Liberty vs UTEP Predictions, Odds Week 13 2023

Liberty vs UTEP Predictions, Odds Week 13 2023

See who we predict to win and cover in El Paso in our week 13 college football selection and preview for Liberty vs UTEP by reading on for betting odds and analysis.

  • In terms of points allowed, Liberty’s defense ranks 80th.
  • UTEP ranks 106th with a passing completion rate of 54.3%.

LIBERTY VS UTEP PREVIEW

This week’s 13th CFB game between the Miners and Flames will air on CBSS at 3:30 on 11/25/23. The game will take place in El Paso, Texas at Sun Bowl.The Flames are 17-point away favorites against Conference USA this week. Can they cover the spread and win on the road?

LIBERTY VS. UTEP MATCHUP AT A GLANCE

  • Sport:¬†College Football
  • Teams: UTEP Miners vs. Liberty Flames
    Where: Sun Bowl in El Paso
    Date: November 25, Saturday

LIBERTY PREVIEW: CAN LIBERTY RECOVER AFTER A LOSS?

Liberty, now 11-0, is still unbeaten after defeating UMass 49-25. Liberty is 7-2 against the spread this season despite being favored in every game they have played. The squad has a +18.8 average scoring margin going into the match. Liberty is 6-3 against the over/under as of this week’s game. With an average of 61 points per game, their margin against their over/under lines is at +8.4.

The Flames passed the ball 22 times for 225 yards and two touchdowns against UMass in the passing game. They gained four rushing scores while averaging 6.7 yards per carry on the ground. Kaidon Salter rushed for two touchdowns in addition to throwing for two in Liberty’s most recent victory. He completed 68.8% of his throws for 225 yards through the air throughout the contest.

Against UMass, Liberty’s defense allowed 391 offensive yards. They gave up 98 yards on the ground and 293 yards in the passing game. This season, the Flames defense leads the league in QB hurries and has racked up 22 sacks. They are conceding 21.1 points per game overall (80th). They rank 123rd in the NCAA against the pass with 238.5 passing yards allowed per contest. Each game, Liberty allows 112.9 running yards.

UTEP PREVIEW: WILL UTEP ADD ANOTHER WIN?

The Miners are just 3-8 on the season after losing their most recent game to Middle Tennessee 34-30. This season, UTEP has a 3-5 record against the spread. In seven games as the underdog, the Miners have only been favored once. UTEP has scored 46.5 points per game on average thus far in its 11 games. As a result, the Miners have an over/under record of 3-5.

Against Middle Tennessee, the Miners’ passing offense had 41 completion attempts for 364 yards and two touchdowns. They scored one rushing touchdown and averaged 2.9 yards per carry in the running game. Quarterback Cade McConnell finished with a QB rating of 93.95 in the defeat against Middle Tennessee, completing 24 of 41 passes for 364 yards. He also brought two scores into the contest.

Middle Tennessee was able to gain 431 yards against UTEP on defense. This entails surrendering 242 passing yards and 189 yards on the ground. The UTEP defense ranks 111th in terms of points allowed per game coming into this week’s matchup, allowing 27.3 points. Teams have surpassed the unit with an average of 198.9 passing yards per game thus far (49th). They are ranked 140th in college football by giving up 181.3 running yards on the ground.

LIBERTY VS UTEP BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS

UTEP, who is 3-0 at home against Liberty, hopes to maintain their winning streak.

Since Liberty is 3-0 ATS in their last three head-to-head games against UTEP, betting on them at the spread has been a wise move.

The current lines in the point spread are quite near to the initial values, indicating that not much has changed. Right now, UTEP is at +17 (-110), and Liberty is the favorite by 17 (-110). Liberty now has a 90% implied victory probability and a -921 moneyline payout in the context of the moneyline odds. Conversely, the Miners have a moneyline of +585 and an implied win probability of 15%.

KEY BETTING TRENDS

  • Liberty has an 8-2 ATS record against the spread while playing on the road.
  • In their last 10 home games, UTEP has a 5-5 record against the spread.
  • In their last five games as an underdog, UTEP has a 4-1 ATS record.
  • Looking back, Liberty’s ATS record was 2-1 over the last three occasions they were favored.

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