See who we believe will win and cover in Detroit in our week one college football prediction for Bowling Green vs Minnesota by reading on for betting odds and analysis.

• Against Bowling Green, opposing quarterbacks have a passing rating of 87.7.
• In a game, Minnesota averages 153.2 passing yards.

BOWLING GREEN VS MINNESOTA PREDICTION

The Falcons and Golden Gophers square off in their first NCAAF game of the season at Ford Field at 2:00 ET. The events take place on Tuesday, December 26th, and will be televised by ESPN.In this non-conference game, Minnesota is expected to face the Falcons and is favored by 4.5 at home. Continue reading for my analysis and suggested bets.

BOWLING GREEN VS. MINNESOTA MATCHUP AT A GLANCE

• Sport: College Football
• Teams: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Bowling Green Falcons
• Where: Ford Field in Detroit
• Date: December 26, Tuesday

BOWLING GREEN PREVIEW: WHAT’S THE PLAN FOR BOWLING GREEN FOLLOWING A LOSS?

Bowling Green improved to 7-5 this week with their 34-10 victory over Western Michigan, setting them up for this week’s matchup with Minnesota. Bowling Green has been the underdog in seven games thus far and has been favored in four of them. An average scoring difference of +2.8 and an ATS record of 7-4 have resulted from this. The over/under for Bowling Green’s games this season has averaged 45.9 points. The Falcons enter this week’s game with an over/under record of 7-4.

Against Western Michigan, the Falcons passed the ball 28 times for 228 yards and two touchdowns in the passing game. They finished with one rushing touchdown while averaging 4.7 yards per carry on the ground. Quarterback Connor Bazelak completed 18 of 26 passes for 217 yards and a quarterback rating of 120.19 in the victory over Western Michigan. He also brought two scores into the contest.

The Falcons defense played well against Western Michigan, allowing just 10 points on 258 yards allowed. The passing game for Western Michigan totaled 123 yards. Bowling Green surrendered 3.3 yards per attempt up front. The Falcons defense leads the NFL in quarterback hurries and has surrendered 33 sacks so far this season. They are conceding 23.5 points per game overall, which is 85th. They rank 42nd in the NCAA against the pass with 192.7 passing yards given up per contest. Every game, Bowling Green allows 137.6 running yards.

MINNESOTA PREVIEW: CAN MINNESOTA KEEP THINGS ROLLING?

Minnesota has a 5-7 overall record going into this game. Their most recent match versus Wisconsin turned out to be difficult as they lost 28–14. Minnesota has been the underdog in five games thus far and has been favored six times. This has resulted in an average score difference of -6.8 and an ATS record of 3-8. Minnesota’s season-to-date over/under record is 4-7. Their games have yielded an average total score of 47.1 points, with an average over/under line of 44.8 points.

The Golden Gophers tried 28 passes through the air against Wisconsin, accumulating 167 yards and scoring one touchdown. They managed to average 3.8 yards per carry on the ground, good for one rushing touchdown. QB Athan Kaliakmanis completed the game with a QB rating of 71.58 after completing 16 of 28 passes for 167 yards in the defeat to Wisconsin. In addition, he scored one touchdown during the contest.

Against Wisconsin, Minnesota’s defense allowed 412 yards of offense. They gave up 267 yards on the ground and allowed 145 yards in the passing game. In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Minnesota’s defense is rated 124th going into this one. The Golden Gophers’ opponents toss the ball an average of 29.4 times. They are 104th in NCAA football in terms of points allowed per game (26.9 PPG). They rank 91st in the NCAA in terms of rushing yards allowed.

BOWLING GREEN VS MINNESOTA BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & ANALYSIS

Minnesota has to be pleased with their 3-0 record against Bowling Green as the home favorite.

Minnesota has an advantage with an ATS record of 7-3 over the previous ten meetings between them in head-to-head play.

Minnesota has moved from being -5.5 point favorites to their current line of -4.5 (-112) since the odds were first released. Conversely, Bowling Green is currently a +4.5 (-109) point underdog traveling. The Golden Gophers’ starting odds of -225 have since been replaced with a moneyline payout of -201. As of right now, Bowling Green has an expected win probability of 38% while Minnesota has an indicated win probability of 67%.

KEY BETTING TRENDS

• Bowling Green has a 7-3 road record against the spread.
• Over the past three home games, Minnesota’s ATS record is 1-2.
• Minnesota’s overall record (ATS) was 1-4 the last five times they started a game as the underdog.
• Bowling Green is 4-6 against the spread in the ten previous instances when they were the favorite.

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