Bills vs Texans Prediction and Pick, Week 12
Bills vs Texans Prediction and Pick, Week 12, NFL Betting Predictions. Place a bet on this game with the best odds.
Bills vs Texans Prediction – NFL Betting Predictions
Now we have the Bills vs Texans Prediction for both teams.
The Buffalo Bills and the Houston Texans will square off against one another at NRG Stadium on Thursday night, marking the beginning of the twelveth week of the National Football League calendar. Our NFL Picks will help you get ready for all the action-packed football games. They have split their first four games away from home, and they are currently 1.5 games behind New England for first place in the AFC East Division. The Bills have a record of 7-3. On Sunday, Buffalo had a home victory over Tampa Bay that they won by a score of 44-32. They did this by outscoring Tampa Bay by 11 points in the second half.
All-Pro quarterback The completion percentage for Josh Allen was 19 out of 30, resulting in 317 yards and three touchdowns. Buffalo wide receiver Tyrell Shavers caught four catches for a total of 90 yards and a touchdown. S. Over the course of the afternoon, the Bills were able to overcome three mistakes and Jordan Poyer collected 15 tackles, seven of which were solo.
For the season, the Houston Texans have a plus 57 point difference overall and have a home record that is one game above.500. The Texans, who have a record of 5-5, play the best total defense in the league and are preventing their opponents from scoring 16.3 points per game. Last week, Houston defeated Tennessee on the road by a score of 16-13 thanks to a field goal kick from Matthew Wright that was made from 35 yards out with the clock running out.
Davis Mills, the quarterback for Houston, started in place of C.J. Stroud for the second consecutive game and threw for 274 yards in the air. Midway through the third quarter, Mills completed a touchdown throw to Nico Collins for three yards, giving the Texans a 7-6 lead in the game. Tennessee was only able to gain 229 yards with the help of Houston, which also caused the game’s lone turnover.
Dalton Kincaid, a tight end for Buffalo, had a hamstring injury on Sunday, which caused him to miss the game. He is currently listed as questionable for this matchup. As far as total defense is concerned, the Bills are in the middle of the pack in the NFL, and they are allowing 22.9 points per game. When it comes to a game that goes over the total, you should anticipate Buffalo to come out on top.
✅ Our Bills vs Texans Pick: BUFFALO BILLS
Bills vs Texans Odds
Now, we have the Bills vs Texans odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | -5.5 | -250 | 43.5 O |
| Houston | +5.5 | +210 | 43.5 U |
Bills vs Texans Prediction: Trends
- In four of Buffalo’s most recent six games, the total has been reported as UNDER.
- Buffalo has a winning record of 12-5 in its last 17 games.
- In its last eight games versus Houston, Buffalo has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
- In its last six games played away from home, Buffalo has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
- When Buffalo has been playing Houston away from home, the total has been UNDER in five of the last five games that Buffalo has played.
- Over the course of the last five games that Buffalo has played against teams from the American Football Conference, the total has been under in four of those games.
- Over the course of its last six games against teams from the American Football Conference South division, Buffalo has a record of 4-2 against the spread.
- Buffalo has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread in its previous six games played in the month of November.
- In eight of Houston’s last eleven games, the total has registered as UNDER.
- In its last seven games, Houston has a winning percentage of 5-2.
- Every single one of Houston’s last eight games versus Buffalo has resulted with the total going UNDER.
- There have been four of Houston’s last five home games in which the total has been UNDER.
- When Houston has played Buffalo at home, the total has been UNDER in five of the last five games it has played versus Buffalo.
- In the last five games that Houston has played against an opponent from the American Football Conference, the team has a winning record of 4-1.
- The Houston Texans have a winning percentage of 3-7 in their previous ten games against teams that are in the East division of the American Football Conference.
- After playing 13 games in November, Houston has a record of 4-9 against the spread.
