Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Odds, Prediction, Pick, for 5/4/24

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Odds, Prediction, Pick, for 5/4/24

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting odds and wagering prediction for this game set for May 4, 2024. Place a bet on this NBA basketball game now.

This Western Conference first-round series between the Timberwolves and Nuggets is knotted at 3-3, with game seven scheduled for 7:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in Denver. The game will air on TNT, and the Nuggets are 4.5 point favorites at home. The over/under is 208.5 points, with money line odds of -186 for the Nuggets and +153 for the Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Odds

Here are the Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting odds:

DENVER NUGGETS -4.5 -190 Under 208.5

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Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Prediction

Here is our Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting prediction. In this post, we will discuss who will win and cover the spread.

  • The Timberwolves are now 56-26.
  • Minnesota’s effective field goal percentage is 56%, ranking seventh.
  • The Timberwolves defeated the Suns 122-116 in their last game.
  • The Nuggets have a 57-25 record so far.
  • Denver’s defense allows 109.4 points per game.
  • The Nuggets recently defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 108-106.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Prediction:  Minnesota

Here is the Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting prediction for Minnesota.

Minnesota defeated the Suns 122-116 to end the series. The victory allowed them to sweep the series, 4-0. The Timberwolves were able to wrap up the series on the road.

Anthony Edwards led the Timberwolves’ offense, scoring 40 points. Edwards also had six rebounds and nine rebounds. He made seven threes, shooting 53.8% from beyond the arc. Karl-Anthony Towns also had a strong day for Minnesota, finishing with 28 points and 10 rebounds.

Minnesota has the NBA’s 18th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 113 points per game. On the road, they have performed slightly better, averaging 114.4 points per game. The Timberwolves are eighth in field goal percentage (48%), and third in three-point shooting (38%).

In his previous five games, Anthony Edwards has averaged 27.4 points per game while shooting 50.6% from the field. During this time, he also averaged 5.8 assists and 7.6 rebounds. Karl-Anthony Towns has nailed 47.6% of his threes in the last five games, averaging two per game. For the season, he averages 21.8 points and 8.3 rebounds.

So far this season, the Minnesota Timberwolves have the best defensive record in the league, allowing only 106.4 points per game. They’ve been especially stingy at home, allowing only 103.3 points per game.

Opponents have struggled to shoot against Minnesota, which leads the league in field goal percentage allowed (45.1%). They’ve also been tough on the interior, ranking first in allowed two-point shooting percentage.

One area where opponents have had some success against the Timberwolves is at the free throw line, as Minnesota ranks 21st in made free throws allowed per game.

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

  • Anthony Edwards averages 25.9 points per game. He also averages 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game this season.
  • This season, Rudy Gobert has averaged 14.0 points, 1.3 assists, and 12.9 rebounds per game.
  • Edwards shoots 2.4 threes per game.
  • The Timberwolves’ defensive efforts benefit from Edwards’ 1.3 thefts and Gobert’s 2.1 blocks per game.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Prediction: Denver

Now, we have the Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting prediction for Denver.

Jamal Murray led the Nuggets to a series-clinching victory over the Lakers, scoring 32 points and nailing five threes. Denver won the series 4-1, including this game 108-106. Michael Porter Jr. was also instrumental for the Nuggets, scoring 26 points and nailing five threes of his own.

The Nuggets made 16 three-pointers and shot 42.1% from deep. Nikola Jokic also had a strong day for Denver, tallying 25 points and 20 rebounds. He also tallied nine assists. With the victory, the Nuggets wrapped up the series at home.

Denver has the NBA’s tenth-ranked home offense, averaging 117.8 points per game. Overall, they are 13th in the league, averaging 114.9 points per game. This season, the Nuggets have been an efficient shooting club, connecting on 49% of their field goal attempts, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Their three-point shooting percentage of 37% ranks 25th in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic has recently carried the Nuggets offense, scoring 28.2 points per game over his last five games. In these games, he averaged 16.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists. Michael Porter Jr. has made 48.8% of his three-pointers in his previous five games, averaging 22.8 points. In his last five games, Jamal Murray has averaged 23.6 points and 7.2 assists while shooting just 40% from the floor.

As the Nuggets prepare to face the Timberwolves at home, they will try to continue their excellent defensive play. Denver allows just 109.4 points per game this season, ranking sixth in the NBA.

The Nuggets have been especially good at protecting the three-point line. On the year, they rank second in the league in three-point percentage allowed with 35.1%. They have performed even better in their last five games, keeping opponents to 29.8% from three.

Overall, opponents have scored fewer than their season average in 76.8% of games against the Nuggets this season. Denver is 20th in the league for made free throws, with 22.0 per game.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

  • Nikola Jokic averages 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds, and 9.0 assists per game.
  • Michael Porter Jr. makes more three-pointers per game than any other (current) Nuggets player, averaging 2.7 per match.
  • Jokic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Peyton Watson blocks 1.1 shots per game.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Trends

Here are the Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting trends.

