Packers vs Lions Prediction and Pick, Week 13, NFL Betting Picks
Packers vs Lions Prediction and Pick, Week 13, NFL Betting Picks. Place a bet on this game with the best odds.
Packers vs Lions Prediction
Now we have the Packers vs Lions Prediction for both teams.
Taking into consideration Green Bay’s strong pass rush and their history of successfully thwarting Detroit’s rushing approach, my prediction for the Lions versus the Packers is that the Packers will cover the spread (+3, -105).
By pressuring Jared Goff and putting a stop to the two-headed rushing monster, multiple teams were able to defeat Detroit.
This season, Green Bay was successful in accomplishing both of these goals. During the game, Goff recorded four sacks, and Detroit’s rushing productivity averaged 2.1 yards per rush.
There has been a lack of consistency in Green Bay’s rushing defense throughout this season. Nevertheless, I do not believe that it is a coincidence that they made a step forward on Sunday with the return of Lukas van Ness being a part of it.
That accomplishment is, of course, not difficult to achieve when going up against a Vikings offense that is incapable of throwing the forward ball.
In spite of this, I think the matchup is favorable for Green Bay’s pass rush. The Packers had a pass-rush win rate that ranked tenth, excluding the play that took place on Sunday. A pass-block victory rate of 25th place is achieved by Detroit.
If Goff is able to take two or more sacks, the Lions have a record of 3-3, including the game on Sunday. Besides that, they have a record of 4-1 SU.
With regard to the offensive capabilities of the Packers, Green Bay should be successful through the air. On Sunday, Detroit only managed to record one sack and gave up 10.4 yards per attempt with their passing game.
The matchup that took place on Thursday is only the fourth time that Detroit has competed against a top-10 pass DVOA squad. With a 6.7 yards per attempt, they have a record of 0-3 in the first three games of the season.
In addition, Jordan Love has been the dominant player in man-heavy coverage tactics. This season, he has the most EPA per dropback versus man of any player in the league. In terms of DVOA against man coverage, he also holds the third spot.
As a result, I believe that the Packers will cover the spread while playing at Detroit with a short break.
✅ Our Packers vs Lions Pick: PACKERS
Packers vs Lions Prediction: Trends
- Over the past nine games, Green Bay has a record of 2-7 against the spread.
- In its last seven games, Green Bay has a winning percentage of 5-2.
- In its last 17 games versus Detroit, Green Bay has a head-to-head record of 5-12.
- After eight games against Detroit, Green Bay has a record of 2-6 on the road.
- In its last seven games played away from home, Green Bay has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- When playing on the road versus Detroit, Green Bay has a record of 2-6 against the spread in its last eight games.
- Six out of Green Bay’s last nine games against opponents from the National Football league league have resulted in the total going UNDER their expectations.
- Out of the five games that Green Bay has played in November, the total has been under in four of those games.
- In the last five games that Green Bay has played in week 13, the team has a perfect record against the spread.
- Over the past six games, Detroit has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
- In its last 20 games, Detroit has a winning percentage of 14-6.
- In its last five games played at home, Detroit has a winning record of 4-1 against the spread.
- When playing at home versus Green Bay, Detroit has a record of 6-2 against the spread in its last eight games.
- Over the course of its last 18 games versus teams from the National Football Conference, Detroit has a winning record of 14-4 against the opponent.
- There have been ten out of the previous fifteen games that Detroit has played against an opponent from the National Football Conference North division in which the total has gone over.
- After five games played in November, Detroit has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- In five of Detroit’s last six games played in week 13, the total has been higher than the point spread.
