Continue reading for our NCAA Week 11 preview of Miami vs. Florida State. We’ll lay out who we think will win and cover the spread.
- Miami’s defense ranks 69th in terms of points allowed.
- In terms of passing attempts, Florida State ranks 41st.
MIAMI VS FLORIDA STATE PREVIEW
The Hurricanes and Seminoles meet at Doak Campbell Stadium at 3:30 p.m. ET in an NCAAF week 11 game. The game will be shown live on ABC on Saturday, November 11th.In this Atlantic Coast clash, the Seminoles are 14.5 point favorites at home. Can they win at home and cover the spread?
MIAMI VS. FLORIDA STATE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles
- Where: Tallahassee at Doak Campbell Stadium
- Date: Saturday, November 11th
MIAMI PREVIEW: CAN MIAMI FOLLOW UP WITH ANOTHER WIN?
After their most recent loss to NC State, Miami’s overall record fell to 6-3. The Hurricanes were defeated by a score of 20-6. Miami is 3-3 against the spread this season. The Hurricanes have been the favorite four times and the underdog twice. Throughout the season, Miami has had a 3-3 over/under record. In their games, the average combined score has been 52.1 points, while the normal over/under line has been 49.2 points.
The Hurricanes’ offense totaled 292 yards and 19 first downs. They threw the ball 38 times and gained 173 yards in the air. Their running assault gained 119 yards on 32 attempts. Tyler Van Dyke had 38 passing attempts against NC State in their most recent game. He finished with 173 yards throwing and a completion rating of 55.3%. He also threw three interceptions in the loss.
Miami’s defense allowed 232 yards of offense against NC State. They gave up 123 yards in the passing game and 109 yards on the ground. The Hurricanes’ defense has allowed 89.3 running yards per game this season, ranking them 201st in the country. When facing Miami, opponents average 222.2 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 77.2. They are presently ranked 75th in NCAA points allowed.
FLORIDA STATE PREVIEW: HOW WILL FLORIDA STATE RESPOND FROM A LOSS?
The Florida State Seminoles remain unbeaten with a 9-0 record as they prepare for this week’s game against Miami. In their most recent game, they defeated Pittsburgh 24-7. This season, Florida State has been the favorite in seven games and the underdog in one. Their current ATS record is 5-3. Florida State has a 6-2 over/under record this season. Their games have produced a total of 56.6 points on average, with the median over/under line set at 52.1 points.
The Seminoles completed 37 passes for 363 yards and one touchdown against Pittsburgh. They averaged 3.7 yards per carry on the ground, resulting in two rushing scores. Jordan Travis threw for 360 yards in the team’s most recent victory over Pittsburgh. He not only threw for one touchdown, but he also ran for one.
The Seminoles defense was outstanding against Pittsburgh, allowing only 7 scores on 333 yards allowed. Pittsburgh’s passing game totaled 244 yards. Florida State allowed 3.7 yards per attempt on the ground. The Seminoles defense enters this week’s game with 25 sacks and first in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 17 points per game (58th in the league). They are 43rd in the nation in pass defense, allowing 192.3 passing yards per game. Furthermore, Florida State’s defense allows 140.4 running yards per game when defending the run.
MIAMI VS FLORIDA STATE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
The most recent meeting between these teams ended in a 45-3 victory for Florida State. The Seminoles limited Miami to only 62 passing yards. On offense, Florida State was 6/11 on third down and totaled 454 yards.
When the betting odds were released, Florida State was 15.5-point favorites on the road. As a result, the oddsmakers changed the lines to favor them at -14.5. According to the current moneyline odds, Florida State has an 86% chance of winning and a -633 moneyline payout. The Hurricanes, on the other hand, have an implied win percentage of 18% and a moneyline of +451.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- Miami is 3-7 against the spread while playing on the road.
- Florida State has gone 2-1 ATS in their last three home games.
- Florida State is 2-1 as an underdog in their previous three games.
- Miami is 2-8 vs. the spread in the last ten games when favored.
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