Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Odds, Prediction, Pick, for 5/9/24

Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Odds, Prediction, Pick, for 5/9/24

Mavericks vs Thunder Betting odds and wagering prediction for this game set for May 9, 2024. Place a bet on this NBA basketball game now.

The Thunder and Mavericks will play Game 2 of their first-round series at 9:30 p.m. ET at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder lead the series 1-0 and are 5-point favorites for Thursday night’s game. The over/under is 218.5 points, with the Thunder -200 on the money line and the Mavericks +165. ESPN will broadcast this game on television.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a strong performance for the Thunder in their most recent game against the Mavericks, ending with 29 points, 9 assists, and 9 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander also hit two threes while shooting 50% from beyond the arc.

Chet Holmgren had a good game for the Thunder, scoring 19 points. The Thunder made 16 three-pointers as a team, one of their best outside shooting outings of the season. On the other hand, the Mavericks only made 12 three-pointers, which was exactly around their season average.

Oklahoma City was able to cover the spread in their most recent game, defeating the spread by 117-95. The Thunder pulled away in the fourth quarter, outscoring the Mavericks 28–16. The over/under line for the game was 218.5 points, and the clubs came up barely short, scoring 212 points combined.

Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Odds

Here are the Mavericks vs Thunder Betting odds:

DALLAS MAVERICKS +5 +170 Over 218.5
DENVER NUGGETS -5 -200 Under 218.5

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Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Prediction

Keep reading to see our Mavericks vs Thunder Betting prediction. In this post, we will discuss who will win and cover the spread.

  • The Mavericks come to Oklahoma City with a 50-32 record.
  • Dallas’ defense allows 114.6 points per game.
  • The Mavericks are seeking to rebound from their loss to the Thunder.
  • The Thunder enter the contest with a 57-25 record.
  • So far, the Thunder have scored an average of 120.1 points per game.
  • The Thunder recently defeated the Dallas Mavericks 117-95.

Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Prediction: Dallas

Here is the Mavericks vs Thunder Betting prediction for Dallas.

Dallas is 52-37 ATS this season, having covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 29-16 ATS, compared to 23-21 at home.

This season, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 40-49, with 81 games having higher over/under lines than today’s 218.5. This year, they’ve averaged 231.5 points per game.

The Mavericks dropped their most recent game against the Thunder, 117-95. They were 4.5-point underdogs in that game and are now 5-point underdogs in today’s match.

Overall, the Mavericks went 50-32 this season, enough for fifth place in the Western Conference. In non-conference play against the West, they went 31-21 and 19-11.

As underdogs, the Mavericks are 13-20 this season and 16-17 against the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 27-18, with an average scoring differential of +0.7 points.

This season, Luka Doncic is averaging 33.9 points per game, ranking among the league leaders. In his last five games, he has averaged 26.6 points per game while shooting only 38.3% from the field and 16.3% from beyond the arc. Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game this season and has made 46.2% of his three-pointers over his last five games.

Dallas ranks third in the NBA in three-point shooting, with 36%. They also rank third in three-point attempts and makes, with an average of 14.6 made threes per game. Overall, the Mavericks are averaging 117.9 points per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA.

On the season, the Dallas Mavericks allow 114.6 points per game, ranking 18th in the NBA. In their last five games, they have performed even better, allowing only 103.4 points per game, ranking fifth in the league.

In 61.0% of games against the Mavericks, opponents scored more than their season average, while they limited opponents to less than their season average in 47.6% of games.

Opposing teams make 13.1 three-pointers per game against Dallas, which ranks 18th in the NBA.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

  • Luka Doncic has averaged 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 9.8 assists per game in 2023-24.
  • Doncic averages 4.1 treys per game.
  • Doncic (1.4 steals per game) and Daniel Gafford (2.1 blocks per game) improve the Mavericks’ defensive performance.

Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Prediction: OKC

Here is the Mavericks vs Thunder Betting prediction for Oklahoma City.

Today’s over/under is 218.5, which is lower than the average O/U line for Oklahoma City games this season (231.1). The squad has also gone under in its last three games.

Oklahoma City has an O/U record of 45-41-1 this season. The Thunder won their last game against the Mavericks 117-95, which was less than the over/under of 218.5 points.

The Thunder are the favorites today (-5) and have a 52-14 record as favorites this season. They have been favored in their last 11 games and have an ATS record of 39-27 this season.

The Thunder currently lead the Western Conference with a record of 57-25. In non-conference games, they are 21-9, compared to 36-16 against the West.

Oklahoma City has covered the spread in four consecutive games and has an overall ATS record of 51-36. They are 29-15 against the spread at home and 22-21 away.

The Thunder won their most recent game against the Mavericks by 22 points after covering the spread as 4.5-point favorites. They currently have a 5-point lead.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 27.6 points per game in his previous five games and 30.1 points per game this season. In his last five games, he has shot 46.6% from the field. Jalen Williams has averaged 20.6 points per game over the last five games, while Chet Holmgren has averaged 16 points and 8.4 rebounds.

The Thunder have the NBA’s third highest scoring offense, averaging 120.1 points per game. Their home scoring average is 122.3 points per game, which is the second best in the league. Not only are they the league’s most efficient three-point shooting squad, but they also rank second in field goal percentage and true shooting %.

