Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction
Now we have the Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction for both teams.
The Week 11 matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Miami Dolphins brings together two teams struggling to find their rhythm but still searching for momentum in the second half of the season. Both clubs have endured a mix of inconsistent offense and defensive lapses, and this contest could easily turn into a battle of who makes fewer mistakes. The Dolphins come into this one with a record that reflects frustration more than failure—close games have slipped through their fingers due to turnovers and offensive inefficiency. Meanwhile, the Commanders’ season has been a similar rollercoaster, with a few bright moments on the ground but an inability to finish drives or keep pace against stronger offenses. Given Miami’s struggles to generate points and Washington’s difficulties containing opposing attacks, the key will likely be which team can control time of possession and win the turnover battle. Historically, Miami has had Washington’s number, taking four of the last five meetings, including a dominant 45-15 win last season. Both teams are desperate to bounce back, but the Dolphins’ home-field advantage and speed on offense could play a decisive role this time around.
For the Commanders, the recent weeks have been particularly harsh. They’ve dropped four straight games, allowing an average of 36.25 points per contest while struggling to generate consistent production through the air. Washington’s offense ranks 20th in scoring, but their passing attack has been among the league’s weakest—averaging just 189.5 yards per game, ranking 27th. The run game, however, has been a rare bright spot, sitting at fourth overall with nearly 140 yards per game. The offensive line has opened up lanes effectively, helping them average 5.08 yards per carry, third-best in the NFL. Unfortunately, the Commanders’ defense has not kept up its end of the bargain, allowing over 26 points per game and showing vulnerability both through the air and on the ground. Opponents are consistently finding big plays, with Washington surrendering 12.4 yards per pass attempt, the worst mark in the league. If the Commanders are going to pull off an upset, they’ll need to establish the run early, limit mistakes, and hope their front seven can create enough disruption to slow down Miami’s short-passing rhythm.
On the other hand, the Dolphins are also in dire need of a rebound, having lost seven of their last nine games. Miami’s offense has gone cold, managing just 20 points per game and showing a notable drop in efficiency compared to past seasons. They rank 23rd in passing and 25th in rushing, struggling to find balance and rhythm. The Dolphins’ offensive line issues have led to inconsistent protection and a lack of explosive plays, which has hampered their ability to sustain drives. Still, their defense has shown flashes, ranking 10th against the pass and forcing opponents into long, grind-it-out drives. Where they continue to suffer, however, is against the run—allowing 145.5 yards per game, ranking 30th in the league. That weakness plays directly into Washington’s biggest strength, setting up an intriguing clash of styles. If Miami can get back to attacking through the air and tighten up defensively in the red zone, they’ll have a strong chance to control the tempo. Ultimately, while both teams are struggling, Miami’s defensive speed and home advantage should be enough to tilt the balance their way.
✅ Our Commanders vs Dolphins 11 Pick: DOLPHINS
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8/17/24
|
@MIA
|
MIA 13-6
|
MIA-1.5
|
U35.5
|
MIA-130
|
|
12/03/23
|
@WAS
|
MIA 45-15
|
WAS+3.5
|
O48.5
|
WAS+145
|
|
10/13/19
|
@MIA
|
WAS 17-16
|
MIA+4.0
|
U42.5
|
MIA+174
|
|
9/13/15
|
@WAS
|
MIA 17-10
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/13/11
|
@MIA
|
MIA 20-9
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
9/09/07
|
@WAS
|
WAS 16-13
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/23/03
|
@MIA
|
MIA 24-23
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Washington Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/02/25
|
SEA
|
L 38-14
|
L-5.5
|
O47.5
|
L-225
|
|
10/27/25
|
@KC
|
L 28-7
|
L+3.5
|
U48.5
|
L+160
|
|
10/19/25
|
@DAL
|
L 44-22
|
L-2.5
|
O48.5
|
L-130
|
|
10/13/25
|
CHI
|
L 25-24
|
L-4.5
|
O48.5
|
L-205
|
|
10/05/25
|
@LAC
|
W 27-10
|
W+1.5
|
U47.5
|
W+102
|
|
9/28/25
|
@ATL
|
L 34-27
|
L-3.5
|
O48.5
|
L-175
