Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Prediction and Pick Week 5, 2025
Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Prediction Week 5, 2025. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.
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The Week 5 matchup between the Miami Dolphins and the Carolina Panthers sets up as an intriguing battle between two inconsistent but competitive teams.
Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Prediction
The betting trends point to this game potentially going over the total, as both teams have shown a tendency for higher-scoring outcomes in recent matchups. Miami’s defensive struggles against the run, combined with Carolina’s fourth-quarter scoring strength, suggest the Panthers could find late points to keep things close. However, Miami’s ability to win against the spread against Carolina historically cannot be ignored, especially with their 5-1 ATS stretch heading into this game. Ultimately, while Carolina may keep this tight for a half, Miami’s more explosive playmaking should tilt the game in their favor when it matters most.
Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Prediction: Head to Head
Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 15, 2023 | Dolphins | Panthers | -14 / 47.5 | Won 42-21 | Won / Over |
Nov 28, 2021 | Dolphins | Panthers | +1.5 / 41.5 | Won 33-10 | Won / Over |
Aug 17, 2018 | Dolphins | @Panthers | +3 / 42 | Lost 20-27 | Lost / Over |
Nov 13, 2017 | Dolphins | @Panthers | +8 / 38.5 | Lost 21-45 | Lost / Over |
Aug 22, 2015 | Dolphins | Panthers | -1.5 / 40.5 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Nov 24, 2013 | Dolphins | @Panthers | -4.5 / 40 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Aug 17, 2012 | Dolphins | Panthers | -3.5 / 38 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Aug 19, 2011 | Dolphins | @Panthers | +6 / 34 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
Nov 19, 2009 | Dolphins | Panthers | -3.5 / 42 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Aug 22, 2009 | Dolphins | @Panthers | +2.5 / 33.5 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Prediction: Miami
Miami enters with a recent win over the Jets but continues to battle offensive inconsistency, ranking in the bottom third in both passing and rushing production. Despite those struggles, the Dolphins do have a historical edge against Carolina, covering six of their last eight head-to-head contests. Road woes, however, loom large for Miami, as they have dropped four of their last five away games and continue to rank poorly in early-game scoring.
Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Prediction: Miami Trends
- Out of Miami’s last five games, the total has been over in four of them.
- In its last five games, Miami has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- The over/under record for Miami’s previous eight games versus Carolina is 7-1.
- In its last eight games versus Carolina, Miami has a winning record of 6-2 against the spread.
- In its last six games played away from home, Miami has a winning percentage of 1-5.
- Over the course of the last six games that Miami has played against teams from the National Football Conference, the total has been under in four of those games.
- There have been six out of the seven games that Miami has played against teams that are in the National Football Conference South division in which the total has been above.
- The over/under record for Miami’s previous seven games played on Sundays is 2-5.
- Over the course of its last six games, Miami has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
Miami Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/29/25
|
NYJ
|
W 27-21
|
W-5.5
|
O44.5
|
W-230
|
9/18/25
|
@BUF
|
L 31-21
|
L+8.5
|
O48.5
|
L+300
|
9/14/25
|
NE
|
L 33-27
|
L-2.5
|
O45.5
|
L-142
|
9/07/25
|
@IND
|
L 33-8
|
L+1.5
|
U45.5
|
L-104
|
1/05/25
|
@NYJ
|
L 32-20
|
L+1.5
|
O47
|
L+102
|
12/29/24
|
@CLE
|
W 20-3
|
W+2.0
|
U44.5
|
W+110
|
12/22/24
|
SF
|
W 29-17
|
W+1.0
|
U49
|
W-105
|
12/15/24
|
@HOU
|
L 20-12
|
L+2.5
|
U49.5
|
L+120
|
12/08/24
|
NYJ
|
W 32-26
|
W-2.0
|
O47.5
|
W-130
|
11/28/24
|
@GB
|
L 30-17
|
L+3.0
|
O46.5
|
L+140
|
Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Prediction: Miami Offense
Overall
MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | CAR Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
20.75 | 21 | Points Scored | 19 | 23.75 |
188.25 | 22 | Passing Yards | 12 | 198.25 |
98.00 | 27 | Rushing Yards | 23 | 129.25 |
26:38 | 30 | Time on Field | 3 | 27:38 |
53.25 | 30 | Number of Plays | 4 | 56.25 |
5.38 | 16 | Yards Per Play | 28 | 5.82 |
Scoring
MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | CAR Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
20.75 | 21 | Points Scored | 19 | 23.75 |
2.50 | 28 | First Quarter | 17 | 5.00 |
7.00 | 16 | Second Quarter | 31 | 12.00 |
5.00 | 13 | Third Quarter | 9 | 3.50 |
6.25 | 18 | Fourth Quarter | 3 | 3.25 |
Passing
MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | CAR Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
188.25 | 22 | Passing Yards | 12 | 198.25 |
30.50 | 21 | Pass Attempts | 9 | 29.25 |
21.00 | 17 | Pass Completions | 5 | 18.25 |
2.00 | 15 | Sacks | 32 | 0.50 |
7.75 | 28 | Sack Yards | 1 | 2.25 |
8.96 | 24 | Yards Per Pass | 29 | 10.86 |
Rushing
MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | CAR Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
98.00 | 27 | Rushing Yards | 23 | 129.25 |
20.75 | 31 | Rush Attempts | 19 | 26.50 |
4.72 | 8 | Yards Per Rush | 27 | 4.88 |
Turn Overs
MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | CAR Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
1.00 | 27 | Interceptions | 6 | 1.00 |
1.00 | 17 | Fumbles | 30 | 0.25 |
0.25 | 11 | Fumbles Lost | 19 | 0.25 |
1.25 | 20 | Total Turnovers | 10 | 1.25 |
6.25 | 12 | Penalties | 5 | 8.25 |
44.25 | 6 | Penalty Yards | 7 | 66.50 |
Drives & Special Teams
MIA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | CAR Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
26:38 | 30 | Time on Field | 3 | 27:38 |
53.25 | 30 | Number of Plays | 4 | 56.25 |
5.38 | 16 | Yards Per Play | 28 | 5.82 |
2.75 | 5 | Punts | 26 | 2.75 |
47.45 | 16 | Punt Average | 18 | 48.65 |
165.00 | 6 | Return Yards | 7 | 108.00 |
Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Prediction: Carolina
For the Panthers, their story has been one of volatility. After posting a dominant 30-0 win over Atlanta, Carolina followed up with a blowout loss to New England, highlighting just how unpredictable this team can be. Their offense has serious limitations, ranking 26th in both points per game and rushing yards, and their passing production hasn’t been much better. Still, they have been a strong bet at home, covering in six of their last seven contests, which could give them the edge if Miami stumbles early. The Panthers’ defense, though inconsistent, has enough talent to keep this game competitive against Miami’s shaky offensive line.
Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Prediction: Carolina Trends
- Carolina is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
- In six of Carolina’s most recent eight games, the total has been higher than the point spread.
- In its last 11 games, Carolina has a winning percentage of 3-8.
- In four of Carolina’s last six games versus Miami, the total has been higher than the point spread.
- In its previous seven games played at home, Carolina has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
- When it comes to its most recent five games versus opponents from the American Football Conference, Carolina has a losing record of 0-5 for the season.
- During its most recent five games against teams from the American Football Conference East division, Carolina had a record of 0-5 against the spread.
- During the month of October, Carolina has a record of 1-8 against the spread.
- There have been 14 of Carolina’s last 19 games played on a Sunday that have resulted in the total going over.
- When Carolina has been the underdog in a game, the total has gone over in 13 of the last 18 games that they have played.
Carolina Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/28/25
|
@NE
|
L 42-13
|
L+3.5
|
O45.5
|
L+145
|
9/21/25
|
ATL
|
W 30-0
|
W-1.5
|
U46.5
|
W-120
|
9/14/25
|
@ARI
|
L 27-22
|
L+4.5
|
O46.5
|
L+164
|
9/07/25
|
@JAC
|
L 26-10
|
L+2.5
|
U46.5
|
L+120
|
1/05/25
|
@ATL
|
W 44-38
|
W+6.5
|
O45.5
|
W+225
|
12/29/24
|
@TB
|
L 48-14
|
L+4.5
|
O43.5
|
L+170
|
12/22/24
|
ARI
|
W 36-30
|
W+1.0
|
O45.5
|
W-102
|
12/15/24
|
DAL
|
L 30-14
|
L+6.5
|
P44
|
L+225
|
12/08/24
|
@PHI
|
L 22-16
|
W+7.0
|
U45
|
L+250
|
12/01/24
|
TB
|
L 26-23
|
L+2.0
|
O44
|
L+105
|
Dolphins vs Panthers Betting Prediction: Carolina Offense
Overall
MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | CAR Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
29.50 | 26 | Points Scored | 26 | 18.75 |
220.75 | 20 | Passing Yards | 21 | 189.00 |
158.00 | 30 | Rushing Yards | 26 | 100.25 |
33:21 | 30 | Time on Field | 4 | 32:21 |
59.75 | 12 | Number of Plays | 9 | 64.50 |
6.34 | 30 | Yards Per Play | 27 | 4.48 |
Scoring
MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | CAR Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
29.50 | 26 | Points Scored | 26 | 18.75 |
5.50 | 23 | First Quarter | 15 | 4.75 |
7.50 | 22 | Second Quarter | 32 | 0.75 |
6.25 | 29 | Third Quarter | 20 | 4.00 |
10.25 | 28 | Fourth Quarter | 6 | 9.25 |
Passing
MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | CAR Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
220.75 | 20 | Passing Yards | 21 | 189.00 |
26.75 | 5 | Pass Attempts | 4 | 37.50 |
20.75 | 17 | Pass Completions | 6 | 23.00 |
2.00 | 22 | Sacks | 6 | 1.50 |
14.50 | 15 | Sack Yards | 17 | 13.75 |
10.64 | 25 | Yards Per Pass | 27 | 8.22 |
Rushing
MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | CAR Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
158.00 | 30 | Rushing Yards | 26 | 100.25 |
31.00 | 31 | Rush Attempts | 20 | 25.50 |
5.10 | 29 | Yards Per Rush | 23 | 3.93 |
Turn Overs
MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | CAR Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
0.00 | 30 | Interceptions | 19 | 0.75 |
1.50 | 8 | Fumbles | 14 | 1.00 |
0.75 | 8 | Fumbles Lost | 26 | 0.75 |
0.75 | 21 | Total Turnovers | 22 | 1.50 |
8.00 | 10 | Penalties | 5 | 5.50 |
64.00 | 10 | Penalty Yards | 10 | 50.50 |
Drives & Special Teams
MIA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | CAR Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
33:21 | 30 | Time on Field | 4 | 32:21 |
59.75 | 12 | Number of Plays | 9 | 64.50 |
6.34 | 30 | Yards Per Play | 27 | 4.48 |
1.50 | 32 | Punts | 8 | 3.00 |
52.50 | 32 | Punt Average | 25 | 45.58 |
139.00 | 18 | Return Yards | 27 | 105.50 |
Our Pick: Dolphins ML & lean Over
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