Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction, Odds, Trends, NFL Week 8
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction, Odds, Trends, NFL Week 8. The game is set for Sunday, October 27th, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.
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Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Odds
Here are the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Odds:
TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
FALCONS | -2.5 | -145 | 45.5 O |
BUCCANEERS | +2.5 | +125 | 45.5 U |
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Trends
Here are the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting trends:
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction
Here is the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction for both teams:
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction: Atlanta
Here is the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction for Atlanta.
The Atlanta Falcons are currently fifteenth in the NFL in terms of touchdowns per game and seventh in terms of yards per game this season. While they rank 16th in terms of rushing yards per game, they are fifth in terms of passing yards per game this year. For the Falcons, Kirk Cousins is the driving force. This year, he has completed 162 of 242 passes, accumulating 1,830 yards. This year, he has accumulated seven interceptions and ten touchdowns.
Drake London has been the Falcons’ primary target. London has recorded 44 receptions on 62 targets, resulting in 491 yards and five touchdowns. Additionally, Darnell Mooney has performed exceptionally this year. This year, he has made 32 receptions, accumulating 414 yards and three touchdowns. Lastly, Kyle Pitts has 25 receptions for 328 yards and a touchdown this year. Bijan Robinson has been the pioneer in the sprinting game. This year, he has accumulated 483 yards and four touchdowns on 103 carries. Tyler Allgeier has also demonstrated consistent performance this year. He has recorded 56 carries for 319 yards and a touchdown this season.
This season, the Falcons are situated at the 17th position in opponent yards per game and the 22nd position in opponent points per game in the NFL. This year, they rank 24th in terms of rushing defense, but they are 13th in terms of passing defense. This year, the Falcons have encountered difficulty in obtaining the quarterback. They have only recorded six sacks this year, with Grady Jarrett and Matthew Judon heading the way with a mere 1.5 sacks each. Jarrett has five tackles for a loss, while Judon has two and two pass breakups.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Trends: Atlanta
Here are the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting trends for Atlanta:
- Last season, the Falcons were winless (0-3) when they rushed less than 25 times, which was the second-worst performance in the NFL. The league average was.276.
- The Falcons have a 2-8 record (.200) against the best 10 run defenses since the 2023 season, which is the third-worst in the NFL. The league average is.460.
- The Falcons have a 2-8 record (.200) against the best 10 run defenses since the 2023 season, which is the third-worst in the NFL. The league average is.460.
- This season, the Falcons have gone 3-1 (.750) when they have not lost a fumble, which is the seventh-best record in the NFL. The league average is.574.
- The Falcons’ tight ends have averaged 71.3 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season, which is the second-best average in the NFL. Since the 2023 season, the Buccaneers have permitted an average of 63.5 receiving yards per game to tight ends, which is the lowest in the NFL.
- 9.1% of the Falcons’ drives last week resulted in a three-and-out, which is the third-best rate in the NFL. Last week, the Buccaneers generated three-and-outs on 10% of their opponents’ drives, which ranks them as the fourth-worst team in the NFL.
- The Falcons’ tight ends have averaged 71.3 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season, which is the second-best average in the NFL. Since the 2023 season, the Buccaneers have permitted an average of 63.5 receiving yards per game to tight ends, which is the lowest in the NFL.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting: Atlanta Offense
Now in this Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting prediction, let’s analyze the Atlanta offense:
- Last season, the Falcons targeted wide receivers (39% of the time) (209 pass attempts/530 plays), which was the lowest in the NFL. The league average was 57%.
- Since the 2023 season, the Falcons have targeted wide receivers (47% of the time) (366 pass attempts/774 plays), which is the lowest in the NFL; the league average is 57%.
- The Falcons have achieved the highest average epa per play in the NFL this season when facing a significant rush; the league average is -0.14.
- Last season, the Falcons made the most turnovers in the red zone in the NFL, with six.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting: Atlanta Defense
Next in this Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting prediction, let’s take a look at the Atlanta defense:
- This season, the Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 37.5 pass attempts (225 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks), which is the lowest attempts per sack rate in the NFL; the league average is 13.8.
- In Week 7, the Falcons’ offenses threw deep balls on 28% of pass attempts (8/29) — the greatest percentage in the NFL; the league average is 12%.
