With so many NFL Underdog Betting choices, it’s important to know which ones can get you a nicer return with a little calculated risk.
There are 14 games scheduled for Week 5 of the 2023–24 NFL season. We are analyzing the full slate and looking for the top NFL underdogs to wager on in Week 5 at NFL betting sites. On Thursday Night Football, the Chicago Bears and Washington Commanders kick off Week 5.
The Cleveland Browns, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Los Angeles Chargers, and Seattle Seahawks all have this week off with byes. Up until Week 14, there will be bye weeks.
There are several NFL Week 5 underdogs who should be barking despite the smaller deck. Only five NFL underdogs covered the spread on Sunday. The biggest underdog to win by 4.5 points was the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Let’s get right into our top NFL Week 5 underdog predictions and a detailed examination of each option.
Best Week 5 NFL Underdog Betting Options
- Steelers +4
- Jaguars +5.5
- Texans +1.5
- Cardinals +3
NFL Underdog Betting for Week 5: Pittsburgh Steelers (+4)
First NFL Underdog Betting pick, the Steelers:
One of the most legendary rivalries in the NFL over the past 20 years will once again pit the Baltimore Ravens against the Pittsburgh Steelers. These groups of teams experienced Week 4 in very different ways.
Deshaun Watson was ruled out prior to the game, which allowed the Ravens to win 28-3 in Cleveland. In the meantime, the Steelers suffered a 30-6 defeat to the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium.
The Ravens could encounter a different backup quarterback for the second straight week. Kenny Pickett of the Steelers departed the Texans game early due to a knee injury. Fortunately, Pickett’s ACL wasn’t torn, but it’s uncertain whether he’ll be available for Week 5.
The Steelers will likely turn to veteran Mitch Trubisky if Pickett is unable to start. Mason Rudolph might be given the starting quarterback position in Week 5 by Mike Tomlin. Trubisky, however, will probably start at center without Pickett.
Trubisky would most likely switch places with Pickett in this situation. Pickett’s fate is still up in the air. The youthful, second-year quarterback is being given a chance by the Pittsburgh Steelers to become the city’s next franchise quarterback.
As a rookie, Pickett completed passes for 2,404 yards, seven touchdowns, and nine interceptions. He has made four starts thus far this year and has completed 60.6% of his throws for 803 yards, four touchdowns, and four interceptions.
The Steelers won’t lose anything if Pickett can’t start. Trubisky is by no means a terrific player, but his output shouldn’t be much worse than Pickett’s. However, the Ravens now have a significant advantage over the spread, which has increased from -2.5 to -4.5.
The Steelers must win this game with their defense, regardless of the QB. It’s reasonable to anticipate an improved Steelers defense at home after they were humiliated by C.J. Stroud and the Texans.
Other than that, the Steelers’ defense has been solid. With only 59.72 percent of the passes thrown by opponents, they are seventh in opponent completion percentage. Additionally, at 3.33 sacks per game, the Steelers are tied for sixth place.
Lamar Jackson is a difficult quarterback to stop, but the Steelers have done a good job of doing so. In five games against the Steelers, Jackson has tossed for 634 yards, four touchdowns, and six interceptions. In those games, he also has a dismal QB rating of 67.4.
The Steelers have defeated the Ravens in five of the last six meetings. In those games, the Ravens and Steelers were separated by just three points on average.
Due to Pickett’s injury, we can get a good deal on the Steelers as a home underdog. Consider betting on the Steelers at +4.5 to beat the Ravens and cover the point spread.
NFL Underdog Betting Pick for Week 5: Pittsburgh Steelers +4
NFL Underdog Betting for Week 5: Jacksonville Jaguars (+5.5)
Second NFL Underdog Betting pick, the Jaguars.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defeated the Atlanta Falcons 23-7 at Wembley Stadium, and they are still in the country. They tied the other AFC South teams at 2-2 and reached 500.
Although it was not anticipated that the AFC South would be a strong division, it ought to be at least competitive. With a decisive victory over the Bills at the Northumberland Development Project in London, the Jaguars can do themselves a world of good.
The Bills recently experienced one of the biggest victories of the current NFL season. They destroyed the Miami Dolphins 48-20 on Sunday afternoon at Orchard Park.
Prior to the Bills defense showing up and securing Tua Tagovailoa, the two potent offenses traded points in the first half. Tre’Davious White, a cornerback who is thought to be done for the season after tearing his Achilles tendon, was unfortunately lost as a result.
Over the past two years, White has struggled to recover from an ACL tear, and it currently looks like he won’t be able to shake the injury bug until 2023. In the Bills’ secondary, it will be challenging to fill his void.
Josh Allen, however, has been assuming form in the middle. After a nearly flawless effort against the Dolphins, Allen is currently the favorite to win the NFL MVP award.
For 320 yards and four touchdowns on 84 percent of his passes, he was successful. The former Wyoming Cowboy additionally ran for 17 yards and a score on the ground.
Allen will be difficult for a Jaguars defense that recently put on a performance that gave them confidence. Desmond Ridder had two interceptions and only 191 passing yards as the Jaguars limited the Falcons to 287 total yards.
