Chiefs at Ravens Conference Title Betting Odds, Prediction
Chiefs at Ravens Conference Title Betting odds and predictions for this game set for Sunday, January 28th, 2024. Place a bet on this game with the latest odds at YouWager.lv.
Chiefs at Ravens Conference Title Betting Odds
Here are the Chiefs at Ravens Conference Title Betting Odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| KANSAS CITY CHIEFS | +3.5 | +170 | Over 44.5 |
| BALTIMORE RAVENS | -3.5 | -200 | Under 44.5 |
Chiefs at Ravens Conference Title Betting: Kansas City
Here is the Chiefs at Ravens Conference Title Betting prediction for Kansas City.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 13-6 going into this contest. The Chiefs defeated the Bills 27–24 in the Divisional round of the playoffs. Finished 17/23, Patrick Mahomes passed for 215 yards and two touchdowns. At the end of the game, he had a quarterback rating of 131.6 and no interceptions.
Travis Kelce gained 75 yards on 5 receptions, or 15.0 yards per grab, on average. The Chiefs’ top rusher, Isiah Pacheco, gained 97 yards on 15 carries (averaging 6.5 yards per carry). They ran 47 plays for 361 yards during the game. With 24 different attempts, the Kansas City Chiefs gained 146 yards of total yardage, or 6.1 yards per carry.
With 39 attempts, the Chiefs ceded 182 yards on the ground, or an average of 4.7 yards per surrendered rush. For a total of 186 yards and a completion percentage of 66.7%, Kansas City gave up 26 pass completions on 39 attempts.
The Kansas City Chiefs average 21.8 points per game in scoring. They rank 19th in the league with a collective average of 104.9 yards gained on the ground. For the season, the Chiefs have gained 5,972 total yards. In all, Kansas City has accumulated 216 first downs and has racked up 845 yards in penalties from 96 calls.
They have turned the ball over to the enemy 28 times (17 fumbles and 11 interceptions). Kansas City has scored nine touchdowns on the run and 28 touchdowns through the air when gaining possession of the ball in the end zone.
In terms of passing yards allowed, the Chiefs are fourth in the NFL with 3,001 yards given up. They have given up a completion rate of 61.2% and 176.5 yards per game through the air. They are second in the NFL overall, giving up 289.8 yards per game.
This year, they are letting teams run for 113.2 running yards per game and an average of 4.5 yards per rush on the ground. Through 17 games this season, they have given up 1,925 yards on the ground to opponents. With their 17.3 points allowed per game, the Chiefs are the NFL’s second-best team defense.
Kansas City’s Stats & Performance
| Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards | 246.4 (4,188) | 6 |
| Rush yards | 104.9 (1,784) | 19 |
| Points scored | 21.8 (371) | 15 |
| Pass yards against | 176.5 (3,001) | 4 |
| Rush yards against | 113.2 (1,925) | 17 |
| Points allowed | 17.3 (294) | 2 |
Chiefs at Ravens Conference Title Betting: Baltimore
This season, the Ravens have a 14-4 record when they take the field. When the Ravens met the Texans in the Divisional round, they won 34-10 in the end. With two touchdowns, Lamar Jackson finished the game with 152 yards on 16 of 22 passes and a quarterback rating of 121.8.
He averaged 6.9 yards per attempt and did not throw any interceptions. Lamar Jackson finished the game with 9.1 yards per carry for Baltimore after running the ball 11 times for 100 yards. The Ravens featured Zay Flowers as a target, as he caught four passes for 41 yards (10.3 yards per reception).
Baltimore finished the game with 229 yards on 42 carries, averaging 5.5 yards per carry. The Ravens ran 67 plays for a total of 352 yards (5.3 yards per play) throughout the game. The Ravens secondary allowed 175 yards on 19 for 33 passing, good for a completion percentage of 57.6%. Baltimore gave up 38 yards on 14 run attempts, or 2.7 yards per rush.
With an average of 28.4 points per game, the Ravens are fourth in the league when it comes to scoring points. The Ravens are now 21st in football with 3,635 passing yards and an average of 213.8 passing yards per game for the season.
