Read our preview for the New Mexico vs. Boise State college football game in Boise. In this NCAA showdown, see who we think will win and cover the spread.
- In terms of throwing yards, the New Mexico Lobos rank 70th.
- The Boise State defense gives up 13.1 yards per completion.
NEW MEXICO VS BOISE STATE PREVIEW
The Broncos and Lobos square off at Albertsons Stadium at 10:00 a.m. ET in this week’s NCAAF clash. The game will be broadcast on FS1 on Saturday, November 11th.The Broncos are 25-point favorites at home in this week’s Mountain West game. Will the Broncos win this one? Find out how I think this game will play out on Saturday.
NEW MEXICO VS. BOISE STATE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: New Mexico Lobos at Boise State Broncos
- Where: Boise at Albertsons Stadium
- Date: Saturday, November 11th
NEW MEXICO PREVIEW: CAN NEW MEXICO KEEP THINGS ROLLING?
New Mexico comes into this game with an overall record of 3-6. Their most recent game, however, ended in defeat as they were defeated by UNLV by a score of 56-14. This season, New Mexico has been the favorite in one game and the underdog in six others. Their current ATS record is 2-5. Throughout the season, New Mexico had an over/under record of 6-1. In their games, the average combined score has been 62.8 points, while the normal over/under line has been 51.5 points.
Offensively, the Lobos scored one touchdown on the ground while gaining 173 yards versus UNLV. New Mexico scored once and passed the ball 25 times for 196 yards in the passing attack. Dylan Hopkins rushed for 187 yards and completed 15 of 23 passes for a 65.2% completion percentage versus UNLV. He finished the game without scoring on the ground or through the air.
New Mexico’s defense surrendered 416 yards versus UNLV. This includes allowing 169 yards on the ground and 247 passing yards. As they prepare for this game, New Mexico’s defense is rated 84th in passing yards allowed per game. Opponents have attempted 26.9 passes on average against the Lobos. They have allowed 35.3 points per game this season, ranking them 133rd in college football. They rank 126th in the NCAA in rush defense.
BOISE STATE PREVIEW: IS BOISE STATE ON TRACK FOR ANOTHER WIN?
Boise State comes into this game with an overall record of 4-5. Their most recent game, however, ended in defeat as they were defeated 37-30 by Fresno State. Prior to this week’s game against New Mexico, the Broncos had been favorite in four games and underdog in four. Their ATS record entering the game is 2-5-1. So far this season, Boise State has a 6-2 over/under record. Their encounters have produced a total score of 58.9 points on average, with the median over/under line set at 55.2 points.
Offensively, the Broncos scored twice on the ground against Fresno State while gaining 177 yards. Boise State scored once and passed the ball 45 times for 311 yards in the passing offense. Maddux Madsen found the endzone in a variety of ways against Fresno State, throwing for 258 yards and one score while also rushing for one.
Fresno State’s defense concluded the game with 442 total yards allowed. The team’s run defense surrendered 139 yards rushing while allowing 303 yards passing. The Broncos defense enters this week’s game with 19 sacks and first in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 28.9 points per game, ranking 112th in the league. They are 167th in the nation in pass defense, allowing 279.8 passing yards per game. Furthermore, Boise State’s defense allows 114.9 running yards per game when defending the run.
NEW MEXICO VS BOISE STATE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
The most recent game between the teams was won by Boise State, who defeated New Mexico 31-14. The Broncos’ defense limited New Mexico to 98 passing yards. On offense, Boise State was 4/15 on third down and totaled 318 yards.
Boise State began as 26.5-point favorites at home, but the lines have shifted to -25. Boise State has moved from -4000 on the moneyline to -4687, resulting in an expected win probability of 98%. New Mexico now has indicated odds of 7% with a moneyline of +1393. The moneyline for the Lobos was initially set at +1550.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- In their previous two away games, New Mexico is 2-1 ATS.
- Boise State is 0-4-1 against the spread in its last five games at home.
- Boise State has an ATS record of 1-1-1 in the three most recent occasions they were the underdog.
- New Mexico has an ATS record of 2-3 in their previous five games as the betting favorite.
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