UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction, CFB Week 10 Predictions, November 7, 2026
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction, CFB Week 10 Predictions, November 7, 2026
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: Will Arkansas State finish? Compare recent form, key stats and our winner pick.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: quick answer and game details
Our UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction is Arkansas State Red Wolves to win. Arkansas State needs to make its home possessions count against UL Monroe. Ball security is especially important if the teams exchange field position for long stretches. You don’t need a projected final score to understand the call. Start with the completed results, then look at how each team can build the kind of possessions it needs.
| Your question | Quick answer |
|---|---|
| Who wins? | Arkansas State Red Wolves to win |
| When? | November 7, 2026; 3:00 PM ET / 1:00 PM MST |
| Where? | Centennial Bank Stadium |
| Away team | UL Monroe Warhawks; 1-7 |
| Home team | Arkansas State Red Wolves; 4-4 |
| Research checked | November 3, 2026 |
| Prediction market | Outright winner |
The key to UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction is separating the better argument from a guaranteed result. UL Monroe Warhawks has a -16.8 scoring margin per game this season; Arkansas State Red Wolves has a +1.5 margin. Those are actual scoring differences across different schedules. They aren’t a forecast for this game’s margin or a schedule-adjusted power rating.
If you’re comparing the market choices, our college football betting guide explains the basics. You can check the game at YouWager as kickoff approaches. This preview gives you a winner, the evidence behind it and the main reason to question it.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: head-to-head results
| Date | Site for UL Monroe Warhawks | Score: UL Monroe Warhawks–Arkansas State Red Wolves | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Home | 28–16 | UL Monroe Warhawks |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Away | 21–28 | Arkansas State Red Wolves |
The checked 2024 and 2025 schedules, including the returned 2025 postseason, contain 2 recent meetings. UL Monroe Warhawks won 1 and Arkansas State Red Wolves won 1. That’s a clearly defined recent sample, not the all-time series. It gives you useful context without pretending last year’s players and roles are all still in place.
Our UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction gives the current season more weight. You can enjoy the history of college football and still ask a different betting question: can this version of the offense handle this version of the defense? A previous score can’t answer that by itself.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: straight-up betting trends
UL Monroe Warhawks results by setting
| 2026 sample | Games | W–L | Points for/game | Points against/game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 completed games | 8 | 1–7 | 20.2 | 37.0 |
| Latest five in 2026 | 5 | 1–4 | 18.8 | 34.0 |
| True home games | 4 | 0–4 | 18.2 | 35.5 |
| True road games | 4 | 1–3 | 22.2 | 38.5 |
| Decided by 8 or fewer | 3 | 1–2 | 25.3 | 26.0 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves results by setting
| 2026 sample | Games | W–L | Points for/game | Points against/game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 completed games | 8 | 4–4 | 28.8 | 27.2 |
| Latest five in 2026 | 5 | 3–2 | 29.4 | 27.6 |
| True home games | 4 | 3–1 | 39.0 | 27.2 |
| True road games | 4 | 1–3 | 18.5 | 27.2 |
| Decided by 8 or fewer | 4 | 2–2 | 31.0 | 31.2 |
For UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction, the setting splits help you see where each team’s record came from. UL Monroe Warhawks is 0–4 at home and 1–3 in true road games. Arkansas State Red Wolves is 3–1 at home and 1–3 away. Neutral-site games count in the season record but stay out of those two splits.
