Duke vs North Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 13, College Football Picks

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 13, College Football Picks. Place a bet on this NCAAF game with the best odds.

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction – College Football Picks

Now we have the Duke vs North Carolina Prediction for both teams.

In NCAA football action that will take place on Saturday at Kenan Memorial Stadium, the Duke Blue Devils and the North Carolina Tar Heels will compete against one another. Take a look at this prediction for Duke versus North Carolina. We will examine this from the point of view of betting in order to establish which of the two teams, Duke or North Carolina, is the best option. We are going to look at the current form and player performances of both sides, as well as the previous betting patterns and streaks that are associated with this encounter. Towards the end of this discussion, we will bring everything together by providing a synopsis that generates a rational selection for a betting outcome that is advantageous in this game.

Duke began the year with a record of 1-2, with a victory over Elon prior to suffering defeats at the hands of Illinois and Tulane. After that, the Blue Devils would go on to defeat North Carolina State, Syracuse, and Cal before suffering a defeat at the hands of Georgia Tech. Following a victory over Clemson, the team suffered yet another defeat, this time to the University of Connecticut by a score of 37-34. For the loss that occurred on November 8, Duke scored points in each and every quarter, but they also conceded points in each and every quarter. Despite the fact that the offense was able to create 390 total yards, 6.0 yards per play, and 26 first downs throughout the course of the game, they were only able to convert three of eight third-down opportunities and committed three turnovers.

In their game against Virginia, which took place over the weekend, Duke was trailing by 17-3 at the half, and then they allowed 14 points to be scored without a response in the third quarter. A handful of touchdowns that were only cosmetic (and points that were given up in each of the four quarters) led to the Blue Devils losing the game 34-17. During the game, quarterback Darian Mensah completed 18 of 35 passes for 213 yards and a touchdown, and running back Nate Sheppard had 12 carries for 43 yards. In addition, Landen King had two receptions for a total of 48 yards, and Jeremiah Hasley had three receptions for a total of 47 yards. Not only did Cooper Barkate have three receptions for 45 yards and a touchdown throughout the game, but he also had a touchdown catch.

The North Carolina team, on the other hand, has a record of 2-1 in their first three games, with a setback to TCU coming after victories over Charlotte and Richmond. After that, the Tar Heels suffered defeats at the hands of UCF, Clemson, Cal, and Virginia, but they bounced back with victories against Syracuse and Stanford. Despite being outscored 12-10 in the final quarter of their victory over the Cardinal on November 8, the Tar Heels managed to hold on and win the game by a score of 20-15. With only 13 first downs, the offense only managed to rack up a meager 253 yards, and the squad committed 11 penalties, which resulted in 73 yards of total penalties. The defense on the opposing side, on the other hand, held very solid up.

Earlier this week, Wake Forest was the opponent for UNC. The Tar Heels were defeated on the road by a score of 28-12, and during the game, they allowed a touchdown in each quarter. Gio Lopez, the quarterback, completed 21 of 36 passes for 201 yards, and Demon June, the running back, had nine carries for 32 yards. With five receptions for a total of 54 yards, Jake Johnson was the most productive receiver for the Tar Heels throughout the game, which they ultimately lost.

Although I’m leaning toward Duke, I’m probably going to turn my back on him. Considering that both teams are struggling (and coming off of defeats), there is not a lot to be excited about outside of the rivalry, and the Blue Devils are attempting to win their sixth game of the season. On the other hand, Duke’s offensive performance against a strong Virginia squad last weekend was very lackluster. They accumulated 255 total yards, 4.4 yards per play, 11 first downs, and were only successful on four out of fifteen third-down attempts. Despite the fact that the defense was successful in preventing a few of interceptions on the other side, they also allowed the Cavaliers to gain 540 yards, 22 first downs, and convert 12 of 19 third-down opportunities. There have been three of the last four games that Duke has lost, and in each of those four games, they have allowed at least 27 points to be scored against them. As a result of the fact that the Blue Devils have lost all six of their games this season by a margin of less than 19 points, a strong defensive performance during this weekend’s rivalry game will be essential to the Blue Devils’ success on the road.

✅ Our Duke vs North Carolina Pick: DUKE

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction: Trends

Eight out of Duke’s previous eleven games have resulted in the total going over.
In its last six games versus North Carolina, Duke has a record of 1-5 on the road.
In four of Duke’s most recent five games played away from home, the total has been over.
The Duke Blue Devils have a record of 2-8 in their previous ten games when they have played North Carolina away from home.
In its last nine games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast conference, Duke has a record of 7-2 against the spread.
One of Duke’s most recent five games versus a team from the Coastal Division has resulted in a loss for the Blue Devils.
In seven of Duke’s most recent ten games played in the month of November, the total has been over.
On average, North Carolina has a record of 7-13 in its last 20 games.
In four of North Carolina’s most recent five games, the total has been reported as UNDER.
Over the course of its last seven games, North Carolina has a winning percentage of 2-5.
In its last 13 games played at home, North Carolina has a record of 2-11 against the spread.
When playing at home against Duke, North Carolina has a winning record of 8-2 straight up in its last ten games.
Over the course of its last eight games versus teams from the Atlantic Coast conference, North Carolina has a winning percentage of 2-6.
Over the course of its last eight games against teams from the Coastal Division, North Carolina has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
Out of the five games that North Carolina has played in week 13, the total has been over in four of those games.
During the last eight games that North Carolina has played on a Saturday, the total has been UNDER in six of those games.

