Bears vs Vikings Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Bears vs Vikings Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.
Bears vs Vikings Prediction
Now we have the Bears vs Vikings Prediction for both teams.
The Week 11 showdown between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings brings another chapter in one of the NFC North’s most enduring rivalries. These two teams have seen their share of close, physical battles over the years, and their recent matchups reflect just how tight this series can be. Minnesota has had Chicago’s number lately, winning four of the last five meetings, including a dramatic 27-24 victory earlier this season in Week 1. The Vikings’ ability to make key plays late in games has been the difference, while the Bears continue to search for consistency on both sides of the ball. This upcoming matchup carries significant playoff implications — especially for a Bears team that’s trying to prove it belongs in the postseason conversation after a rollercoaster first half of the year. With Chicago holding a top-10 ranking in both passing and rushing offense, they have the tools to challenge Minnesota’s defense, but the Vikings’ balanced offensive approach and knack for forcing turnovers could tilt this game once again in their favor.
For the Bears, this game represents a chance to finally flip the script in this divisional rivalry. Chicago’s offense has been quietly efficient, ranking 15th in points scored and 10th in both passing and rushing yards. Their balance has allowed them to control the pace of games, averaging just over 31 minutes of possession per contest. Quarterback play has improved behind better protection — Chicago ranks top 10 in fewest sacks allowed and top 5 in yards per pass attempt (11.28). That ability to stretch the field has opened up running lanes for a backfield averaging 4.4 yards per carry. However, penalties continue to plague the Bears — they rank 31st in both penalties and penalty yards — often stalling promising drives. On defense, the Bears have struggled to contain the run, allowing 143 yards per game on the ground, which could become a major problem against Minnesota’s dynamic offense. If Chicago can limit their mistakes and capitalize in the red zone, they have a real shot to avenge that narrow Week 1 defeat.
The Vikings enter this matchup riding momentum after a gutsy road win over Detroit, showing once again their resilience under pressure. Minnesota’s offense hasn’t been flashy, but it’s been opportunistic — ranking middle of the pack in scoring but efficient when it matters most. Quarterback consistency and protection remain concerns, as the Vikings have allowed four sacks per game, one of the highest rates in the league. However, their defense has been the stabilizing force. Ranked top 10 in passing yards allowed and averaging just over 23 points given up per game, this unit has kept them competitive even when the offense sputters. The key matchup here will be Minnesota’s defensive front against Chicago’s offensive line — whichever side wins that battle could decide the outcome. If Minnesota can slow down the Bears’ ground game and force them into obvious passing situations, they’ll have the advantage. The Vikings have also been exceptional in close contests, and given their recent dominance in this series, that experience may once again be the difference.
✅ Our Bears vs Vikings Pick: VIKINGS
Bears vs Vikings Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9/08/25
|
@CHI
|
MIN 27-24
|
CHI-1.5
|
O45.5
|
CHI-112
|
|
12/16/24
|
@MIN
|
MIN 30-12
|
MIN+1.0
|
U43
|
MIN-110
|
|
11/24/24
|
@CHI
|
MIN 30-27
|
CHI+6.0
|
O45
|
CHI-155
|
|
11/27/23
|
@MIN
|
CHI 12-10
|
MIN-3.5
|
U44.5
|
MIN-180
|
|
10/15/23
|
@CHI
|
MIN 19-13
|
CHI+1.0
|
U48.5
|
CHI-110
|
|
1/08/23
|
@CHI
|
MIN 29-13
|
CHI+2.5
|
U45.5
|
CHI+110
|
|
10/09/22
|
@MIN
|
MIN 29-22
|
MIN-5.5
|
O43
|
MIN-195
|
|
1/09/22
|
@MIN
|
MIN 31-17
|
MIN-6.0
|
O45
|
MIN-260
|
|
12/20/21
|
@CHI
|
MIN 17-9
|
CHI+1.0
|
U42.5
|
CHI+160
|
|
12/20/20
|
@MIN
|
CHI 33-27
|
MIN-3.0
|
O46.5
|
MIN-154
|
Bears vs Vikings Prediction: Chicago Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/02/25
|
@CIN
|
W 47-42
|
W+3.0
|
O48.5
|
W+136
|
|
10/26/25
|
@BAL
|
L 30-16
|
L+7.0
|
U48.5
|
L+250
|
|
10/19/25
|
NO
|
W 26-14
|
W-7.5
|
U44.5
|
W-340
|
|
10/13/25
|
@WAS
|
W 25-24
|
W+4.5
|
O48.5
|
W+170
|
|
9/28/25
|
@LV
|
W 25-24
|
L-1.5
|
O45.5
|
W-120
|
|
9/21/25
|
DAL
|
W 31-14
|
W-3.0
|
U47.5
|
W-155
|
|
9/14/25
|
@DET
|
L 52-21
|
L+4.5
|
O48.5
|
L+180
|
|
9/08/25
|
MIN
|
L 27-24
|
L-1.5
|
O45.5
|
L-112
|
|
1/05/25
|
@GB
|
W 24-22
|
W+3.0
|
U47
|
W+130
|
|
12/26/24
|
SEA
|
L 6-3
|
L+1.0
|
U40.5
|
L-175
|
Bears vs Vikings Prediction: Minnesota Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/02/25
|
@DET
