See our analysis of the Alabama vs. Auburn game for week 13 to learn who we believe will win and cover in Auburn.
- Alabama ranks 43rd in passing completion percentage with 63.9%.
- The defense of Auburn is giving up 11.9 yards per completion.
ALABAMA VS AUBURN PREVIEW
Kickoff between the Crimson Tide and the Tigers is set for 3:30 PM ET at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama. CBS will broadcast the game.This SEC conference rivalry game has the Crimson Tide as 14.5 point road favorites. Can they cover the spread and win on the road?
ALABAMA VS. AUBURN MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
- Where: Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn
- Date: November 25, Saturday
ALABAMA PREVIEW: CAN ALABAMA RECOVER AFTER A LOSS?
With this week’s game versus Auburn, Alabama’s record currently stands at 10-1 following their 66-10 victory over Chattanooga. Alabama has a > over/under record for the season and has started as the favorite in all of their games. Alabama has a 7-3 over/under record this season. Their games have yielded a combined total of 53.9 points on average, with 51.4 points being the median over/under line.
Against Chattanooga, the Crimson Tide’s passing game saw 24 completion attempts for 259 yards and three touchdowns. They scored five rushing touchdowns and averaged 10.2 yards per carry in the running game. Quarterback Jalen Milroe finished with a QB rating of 157.55 after completing 13 of 16 passes for 197 yards in the victory over Chattanooga. In addition, he scored three touchdowns during the contest.
The Crimson Tide defense outperformed Chattanooga, allowing just 10 scores on 233 yards of total offense. With 107 yards, Chattanooga’s passing game came to an end. Alabama surrendered 3.6 yards per attempt up front. Alabama’s defense, which ranks 168th in terms of passing yards allowed per game, is ready for battle. Against the Crimson Tide, opponents pass the ball 30.9 times on average. They rank 60th in college football with their 17.4 PPG allowed. Their current ranking in the NCAA is 38th for the number of rushing yards allowed.
AUBURN PREVIEW: CAN AUBURN FOLLOW UP WITH ANOTHER WIN?
After their most recent game versus New Mexico State, Auburn’s record is now 6-5 overall. The Tigers lost 31–10 because they were unable to win. Auburn has a 5-5 record this season against the spread. In contrast to five games where they were the underdog, the Tigers have been favored five times. Auburn has a 4-6 over/under record this season. Their games have yielded a total of 49 points on average, with an over/under line of 50.2 points often set.
213 yards of offense were produced by the Tigers offensively against New Mexico State, 65 of which were achieved on the ground and 148 through the air. They had one throwing touchdown and a 2/10 third-down conversion rate. Payton Thorne, the quarterback, completed 15 of 19 passes for 148 yards and had a quarterback rating of 116.67 in the team’s loss to New Mexico State. He also scored one touchdown to close off the game.
Auburn’s defense gave up 415 yards to New Mexico State in all. This includes surrendering 201 passing yards and 214 yards on the ground. Auburn’s defense is ranked 162nd in terms of passing yards allowed per game. When facing the Tigers, opponents attempt 28.2 passes on average. They rank 81st in college football due to their 21.5 PPG defense. In the NCAA, their run defense is ranked 94th.
ALABAMA VS AUBURN BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
Alabama prevailed 49-27 in their most recent meeting between these two teams. Alabama had the advantage offensively, accumulating 516 yards to Auburn’s 395. 343 passing yards and 173 rushing yards were the offensive team’s final totals.
Alabama was initially set as an 11-point favorite on the road, but the odds have now shifted to favor them at -14.5. According to the moneyline odds as of right now, Auburn has a 17% chance of winning and a +477 moneyline payout. On a moneyline of -683, the Crimson Tide’s expected win percentage is 87%.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- Alabama is 3-0 against the spread when playing on the road.
- Auburn’s home record against the spread in the last five games is 2-3.
- Auburn has amassed an ATS record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games as the underdog.
- Taking a look back, Alabama’s ATS record was 3-0 during the previous three times they were favored.
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