North Texas vs San Diego State Prediction and Pick ISLETA NEW MEXICO BOWL Picks, College Football Picks

The North Texas Mean Green and the San Diego State Aztecs are scheduled to compete against one another in the Isleta New Mexico Bowl in 2025, which will take place at University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. This particular postseason game is going to be broadcast on ESPN, and it is going to take place on Saturday, December 27, 2025, at 5:45 PM. As a result of the fact that both clubs have finished their seasons with impressive results, this clash is an important one for both fans and pundits. North Texas comes into the bowl game with a great record of 11-2 and is currently ranked #23 in the most recent Associated Press Poll. With a record of 5-1 away at DATCU Stadium, they will be looking to capitalize on their excellent performance on the road, which is evidenced by the fact that they are representing the American Conference. On the other hand, the fact that they were defeated by Tulane in the final game of the regular season should be cause for concern. The San Diego State University, on the other hand, has a record of 9-3 and will be playing on familiar ground, benefiting from an immaculate 6-0 record at home. As a member of the Mountain West Conference, they will be looking to get back on track after suffering a tight defeat at the hands of New Mexico in their final regular season game. In order to successfully neutralize the offensive threats posed by North Texas, the Aztecs’ defense, which has demonstrated resiliency throughout the season, will be essential.

This season, the San Diego State Aztecs are ranked 37th in the nation with 2,269 rushing yards, demonstrating that they have produced a solid running game. As a result of the fact that their ground attack has been a reliable source of production, they are a difficult team to defend against on the ground.

Although they have a strong passing game, their passing game is not as strong as their running game. They rank 119th with only 1,838 passing yards. It is necessary for the Aztecs to strike a balance between their aerial and ground assaults in order to improve the effectiveness of their offensive operations.

This season, San Diego State’s defense has a total of 32 sacks, which places them in tenth place in the rankings for defensive effectiveness. One of the most important aspects of their defensive system is their capacity to exert pressure on the quarterback.

Furthermore, the Aztecs have been successful at generating turnovers, as evidenced by their 13 interceptions, which places them in the fourteenth position in the nation. One of the most important aspects of their game strategy is the ability of their defense to interfere with the offensive of the other team.

The Aztecs were defeated by the New Mexico Lobos by a score of 23-17 in their most recent game, despite the fact that they had more first downs and passing yards than their opponents. The turnovers that they committed, which included two fumbles and an interception, were detrimental to their performance.

Earlier, San Diego State defeated the San Jose State Spartans by a score of 25-3, securing a victory that was resoundingly emphatic. They were able to force two interceptions and limit the Spartans to just three points thanks to their defense, which was a significant factor in their victory.

Jayden Denegal, the quarterback for the Aztecs, has been an integral part of the team’s success this season, as he has accumulated 1,811 throwing yards and nine touchdowns. Because he has thrown eight interceptions so far this season, he needs to cut down on them.

After carrying for 1,232 yards and scoring 10 touchdowns, running back Lucky Sutton is the leader of the rushing assault. The Aztecs rely on his performance like a trustworthy option in the backfield, which is why his performance is so important.

During the 2025 season, the North Texas Mean Green have established themselves as an offensive powerhouse, leading the country in scoring with 582 points and passing for 4,192 yards. The fact that they have 330 first downs, which also places them in first place nationally, is evidence of their ability to move the chains on a continuous basis.

These offensive accomplishments would not have been possible without the contributions of quarterback Drew Mestemaker, who has led the league in passing yards with 4,119 and scored 31 touchdowns. North Texas is a multi-dimensional threat as a result of his outstanding performance, which is supported by a deep receiving corps and a solid rushing game.

North Texas has demonstrated a lack of defensive strength, as evidenced by the fact that they have allowed 324 points, which places them at the 115th position in the rankings. at spite of this, they have been successful at generating turnovers, as evidenced by their 13 interceptions and 12 fumbles recovered, which places them in 14th and third place, respectively.

Additionally, the defensive team has a total of 23 sacks, which places them in 19th place in the nation. This demonstrates their ability to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Despite the fact that they have a problem with the number of points they allow, the team’s ability to generate turnovers has the potential to reverse the tide in their favor.

Throughout their history, North Texas has demonstrated a record of high-scoring contests, as seen by their victory over Temple by a score of 52-25 and their triumph over Rice by a score of 56-24. Their most recent defeat at the hands of Tulane, on the other hand, brought to light certain defensive issues, particularly with regard to preventing the run game.

Despite these defeats, the offensive firepower of the Mean Green continues to be a key strength, making it possible for them to continually put up big numbers even when they are losing. All of their upcoming games will depend on how consistent their attacking play is.

The outstanding running back for the team, Caleb Hawkins, brings an additional facet to the offensive. He has rushed for 1,226 yards and scored 23 touchdowns, which places him in 14th place nationally. The team’s aerial attack is complemented by his outstanding performance on the ground, which also contributes to the overall balance of their attacking approach.

A significant contribution is also made by Wyatt Young, a wide receiver who has 63 receptions, 1,209 yards, and 10 touchdowns to his name. Because of his ability to extend the field, he creates possibilities for other receivers and tight ends, which forces defenses to remain on their toes.

There is a possibility that their forthcoming performances could be affected by injuries, as key players such as Shane Whitter and Fatafehi Vailea II are currently out for the season. It is possible that the lack of clarity around running backs Makenzie McGill II and Caleb Hawkins will have an impact on the depth of their backfield rotation.

Even though they have faced these hurdles, they have been able to keep up their high level of play thanks to the depth of their roster, which has allowed numerous players to step up when it was necessary. In order for them to be successful in the final phases of the season, it will be vital to ensure that key players remain fit.

The San Diego State Aztecs are considered to be underdogs going into this bowl game; but, due to their impressive home record and great performance against the spread (ATS), they are definitely a pick worth considering. The fact that San Diego State has a perfect record against the spread in home games this season demonstrates their ability to perform better than expected on their own grounds. Furthermore, their flawless record of recovering from a setback (3-0 SU and ATS) is evidence of tenacity, which may prove to be advantageous in this meeting of two teams.

Notwithstanding the fact that it is ranked number 23 and has an amazing record of 11-2, North Texas has demonstrated defensive weaknesses, as evidenced by its rating of 115th in points against. The balanced offensive approach that the Aztecs have taken, which has led to them ranking 37th in rushing yards, has the potential to take advantage of this defensive defense vulnerability. San Diego State’s defense, on the other hand, is capable of suppressing the powerful offensive of North Texas. This season, San Diego State’s defense has allowed only 151 points, which places them in the 56th spot nationwide.

When taking into consideration San Diego State’s great home and away from home trends, as well as their strong defensive skills, it looks like the most practical choice to take the Aztecs with the points. The fact that the game will take place outside in Albuquerque should also be favorable to the defensive strategy of the Aztecs, which could result in the Mean Green scoring less points than their average for the season. Due to the fact that the Aztecs are aiming to recover from their most recent defeat, you should anticipate a close game that might wind up being decided by a single point.

The conclusion is that taking San Diego State at a point spread of +3.5 is a good bet because of their ATS trends, defensive prowess, and tendency to bounce back after suffering a disadvantage. It is reasonable to anticipate that the Aztecs will keep the game close, if not come out on top, which makes this spread an appealing wager.

✅ Our North Texas vs San Diego State Prediction: San Diego State

 

North Texas vs San Diego State Prediction and Pick ISLETA NEW MEXICO BOWL Picks, College Football Picks, by YouWager.lv.