
|
@PIT
|
W 19-17
|
W-0.5
|
U45.5
|
W-112
|
Bengals vs Steelers Prediction: Pittsburgh Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/02/25
|
IND
|
W 27-20
|
W-3.5
|
O44.5
|
W-175
|
|
10/26/25
|
GB
|
L 35-25
|
L+1.5
|
O44.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
10/16/25
|
@CIN
|
L 33-31
|
W+4.5
|
O46.5
|
L+170
|
|
10/12/25
|
CLE
|
W 23-9
|
W-6.5
|
U42.5
|
W-278
|
|
9/28/25
|
MIN
|
W 24-21
|
W+2.5
|
O41.5
|
W+114
|
|
9/21/25
|
@NE
|
W 21-14
|
W+1.5
|
U43.5
|
W+102
|
|
9/14/25
|
SEA
|
L 31-17
|
L-1.5
|
O43.5
|
L-122
|
|
9/07/25
|
@NYJ
|
W 34-32
|
L-3.0
|
O39.5
|
W-172
|
|
1/11/25
|
@BAL
|
L 28-14
|
L+8.5
|
U46.5
|
L+360
|
|
1/04/25
|
CIN
|
L 19-17
|
L+0.5
|
U45.5
|
L-108
|
Bengals vs Steelers Prediction: Cincinnati Offense
Overall
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PIT Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.75 | 21 | Points Scored | 22 | 25.00 |
| 202.00 | 21 | Passing Yards | 32 | 273.29 |
| 82.88 | 31 | Rushing Yards | 18 | 112.71 |
| 26:59 | 32 | Time on Field | 31 | 32:28 |
| 57.38 | 26 | Number of Plays | 32 | 68.43 |
| 4.97 | 25 | Yards Per Play | 24 | 5.64 |
Scoring
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PIT Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.75 | 21 | Points Scored | 22 | 25.00 |
| 3.38 | 21 | First Quarter | 12 | 3.71 |
| 5.88 | 22 | Second Quarter | 11 | 5.71 |
| 4.25 | 18 | Third Quarter | 10 | 3.86 |
| 8.25 | 7 | Fourth Quarter | 32 | 11.71 |
Passing
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PIT Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202.00 | 21 | Passing Yards | 32 | 273.29 |
| 35.75 | 7 | Pass Attempts | 31 | 39.14 |
| 22.75 | 8 | Pass Completions | 32 | 26.43 |
| 2.38 | 18 | Sacks | 6 | 3.14 |
| 14.25 | 15 | Sack Yards | 26 | 20.14 |
| 8.88 | 26 | Yards Per Pass | 24 | 10.34 |
Rushing
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PIT Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.88 | 31 | Rushing Yards | 18 | 112.71 |
| 19.25 | 32 | Rush Attempts | 16 | 26.14 |
| 4.31 | 17 | Yards Per Rush | 17 | 4.31 |
Turn Overs
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PIT Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | 27 | Interceptions | 15 | 0.71 |
| 0.88 | 12 | Fumbles | 9 | 1.29 |
| 0.38 | 14 | Fumbles Lost | 7 | 0.71 |
| 1.38 | 23 | Total Turnovers | 8 | 1.43 |
| 5.00 | 1 | Penalties | 28 | 5.57 |
| 33.63 | 1 | Penalty Yards | 25 | 49.43 |
Drives & Special Teams
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PIT Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26:59 | 32 | Time on Field | 31 | 32:28 |
| 57.38 | 26 | Number of Plays | 32 | 68.43 |
| 4.97 | 25 | Yards Per Play | 24 | 5.64 |
| 4.63 | 29 | Punts | 29 | 2.86 |
| 52.80 | 1 | Punt Average | 14 | 47.46 |
| 127.88 | 14 | Return Yards | 30 | 159.14 |
Bengals vs Steelers Prediction: Pittsburgh Offense
Overall
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PIT Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.63 | 32 | Points Scored | 13 | 25.00 |
| 256.00 | 30 | Passing Yards | 19 | 202.86 |
| 151.88 | 32 | Rushing Yards | 25 | 94.29 |
| 33:00 | 32 | Time on Field | 31 | 27:31 |
| 65.50 | 28 | Number of Plays | 32 | 54.86 |
| 6.23 | 32 | Yards Per Play | 16 | 5.42 |
Scoring
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PIT Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.63 | 32 | Points Scored | 13 | 25.00 |
| 5.25 | 22 | First Quarter | 11 | 5.71 |
| 10.88 | 31 | Second Quarter | 9 | 7.71 |
| 6.38 | 25 | Third Quarter | 26 | 3.43 |
| 9.13 | 27 | Fourth Quarter | 8 | 8.14 |
Passing
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PIT Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256.00 | 30 | Passing Yards | 19 | 202.86 |
| 33.75 | 20 | Pass Attempts | 23 | 30.00 |
| 23.00 | 24 | Pass Completions | 20 | 20.57 |
| 1.38 | 29 | Sacks | 9 | 1.71 |
| 7.25 | 1 | Sack Yards | 24 | 11.57 |
| 11.13 | 30 | Yards Per Pass | 21 | 9.86 |
Rushing
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PIT Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151.88 | 32 | Rushing Yards | 25 | 94.29 |
| 30.38 | 30 | Rush Attempts | 28 | 23.14 |
| 5.00 | 28 | Yards Per Rush | 22 | 4.07 |
Turn Overs
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PIT Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | 6 | Interceptions | 19 | 0.71 |
| 0.38 | 29 | Fumbles | 11 | 0.86 |
| 0.13 | 27 | Fumbles Lost | 5 | 0.14 |
| 1.13 | 16 | Total Turnovers | 10 | 0.86 |
| 7.13 | 17 | Penalties | 6 | 6.00 |
| 58.13 | 11 | Penalty Yards | 5 | 45.43 |
Drives & Special Teams
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PIT Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33:00 | 32 | Time on Field | 31 | 27:31 |
| 65.50 | 28 | Number of Plays | 32 | 54.86 |
| 6.23 | 32 | Yards Per Play | 16 | 5.42 |
| 3.00 | 25 | Punts | 12 | 3.29 |
| 45.47 | 7 | Punt Average | 19 | 47.33 |
| 164.38 | 32 | Return Yards | 16 | 126.43 |
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
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