- In Week 7, the Falcons’ offenses threw deep balls on 28% of pass attempts (8/29) — the greatest percentage in the NFL; the league average is 12%.
- In Week 7, the Falcons’ offenses threw deep balls on 28% of pass attempts (8/29) — the greatest percentage in the NFL; the league average is 12%.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting: Atlanta Injury List
Now in this Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting prediction, we have the injury list for Atlanta:
Pos | Player | Status |
---|---|---|
S | Justin Simmons (Hamstring) | Doubtful |
CB | Antonio Hamilton Sr. (Back) | Questionable |
OLB | Lorenzo Carter (Concussion) | Out |
S | Micah Abernathy (Knee) | Out |
DB | Harrison Hand (Knee) | Out |
WR | Rondale Moore (Knee) | Out |
OL | Drew Dalman (Ankle) | Out |
OL | Ryan Neuzil (Knee) | Questionable |
ILB | Troy Andersen (Knee) | Out |
S | DeMarcco Hellams (Ankle) | Ou |
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay
Here is the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction for Tampa Bay.
While the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are fifth in the NFL in terms of yards per game, they are fourth in terms of points per game this year. They rank eighth in terms of rushing yards per game and seventh in terms of passing yards per game. Baker Mayfield controls the Buccaneers’ offense. This year, he has completed 70.5 percent of his passes, accumulating 1,859 yards. Additionally, this year, he has thrown 18 touchdown passes and thrown seven interceptions. This year, he has been the subject of 20 dismissals. Additionally, Mayfield has scored two rushing touchdowns this season.
Nevertheless, the recipient game may encounter difficulties in this instance. Chris Godwin and Mike Evans will be absent. That being said, the offense is deficient in 76 receptions, 911 yards, and 11 touchdowns. Cade Otton remains the primary target. Otton has 27 receptions for 263 yards and one touchdown. Meanwhile, Sterling Shepard is the most prominent receiver. However, Jalen McMillan has six receptions for 74 yards, while he has only eight receptions for 93 yards. They both have one touchdown. Bucky Irving is the leader of the running attack. He has amassed 351 yards and scored three touchdowns on the ground. Additionally, he has 13 receptions for 124 yards. Lastly, Rachaas White has accumulated 227 yards on 61 carries.
When it comes to opponent points per game, the Buccaneers are 28th in the NFL, and they are 31st in opponent yards per game. They rank 29th against the pass and 19th against the blitz. LaVonte David is the pioneer. This year, he has recorded three sacks, four tackles for a loss, four pass breakups, an interception, and two forced fumbles. In addition, Zyon McCollum has excelled, recording ten pass breakups, two interceptions, and a forced fumble.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Trends: Tampa Bay
Here are the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting trends for Tampa Bay:
- Last season, the Buccaneers were winless (0-5) when they committed two or more turnovers, which was the second-worst record in the NFL. The league average was.293.
- Since the 2023 season, the Buccaneers have maintained an undefeated record (6-0) when they have permitted less than 200 passing yards. This is the second-best record in the NFL, with a league average of.585.
- The Buccaneers were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season, which is the second-worst record in the NFL. The league average is.148.
- Since the 2023 season, the Buccaneers have been winless (0-9) when trailing at the conclusion of the third quarter — the second-worst record in the NFL; the league average is.142.
- This season, the Buccaneers have the T-best third-down conversion rate in the NFL, at 50.0%. This season, the Falcons defense has permitted a third-down conversion rate of 46.7%, which is the fourth-worst in the NFL.
- This season, the Buccaneers have achieved the highest success rate in the NFL by running 56.0% of their plays against a base rush. This season, the Falcons have permitted their opponents to achieve success on 48.3% of plays with a base rush, which is the third-worst rate in the NFL.
- The Buccaneers have been the fifth-best team in the NFL this season, having gone three and out on 15.2% of their drives. This season, the Falcons have induced three-and-outs on 15.9% of opponent drives, which is the fifth-worst rate in the NFL.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting: Tampa Bay Offense
Now in this Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting prediction, we have the stats for the Tampa Bay offense:
- This season, the Buccaneers have accounted for 18 touchdowns, the most in the NFL.
- This season, the Buccaneers have executed effective motion plays on 60% of their pass attempts, which is the highest rate in the NFL. The league average is 46%.
