See who we believe will win and cover in Montgomery in our week one college football prediction for Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois by reading on for betting odds and analysis.
- The defense of Arkansas State is giving up 11.7 yards per completion.
- In a game, Northern Illinois averages 186.2 passing yards.
ARKANSAS STATE VS NORTHERN ILLINOIS PREDICTION
The Red Wolves and Huskies play their first NCAAF game of the season at Cramton Bowl at 12:00 ET. ESPN will provide television coverage of the game, which takes place on Saturday, December 23rd.The Red Wolves are 1 point favorites on the road in a non-conference game. Are they the best wagers on the moneyline or spread? See what my best plays are for the game this week.
ARKANSAS STATE VS. NORTHERN ILLINOIS MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Northern Illinois Huskies versus Arkansas State Red Wolves
- Where: Cramton Bowl, Montgomery
- Date: December 23, Saturday
ARKANSAS STATE PREVIEW: WILL ARKANSAS STATE ADD ANOTHER WIN?
Arkansas State lost to Marshall 35–21 in their most recent match. Before this week’s game, the Red Wolves are 6-6, returning to.500 after this loss. Arkansas State has a 6-5 record this season against the spread. This has occurred as they have been the underdog in each of their games and have an average scoring difference of -3.4. Arkansas State has a 6-5 over/under record this season. Their combined games have resulted in 58.9 points on average, with 55.6 points as the median over/under line.
Against Marshall, the Red Wolves completed 38 pass attempts, gaining 263 yards and one touchdown. They gained one rushing touchdown and averaged 1.6 yards per carry in the rushing game. passer Jaylen Raynor finished with a passer rating of 70.39 after completing 19 of 38 passes for 263 yards in the defeat over Marshall. He improved his performance by one touchdown as well.
Arkansas State gave up 493 yards to Marshall overall on defense. This entails surrendering 214 passing yards and 279 permitted yards on the ground. Arkansas State surrenders 31.2 points per game, which puts them 133rd in the league going into this match. On average, teams have gained 261.7 passing yards against them, ranking 155th. Their 184.3 yard average against the run ranks them 143rd in college football.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS PREVIEW: HOW WILL NORTHERN ILLINOIS RESPOND FROM A LOSS?
The Huskies want to improve going into their game against Kent State this week.500 after their last victory moved them up to 6-6. Northern Illinois has been the underdog in three games thus far and has been favored seven times. An average scoring difference of +4.1 and an ATS record of 4-6 have resulted from this. The Northern Illinois match’s average over/under line after 12 games is 47.4 points. With an average score of 46.4 points in all of their games, OU has a 5-5 record.
Against Kent State, the Huskies threw the ball 18 times for 183 yards and one touchdown in the passing game. They had three running scores in the end, averaging 6.1 yards per carry on the ground. Rocky Lombardi, the quarterback, amassed 19 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns in the victory over Kent State. He completed 50.0% of his passes for 183 yards in the passing game, good for a passer rating of 104.63.
Against Kent State, Northern Illinois’ defense gave up 363 yards in total by the end of the game. Against Northern Illinois, Kent State passed the ball 28 times for 245 yards. The Huskies allowed 118 running yards while they were on the ground. The Huskies’ defense ranks 127th in the league this season after allowing an average of 154 running yards. When playing Northern Illinois, opponents average 164.2 passing yards, and their quarterbacks have a passer rating of 77.7. As of right now, their points allowed ranking in the NCAA is 81st.
ARKANSAS STATE VS NORTHERN ILLINOIS BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
Having won three of their previous five meetings with Northern Illinois, Arkansas State will try to maintain their winning streak.
Not only has Northern Illinois been 2-1 ATS in their previous three meetings with Arkansas State, but they have also been 2-1 ATS in their last three games played at home against the Bears.
Arkansas State has changed from being -1.5 point favorites to their current line of -1 (-109) when the lines were initially established. On their home field, Northern Illinois is now +1 (-113) point underdog. Arkansas State received a moneyline payout of -118 to begin play, but that has since changed to -114. Given the odds, Northern Illinois has an implied win probability of 52% and Arkansas State has an implied win probability of 53%.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- The last ten road games for Arkansas State have seen them go 6-4.
- In their previous ten home games, Northern Illinois has a 5-5 record.
- When considering only the last three games in which Northern Illinois started as the underdog, their overall record was 2-1.
- In their past ten games as the underdog, Arkansas State has a 5-5 record.
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