Check out our preview and prediction for this week one college football match for UCLA vs Boise State in Inglewood. Check out our picks for this NCAA showdown to win and cover the spread.
Against UCLA, opposing quarterbacks had a passing rating of 81.
In passing attempts, Boise State’s offense is ranked 67th.
UCLA VS BOISE STATE PREDICTION
This week’s opener between the Broncos and Bruins kicks off at SoFi Stadium at 7:30 ET. Television coverage of this UCLA vs. BOISE matchup will be provided by ABC.The point spread favors the Bruins by three in this non-conference matchup. Is it wiser to take them on the spread, or are the Broncos a better option? To see our recommendation, keep reading.
UCLA VS. BOISE STATE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Boise State Broncos vs. UCLA Bruins
- Where: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood
- Date: December 16, Saturday
UCLA PREVIEW: WILL UCLA PICK UP ANOTHER WIN?
UCLA’s most recent defeat by California caused their overall record to fall to 7-5. The Bruins fell short of their opponent, 33–7. UCLA has started nine games as the favorite and three as the underdog thus far. Due to this, there has been an average scoring differential of +7.7 and an ATS record of 5-7. The average over/under for UCLA’s games over the past 12 games has been 55.1 points. These games have had an average total score of 43.8 points, giving OU a 2–10 record.
381 yards of offense were produced by the Bruins’ offensive display versus California, of which 72 were acquired on the ground and 309 through the air. They had one passing touchdown and an 8/19 third-down conversion percentage. In the end, Dante Moore attempted 38 passes against California. As a result, there were 266 throwing yards and a 60.5% completion percentage. Notably, he also threw two interceptions during the defeat.
Ultimately, the Bruins’ defense allowed California a total of 302 yards. Compared to 178 yards during the passing game, the team’s run defense gave up 124 yards on the ground. At 18.1 points per game, the UCLA defense ranks 58th in terms of points allowed. Teams that play against them average 229.4 passing yards per game (ranked 99th in the nation). They are seventh in NCAA football for rushing defense, having surrendered 72.9 rushing yards.
BOISE STATE PREVIEW: HOW WILL BOISE STATE RESPOND FROM A LOSS?
With an 8-5 record going into this week’s game against UCLA, the Boise State Broncos are above.500. This comes after they defeated UNLV 44–20 in their most recent match. Boise State has an ATS record of 6-5-1 due to their season-average scoring difference of +8.1. Eight occasions, the Broncos were the favorite; in four other games, they were the underdog. The average over/under for Boise State’s games over the past 13 games has been 55.9 points. These games have had an average total score of 57.8 points, giving OU an 8-4 record.
The Broncos tried 15 passes through the air against UNLV, gaining 226 yards and scoring two touchdowns. They ran for three touchdowns on the ground while maintaining an average of 6.5 yards per carry. Taylen Green ran for 90 yards and two running touchdowns toward the end of the UNLV game. He completed 80.0% of his passes through the air, gaining 226 yards. With a passer rating of 130.56, he was the winner.
Boise State’s defense gave up 298 yards to UNLV in all. This includes surrendering 217 throwing yards and 81 permitted on-the-ground yards. Boise State’s defense is ranked 65th in terms of throwing yards allowed per game. When facing the Broncos, opponents attempt 31.8 passes on average. They rank 104th in college football due to their 24.8 PPG allowed. In the NCAA, their run defense is ranked 43rd.
UCLA VS BOISE STATE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
UCLA has a 4-1 record versus Boise State over their last five games.
UCLA has defeated Boise State three times in a row as the underdog.
UCLA has moved from being -2.5 point favorites to their current line of -3 (-110) when the lines were first released. Conversely, Boise State is currently a +3 (-110) point underdog at home. According to the moneyline odds as of right now, UCLA has a 61% chance of winning and an ML payout of -155. Conversely, with a moneyline of +126, the Broncos’ projected win percentage is 44%.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- In their last five games against the spread, UCLA has had a 2-3 record.
- Boise State has won two of its previous three home games against the spread.
- Boise State has amassed an ATS record of 5-4-1 in their last ten games as the underdog.
- UCLA has a 4-6 record against the spread in its last ten games when favored.
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