- In the third quarter of the previous season, the Buccaneers executed successful plays on only 26% of their rush attempts, which was the lowest in the NFL. The league average was 42%.
- This season, the Buccaneers have achieved a third-down conversion rate of 50%, which is the second-best in the NFL. The league average is 38%.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting: Tampa Bay Defense
Next, we have the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting stats for the Tampa Bay defense:
- In Week 7, the Buccaneers defense permitted the most touchdown passes in the NFL, with five.
- Last season, the Buccaneers defense, which featured a loaded front (16 Pass Attempts), permitted a passer rating of only 25.3, the highest in the NFL; the league average was 110.0.
- This season, the Buccaneers defense has permitted successful plays on 71% of plays against play action passes, which is the poorest performance in the NFL; the league average is 48%.
- In Week 7, the Buccaneers’ defense permitted an average of 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch, which was the lowest in the NFL (525 yards / 47 touches). The league average is 7.3.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting: Tampa Bay Injury List
Now in this Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting prediction, we have the injury list for Tampa Bay:
Pos | Player | Status |
---|---|---|
WR | Mike Evans (Hamstring) | Out |
WR | Chris Godwin (Ankle) | Out |
RB | Chase Edmonds (Knee) | Out |
DL | Greg Gaines (Calf) | Out |
G | Sua Opeta (Knee) | Out |
WR | Cody Thompson (Shoulder) | Out |
CB | Jamel Dean (Hamstring) | Out |
CB | Bryce Hall (Ankle) | Out |
WR | Rakim Jarrett (Undisclosed) | Questionable |
TE | Payne Durham (Calf) | Questionable |
LB | SirVocea Dennis (Shoulder) | Out |
OT | Silas Dzansi (Knee) | Out |
LS | Evan Deckers (Hamstring) | Out |
OLB | Markees Watts (Quad) | Out |
RB | Bucky Irving (Toe) | Questionable |
S | Tykee Smith (Concussion) | Out |
WR | Kameron Johnson (Ankle) | Out |
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction: Head-to-Head
Next in this Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting prediction, we have the head-to-head stats:
Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 3, 2024 | Buccaneers | @Falcons | +2.5 / 43.5 | Lost 30-36 | Lost / Over |
Dec 10, 2023 | Buccaneers | @Falcons | +1.5 / 41.5 | Won 29-25 | Won / Over |
Oct 22, 2023 | Buccaneers | Falcons | -2.5 / 37.5 | Lost 13-16 | Lost / Under |
Jan 8, 2023 | Buccaneers | @Falcons | +6 / 40.5 | Lost 17-30 | Lost / Over |
Oct 9, 2022 | Buccaneers | Falcons | -10 / 46.5 | Won 21-15 | Lost / Under |
Dec 5, 2021 | Buccaneers | @Falcons | -11 / 50.5 | Won 30-17 | Won / Under |
Sep 19, 2021 | Buccaneers | Falcons | -13 / 52 | Won 48-25 | Won / Over |
Jan 3, 2021 | Buccaneers | Falcons | -7 / 50.5 | Won 44-27 | Won / Over |
Dec 20, 2020 | Buccaneers | @Falcons | -6 / 49.5 | Won 31-27 | Lost / Over |
Dec 29, 2019 | Buccaneers | Falcons | -1 / 48 | Lost 22-28 | Lost / Over |
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction: Our Picks
Now in this Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction, we have our picks.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Pick: MoneyLine
First, we have the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting pick on the moneyline.
Our offensive power rankings place the Falcons at 12th place as we approach week 8. On average, they score 23.3 points per game, which ranks them 13th in the NFL. Additionally, they rank 7th in passing attempts, with an average of 34.9 a game. In week 7, Kirk Cousins threw for 232 yards (24/35) with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Prior to that, he had a 225-yard game in week 6 and a 509-yard, four-touchdown performance in week 5.
Atlanta is at the 16th position in terms of rushing yards per game (119.6) and 22nd in terms of rushing attempts on the ground. In the seventh week, Bijan Robinson amassed 103 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries. Robinson had 61 yards in week 5, while Tyler Allgeier lead the team with 105 yards in week 6.
Our offensive power rankings place the Buccaneers at fifth place as we approach week 8. They rank third in the NFL in terms of points per game (29.9) and fifth in terms of yards per game (383.4). At a 50.6% success rate, Tampa Bay is the league leader in 3rd-down conversions and ranks 4th in red zone attempts. Nevertheless, they rank 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on 10.7% of their excursions within the 20.