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction: Head to Head

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
9/28/24	@DUK	DUKE 21-20	DUK+1.5	U57.5	DUK-110
11/11/23	@NC	UNC 47-45	NC-9.5	O54.5	NC-385
10/15/22	@DUK	UNC 38-35	DUK+6.5	O66.5	DUK+185
10/02/21	@NC	UNC 38-7	NC-20.0	U72.5	NC-1100
11/07/20	@DUK	UNC 56-24	DUK+11.5	O63.5	DUK+340
10/26/19	@NC	UNC 20-17	NC-3.0	U53.5	NC-152
11/10/18	@DUK	DUKE 42-35	NL	NL	NL
9/23/17	@NC	DUKE 27-17	NL	NL	NL
11/10/16	@DUK	DUKE 28-27	NL	NL	NL
11/07/15	@NC	UNC 66-31	NL	NL	NL

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction: Blue Devils Last 10 Games

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
11/15/25	UVA	L 34-17	L-6.5	U57.5	L-235
11/08/25	@UCONN	L 37-34	L-13.5	O61	L-550
11/01/25	@CLE	W 46-45	W+2.5	O54.5	W+112
10/18/25	GT	L 27-18	L-1.5	U54.5	L-110
10/04/25	@CAL	W 45-21	W-1.5	O51.5	W-110
9/27/25	@SYR	W 38-3	W-1.5	U55.5	W-118
9/20/25	NCST	W 45-33	W-3.0	O57.5	W-130
9/13/25	@TUL	L 34-27	L+1.5	O52.5	L+146
9/06/25	ILL	L 45-19	L+1.5	O49.5	L-108
8/28/25	ELO	W 45-17	L-29.5	O47.5	W-20000

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction: Tar Heels Last 10 Games

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
11/15/25	@WF	L 28-12	L+6.5	O38.5	L+198
11/08/2	STA	W 20-15	L-8.5	U44.5	W-320
10/31/25	@SYR	W 27-10	WEVEN	U48.5	W-118
10/25/25	UVA	L 17-16	W+10.0	U51.5	L+340
10/17/25	@CAL	L 21-18	W+10.5	U48.5	L+330
10/04/25	CLE	L 38-10	L+12.5	U48.5	L+400
9/20/25	@UCF	L 34-9	L+2.5	U52.5	L+118
9/13/25	RCH	W 41-6	W-22.0	O46.5	W-2500
9/06/25	@CHA	W 20-3	L-21.5	U46.5	W-1205
9/01/25	TCU	L 48-14	L+3.5	O57.5	L+105

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction: Blue Devils Offense

Overall

DUKE Offense	Off. Rank	Stat	Def. Rank	UNC Defense
33.40	31	Points Scored	45	22.00
302.90	8	Passing Yards	61	215.90
129.80	100	Rushing Yards	26	114.10
27:32	126	Time on Field	87	30:42
65.50	83	Number of Plays	81	67.00
6.61	21	Yards Per Play	26	4.93

Scoring

DUKE Offense	Off. Rank	Stat	Def. Rank	UNC Defense
33.40	31	Points Scored	45	22.00
5.80	73	First Quarter	113	7.60
10.20	40	Second Quarter	31	5.60
7.20	39	Third Quarter	40	4.20
10.20	10	Fourth Quarter	16	3.90

Passing

DUKE Offense	Off. Rank	Stat	Def. Rank	UNC Defense
302.90	8	Passing Yards	61	215.90
36.20	18	Pass Attempts	90	32.20
24.40	11	Pass Completions	102	20.40
2.10	85	Sacks	14	2.80
15.00	38	Sack Yards	124	20.60
12.41	43	Yards Per Pass	25	10.58

Rushing

DUKE Offense	Off. Rank	Stat	Def. Rank	UNC Defense
129.80	100	Rushing Yards	26	114.10
29.30	129	Rush Attempts	63	34.80
4.43	58	Yards Per Rush	19	3.28

Turn Overs

DUKE Offense	Off. Rank	Stat	Def. Rank	UNC Defense
0.40	13	Interceptions	96	0.60
1.50	117	Fumbles	6	1.90
0.80	124	Fumbles Lost	46	0.60
1.20	58	Total Turnovers	82	1.20
6.80	95	Penalties	97	5.40
66.90	122	Penalty Yards	73	52.30

Drives & Special Teams

DUKE Offense	Off. Rank	Stat	Def. Rank	UNC Defense
27:32	126	Time on Field	87	30:42
65.50	83	Number of Plays	81	67.00
6.61	21	Yards Per Play	26	4.93
3.20	31	Punts	41	4.80
42.72	76	Punt Average	31	41.30
78.10	15	Return Yards	41	39.70

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction: Tar Heels Offense