Packers vs Lions Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2025 | Lions | @Packers | +1.5 / 48 | Lost 13-27 | Lost / Under |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Lions | Packers | -3 / 53 | Won 34-31 | Push / Over |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Lions | @Packers | -3 / 48 | Won 24-14 | Won / Under |
| Nov 23, 2023 | Lions | Packers | -8.5 / 47 | Lost 22-29 | Lost / Over |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Lions | @Packers | -2.5 / 45 | Won 34-20 | Won / Over |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Lions | @Packers | +4.5 / 48 | Won 20-16 | Won / Under |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Lions | Packers | +4 / 49.5 | Won 15-9 | Won / Under |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Lions | Packers | +4 / 45 | Won 37-30 | Won / Over |
| Sep 20, 2021 | Lions | @Packers | +11.5 / 49 | Lost 17-35 | Lost / Over |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Lions | Packers | +9.5 / 55.5 | Lost 24-31 | Won / Under |
Packers vs Lions Prediction: Green Bay Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RB | Josh Jacobs (Knee) | Out |
| WR | Matthew Golden (Shoulder) | Out |
| RB | Josh Jacobs (Knee) | Doubtful |
| WR | Savion Williams (Foot) | Questionable |
| WR | Matthew Golden (Shoulder) | Questionable |
| WR | Dontayvion Wicks (Calf) | Questionable |
| RB | Josh Jacobs (Knee) | Questionable |
| RB | Josh Jacobs (Knee) | Out |
| WR | Matthew Golden (Shoulder) | Questionable |
| WR | Romeo Doubs (Chest) | Questionable |
| WR | Matthew Golden (Shoulder) | Out |
| WR | Matthew Golden (Shoulder) | Doubtful |
| WR | Savion Williams (Foot) | Questionable |
| WR | Dontayvion Wicks (Calf) | Questionable |
| WR | Matthew Golden (Shoulder) | Questionable |
| TE | Tucker Kraft (Knee) | Out |
| WR | Matthew Golden (Hip) | Questionable |
| WR | Dontayvion Wicks (Calf) | Out |
Packers vs Lions Prediction: Detroit Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| TE | Brock Wright (Ankle) | Questionable |
| TE | Sam LaPorta (Back) | Out |
Packers vs Lions Prediction: Green Bay Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/23/25
|
MIN
|
W 23-6
|
W-3.5
|
U45.5
|
W-175
|
|
11/16/25
|
@NYG
|
W 27-20
|
W-4.5
|
O43.5
|
W-205
|
|
11/10/25
|
PHI
|
L 10-7
|
L+1.5
|
U45.5
|
L+102
|
|
11/02/25
|
CAR
|
L 16-13
|
L-7.5
|
U45.5
|
L-340
|
|
10/26/25
|
@PIT
|
W 35-25
|
W-1.5
|
O44.5
|
W-120
|
|
10/19/25
|
@ARI
|
W 27-23
|
W-1.5
|
O47.5
|
W-120
|
|
10/12/25
|
CIN
|
W 27-18
|
W-2.5
|
U48.5
|
W-142
|
|
9/28/25
|
@DAL
|
W 40-40
|
L-1.5
|
O47.5
|
L-120
|
|
9/21/25
|
@CLE
|
L 13-10
|
L-5.5
|
U43.5
|
L-225
|
|
9/11/25
|
WAS
|
W 27-18
|
W-1.5
|
U48.5
|
W-120
|
Packers vs Lions Prediction: Detroit Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/23/25
|
NYG
|
W 34-27
|
L-8.5
|
O45.5
|
W-375
|
|
11/16/25
|
@PHI
|
L 16-9
|
L+3.5
|
U47.5
|
L+150
|
|
11/09/25
|
@WAS
|
W 44-22
|
W+1.5
|
O49.5
|
W+102
|
|
11/02/25
|
MIN
|
L 27-24
|
L-4.5
|
O47.5
|
L-198
|
|
10/20/25
|
TB
|
W 24-9
|
W-4.5
|
U49.5
|
W-180
|
|
10/12/25
|
@KC
|
L 30-17
|
L+3.0
|
U48.5
|
L+130
|
|
10/05/25
|
@CIN
|
W 37-24
|
W-8.5
|
O50.5
|
W-120
|
|
9/28/25
|
CLE
|
W 34-10
|
W-10.5
|
U45.5
|
W-500
|
|
9/22/25
|
@BAL
|
W 38-30
|
W+3.5
|
O49.5
|
W+145
|
|
9/14/25
|
CHI
|
W 52-21
|
W-4.5
|
O48.5
|
W-218
|
Packers vs Lions Prediction: Green Bay Offense
Overall
| GB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.91 | 13 | Points Scored | 11 | 22.09 |
| 222.45 | 14 | Passing Yards | 15 | 210.55 |
| 116.45 | 15 | Rushing Yards | 10 | 101.73 |