- After six games played in week 12, Houston has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
Bills vs Texans Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/06/24
|
@HOU
|
HOU 23-20
|
HOU-1.5
|
U48
|
HOU-125
|
|
10/03/21
|
@BUF
|
BUF 40-0
|
BUF-16.0
|
U47
|
BUF-1667
|
|
1/04/20
|
@HOU
|
HOU 22-19
|
HOU-2.5
|
U43.5
|
HOU-144
|
|
10/14/18
|
@HOU
|
HOU 20-13
|
HOU-10.5
|
U40.5
|
HOU-460
|
|
12/06/15
|
@BUF
|
BUF 30-21
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
9/28/14
|
@HOU
|
HOU 23-17
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/04/12
|
@HOU
|
HOU 21-9
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/01/09
|
@BUF |
HOU 31-10
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/19/06
|
@HOU
|
BUF 24-21
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
9/11/05
|
@BUF
|
BUF 22-7
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Bills vs Texans Prediction: Buffalo Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/16/25
|
TB
|
W 44-32
|
W-5.5
|
O49.5
|
W-230
|
|
11/09/25
|
@MIA
|
L 30-13
|
L-5.5
|
U48.5
|
L-225
|
|
11/02/25
|
KC
|
W 28-21
|
W-2.5
|
O48.5
|
W-135
|
|
10/26/25
|
@CAR
|
W 40-9
|
W-7.0
|
O47.5
|
W-310
|
|
10/13/25
|
@ATL
|
L 24-14
|
L-5.5
|
U48.5
|
L-225
|
|
10/05/25
|
NE
|
L 23-20
|
L-8.5
|
U46.5
|
L-380
|
|
9/28/25
|
NO
|
W 31-19
|
L-12.5
|
O46.5
|
W-650
|
|
9/18/25
|
MIA
|
W 31-21
|
W-8.5
|
O48.5
|
W-380
|
|
9/14/25
|
@NYJ
|
W 30-10
|
W-8.5
|
U44.5
|
W-380
|
|
9/07/25
|
BAL
|
W 41-40
|
L-1.5
|
O51.5
|
W-122
|
Bills vs Texans Prediction: Houston Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/16/25
|
@TEN
|
W 16-13
|
P-3.0
|
U43.5
|
W-155
|
|
11/09/25
|
JAC
|
W 36-29
|
W-3.5
|
O45.5
|
W-175
|
|
11/02/25
|
DEN
|
L 18-15
|
L+1.5
|
U45.5
|
L-105
|
|
10/26/25
|
SF
|
W 26-15
|
W+1.5
|
U45.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
10/20/25
|
@SEA
|
L 27-19
|
L+1.5
|
O44.5
|
L+102
|
|
10/05/25
|
@BAL
|
W 44-10
|
W+7.5
|
O47.5
|
W+270
|
|
9/28/25
|
TEN
|
W 26-0
|
W-5.5
|
U44.5
|
W-218
|
|
9/21/25
|
@JAC
|
L 17-10
|
L-1.5
|
U46.5
|
L-120
|
|
9/15/25
|
TB
|
L 20-19
|
L-1.5
|
U46.5
|
L-122
|
|
9/07/25
|
@LAR
|
L 14-9
|
L+2.5
|
U46.5
|
L+124
|
Bills vs Texans Prediction: Buffalo Offense
Overall
| BUF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HOU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.20 | 4 | Points Scored | 1 | 16.30 |
| 239.80 | 8 | Passing Yards | 3 | 171.00 |
| 147.60 | 1 | Rushing Yards | 3 | 87.10 |
| 32:22 | 3 | Time on Field | 3 | 27:38 |
| 62.00 | 15 | Number of Plays | 4 | 56.50 |
| 6.25 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 2 | 4.57 |
Scoring
| BUF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HOU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.20 | 4 | Points Scored | 1 | 16.30 |
| 6.20 | 6 | First Quarter | 18 | 4.40 |
| 7.00 | 16 | Second Quarter | 1 | 3.80 |
| 7.50 | 1 | Third Quarter | 19 | 5.00 |
| 8.50 | 7 | Fourth Quarter | 1 | 3.10 |
Passe
| BUF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HOU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239.80 | 8 | Passing Yards | 3 | 171.00 |
| 29.90 | 26 | Tentatives de passe | 15 | 31.40 |
| 20.70 | 16 | Pass Completions | 4 | 18.10 |
| 2.00 | 10 | Sacks | 14 | 2.50 |
| 11.20 | 26 | Sack Yards | 24 | 19.00 |
