Find out who we think will win and cover the spread in this week one NCAAF prediction for Miami (OH) vs Appalachian State.

• Miami (OH) ranks 97th with a passing completion rate of 56.2%.
• Every game, the Appalachian State defense allows 28.4 points to be scored.

MIAMI (OH) VS APPALACHIAN STATE PREDICTION

The Miami (OH) RedHawks and Appalachian State Mountaineers will kick off their game at 3:30 PM ET. ABC will provide televised coverage of the game, which will take place at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, Florida.The Mountaineers have a 5-point advantage to win this non-conference game. Should you take a chance on them to cover the spread, or are the RedHawks a better option? To find out more, continue reading.

MIAMI (OH) VS. APPALACHIAN STATE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE

• Sport: College Football
• Teams: Appalachian State Mountaineers and Miami (Ohio) RedHawks
• Where: FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando
• Date: December 16, Saturday

MIAMI (OH) PREVIEW: CAN MIAMI (OH) RECOVER AFTER A LOSS?

Miami (OH) improved to 11-2 with their victory over Toledo, 23–14, as they prepared for this week’s matchup with Appalachian State. Miami (OH) has had a 9-3 record this season against the spread. Eight games have seen the RedHawks as favorites, compared to four when they were the underdog. Miami (OH) had an average over/under line of 42.9 points over 13 games. With an average score of 43.1 points over their games, OU has a 4-8 record.

Miami (OH)’s offense amassed 308 yards of total offense in the game, scoring twice on the ground against Toledo. They made four of fourteen passes on third down, averaging 18.2 yards per completion on their sixteen passing attempts. Aveon Smith was 6 for 16 with a completion rate of 37.5% to finish with 109 yards versus Toledo. There was not a single passing or rushing score by the end of the game.

Miami (OH) gave up 370 yards in total to Toledo on defense. This includes surrendering 273 passing yards and 97 permitted yards on the ground. With 16.2 points per game allowed, the Miami (OH) defense is ranked 55th going into this week’s matchup. Teams have so far averaged 197.2 passing yards per game against the unit, which ranks 46th. They are ranked 48th in college football by giving up 129.5 running yards on the ground.

APPALACHIAN STATE PREVIEW: CAN APPALACHIAN STATE SECURE ANOTHER VICTORY?

After their most recent game versus Troy, Appalachian State’s record suffered, falling to 8-5. The Mountaineers ultimately suffered a 49-23 defeat in the game. With an ATS record of 4-5-1, Appalachian State has an average scoring difference of +6.4 for the season. The Mountaineers have started seven games as the favorite and three as the underdog. The average over/under for Appalachian State’s games through 13 games is 55.4 points. With a cumulative scoring average of 63.2 points over their games, OU has a 5-5 record.

The Mountaineers’ offense gained 108 yards on 41 rush attempts and two rushing scores versus Troy. Despite 39 attempts, their passing game only managed 275 yards and no touchdown. Joey Aguilar completed 28 of 39 passes for 275 yards and a completion percentage of 71.8% versus Troy. There was not a single passing or rushing score by the end of the game.

Ultimately, the Mountaineers defense allowed Troy 463 yards in total during the game. Compared to 192 yards during the passing game, the team’s run defense gave up 271 yards on the ground. The Mountaineers’ defense has allowed 177.8 running yards per game against the run thus far this season, ranking 83rd. Against Appalachian State, opponents are averaging 213.1 passing yards, and their quarterbacks have a passer rating of 77.8. They rank 23rd in the NCAA for the number of points permitted.

MIAMI (OH) VS APPALACHIAN STATE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS

With a 9-1 record, Appalachian State has emerged victorious in the last 10 meetings between Miami (OH) and then Appalachian State.

Appalachian State has a 2-1 record against the spread in the previous three meetings between Miami (OH) and Appalachian State, with an average scoring differential of 8 points per game.

On their home field, Appalachian State was first set as 4.5 point favorites. Now at -5, the lines have moved in their favor. The RedHawks’ payout on the moneyline is at +168 after moving from +165 earlier. Conversely, Appalachian State has an expected win percentage of 68% and is ranked -213.

KEY BETTING TRENDS

• Miami (OH) is 2-1 ATS against the spread while playing on the road.
• In their last three home games, Appalachian State has a 2-1 record against the spread.
• When Appalachian State entered a game as the underdog the previous five occasions, their overall record was 3-1-1.
• Miami (OH) has an ATS record of 4-1 over their previous five games as the favorite.

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