| 30:35 | 15 | Time on Field | 12 | 29:41 |
| 61.00 | 19 | Number of Plays | 13 | 61.09 |
| 5.56 | 11 | Yards Per Play | 9 | 5.11 |
Scoring
| GB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.91 | 13 | Points Scored | 11 | 22.09 |
| 3.45 | 27 | First Quarter | 27 | 6.09 |
| 5.55 | 26 | Second Quarter | 11 | 5.82 |
| 4.00 | 21 | Third Quarter | 5 | 3.27 |
| 10.64 | 1 | Fourth Quarter | 18 | 6.91 |
Passing
| GB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222.45 | 14 | Passing Yards | 15 | 210.55 |
| 30.36 | 24 | Pass Attempts | 15 | 31.82 |
| 20.64 | 18 | Pass Completions | 9 | 19.36 |
| 1.55 | 7 | Sacks | 8 | 2.91 |
| 11.45 | 26 | Sack Yards | 23 | 18.55 |
| 10.78 | 10 | Yards Per Pass | 29 | 10.87 |
Rushing
| GB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116.45 | 15 | Rushing Yards | 10 | 101.73 |
| 29.09 | 6 | Rush Attempts | 16 | 26.36 |
| 4.00 | 24 | Yards Per Rush | 6 | 3.86 |
Turn Overs
| GB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.27 | 3 | Interceptions | 12 | 0.82 |
| 1.09 | 20 | Fumbles | 5 | 1.36 |
| 0.36 | 9 | Fumbles Lost | 24 | 0.36 |
| 0.64 | 2 | Total Turnovers | 13 | 1.18 |
| 6.64 | 13 | Penalties | 27 | 5.82 |
| 49.64 | 10 | Penalty Yards | 29 | 42.09 |
Drives & Special Teams
| GB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DET Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:35 | 15 | Time on Field | 12 | 29:41 |
| 61.00 | 19 | Number of Plays | 13 | 61.09 |
| 5.56 | 11 | Yards Per Play | 9 | 5.11 |
| 3.18 | 10 | Punts | 7 | 4.18 |
| 50.47 | 3 | Punt Average | 14 | 46.98 |
| 92.91 | 32 | Return Yards | 21 | 139.82 |
Packers vs Lions Prediction: Detroit Offense
Overall
| GB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.36 | 5 | Points Scored | 2 | 29.64 |
| 182.27 | 5 | Passing Yards | 8 | 238.64 |
| 96.45 | 6 | Rushing Yards | 3 | 139.82 |
| 30:18 | 15 | Time on Field | 12 | 30:49 |
| 60.91 | 12 | Number of Plays | 17 | 61.73 |
| 4.58 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 3 | 6.13 |
Scoring
| GB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.36 | 5 | Points Scored | 2 | 29.64 |
| 1.45 | 1 | First Quarter | 7 | 6.00 |
| 5.55 | 8 | Second Quarter | 4 | 9.00 |
| 3.27 | 6 | Third Quarter | 15 | 4.91 |
| 7.82 | 25 | Fourth Quarter | 3 | 9.09 |
Passing
| GB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182.27 | 5 | Passing Yards | 8 | 238.64 |
| 33.45 | 18 | Pass Attempts | 18 | 32.27 |
| 22.00 | 21 | Pass Completions | 10 | 22.27 |
| 2.64 | 10 | Sacks | 11 | 2.09 |
| 15.55 | 19 | Sack Yards | 20 | 13.36 |
| 8.29 | 1 | Yards Per Pass | 11 | 10.71 |
Rushing
| GB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.45 | 6 | Rushing Yards | 3 | 139.82 |
| 24.82 | 10 | Rush Attempts | 13 | 27.36 |
| 3.89 | 7 | Yards Per Rush | 2 | 5.11 |
Turn Overs
| GB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | 22 | Interceptions | 6 | 0.45 |
| 0.64 | 28 | Fumbles | 2 | 0.45 |
| 0.45 | 17 | Fumbles Lost | 3 | 0.27 |
| 1.00 | 22 | Total Turnovers | 4 | 0.73 |
| 6.00 | 25 | Penalties | 10 | 6.27 |
| 54.36 | 21 | Penalty Yards | 9 | 47.36 |
Drives & Special Teams
| GB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DET Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:18 | 15 | Time on Field | 12 | 30:49 |
| 60.91 | 12 | Number of Plays | 17 | 61.73 |
| 4.58 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 3 | 6.13 |
| 3.64 | 13 | Punts | 20 | 3.73 |
| 48.54 | 25 | Punt Average | 24 | 45.88 |
| 122.64 | 9 | Return Yards | 23 | 118.91 |
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