| 11.58 | 3 | Yards Per Pass | 4 | 9.45 |
Course
| BUF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HOU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147.60 | 1 | Rushing Yards | 3 | 87.10 |
| 30.10 | 3 | Rush Attempts | 3 | 22.60 |
| 4.90 | 5 | Yards Per Rush | 4 | 3.85 |
Turn Overs
| BUF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HOU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.70 | 17 | Interceptions | 3 | 1.00 |
| 1.20 | 25 | Fumbles | 14 | 1.10 |
| 0.50 | 17 | Fumbles Lost | 9 | 0.60 |
| 1.20 | 17 | Total Turnovers | 5 | 1.60 |
| 6.80 | 14 | Penalties | 7 | 7.40 |
| 56.30 | 21 | Penalty Yards | 11 | 57.50 |
Drives & Special Teams
| BUF Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | HOU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32:22 | 3 | Time on Field | 3 | 27:38 |
| 62.00 | 15 | Number of Plays | 4 | 56.50 |
| 6.25 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 2 | 4.57 |
| 3.10 | 7 | Punts | 2 | 5.20 |
| 44.55 | 29 | Punt Average | 14 | 47.58 |
| 131.10 | 15 | Return Yards | 18 | 135.80 |
Bills vs Texans Prediction: Houston Offense
Overall
| BUF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HOU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.90 | 14 | Points Scored | 21 | 22.00 |
| 169.70 | 2 | Passing Yards | 16 | 222.00 |
| 153.00 | 31 | Rushing Yards | 23 | 107.60 |
| 27:37 | 2 | Time on Field | 4 | 32:21 |
| 58.00 | 6 | Number of Plays | 4 | 64.60 |
| 5.56 | 22 | Yards Per Play | 25 | 5.10 |
Scoring
| BUF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HOU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.90 | 14 | Points Scored | 21 | 22.00 |
| 4.40 | 17 | First Quarter | 29 | 2.90 |
| 8.20 | 25 | Second Quarter | 18 | 6.70 |
| 3.30 | 6 | Third Quarter | 23 | 3.60 |
| 7.00 | 18 | Fourth Quarter | 5 | 8.80 |
Passe
| BUF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HOU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169.70 | 2 | Passing Yards | 16 | 222.00 |
| 27.20 | 2 | Tentatives de passe | 4 | 36.20 |
| 16.80 | 1 | Pass Completions | 5 | 23.30 |
| 2.60 | 10 | Sacks | 20 | 2.50 |
| 16.10 | 19 | Sack Yards | 5 | 20.80 |
| 10.10 | 18 | Yards Per Pass | 24 | 9.53 |
Course
| BUF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HOU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153.00 | 31 | Rushing Yards | 23 | 107.60 |
| 28.20 | 23 | Rush Attempts | 20 | 25.90 |
| 5.43 | 31 | Yards Per Rush | 22 | 4.15 |
Turn Overs
| BUF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HOU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.70 | 14 | Interceptions | 11 | 0.60 |
| 1.30 | 6 | Fumbles | 1 | 0.40 |
| 0.60 | 8 | Fumbles Lost | 7 | 0.30 |
| 1.30 | 11 | Total Turnovers | 9 | 0.90 |
| 5.00 | 31 | Penalties | 24 | 7.20 |
| 42.20 | 29 | Penalty Yards | 25 | 58.90 |
Drives & Special Teams
| BUF Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | HOU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:37 | 2 | Time on Field | 4 | 32:21 |
| 58.00 | 6 | Number of Plays | 4 | 64.60 |
| 5.56 | 22 | Yards Per Play | 25 | 5.10 |
| 3.90 | 9 | Punts | 27 | 4.20 |
| 48.13 | 20 | Punt Average | 9 | 48.55 |
| 140.00 | 21 | Return Yards | 30 | 102.30 |
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