Baker Mayfield threw for 370 yards and three touchdowns in week 7, despite the fact that he also had two interceptions. Following a scoreless second and third quarter, the Buccaneers tallied 21 points in the fourth quarter against the Ravens. Cade Otton accumulated 100 yards on 8 receptions, while Rachaad White accumulated 40 rushing yards on 10 carries.
Free MoneyLine Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Pick: ATLANTA.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Pick: Total
Next, we have the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting pick on the total.
The Falcons’ defense conceded 236 passing yards on 19 completions in their 34-14 loss to the Seahawks. With an average of 8.1 yards per attempt, Seattle achieved success through the air, scoring two passing touchdowns. The Atlanta defense was unable to generate pressure, resulting in only one sack and a loss of the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.
On 26 attempts, the Falcons conceded 103 rushing yards, resulting in a total of 339 yards for Seattle. The Seahawks were also able to convert 36.4% of their third down attempts as a result of Atlanta’s defense.
The Buccaneers suffered a 41-31 defeat to the Ravens, during which they were unable to effectively defend the pass. Baltimore was able to complete 77.3% of their passes for 264 yards, resulting in five passing touchdowns. The Ravens rushed for 244 yards and averaged 8.1 yards per attempt, which also proved challenging for the Buccaneers’ defense. In spite of this, Tampa Bay’s defense did manage to compel Baltimore to convert on only 37.5% of their third-down attempts. In the course of the contest, the Buccaneers’ defense secured two sacks.
Free Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Pick: UNDER.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Pick: Spread
And now, we have the Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting pick on the point spread.
The Falcons maintain their position as the best team in the NFC South, with a 4-3 record, including a 3-0 record in division play, despite a loss to the Seahawks in week 7. Atlanta ranks 16th in our power rankings and has a 56.4% likelihood of qualifying for the postseason, as well as a 44.7% likelihood of winning the division. This season, they have a 2-0 record on the road, but they have only managed a 2-3 record at home.
The Falcons have an average scoring margin of -0.9 points per game and are 3-4 against the spread. Their over/under record is also 3-4, with an average of 47.4 combined points in their games, as opposed to an average line of 45.6.
Atlanta has amassed a 2-1 record in their most recent three contests. They have a 2-1 record against the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1 in these contests. The Falcons have a 2-3 record in their last five games played away from home, and they have also gone 2-3 against the spread. During this period, the team averaged 20 points per game.
The Buccaneers have a 4-3 record, which includes a 4-1 record in conference play and a 1-1 record in the NFC South, as they enter week 8. Tampa Bay was unable to sustain its momentum after a 24-point victory over the Saints in week 6, as they suffered a 41-31 loss to the Ravens at home in week 7. The Buccaneers were 4.5-point underdogs in that game and were unable to cover the spread. However, the 72 combined points easily surpassed the over/under, which has now occurred in four consecutive Tampa Bay games.
The Buccaneers have a 65.5% likelihood of qualifying for the playoffs and a 51.4% likelihood of winning the NFC South, as per our projections. They hold the tenth position in our NFL power rankings. This season, Tampa Bay has a +3.9 scoring margin and is 4-3 against the spread. Their over/under record is 5-2, with an average of 55.9 points scored in their games compared to an average line of 44.9.
Tampa Bay has a 1-2 record in their last three regular season games. This encompasses a 2-1 over-under mark and a 1-2 record against the spread. Tampa Bay has maintained a 3-2 record in their most recent five home contests. During this period, they conceded 22 points per game while scoring an average of 26. Additionally, the team achieved a 3-2 record against the spread.
Free Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Pick: TAMPA BAY.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction: Our FREE Pick
The Buccaneers are 2.5-point favorites in this week’s eighth matchup against the Falcons. Our recommendation is to wager on the Falcons to not only overcome the spread but also secure an outright victory. Our anticipated final total is 20-19 in Atlanta’s favor.
In terms of an over/under prediction, we favor the under, with a projected combined total of 39 points, as the line is currently at 46 points.
Now in this Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction, we have the FREE pick for this game:
TAMPA BAY SPREAD.
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Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction, Odds, Trends, NFL Week 8