Oklahoma State vs UCF Predictions, Odds Week 11 2023

Oklahoma State vs UCF Predictions, Odds Week 11 2023

Read our Oklahoma State vs UCF preview for this college football week 11 game in Orlando. Check out who we like to win and cover the spread in this NCAA matchup.

  • Oklahoma State’s offense is 10th in passing attempts.
  • UCF’s defense is 114th in points allowed.


The Oklahoma State Cowboys travel to take on the UCF Knights, at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, FL. Kickoff for this week 11 game is set for 3:30 PM ET and will be televised on ESPN.This matchup between two Big 12 rivals has the Cowboys as the 2.5 point road favorites. Do they have what it takes to pick up a road win and cover?


  • Sport: College Football
  • Teams: Oklahoma State Cowboys at UCF Knights
  • Where: Orlando at FBC Mortgage Stadium
  • Date: Saturday, November 11th


Oklahoma State’s record has improved to 7-2 following their 27-24 win against Oklahoma as they prepare for this week’s showdown with UCF. Oklahoma State’s average scoring differential for the season is +6.3 leading to an ATS mark of 6-2. The Cowboys have been favored three times and the underdog in five games So far in this season, Oklahoma State has posted an over/under record of 4-4. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 55 points, with the typical over/under line set at 51.1 points.

Oklahoma State’s offense finished the game with three rushing touchdowns against Oklahoma and covering 149 yards with 36 attempts. However, their passing game didn’t produce any touchdowns and finished with 334 yards on 43 pass attempts. Although Alan Bowman did toss a touchdown against Oklahoma, he did find the endzone with his legs. Overall, he threw for 334 while completing 66.7% of his passes.

The Cowboys’ defense finished the game by giving up 492 total yards to Oklahoma. The team’s run defense allowed 148 yards rushing compared to 344 in the passing game. The Cowboys defense comes into the game with 20 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 24.3 points per game (88th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 142nd in the NCAA, allowing an average of 250.6 passing yards per game. Additionally, Oklahoma State’s run defense comes in allowing 170.4 rushing yards per contest.


UCF has an overall record of 4-5 as they prepare for this game. Their most recent game was a success, with a 28-26 victory over Cincinnati. Heading into this week’s matchup with Oklahoma State, the Knights have been favored in six games and the underdog in two. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 2-6. This season, UCF holds an over/under record of 5-3. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 62.2 points, with the typical over/under line set at 59.1 points.

UCF’s offense finished the game with four rushing touchdowns against Cincinnati and covering 229 yards with 38 attempts. However, their passing game didn’t produce any touchdowns and finished with 165 yards on 23 pass attempts. Despite not throwing a touchdown pass in the team’s win versus Cincinnati, quarterback John Rhys Plumlee did manage to rush for one touchdown. His overall statistics included a completion rate of 56.5% and a total of 165 passing yards.

On defense, UCF finished their game against Cincinnati, by giving up a total of 515 yards. Cincinnati threw the ball 27 times for 267 vs. UCF. While on the ground, the Knights gave up 248 rushing yards. In terms of passing yards allowed per game, UCF’s defense is ranked 153rd. Opponents, on average, attempt 28.8 passes against the Knights. They are allowing 29.4 PPG, which places them 114th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 162nd in the NCAA.


Oklahoma State will need a win to snap their recent struggles against UCF. Over the last three games, UCF is 3-0.

UCF has historically performed well vs. the spread as the underdog vs. Oklahoma State, going a perfect 3-0 ATS on an average scoring differential of 8.

There hasn’t been much movement in the point spreads thus far. At the moment, Oklahoma State is favored by 2.5 with a payout of -112, and UCF is at +2.5 (-109). In terms of the current moneyline odds, UCF is currently attributed a 46% probability of winning, with a moneyline payout of +116. Conversely, the Cowboys’ implied win percentage stands at 59% on a moneyline of -141.


  • Oklahoma State are 2-3 Against the spread in their last five games on the road.
  • UCF’s ATS record at home (last three) is 1-2.
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, UCF has put together an ATS record of 2-3.
  • Oklahoma State is 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite.

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