Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction and Pick Week 5, 2025
Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction Week 5, 2025. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.
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Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction
Now we have the Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction for both teams, starting with the head to head stats.
When looking at betting angles, both teams bring compelling trends to the table. Washington has been one of the better ATS teams in October, yet their overall inconsistency and struggles on the road can’t be ignored. The Chargers, with their strong defense and passing efficiency, seem to match up perfectly against Washington’s weaknesses. While Washington’s rushing dominance gives them a fighting chance, the Chargers’ ability to neutralize the run and exploit the Commanders’ pass defense suggests a clear advantage. Add in the head-to-head dominance from Los Angeles, and the Chargers appear primed to protect their home field in Week 5.
Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Head to Head
Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 12, 2021 | Chargers | @Commanders | +2.5 / 45.5 | Won 20-16 | Won / Under |
Dec 10, 2017 | Chargers | Commanders | -6 / 46.5 | Won 30-13 | Won / Under |
Nov 3, 2013 | Chargers | Commanders | -1 / 49.5 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Jan 3, 2010 | Chargers | @Commanders | +3 / 39 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
Nov 27, 2005 | Chargers | Commanders | +3.5 / 43.5 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Washington
The Commanders enter this Week 5 clash with one of the league’s most dangerous ground games, averaging over 157 rushing yards per contest. This physical rushing approach has been their identity, as they rank first in yards per carry and consistently wear down defenses late in games. However, their offensive balance remains an issue. The passing attack has struggled to generate consistent production, sitting near the bottom of the NFL in yards per game. On the other side of the ball, their defense has shown weaknesses against the pass, giving up 229 yards per game, which could be a major liability against the Chargers’ aerial assault. Washington’s road record is another concern, as they are just 1-5 against the Chargers historically and have struggled against AFC opponents in general.
Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Washington Trends
- Four of Washington’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
- Washington has a winning record of 9-3 in its previous 12 games.
- Washington has a record of 1-4-1 versus the Los Angeles Chargers in its last six games.
- When it comes to the Los Angeles Chargers, Washington has a record of 1-5 on the road.
- In its previous eight games played away from home, Washington has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
- In eight of Washington’s most recent eight games against opponents from the American Football Conference, the total has turned out to be higher than the point spread.
- A total of six of Washington’s previous eight games against opponents from the American Football Conference West division have ended with the total falling below the point spread.
- After playing 12 games in October, Washington has a record of 8-2-2 against the spread.
- During the fifth week of the season, Washington has a record of 1-6 on the road.
Washington Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/28/25
|
@ATL
|
L 34-27
|
L-3.5
|
O48.5
|
L-175
|
9/21/25
|
LV
|
W 41-24
|
W-7.5
|
O47.5
|
W-340
|
9/11/25
|
@GB
|
L 27-18
|
L+1.5
|
U48.5
|
LEVEN
|
9/07/25
|
NYG
|
W 21-6
|
W-6.5
|
U45.5
|
W-350
|
1/26/25
|
@PHI
|
L 55-23
|
L+4.5
|
O47.5
|
L+188
|
1/18/25
|
@DET
|
W 45-31
|
W+8.5
|
O55.5
|
W+410
|
1/12/25
|
@TB
|
W 23-20
|
W+3.0
|
U50.5
|
W+145
|
1/05/25
|
@DAL
|
W 23-19
|
W+5.5
|
U46.5
|
W+185
|
12/29/24
|
ATL
|
W 30-24
|
W+2.0
|
O46
|
W+110
|
12/22/24
|
PHI
|
W 36-33
|
W+2.5
|
O46.5
|
W+114
|
Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Washington Offense
Overall
WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LAC Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
26.67 | 7 | Points Scored | 3 | 16.67 |
196.67 | 20 | Passing Yards | 9 | 182.00 |
157.33 | 2 | Rushing Yards | 8 | 94.67 |
28:23 | 23 | Time on Field | 6 | 27:33 |
61.33 | 18 | Number of Plays | 7 | 57.00 |
5.77 | 6 | Yards Per Play | 9 | 4.85 |
Scoring
WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LAC Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
26.67 | 7 | Points Scored | 3 | 16.67 |
4.67 | 15 | First Quarter | 3 | 1.00 |
7.67 | 13 | Second Quarter | 10 | 5.33 |
4.67 | 12 | Third Quarter | 23 | 5.33 |
9.67 | 6 | Fourth Quarter | 8 | 5.00 |
Passing
WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LAC Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
196.67 | 20 | Passing Yards | 9 | 182.00 |
31.00 | 23 | Pass Attempts | 24 | 35.67 |
19.33 | 24 | Pass Completions | 12 | 20.67 |
2.67 | 23 | Sacks | 18 | 2.33 |
16.67 | 11 | Sack Yards | 17 | 15.00 |
10.17 | 14 | Yards Per Pass | 9 | 8.81 |
Rushing
WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LAC Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
157.33 | 2 | Rushing Yards | 8 | 94.67 |
27.67 | 11 | Rush Attempts | 1 | 19.00 |
5.69 | 1 | Yards Per Rush | 26 | 4.98 |
Turn Overs
WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LAC Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
0.00 | 6 | Interceptions | 7 | 1.00 |
0.33 | 8 | Fumbles | 22 | 0.67 |
0.33 | 18 | Fumbles Lost | 26 | 0.00 |
0.33 | 8 | Total Turnovers | 16 | 1.00 |
8.00 | 22 | Penalties | 9 | 8.33 |
57.67 | 16 | Penalty Yards | 8 | 69.33 |
Drives & Special Teams
WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LAC Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
28:23 | 23 | Time on Field | 6 | 27:33 |
61.33 | 18 | Number of Plays | 7 | 57.00 |
5.77 | 6 | Yards Per Play | 9 | 4.85 |
4.00 | 22 | Punts | 12 | 4.00 |
47.52 | 18 | Punt Average | 11 | 46.65 |
161.33 | 5 | Return Yards | 26 | 152.33 |
Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Los Angeles
The Chargers, meanwhile, look like a team starting to find rhythm. They rank second in the league in passing yards per game, led by explosive quarterback play and efficient ball distribution. Averaging over 270 yards through the air, they pose a serious challenge to a Commanders secondary that has had trouble containing opposing quarterbacks. Defensively, Los Angeles has been stellar, giving up just 16.6 points per game, ranking among the best in the NFL. They also excel at controlling the pace of play, maintaining possession and limiting opportunities for their opponents. Despite their relatively modest rushing numbers, their ability to finish games strong and limit late scoring from opponents makes them particularly dangerous in close matchups.
Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Los Angeles Trends
- Four of Washington’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
- Washington has a winning record of 9-3 in its previous 12 games.
- Washington has a record of 1-4-1 versus the Los Angeles Chargers in its last six games.
- When it comes to the Los Angeles Chargers, Washington has a record of 1-5 on the road.
- In its previous eight games played away from home, Washington has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
- In eight of Washington’s most recent eight games against opponents from the American Football Conference, the total has turned out to be higher than the point spread.
- A total of six of Washington’s previous eight games against opponents from the American Football Conference West division have ended with the total falling below the point spread.
- After playing 12 games in October, Washington has a record of 8-2-2 against the spread.
- During the fifth week of the season, Washington has a record of 1-6 on the road.
Los Angeles Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/28/25
|
@NYG
|
L 21-18
|
L-3.5
|
U43.5
|
L-175
|
9/21/25
|
DEN
|
W 23-20
|
W-1.5
|
U44.5
|
W-120
|
9/15/25
|
@LV
|
W 20-9
|
W-3.0
|
U44.5
|
W-155
|
9/05/25
|
KC
|
W 27-21
|
W+3.0
|
O45.5
|
W+122
|
1/11/25
|
@HOU
|
L 32-12
|
L-2.5
|
O43.5
|
L-148
|
1/05/25
|
@LV
|
W 34-20
|
W-1.0
|
O44.5
|
W-122
|
12/28/24
|
@NE
|
W 40-7
|
W-2.5
|
O41
|
W-135
|
12/19/24
|
DEN
|
W 34-27
|
W-3.5
|
O45
|
W-180
|
12/15/24
|
TB
|
L 40-17
|
L-3.0
|
O42.5
|
L-148
|
12/08/24
|
@KC
|
L 19-17
|
W+6.5
|
U44.5
|
L+215
|
Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Los Angeles Offense
Overall
WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LAC Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
19.00 | 12 | Points Scored | 15 | 23.33 |
229.00 | 23 | Passing Yards | 2 | 270.00 |
100.67 | 12 | Rushing Yards | 24 | 92.33 |
31:37 | 22 | Time on Field | 6 | 32:27 |
62.33 | 23 | Number of Plays | 8 | 65.67 |
5.29 | 17 | Yards Per Play | 10 | 5.52 |
Scoring
WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LAC Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
19.00 | 12 | Points Scored | 15 | 23.33 |
3.33 | 12 | First Quarter | 7 | 6.67 |
5.67 | 14 | Second Quarter | 19 | 6.67 |
2.00 | 5 | Third Quarter | 15 | 4.33 |
8.00 | 21 | Fourth Quarter | 24 | 5.67 |
Passing
WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LAC Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
229.00 | 23 | Passing Yards | 2 | 270.00 |
32.33 | 18 | Pass Attempts | 8 | 36.00 |
18.33 | 5 | Pass Completions | 7 | 24.00 |
3.00 | 10 | Sacks | 27 | 3.33 |
20.67 | 26 | Sack Yards | 10 | 16.67 |
12.49 | 31 | Yards Per Pass | 7 | 11.25 |
Rushing
WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LAC Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
100.67 | 12 | Rushing Yards | 24 | 92.33 |
27.00 | 20 | Rush Attempts | 15 | 26.33 |
3.73 | 8 | Yards Per Rush | 27 | 3.51 |
Turn Overs
WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LAC Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
0.00 | 32 | Interceptions | 11 | 0.33 |
0.33 | 30 | Fumbles | 29 | 1.67 |
0.00 | 32 | Fumbles Lost | 25 | 0.67 |
0.00 | 32 | Total Turnovers | 13 | 1.00 |
7.33 | 15 | Penalties | 4 | 5.00 |
55.33 | 16 | Penalty Yards | 5 | 35.67 |
Drives & Special Teams
WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LAC Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
31:37 | 22 | Time on Field | 6 | 32:27 |
62.33 | 23 | Number of Plays | 8 | 65.67 |
5.29 | 17 | Yards Per Play | 10 | 5.52 |
5.33 | 3 | Punts | 13 | 3.33 |
49.63 | 27 | Punt Average | 6 | 51.31 |
81.00 | 4 | Return Yards | 20 | 113.00 |
Our Pick: COMMANDERS
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