In the winning defensive effort, Josh Allen of the Jaguars three times sacked Ridder. With the defense playing so effectively, Trevor Lawrence didn’t have to do much. Lawrence was effective, though, racking up 207 throwing yards and one touchdown.
We have high hopes for the Bills this year and have selected them as our AFC Championship entry. That being said, the Jaguars have a clear advantage in Week 5 due to schedule.
The Jaguars had back-to-back assignments in London rather than travelling home and then back to the UK. The Jags should benefit greatly from that. The Bills will also be shorthanded in London without White at cornerback.
The Bills’ secondary should produce some huge plays because to Calvin Ridley and Christian Kirk. sufficient to defeat the Bills? Not likely, but there’s a high potential that this is closer than anticipated.
The Bills are traveling far abroad after a game against the Dolphins that required them to expend a lot of energy. To cover the spread, the Jaguars will likely need to keep this game inside six points.
NFL Underdog Betting Pick for Week 5: Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5
NFL Underdog Betting for Week 5: Houston Texans (+1.5)
Third NFL Underdog Betting pick, the Texans.
The Houston Texans: Are they for real? DeMeco Ryans, the team’s head coach, has everyone confident in this group. The Texans are moving in the right direction under the tutelage of their rookie head coach and former Pro Bowl linebacker.
While Stroud still has a ways to go before calling him a success story, the NFL QB test is being passed by him with flying colors. Although Ohio State has a terrible track record of producing NFL quarterbacks, Stroud could be the exception.
Stroud has passed for 1,212 yards, six touchdowns, and no interceptions through four games. Going into Week 5, he has also completed 62.3 percent of his throws. Young quarterbacks generally struggle with turnovers, but Stroud hasn’t thrown an NFL interception yet.
Houston’s offense is a humming machine under Stroud, averaging 368.5 yards per contest. Few people anticipated that the Texans would maintain a Top 10 offense into Week 4. But Stroud has actually been able to do that, leading to back-to-back victories.
On a strong Pittsburgh defense last week, Stroud passed for 306 yards and two touchdowns. The ball was being moved on the ground by the Texans as well. On 24 carries, Dameon Pierce amassed 81 yards, and Devin Singletary added 25 yards on 7 attempts.
Ryans is a defensive person, therefore it should come as no surprise that he preferred the defensive effort. Only 114 of the 225 yards the Steelers gained came from Pickett in the air, according to the Texans.
Overall, the Texans rank 13th in the NFL with 19.8 points and 311.8 yards allowed per game. Less than 200 passing yards are allowed each game by the secondary, ranking it among the top 10. The Falcons might run into problems here for another week.
Ridder is about to be benched, but Arthur Smith plans to stick with him, at least through Week 5. He struggled against the Lions two weeks ago, and then he performed poorly in London.
The Falcons are worst in the NFL in passing yards per game with just 156.3. The Falcons’ offense is built around Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson, but in the present-day of football, you need a passing game.
The Texans are a good value wager given their NFL Week 5 odds as an underdog. You should include Ryans’ team in your Week 5 NFL underdog wagers.
NFL Underdog Betting Pick for Week 5: Houston Texans +1.5
NFL Underdog Betting for Week 5: Cardinals (+3)
Fourth NFL Underdog Betting pick, the Cardinals.
We secured the Arizona Cardinals as a 7-point underdog at Bovada on Saturday. Since then, the spread has drastically decreased, particularly in light of what happened to the Bengals against the Tennessee Titans.
With a 27-3 away loss to the Titans, the Bengals fell to 1-3 and bottom in the AFC North. The Bengals’ loss was disappointing, but supporters were most upset with how it was handled. They exhibited little grit or resolve.
What is happening in Cincinnati, then? After a sluggish start to the previous season, the Bengals eventually faced a battle against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. This time, though, there is a distinct sensation in the air.
You can blame Joe Burrow for being content after obtaining his lucrative contract. But the correct response most likely has to do with his leg problem. Burrow most likely has a more serious injury than he and the Bengals are letting on while still playing.
He is undoubtedly fit enough to play, but this season, his mechanics have been subpar. Jake Browning is the Bengals’ additional quarterback option. He can’t be worse than a Burrow with a limp.
With only 236 yards per game, the Bengals are currently worst in the NFL. They’ve only managed 176.5 offensive yards per game away from home.
The Bengals should “get right” with the Cardinals? No, not always. Every week, Joshua Dobbs and the Cardinals have turned up and played hard.
The Cardinals, who have one win, just suffered a 35-16 defeat against the 49ers. However, it was closer than the final score suggests. To distance themselves from the Cardinals and secure a victory, the 49ers needed two touchdowns in the fourth quarter.
A team that was predicted to tank has gained momentum thanks to Dobbs. They could very possibly receive the top choice in the 2024 NFL Draft. The Cardinals haven’t, though, lost without giving it their all.
The Cardinals’ double-digit victory over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 3 was the biggest upset of the season. They had earlier in the season battled Commanders and Giants till the very end.
NFL betting value for the Bengals as a road favorite is terrible. The Bengals are currently not a club to lay points on until Burrow can demonstrate that he is physically competent in managing this offense.
NFL Underdog Betting Pick for Week 5: Arizona Cardinals +3
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