They have rushed for 2,661 yards total, averaging 156.5 rushing yards per game. The Baltimore Ravens rank sixth in the league with an average of 370.4 yards per game. With 102 infractions totaling 955 yards of penalties, the Baltimore offensive is 10th in the league for most detrimental effects to a club. They have gained 180 first downs and have only lost 12 fumbles while throwing seven picks.
The Ravens are leading all teams in the league in points allowed per game with 16.5. Ranking sixth in the NFL, they have given up 18 touchdowns via the air and 191.9 yards per game against defense. This season, Baltimore has given up 1,860 running yards (109.4 yards/game) and 6 touchdowns on the ground.
Placing 28th in football, the Ravens defense has played in 1,109 plays. Over the course of the season, they have garnered 31 takeaways (13 fumble recoveries and 18 interceptions). They have given up 280 points in total.
Baltimore’s Stats & Performance
| Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards | 213.8 (3,635) | 21 |
| Rush yards | 156.5 (2,661) | 1 |
| Points scored | 28.4 (483) | 4 |
| Pass yards against | 191.9 (3,263) | 6 |
| Rush yards against | 109.4 (1,860) | 14 |
| Points allowed | 16.5 (280) | 1 |
Chiefs at Ravens Conference Title Betting Options
Here are the Chiefs at Ravens Conference Title Betting Options:
Points Spread
Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite vs. the Chiefs
The Ravens proceeded to the postseason where they defeated the Texans by a score of 25 points thanks to their outstanding 11-6-0 record against the spread (ATS) throughout the regular season, which included covering six of their final eight games.
They are definitely superior, winning six out of eleven times when they are favored by 3.5 points or more, as they are against the Chiefs. This includes two completely dominant wins over the other two Super Bowl LVIII contenders: a 32-point triumph over the Lions and a 14-point victory over the 49ers.
On the other hand, the Chiefs, who concluded the regular season with a 10-7 ATS record, covered both of their postseason games, winning as underdogs against Buffalo and Miami, despite the general perception that they never cover.
Based on our analysis, the Chiefs have a good 56% chance of covering the -3.5 spread in this game, which gives them the lead in points. compares to their chances of -125 at YouWager.lv, which is perfectly in line with our estimate. However, the Ravens at +100 only have a 44% likelihood, so there is little value here.
Head-to-Head
Ravens are the favorite at -175 odds at YouWager.lv
With an 8-9-1 record to the Over, including a push in their Divisional Round matchup against the Texans, Baltimore’s defensive dominance has consistently taken control of games in terms of points total trends. In the contest, their defense limited the Texans to just three scores.
The Chiefs, on the other hand, haven’t displayed the explosive offense for which they’ve been renowned, as they have a 5-12 regular season record this year, which ties them with Carolina and Los Angeles for the lowest in the NFL. In the playoffs, they are tied 1-1.
It should come as no surprise that our model, which has a noteworthy 56% probability, significantly prefers the Under in this game. Our model suggests going under 44.5 points for the AFC Championship, and at -110 odds oat YouWager.lv, it offers some notable value with a 3.2% edge. The fair odds would be as high as -130.
Total Over/Under
The Over/Under for the AFC Championship is set at 44.5 points at YouWager.lv
Baltimore has an 8-9-1 record to the Over, including a push against the Texans in the Divisional Round. Their defensive prowess has repeatedly taken control of games in terms of points total trends. Their defense gave up only three points to the Texans in that contest.
The Chiefs haven’t shown the high-flying offense for which they have been renowned, despite having a 5-12 regular season record to the Over this year, which ties them with Carolina and Los Angeles for the lowest in the NFL. They have a one-game postseason record.
Therefore, it shouldn’t be shocking that the analysts have a strong 56% chance of backing the Under in this game. That provides some notable value at YouWager.lv with a 3.2% edge and -110 odds. Since the fair odds would be as high as -130, experts advise taking the under on the AFC Championship with 44.5 points.
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