See who we like to win and cover the spread in our week 11 NCAAF preview for Nevada vs Utah State.
- Nevada’s defense allows 32 points per game.
- Utah State ranks 49th in passing completion percentage at 63.7%.
NEVADA VS UTAH STATE PREVIEW
On Saturday, November 11th, the Wolf Pack and Aggies will face off at 3:00 p.m. ET. This week’s CFB showdown will be broadcast on MWN.Utah State comes into this Mountain West clash as the 16.5-point favorite to win. Is this a guarantee that they will win? Continue reading for my thoughts on this clash.
NEVADA VS. UTAH STATE MATCHUP AT A GLANCE
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Nevada Wolf Pack at Utah State Aggies
- Where: Logan at Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium
- Date: Saturday, November 11th
NEVADA PREVIEW: WILL NEVADA PICK UP ANOTHER WIN?
Nevada, with an overall record of 2-7, is ready for this game. Unfortunately, their most recent performance culminated in a 27-14 loss against Hawaii. This season, Nevada has been the favorite in two games and the underdog in six. Their current ATS record is 5-3. Nevada’s average over/under line through nine games is 53.8 points. Their games have averaged 49.6 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-5.
In terms of rushing, the Wolf Pack offense scored two scores and covered 124 yards on 41 tries versus Hawaii. However, their passing game failed to produce a touchdown, totaling 112 yards on 24 attempts. AJ Bianco passed for 76 yards versus Hawaii, although he did throw a touchdown pass. His passer rating overall was 23.19, with a completion rate of 33.3%.
Nevada’s defense surrendered 341 yards versus Hawaii. This includes allowing 138 yards on the ground and 203 passing yards. The Wolf Pack’s defense has allowed an average of 173.7 running yards this season, ranking them 83rd. When facing Nevada, opponents average 272.8 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks achieving a passer rating of 105.8. In the NCAA standings, they are currently ranked 20th in terms of points allowed.
UTAH STATE PREVIEW: WILL UTAH STATE BOUNCE BACK FROM A LOSS?
Utah State comes into this game with a 4-5 record. In their most recent match, they defeated San Diego State by a score of 32-24. Prior to this week’s game against Nevada, the Aggies had been favored in one game and underdog in six. Their ATS record entering the game is 3-4. Utah State has a 5-2 over/under record so far this season. Their encounters have resulted in a total score of 67.8 points on average, with a 53.9 point over/under line.
The Aggies finished the game against San Diego State with 32 pass attempts for 229 yards and two touchdowns. They averaged 3.9 yards per carry on the ground, resulting in two rushing scores. Cooper Legas finished with a QB rating of 149.17 in the win over San Diego State, hitting on 11 of 15 throws for 167 yards. He also scored two touchdowns in the contest.
Utah State’s defense surrendered 385 yards versus San Diego State. This includes allowing 122 yards on the ground and 263 passing yards. The Aggies defense confronts Nevada with 15 sacks and first in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they rank 129th in the country, allowing 32.9 per game. They rank 117th in the NCAA in pass defense, allowing 237.7 passing yards per game. Utah State’s run defense allows 170 running yards per game.
NEVADA VS UTAH STATE BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS
The head-to-head series between these two teams has favored Nevada, who is 3-2 in their previous five games.
In the last three meetings between Nevada and Utah State, only 6 points per game separated the teams, with Nevada finishing 2-1 vs. the spread.
On their home ground, Utah State entered as 15.5 point favorites. The lines have swung in their favor, and they are now -16.5. Utah State opened at -817 on the moneyline and has since moved to -837, resulting in an estimated win percentage of 89%. In contrast, Nevada now has indicated odds of 15% and a moneyline of +550. The moneyline for the Wolf Pack began at +550.
KEY BETTING TRENDS
- Nevada is 4-1 against the spread on the road.
- Utah State is 2-3 ATS in their past five home games.
- Utah State is 2-1 against the spread in their last three games as an underdog.
- Nevada is 1-4 as a favorite in their last five games.
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