|
|
9/21/25
|
LV
|
W 41-24
|
W-7.5
|
O47.5
|
W-340
|
|
9/11/25
|
@GB
|
L 27-18
|
L+1.5
|
U48.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/07/25
|
NYG
|
W 21-6
|
W-6.5
|
U45.5
|
W-350
|
|
1/26/25
|
@PHI
|
L 55-23
|
L+4.5
|
O47.5
|
L+188
|
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Miami Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/30/25
|
BAL
|
L 28-6
|
L+5.5
|
U47.5
|
L+185
|
|
10/26/25
|
@ATL
|
W 34-10
|
W+1.5
|
U46.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
10/19/25
|
@CLE
|
L 31-6
|
L-1.5
|
U43.5
|
L-122
|
|
10/12/25
|
LAC
|
L 29-27
|
L+1.5
|
O45.5
|
L+102
|
|
10/05/25
|
@CAR
|
L 27-24
|
L-1.5
|
O46.5
|
L-120
|
|
9/29/25
|
NYJ
|
W 27-21
|
W-5.5
|
O44.5
|
W-230
|
|
9/18/25
|
@BUF
|
L 31-21
|
L+8.5
|
O48.5
|
L+300
|
|
9/14/25
|
NE
|
L 33-27
|
L-2.5
|
O45.5
|
L-142
|
|
9/07/25
|
@IND
|
L 33-8
|
L+1.5
|
U45.5
|
L-104
|
|
1/05/25
|
@NYJ
|
L 32-20
|
L+1.5
|
O47
|
L+102
|
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Washington Offense
Overall
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.33 | 20 | Points Scored | 25 | 27.00 |
| 189.56 | 27 | Passing Yards | 10 | 198.11 |
| 139.89 | 4 | Rushing Yards | 30 | 145.56 |
| 28:23 | 27 | Time on Field | 24 | 31:36 |
| 58.67 | 23 | Number of Plays | 10 | 58.44 |
| 5.62 | 13 | Yards Per Play | 28 | 5.88 |
Scoring
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.33 | 20 | Points Scored | 25 | 27.00 |
| 2.44 | 31 | First Quarter | 17 | 4.22 |
| 7.89 | 9 | Second Quarter | 21 | 7.44 |
| 5.22 | 15 | Third Quarter | 30 | 7.00 |
| 6.78 | 18 | Fourth Quarter | 23 | 8.33 |
Passing
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189.56 | 27 | Passing Yards | 10 | 198.11 |
| 28.44 | 29 | Pass Attempts | 2 | 27.44 |
| 17.89 | 32 | Pass Completions | 13 | 20.33 |
| 2.67 | 23 | Sacks | 26 | 1.89 |
| 13.00 | 21 | Sack Yards | 10 | 12.56 |
| 10.60 | 10 | Yards Per Pass | 10 | 9.74 |
Rushing
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139.89 | 4 | Rushing Yards | 30 | 145.56 |
| 27.56 | 12 | Rush Attempts | 26 | 29.11 |
| 5.08 | 3 | Yards Per Rush | 28 | 5.00 |
Turn Overs
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 20 | Interceptions | 30 | 0.11 |
| 1.33 | 30 | Fumbles | 10 | 1.22 |
| 0.67 | 28 | Fumbles Lost | 5 | 0.67 |
| 1.33 | 23 | Total Turnovers | 27 | 0.78 |
| 7.11 | 23 | Penalties | 14 | 7.22 |
| 61.22 | 27 | Penalty Yards | 10 | 57.33 |
Drives & Special Teams
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:23 | 27 | Time on Field | 24 | 31:36 |
| 58.67 | 23 | Number of Plays | 10 | 58.44 |
| 5.62 | 13 | Yards Per Play | 28 | 5.88 |
| 3.22 | 11 | Punts | 26 | 3.00 |
| 48.60 | 12 | Punt Average | 31 | 49.97 |
| 147.00 | 9 | Return Yards | 17 | 131.33 |
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Miami Offense
Overall
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.22 | 22 | Points Scored | 26 | 20.00 |
| 253.56 | 29 | Passing Yards | 23 | 194.22 |
| 124.22 | 22 | Rushing Yards | 25 | 97.22 |
| 31:37 | 25 | Time on Field | 26 | 28:23 |
| 61.33 | 17 | Number of Plays | 30 | 56.22 |
| 6.16 | 30 | Yards Per Play | 20 | 5.18 |
Scoring
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.22 | 22 | Points Scored | 26 | 20.00 |
| 6.67 | 29 | First Quarter | 23 | 3.33 |
| 8.00 | 23 | Second Quarter | 15 | 7.44 |
| 6.44 | 26 | Third Quarter | 28 | 3.00 |
| 5.11 | 8 | Fourth Quarter | 21 | 6.22 |
Passing
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253.56 | 29 | Passing Yards | 23 | 194.22 |
| 30.33 | 12 | Pass Attempts | 18 | 32.11 |
| 20.44 | 14 | Pass Completions | 16 | 21.78 |
| 2.44 | 15 | Sacks | 15 | 2.22 |
| 15.00 | 15 | Sack Yards | 18 | 13.78 |
| 12.40 | 32 | Yards Per Pass | 26 | 8.92 |
Rushing
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.22 | 22 | Rushing Yards | 25 | 97.22 |
| 28.56 | 25 | Rush Attempts | 30 | 21.89 |
| 4.35 | 19 | Yards Per Rush | 13 | 4.44 |
Turn Overs
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | 20 | Interceptions | 31 | 1.22 |
| 0.89 | 19 | Fumbles | 29 | 1.33 |
| 0.11 | 32 | Fumbles Lost | 19 | 0.44 |
| 0.67 | 30 | Total Turnovers | 32 | 1.67 |
| 7.78 | 6 | Penalties | 11 | 6.44 |
| 66.44 | 5 | Penalty Yards | 19 | 54.22 |
Drives & Special Teams
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:37 | 25 | Time on Field | 26 | 28:23 |
| 61.33 | 17 | Number of Plays | 30 | 56.22 |
| 6.16 | 30 | Yards Per Play | 20 | 5.18 |
| 3.22 | 21 | Punts | 10 | 3.22 |
| 49.21 | 26 | Punt Average | 11 | 48.63 |
| 98.89 | 3 | Return Yards | 4 | 152.67 |
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