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets average 114.9 points per game (14th in the league) and allow 109.6 per game (sixth). They have a +431 overall scoring differential and outperform their opponents by 5.3 points per game.
  • The Nuggets rank ninth in the league with 44.4 rebounds per game. That is 2.1 more than their opponents’ average of 42.3.
  • Denver makes 11.7 three-pointers a game (25th in the league) at a 37.4% rate (ninth-best in the NBA), compared to 11.2 for its opponents, who shoot 35.5% from beyond the arc.
  • The Nuggets score 119.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (fifth in the league) and allow 113.9 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the NBA).
  • The Nuggets have performed far better offensively at home, scoring 118.5 points per game, than on the road, when they score 111.2. Defensively, they are superior at home, giving up 108.7 points per game, than on the road, when they allow 110.5 points per game.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • The Timberwolves had a +529 scoring differential and outscored their opponents by 6.5 points per game. They average 113.0 points per game, which ranks 18th in the league, and allow 106.5 points per game, which ranks first in the NBA.
  • Minnesota is 15th in the NBA with 43.6 rebounds per game, 2.2 more than its opponents, who average 41.4.
  • The Timberwolves made 12.6 three-pointers per game (15th in the NBA), 1.2 more than their opponents.
  • On offense, the Timberwolves rank 16th in the league, averaging 116.5 points per 100 possessions, while on defense, they rank first, allowing 109.9 points per 100 possessions.
  • Minnesota scores 112.0 points per game at home and 114.0 away.


  • Denver has won 53 of the 72 games in which it has been named the favorite this season.
  • Denver has won 41 of 51 games this season when labeled as a moneyline favorite of at least -189 or less.
  • According to the moneyline, Denver has a 65.4% chance of winning this match.
  • Minnesota is 10-11 as a moneyline underdog (47.6% win rate).
  • Minnesota’s record as a moneyline underdog with odds of +156 or longer is 2-6 (25%).
  • Minnesota’s implied moneyline win probability is 39.1% in this game.

Against the Spread

  • The Nuggets score 114.9 points per game, which is 8.4 higher than what the Timberwolves allow (106.5).
  • Denver is 35-26-2 against the spread and 53-10 overall when scoring more than 106.5 points.
  • Minnesota has a 35-17-1 ATS record and a 43-10 overall record in games with 109.6 or more points scored.
  • Denver is 29-24-2 against the spread and 44-11 overall when allowing less than 113 points.
  • The Nuggets are the 14th-highest scoring club in the NBA (114.9 points per game), while the Timberwolves are the league’s top in terms of points allowed (106.5).
  • Minnesota is now the NBA’s 18th-ranked scoring club (113 points per game), while Denver is sixth in terms of points allowed per game (109.6).
  • The Nuggets have scored 431 more points than their opponents this season (an average of 5.3 per game), while the Timberwolves have outscored opponents by 529 points (6.5 per game).


  • This season, the Nuggets and their opponents have outscored Saturday’s total of 207.5 points 68 times.
  • 67 of the Timberwolves’ 82 games this season have resulted in more combined points than Saturday’s 207.5.
  • These two clubs average 227.9 points per game, which is 20.4 more than the contest’s total of 207.5.
  • This season, the two clubs have combined to yield 216.1 points per game, which is 8.6 more than the 207.5 total in this game.
  • This season, the average total for Nuggets games is 224.5 points, which is 17 points higher than the 207.5-point over/under for this game.
  • This season, the total points wagered on Timberwolves games is 219.5, which is 12 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting: Last 10 Games

  • The Nuggets are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last ten games.
  • In their last ten games, the Nuggets have gone over the total five times.
  • Denver and its opponents have scored an average of 220.2 points in the last ten games, which is 12.7 higher than the 207.5 over/under in this game.
  • In their last ten games, the Nuggets have scored 0.9 more points per game than their season-long average.
  • The Timberwolves are 5-5 against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their last ten games.
  • Seven of the Timberwolves’ previous ten games have ended in overtime.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have scored an average of 216 total points in their last ten games, which is 8.5 higher than the 207.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • Over the last ten games, the Timberwolves have averaged 0.9 more points than their season average of 113 PPG.

Top Nuggets Props

Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
Nikola Jokic 27.5 12.5 9.5
Jamal Murray 23.5 4.5 6.5
Michael Porter Jr. 18.5 7.5
Aaron Gordon 13.5 7.5 4.5
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 8.5 2.5

Top Timberwolves Props

Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
Anthony Edwards 27.5 5.5 5.5
Karl-Anthony Towns 18.5 7.5 2.5
Rudy Gobert 13.5 12.5
Mike Conley 11.5 2.5 5.5
Jaden McDaniels 8.5 3.5

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Pick

Free Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Pick: Timberwolves Spread

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