Check out our week 11 Troy vs. UL Monroe preview to see who we think will win and cover in Monroe.
- Troy’s defense allows 16.1 points per game.
- In terms of passing attempts, UL Monroe ranks 62nd.
TROY VS UL MONROE PREVIEW
The Trojans will face the Warhawks at Malone Stadium in Monroe, Louisiana, with start set for 2:00 PM ET. ESPN+ will broadcast the game.The Trojans are the 21.5 point road favorites in this matchup between two Sun Belt conference rivals. Do they have what it takes to win on the road and cover the spread?
TROY VS. UL MONROE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Troy Trojans at UL Monroe Warhawks
- Where: Monroe at Malone Stadium
- Date: Saturday, November 11th
TROY PREVIEW: WILL TROY BOUNCE BACK FROM A LOSS?
Troy’s 28-10 victory over South Alabama improved their record to 7-2 as they prepare for this week’s game against UL Monroe. This season, Troy has been the favorite in six games and the underdog in two. Their current ATS record is 5-3. Throughout the season, Troy has an over/under record of 1-7. In their games, the average combined score has been 43.3 points, while the normal over/under line has been 49.2 points.
Against South Alabama, the Trojans passed the ball 27 times for 271 yards and three touchdowns. They averaged 3.3 yards per carry on the ground and had one rushing touchdown. Gunnar Watson finished the game with a QB rating of 139.58 after completing 19 of 27 passes for 271 yards against South Alabama. He also had three touchdowns to his name.
The Trojans defense was outstanding against South Alabama, allowing only 10 points on 252 yards allowed. South Alabama’s passing game totaled 155 yards. Troy allowed 3.6 yards per attempt up front. As they prepare for this game, Troy’s defense is rated 168th in passing yards allowed per game. Opponents have attempted 29.9 passes on average against the Trojans. So far, they have given up 16.1 points per game, ranking them 56th in college football. They rank 27th in the NCAA in rush defense.
UL MONROE PREVIEW: WILL UL MONROE BULD OFF THEIR WIN?
UL Monroe enters this game with a 2-7 overall record. They were defeated by Southern Miss 24-7 in their most recent game. UL Monroe has been the underdog in all of their games this season and has an ATS record of 4-4. So far, their average scoring margin per game is -13 points. The average point total in UL Monroe’s nine games this season is 50.8. As a result, the Warhawks have a 4-4 over/under record.
On the offensive side of the ball, UL Monroe scored one touchdown against Southern Miss but failed to score in the running game. They finished with 187 passing yards and 73 running yards. Jiya Wright finished with a QB rating of 101.39 in the loss to Southern Miss, completing on 5 of 12 throws for 106 yards. He also had one touchdown to his name.
Against Southern Miss, UL Monroe’s defense allowed 448 yards of offense. They allowed 238 yards in the passing game and 210 yards on the ground. UL Monroe enters the game ranked 123rd in points allowed, allowing 31.9 per game. Teams have averaged 268.7 passing yards against them (161st). They rank 143rd in college football in run defense, allowing 182 yards per game.
TROY VS UL MONROE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
The most recent meeting between Troy and UL Monroe resulted in a 34-16 victory for Troy. Both teams struggled to move the ball through the air, with Troy finishing with 78 versus Troy’s 145.
Troy has changed from -20.5 point favorites to their current line of -21.5 (-110). At home, UL Monroe is a +21.5 (-110) point underdog. Troy presently has a 97% implied win probability in the context of the current moneyline odds, with a moneyline payoff of -2820. The Warhawks, on the other hand, have an implied win probability of 9% and a moneyline of +1066.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- In their previous three away games, Troy is 3-0 ATS.
- UL Monroe is 2-1 ATS in its last three home games.
- UL Monroe has a 5-5 ATS record as an underdog in their last ten games.
- Troy is 4-1 as a favorite in their last five games.
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