These are straight-up trends, not invented against-the-spread records. Close-game results also need care. UL Monroe Warhawks is 1–2 in games decided by eight or fewer points; Arkansas State Red Wolves is 2–2. A handful of late possessions can change those records quickly. Think about sample size before treating a short streak as a rule.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: fixed betting odds snapshot
| Market | Selection | Line | American price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UL Monroe Warhawks | — | +500 |
| Moneyline | Arkansas State Red Wolves | — | -700 |
| Point spread | UL Monroe Warhawks | +14.5 | -110 |
| Point spread | Arkansas State Red Wolves | -14.5 | -110 |
| Game total | Over | 53.5 | -108 |
| Game total | Under | 53.5 | -112 |
Fixed reference prices were checked November 3, 2026 at 11:33 AM MST. N/A means a price wasn’t verified in the checked snapshot. These comparison prices aren’t a confirmed YouWager offer and won’t update automatically. The total applies to both teams’ combined score. Check the current board before you decide whether the available price fits your own view.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: current team statistics
| 2026 measure | UL Monroe Warhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Completed games | 8 | 8 |
| Record | 1-7 | 4-4 |
| Points scored per game | 20.2 | 28.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 37.0 | 27.2 |
| Scoring margin per game | -16.8 | 1.5 |
| Passing yards per game | 210.4 | 242.5 |
| Rushing yards per game | 121.8 | 136.4 |
| Pass completion % | 60.9 | 68.2 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 6.5 | 8.3 |
| Yards per rush | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| Third-down conversion % | 31.2 | 41.5 |
| Offensive interceptions | 6 | 6 |
| Sacks allowed | 19 | 15 |
| Defensive sacks | 14 | 5 |
The numbers in UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction come from completed schedules and the current season’s statistical feed. You can follow the listed matchup for the game itself. Scoring averages include all team points, including any defensive or return scores. Passing and rushing averages describe different parts of the offense. Don’t add or compare them as though every possession starts in the same place.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: UL Monroe Warhawks last 10 games
| Date | Site | Opponent | Result | Score: team–opponent | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Home | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | L | 21–35 | 2026 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Away | Troy Trojans | W | 21–14 | 2026 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Home | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L | 0–24 | 2026 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Away | South Alabama Jaguars | L | 35–52 | 2026 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Home | Florida Atlantic Owls | L | 17–45 | 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Home | SE Louisiana Lions | L | 35–38 | 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Away | UAB Blazers | L | 20–26 | 2026 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Away | Mississippi State Bulldogs | L | 13–62 | 2026 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Away | Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns | L | 27–30 | 2025 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Away | Texas State Bobcats | L | 14–31 | 2025 |
UL Monroe Warhawks is 1–9 across these ten completed games. You get 20.3 points scored and 35.7 allowed per game in that window. The season column matters: 8 of the team’s completed regular-season games are from 2026. Earlier results fill out the recent window; they don’t describe an unchanged roster.
The latest result was a 21–35 loss against Southern Miss Golden Eagles on Oct 31, 2026. Across the latest five completed games, UL Monroe Warhawks is 1–4, scoring 18.8 and allowing 34.0 per game. That gives you a second view of form alongside the full-season average.
The best margin in this window came against Troy Trojans at 21–14. The weakest margin came against Mississippi State Bulldogs at 13–62. You still need to account for the different opponents.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: Arkansas State Red Wolves last 10 games
| Date | Site | Opponent | Result | Score: team–opponent | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Home | Georgia State Panthers | W | 38–32 | 2026 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Away | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | W | 23–13 | 2026 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Home | South Alabama Jaguars | L | 49–56 | 2026 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Away | Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns | L | 20–23 | 2026 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Home | Kennesaw State Owls | W | 17–14 | 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Away | TCU Horned Frogs | L | 7–31 | 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Home | West Georgia Wolves | W | 52–7 | 2026 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Away | Memphis Tigers | L | 24–42 | 2026 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Neutral | Missouri State Bears | W | 34–28 | 2025 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Away | App State Mountaineers | W | 30–29 | 2025 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves is 6–4 across these ten completed games. You get 29.4 points scored and 27.5 allowed per game in that window. The season column matters: 8 of the team’s completed regular-season games are from 2026. Earlier results fill out the recent window; they don’t describe an unchanged roster.
The latest result was a 38–32 win against Georgia State Panthers on Oct 24, 2026. Across the latest five completed games, Arkansas State Red Wolves is 3–2, scoring 29.4 and allowing 27.6 per game. That gives you a second view of form alongside the full-season average.
