Bears vs Vikings Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Bears vs Vikings Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Bears vs Vikings Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.

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Bears vs Vikings Prediction

Now we have the Bears vs Vikings Prediction for both teams.

The Week 11 showdown between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings brings another chapter in one of the NFC North’s most enduring rivalries. These two teams have seen their share of close, physical battles over the years, and their recent matchups reflect just how tight this series can be. Minnesota has had Chicago’s number lately, winning four of the last five meetings, including a dramatic 27-24 victory earlier this season in Week 1. The Vikings’ ability to make key plays late in games has been the difference, while the Bears continue to search for consistency on both sides of the ball. This upcoming matchup carries significant playoff implications — especially for a Bears team that’s trying to prove it belongs in the postseason conversation after a rollercoaster first half of the year. With Chicago holding a top-10 ranking in both passing and rushing offense, they have the tools to challenge Minnesota’s defense, but the Vikings’ balanced offensive approach and knack for forcing turnovers could tilt this game once again in their favor.

For the Bears, this game represents a chance to finally flip the script in this divisional rivalry. Chicago’s offense has been quietly efficient, ranking 15th in points scored and 10th in both passing and rushing yards. Their balance has allowed them to control the pace of games, averaging just over 31 minutes of possession per contest. Quarterback play has improved behind better protection — Chicago ranks top 10 in fewest sacks allowed and top 5 in yards per pass attempt (11.28). That ability to stretch the field has opened up running lanes for a backfield averaging 4.4 yards per carry. However, penalties continue to plague the Bears — they rank 31st in both penalties and penalty yards — often stalling promising drives. On defense, the Bears have struggled to contain the run, allowing 143 yards per game on the ground, which could become a major problem against Minnesota’s dynamic offense. If Chicago can limit their mistakes and capitalize in the red zone, they have a real shot to avenge that narrow Week 1 defeat.

The Vikings enter this matchup riding momentum after a gutsy road win over Detroit, showing once again their resilience under pressure. Minnesota’s offense hasn’t been flashy, but it’s been opportunistic — ranking middle of the pack in scoring but efficient when it matters most. Quarterback consistency and protection remain concerns, as the Vikings have allowed four sacks per game, one of the highest rates in the league. However, their defense has been the stabilizing force. Ranked top 10 in passing yards allowed and averaging just over 23 points given up per game, this unit has kept them competitive even when the offense sputters. The key matchup here will be Minnesota’s defensive front against Chicago’s offensive line — whichever side wins that battle could decide the outcome. If Minnesota can slow down the Bears’ ground game and force them into obvious passing situations, they’ll have the advantage. The Vikings have also been exceptional in close contests, and given their recent dominance in this series, that experience may once again be the difference.

Our Bears vs Vikings Pick: VIKINGS

Bears vs Vikings Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
9/08/25
MIN 27-24
CHI-1.5
O45.5
CHI-112
12/16/24
MIN 30-12
MIN+1.0
U43
MIN-110
11/24/24
MIN 30-27
CHI+6.0
O45
CHI-155
11/27/23
CHI 12-10
MIN-3.5
U44.5
MIN-180
10/15/23
MIN 19-13
CHI+1.0
U48.5
CHI-110
1/08/23
MIN 29-13
CHI+2.5
U45.5
CHI+110
10/09/22
MIN 29-22
MIN-5.5
O43
MIN-195
1/09/22
MIN 31-17
MIN-6.0
O45
MIN-260
12/20/21
MIN 17-9
CHI+1.0
U42.5
CHI+160
12/20/20
CHI 33-27
MIN-3.0
O46.5
MIN-154

Bears vs Vikings Prediction: Chicago Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/02/25
W 47-42
W+3.0
O48.5
W+136
10/26/25
L 30-16
L+7.0
U48.5
L+250
10/19/25
W 26-14
W-7.5
U44.5
W-340
10/13/25
W 25-24
W+4.5
O48.5
W+170
9/28/25
W 25-24
L-1.5
O45.5
W-120
9/21/25
W 31-14
W-3.0
U47.5
W-155
9/14/25
L 52-21
L+4.5
O48.5
L+180
9/08/25
L 27-24
L-1.5
O45.5
L-112
1/05/25
W 24-22
W+3.0
U47
W+130
12/26/24
L 6-3
L+1.0
U40.5
L-175