|
W 27-24
|
W+4.5
|
O47.5
|
W+164
|
|
10/23/25
|
@LAC
|
L 37-10
|
L+3.0
|
O44.5
|
L+130
|
|
10/19/25
|
PHI
|
L 28-22
|
L+3.0
|
O44.5
|
L+136
|
|
10/05/25
|
@CLE
|
W 21-17
|
L-7.0
|
U40.5
|
W-335
|
|
9/28/25
|
@PIT
|
L 24-21
|
L-2.5
|
O41.5
|
L-134
|
|
9/21/25
|
CIN
|
W 48-10
|
W-1.5
|
O47.5
|
W-122
|
|
9/14/25
|
ATL
|
L 22-6
|
L-4.5
|
U45.5
|
L-205
|
|
9/08/25
|
@CHI
|
W 27-24
|
W+1.5
|
O45.5
|
W-104
|
|
1/13/25
|
@LAR
|
L 27-9
|
L-2.5
|
U47.5
|
L-130
|
|
1/05/25
|
@DET
|
L 31-9
|
L+5.0
|
U47.5
|
L+170
|
Bears vs Vikings Prediction: Chicago Offense
Overall
| CHI Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIN Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.00 | 15 | Points Scored | 19 | 23.14 |
| 225.57 | 10 | Passing Yards | 8 | 188.00 |
| 124.57 | 10 | Rushing Yards | 24 | 130.43 |
| 31:00 | 12 | Time on Field | 24 | 31:29 |
| 62.29 | 15 | Number of Plays | 12 | 59.57 |
| 5.62 | 13 | Yards Per Play | 15 | 5.35 |
Scoring
| CHI Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIN Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.00 | 15 | Points Scored | 19 | 23.14 |
| 6.57 | 4 | First Quarter | 27 | 5.86 |
| 7.14 | 15 | Second Quarter | 10 | 5.71 |
| 3.86 | 21 | Third Quarter | 16 | 4.86 |
| 6.43 | 17 | Fourth Quarter | 18 | 6.71 |
Passing
| CHI Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIN Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225.57 | 10 | Passing Yards | 8 | 188.00 |
| 32.29 | 17 | Pass Attempts | 2 | 26.57 |
| 20.00 | 22 | Pass Completions | 4 | 18.14 |
| 1.71 | 8 | Sacks | 13 | 2.57 |
| 12.00 | 22 | Sack Yards | 19 | 16.00 |
| 11.28 | 4 | Yards Per Pass | 25 | 10.36 |
Rushing
| CHI Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIN Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.57 | 10 | Rushing Yards | 24 | 130.43 |
| 28.29 | 8 | Rush Attempts | 31 | 30.43 |
| 4.40 | 15 | Yards Per Rush | 16 | 4.29 |
Turn Overs
| CHI Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIN Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 13 | Interceptions | 27 | 0.43 |
| 1.14 | 23 | Fumbles | 11 | 1.14 |
| 0.29 | 10 | Fumbles Lost | 6 | 0.71 |
| 0.86 | 8 | Total Turnovers | 14 | 1.14 |
| 9.14 | 31 | Penalties | 12 | 7.43 |
| 76.14 | 31 | Penalty Yards | 7 | 60.57 |
Drives & Special Teams
| CHI Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIN Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:00 | 12 | Time on Field | 24 | 31:29 |
| 62.29 | 15 | Number of Plays | 12 | 59.57 |
| 5.62 | 13 | Yards Per Play | 15 | 5.35 |
| 3.43 | 16 | Punts | 8 | 4.14 |
| 47.70 | 16 | Punt Average | 16 | 47.70 |
| 165.71 | 2 | Return Yards | 20 | 137.14 |
Bears vs Vikings Prediction: Minnesota Offense
Overall
| CHI Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIN Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.43 | 25 | Points Scored | 18 | 22.14 |
| 207.43 | 13 | Passing Yards | 20 | 202.71 |
| 143.29 | 27 | Rushing Yards | 26 | 93.86 |
| 29:00 | 10 | Time on Field | 25 | 28:30 |
| 56.86 | 6 | Number of Plays | 28 | 57.14 |
| 6.17 | 30 | Yards Per Play | 21 | 5.19 |
Scoring
| CHI Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIN Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.43 | 25 | Points Scored | 18 | 22.14 |
| 3.43 | 9 | First Quarter | 18 | 3.86 |
| 8.86 | 26 | Second Quarter | 24 | 5.86 |
| 5.71 | 23 | Third Quarter | 14 | 5.43 |
| 8.43 | 25 | Fourth Quarter | 13 | 7.00 |
Passing
| CHI Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIN Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207.43 | 13 | Passing Yards | 20 | 202.71 |
| 27.71 | 5 | Pass Attempts | 20 | 31.29 |
| 20.00 | 13 | Pass Completions | 23 | 20.00 |
| 2.00 | 21 | Sacks | 31 | 4.00 |
| 9.14 | 6 | Sack Yards | 3 | 24.57 |
| 10.37 | 26 | Yards Per Pass | 16 | 10.14 |
Rushing
| CHI Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIN Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143.29 | 27 | Rushing Yards | 26 | 93.86 |
| 27.14 | 20 | Rush Attempts | 30 | 21.86 |
| 5.28 | 30 | Yards Per Rush | 18 | 4.29 |
Turn Overs
| CHI Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIN Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 1 | Interceptions | 30 | 1.14 |
| 1.00 | 15 | Fumbles | 32 | 1.71 |
| 0.71 | 5 | Fumbles Lost | 23 | 0.57 |
| 2.29 | 1 | Total Turnovers | 31 | 1.71 |
| 5.14 | 31 | Penalties | 25 | 7.86 |
| 36.29 | 30 | Penalty Yards | 26 | 61.86 |
Drives & Special Teams
| CHI Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIN Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:00 | 10 | Time on Field | 25 | 28:30 |
| 56.86 | 6 | Number of Plays | 28 | 57.14 |
| 6.17 | 30 | Yards Per Play | 21 | 5.19 |
| 2.71 | 31 | Punts | 26 | 4.14 |
| 47.06 | 11 | Punt Average | 13 | 48.18 |
| 145.71 | 26 | Return Yards | 8 | 150.00 |
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