The best margin in this window came against West Georgia Wolves at 52–7. The weakest margin came against TCU Horned Frogs at 7–31. You still need to account for the different opponents.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: passing matchup
The passing question in UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction starts with UL Monroe Warhawks at 6.5 yards per attempt and Arkansas State Red Wolves at 8.3. You want to know which offense can get useful gains without needing a difficult throw every series. A high average can reflect strong execution, but a few long touchdowns can also lift it. Protection and down-and-distance still matter.
UL Monroe Warhawks through the air
UL Monroe Warhawks has completed 60.9% of its passes, with 13 passing touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Its passing average is 210.4 yards per game. Against Arkansas State Red Wolves, you’d rather see those gains arrive on schedule than through a sequence of third-and-long escapes. The offense can make life easier by getting the ball out before pressure changes the throw.
Arkansas State Red Wolves through the air
Arkansas State Red Wolves has completed 68.2% of its passes, with 11 passing touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Its passing average is 242.5 yards per game. Against UL Monroe Warhawks, you’d rather see those gains arrive on schedule than through a sequence of third-and-long escapes. The offense can make life easier by getting the ball out before pressure changes the throw.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: rushing matchup
On the ground, UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction compares 3.6 yards per carry for UL Monroe Warhawks with 4.1 for Arkansas State Red Wolves. Those averages include the results of different fronts and game states. A team running with a lead may face a different problem from a team trying to erase a deficit. You still get a useful starting point for which offense has been more productive per attempt.
| 2026 rushing measure | UL Monroe Warhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 271 | 265 |
| Rushing yards | 974 | 1,091 |
| Yards per game | 121.8 | 136.4 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| Rushing touchdowns | 7 | 16 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves doesn’t have to run on every early down to keep the defense honest. It needs useful gains when it does run. UL Monroe Warhawks wants the opposite: stops that force the passer to solve a known passing situation. That’s why a short gain that sets up second-and-manageable can matter more than one big run followed by three empty possessions. You can compare the matchup at YouWager without treating a team-to-win opinion as a promise.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: third downs and sustained drives
| Third-down production | UL Monroe Warhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Conversions | 35 | 39 |
| Attempts | 112 | 94 |
| Conversion rate % | 31.2 | 41.5 |
For UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction, third down is where an early-down plan gets tested. UL Monroe Warhawks has converted 31.2% and Arkansas State Red Wolves has converted 41.5%. You can’t read those rates without thinking about distance. Third-and-two gives an offense far more choices than third-and-nine. The better plan is to create the short situation, not assume a quarterback will repeatedly rescue the long one.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: turnovers and extra possessions
| 2026 ball-security measure | UL Monroe Warhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Takeaways | 10 | 11 |
| Giveaways | 11 | 8 |
| Turnover difference | -1 | 3 |
A turnover can overturn UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction without telling you the whole pregame case was useless. The question is how it happens. Pressure that forces a late throw is different from a loose ball bouncing straight to a defender. You count both on the scoreboard, but you shouldn’t assume either repeats at the same rate. Arkansas State Red Wolves has the better route when it isn’t relying on free possessions to score.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: pressure and protection
UL Monroe Warhawks has allowed 19 sacks and recorded 14 on defense. Arkansas State Red Wolves has allowed 15 and recorded 5. Those totals give you a pressure question, not a forecast for how many sacks will happen here. You also need to consider the number of attempts and the opponents behind those totals.