Bears vs Vikings Prediction: Minnesota Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/02/25
W 27-24
W+4.5
O47.5
W+164
10/23/25
L 37-10
L+3.0
O44.5
L+130
10/19/25
L 28-22
L+3.0
O44.5
L+136
10/05/25
W 21-17
L-7.0
U40.5
W-335
9/28/25
L 24-21
L-2.5
O41.5
L-134
9/21/25
W 48-10
W-1.5
O47.5
W-122
9/14/25
L 22-6
L-4.5
U45.5
L-205
9/08/25
W 27-24
W+1.5
O45.5
W-104
1/13/25
L 27-9
L-2.5
U47.5
L-130
1/05/25
L 31-9
L+5.0
U47.5
L+170

Bears vs Vikings Prediction: Chicago Offense

Overall

CHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIN Defense
24.00 15 Points Scored 19 23.14
225.57 10 Passing Yards 8 188.00
124.57 10 Rushing Yards 24 130.43
31:00 12 Time on Field 24 31:29
62.29 15 Number of Plays 12 59.57
5.62 13 Yards Per Play 15 5.35

Scoring

CHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIN Defense
24.00 15 Points Scored 19 23.14
6.57 4 First Quarter 27 5.86
7.14 15 Second Quarter 10 5.71
3.86 21 Third Quarter 16 4.86
6.43 17 Fourth Quarter 18 6.71

Passing

CHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIN Defense
225.57 10 Passing Yards 8 188.00
32.29 17 Pass Attempts 2 26.57
20.00 22 Pass Completions 4 18.14
1.71 8 Sacks 13 2.57
12.00 22 Sack Yards 19 16.00
11.28 4 Yards Per Pass 25 10.36

Rushing

CHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIN Defense
124.57 10 Rushing Yards 24 130.43
28.29 8 Rush Attempts 31 30.43
4.40 15 Yards Per Rush 16 4.29

Turn Overs

CHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIN Defense
0.57 13 Interceptions 27 0.43
1.14 23 Fumbles 11 1.14
0.29 10 Fumbles Lost 6 0.71
0.86 8 Total Turnovers 14 1.14
9.14 31 Penalties 12 7.43
76.14 31 Penalty Yards 7 60.57

Drives & Special Teams

CHI Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIN Defense
31:00 12 Time on Field 24 31:29
62.29 15 Number of Plays 12 59.57
5.62 13 Yards Per Play 15 5.35
3.43 16 Punts 8 4.14
47.70 16 Punt Average 16 47.70
165.71 2 Return Yards 20 137.14

Bears vs Vikings Prediction: Minnesota Offense

Overall

CHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIN Offense
26.43 25 Points Scored 18 22.14
207.43 13 Passing Yards 20 202.71
143.29 27 Rushing Yards 26 93.86
29:00 10 Time on Field 25 28:30
56.86 6 Number of Plays 28 57.14
6.17 30 Yards Per Play 21 5.19

Scoring

CHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIN Offense
26.43 25 Points Scored 18 22.14
3.43 9 First Quarter 18 3.86
8.86 26 Second Quarter 24 5.86
5.71 23 Third Quarter 14 5.43
8.43 25 Fourth Quarter 13 7.00

Passing

CHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIN Offense
207.43 13 Passing Yards 20 202.71
27.71 5 Pass Attempts 20 31.29
20.00 13 Pass Completions 23 20.00
2.00 21 Sacks 31 4.00
9.14 6 Sack Yards 3 24.57
10.37 26 Yards Per Pass 16 10.14

Rushing

CHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIN Offense
143.29 27 Rushing Yards 26 93.86
27.14 20 Rush Attempts 30 21.86
5.28 30 Yards Per Rush 18 4.29

Turn Overs

CHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIN Offense
1.57 1 Interceptions 30 1.14
1.00 15 Fumbles 32 1.71
0.71 5 Fumbles Lost 23 0.57
2.29 1 Total Turnovers 31 1.71
5.14 31 Penalties 25 7.86
36.29 30 Penalty Yards 26 61.86

Drives & Special Teams

CHI Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIN Offense
29:00 10 Time on Field 25 28:30
56.86 6 Number of Plays 28 57.14
6.17 30 Yards Per Play 21 5.19
2.71 31 Punts 26 4.14
47.06 11 Punt Average 13 48.18
145.71 26 Return Yards 8 150.00

 

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