This season, the Thunder’s defense has been one of the strongest in the NBA. They are tenth in points allowed per game, with 111.4. They have performed even better at home, ranking seventh in the NBA and allowing only 109.0 points per game.

Oklahoma City has had the league’s best defense in its last five games, allowing only 90.6 points per game. During this time, they’ve been particularly good at guarding the three-point line, limiting opponents to 28.2% shooting from deep.

The Thunder lead the NBA in steals and blocked shots, averaging 8.5 steals and 6.6 blocks per game. One area where they have struggled is three-point defense, ranking 21st in made threes allowed per game.

Thunder Key Players to Watch

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the Thunder’s active scoring and assists leader this season, averaging 30.1 points and 6.2 assists per game.
  • Chet Holmgren averages 16.5 points per game, 7.9 rebounds, and 2.4 assists.
  • Luguentz Dort makes more three-pointers per game than any other (current) Thunder player, averaging 2.0 per event.
  • Gilgeous-Alexander averages 2.0 steals per game, but Holmgren blocks 2.3 shots per game.

Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Trends

Here are the Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Trends:

  • This season, the Thunder are 23-14 against the spread when they are 5 points or more ahead.
  • This season, the Mavericks are 2-7 against the spread when playing as at least 5-point underdogs.
  • These teams average 238 points each game, which is 19.5 more than the game’s set total of 218.5.
  • Oklahoma City and Dallas’ opponents have averaged 9.8 more points per game than the matchup’s point total of 218.5.
  • This season, the Thunder’s average point total in matches is 232.8, which is 14.3 points greater than the over/under for this game.
  • Dallas’ games this year have had an average over/under of 233.5 points, which is 15.0 greater than the point total in this encounter.
  • Oklahoma City’s record against the spread this season is 46-35-1.
  • The Mavericks are 48-34-0 against the spread this season.

Thunder Stats & Insights

  • The Thunder are outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game and have a +608 scoring differential overall. They average 120.1 points per game (third in the NBA) and allow 112.7 per game (11th).
  • The Thunder lost the rebounding battle by 2.7 boards on average. They average 42.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 27th in the league, compared to 44.7 for their opponents.
  • Oklahoma City makes 13.3 three-pointers a game (eighth-most in the league) at a 38.9% rate (first in the NBA), compared to 13.4 for its opponents, who shoot 36.1% from beyond the arc.
  • The Thunder score 120.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (third in the league) and allow 113.0 points per 100 possessions (fourth in the NBA).
  • The Thunder’s offense has performed significantly better at home (123.1 PPG) than on the road (117.0 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been significantly superior at home (110.2 PPG allowed) than abroad (115.2 PPG).

Mavericks Stats & Insights

  • The Mavericks outscore opponents by 2.3 points per game (117.9 points per game, seventh in the league; 115.6 points per contest, 20th in the NBA), with a +181 scoring differential.
  • Dallas ranks 21st in the NBA, averaging 42.9 rebounds per game. That is 2.2 fewer than its opponents’ average of 45.1.
  • The Mavericks make 14.6 three-pointers a game (third-highest in the league), 1.5 more than their opponents. They shot 36.9% from deep (13th in the NBA), while opponents shoot 36.8%.
  • The Mavericks’ offense ranks 10th in the NBA, with 118.4 points per 100 possessions, while its defense ranks 17th, with 116.2 points per 100 possessions.
  • In 2023-24, Dallas averages 1.7 more points per game at home (118.7) than on the road (117.0).


  • Oklahoma City has won 47 of the 61 games in which it has been the favorite this season.
  • Oklahoma City has won 32 of 35 games this season when designated as a moneyline favorite at -200 or greater.
  • The moneyline for this encounter indicates that Oklahoma City has a 66.7% chance of winning.
  • Dallas has been the moneyline underdog 30 times this season. Dallas is 11-19 in those games.
  • In eight games, Dallas has failed to win as a moneyline underdog with odds of +166 or higher.
  • According to the moneyline for this encounter, Dallas has a 37.6% chance of winning.

Against the Spread

  • The Thunder score 4.5 points more per game (120.1) than the Mavericks allow.
  • Oklahoma City is 39-16 against the spread and 46-9 overall when scoring over 115.6 points.
  • When the Mavericks score more than 112.7 points, they are 40-13 against the spread and 42-11 this season.
  • Oklahoma City is 37-13-1 ATS and 43-8 overall when its opponents score less than 117.9 points.
  • The Thunder are the league’s third-best scoring club (120.1 PPG), while the Mavericks allow the 20th most points per game (115.6) in NBA play.
  • Dallas has the NBA’s seventh-ranked offense (117.9 points per game), while Oklahoma City has the eleventh-ranked defense (112.7).
  • This season, the Thunder have outscored their opponents by a total of 608 points (7.4 points per game on average), while the Mavericks have scored 181 more points than their opponents (2.3 per game).


  • Oklahoma City’s average projected point total this season is 119.4, which is 7.4 points more than its implied total from Thursday’s game (112).
  • Oklahoma City has scored more than 112 points on 61 occasions this season.
  • Dallas’ average implied point total for the year (120.2) is 13.2 points higher than the team’s implied total in this encounter (107).

Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Pick

Free Mavericks vs Thunder Betting Pick: Mavs Spread

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