Extra blockers leave fewer receivers in the route. If UL Monroe Warhawks can create pressure without sending extra defenders, the pick gets less comfortable. You want a clear first read and a useful outlet before the rush changes the throw.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: kicking and field position
| 2026 kicking measure | UL Monroe Warhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals made | 6 | 9 |
| Field goals attempted | 10 | 13 |
Kicking matters to UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction when drives stop near scoring range. Made and attempted totals don’t tell you the distance of the next kick or the conditions at kickoff. You still want to distinguish a promising drive from actual points. A missed chance can also hand the opponent useful field position. Don’t assume every trip across midfield is already part of a scoring projection.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: players shaping the matchup
| Team | Season category | Statistical leader | Reported production |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe Warhawks | Passing | Aidan Armenta | 115/187, 1,323 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | Rushing | Austin Carlisle | 46 CAR, 252 YDS, 1 TD |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | Receiving | Marcellus Jackson | 33 REC, 348 YDS, 1 TD |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | Defensive sacks | Kevontay Wells | 3 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | Passing | Trey Owens | 159/233, 1,940 YDS, 11 TD, 6 INT |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | Rushing | Solomon Baggett | 68 CAR, 306 YDS, 2 TD |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | Receiving | Jaylen Bonelli | 31 REC, 452 YDS, 3 TD |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | Defensive sacks | Tre Stevens | 2 |
These are current season statistical leaders, not a confirmed starting lineup. You should check final availability before kickoff, especially at quarterback and along the offensive line. A major change there can affect several parts of the game at once. This preview doesn’t turn a missing report into a clean bill of health or invent a player’s expected number of snaps.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: venue, travel and rest
Centennial Bank Stadium hosts the game at 3:00 PM ET / 1:00 PM MST. Arkansas State Red Wolves gets the home setting; UL Monroe Warhawks handles the road routine. That matters most when communication and possession become difficult. It doesn’t mean the home team starts with points already on the board. The published kickoff is the checked schedule time, and Mountain time here is MST because daylight saving time has ended.
There are 7 calendar days between UL Monroe Warhawks’s latest completed game and this kickoff date, and 14 for Arkansas State Red Wolves. That’s a schedule gap, not a count of full practice days or a medical recovery measure. No specific rain, wind or temperature is assumed. A confirmed weather or venue change deserves a fresh look because it can change how comfortable each offense feels throwing downfield.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: preferred game script
The preferred script for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction is simple: Arkansas State Red Wolves moves the ball through normal possessions, avoids giving away short fields and forces UL Monroe Warhawks to earn its scores. You don’t need a defensive touchdown or a kick return to make that route work. If the pick depends on several unusual plays arriving in the right order, it isn’t a strong plan.
Arkansas State needs to make its home possessions count against UL Monroe. Ball security is especially important if the teams exchange field position for long stretches. Watch the first few complete series rather than one opening play. Repeated first downs, clean protection and useful field position would support the call. Empty trips and repeated long third downs would challenge it. Our handicapping guide gives you a wider framework for weighing those signs.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: the clearest upset risk
The risk to UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction is worth saying plainly. UL Monroe’s upset route improves if Arkansas State cannot convert useful drives into touchdowns. That’s the route you should keep in mind if you’re leaning the other way. A good preview should make the opposing case clear enough that you can judge the pick for yourself.
The season records are 1-7 for UL Monroe Warhawks and 4-4 for Arkansas State Red Wolves. They don’t settle every matchup question. The road team can win despite a home advantage, and a better average can hide games against weaker opposition. You should judge the selection by the route described here, not by calling it a lock or assuming a long win streak can’t end.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: common betting questions
Does this pick require a spread or a price?
No. UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction picks Arkansas State Red Wolves to win outright. The fixed table is there so you can see the checked markets separately. A team can be the likelier winner and still offer a price you don’t want to take. Our moneyline guide explains that distinction. The final selection won’t quietly become a claim that the team will cover a specific spread.
Are all ten recent games from this season?
No. The 2026 records cover 8 games for UL Monroe Warhawks and 8 for Arkansas State Red Wolves. Older completed games fill the window, with the season clearly labeled. Current execution carries more weight.
What should you check before kickoff?
Check confirmed quarterback availability, meaningful offensive-line changes and the final game setting. Then compare the actual price you’re offered with your own view. Our betting school guides can help you review the market rules. None of those checks requires pretending an unavailable price is zero or turning an unconfirmed injury into a fact.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction: final winner pick
The choice in UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Prediction is Arkansas State Red Wolves. The current records, scoring picture and setting support the route described above. UL Monroe Warhawks has a real answer if the game follows the opposing plan, so keep your confidence measured.
You can review the game at YouWager before kickoff. This November 3 assessment uses completed results available at the cutoff. Recheck confirmed changes to the passer, protection or playing conditions before making your decision.
Our prediction: Arkansas State Red Wolves to win.
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