Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction Week 4, 2025
Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction Week 4, 2025. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.
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The Week 4 showdown between the Washington Commanders and Atlanta Falcons brings plenty of intrigue for bettors, with Washington holding a dominant head-to-head advantage.
Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction
From a betting perspective, Washington has been reliable in this series, going 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against Atlanta. The Falcons, on the other hand, have trended heavily toward the under, with nine of their last twelve totals finishing below expectations. That sets up a clash of betting trends, but Washington’s consistency, defensive toughness, and proven success against the Falcons give them the upper hand. Bettors looking for value may lean toward Washington to cover once again, while also considering the under based on Atlanta’s recent scoring woes and tendency to play in lower-scoring games.
Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | Commanders | Falcons | -3.5 / 46.5 | Won 30-24 | Won / Over |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Commanders | @Falcons | +2 / 41.5 | Won 24-16 | Won / Under |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Commanders | Falcons | -3.5 / 40.5 | Won 19-13 | Won / Under |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Commanders | @Falcons | -1 / 47.5 | Won 34-30 | Won / Over |
| Aug 22, 2019 | Commanders | @Falcons | -1 / 41 | Won 19-7 | Won / Under |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Commanders | Falcons | -1.5 / 46.5 | Lost 14-38 | Lost / Over |
| Aug 11, 2016 | Commanders | Falcons | -3 / 37 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Oct 11, 2015 | Commanders | Falcons | -7.5 / 48.5 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Dec 15, 2013 | Commanders | Falcons | -5.5 / 50 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Commanders | @Falcons | -3 / 50.5 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction: Washington
The Commanders have won six of the last seven meetings, including a 30-24 victory over the Falcons late last season. They have been consistent both straight up and against the spread, posting a 9-2 record over their last eleven games overall. Washington’s offense is powered by an efficient rushing attack, averaging 135.5 yards per game at 5.31 yards per carry, while their defense has been just as impressive, holding opponents to 16.5 points per game. With those numbers in mind, Washington enters this matchup as the side with both momentum and the matchup advantage.
Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction: Washington Trends
- Over the past nine games, Washington has a record of 6-3 against the spread.
- Washington has a winning record of 9-2 in its previous 11 games.
- Overall, Washington has a record of 6-1 against Atlanta in its last seven games.
- Washington has a winning record of 4-1 against Atlanta in its last five meetings.
- In its previous seven games played away from home, Washington has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
- When playing on the road versus Atlanta, Washington has a record of 5-1 against the spread in its last six games.
- In the last nine games that Washington has played against an opponent from the National Football Conference, the team has a winning record of 7-2.
- Over the course of its most recent nine games versus teams from the National Football Conference South division, Washington has a winning record of 8-1.
- Out of the five games that Washington has played in week 4, the total has been over in four of those games.
Washington Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9/21/25
|
LV
|
W 41-24
|
W-7.5
|
O47.5
|
W-340
|
|
9/11/25
|
@GB
|
L 27-18
|
L+1.5
|
U48.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/07/25
|
NYG
|
W 21-6
|
W-6.5
|
U45.5
|
W-350
|
|
1/26/25
|
@PHI
|
L 55-23
|
L+4.5
|
O47.5
|
L+188
|
|
1/18/25
|
@DET
|
W 45-31
|
W+8.5
|
O55.5
|
W+410
|
|
1/12/25
|
@TB
|
W 23-20
|
W+3.0
|
U50.5
|
W+145
|
|
1/05/25
|
@DAL
|
W 23-19
|
W+5.5
|
U46.5
|
W+185
|
|
12/29/24
|
ATL
|
W 30-24
|
W+2.0
|
O46
|
W+110
|
|
12/22/24
|
PHI
|
W 36-33
|
W+2.5
|
O46.5
|
W+114
|
|
12/15/24
|
@NO
|
W 20-19
|
W+2.5
|
U42
|
W+120
|
Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction: Washington Offense
Overall
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.50 | 23 | Points Scored | 2 | 14.50 |
| 195.50 | 23 | Passing Yards | 2 | 139.50 |
| 135.50 | 8 | Rushing Yards | 9 | 89.50 |
| 28:31 | 21 | Time on Field | 1 | 24:08 |
| 65.00 | 10 | Number of Plays | 2 | 51.00 |
| 5.09 | 21 | Yards Per Play | 4 | 4.49 |
Scoring
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.50 | 23 | Points Scored | 2 | 14.50 |
| 3.50 | 23 | First Quarter | 1 | 0.00 |
| 5.00 | 27 | Second Quarter | 19 | 8.00 |
| 0.00 | 32 | Third Quarter | 15 | 3.50 |
| 11.00 | 3 | Fourth Quarter | 4 | 3.00 |
Passing
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.50 | 23 | Passing Yards | 2 | 139.50 |
| 36.00 | 9 | Pass Attempts | 4 | 26.50 |
| 21.50 | 17 | Pass Completions | 1 | 14.00 |
| 3.50 | 30 | Sacks | 5 | 3.50 |
| 21.00 | 8 | Sack Yards | 27 | 23.00 |
| 9.09 | 22 | Yards Per Pass | 19 | 9.96 |
Rushing
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135.50 | 8 | Rushing Yards | 9 | 89.50 |
| 25.50 | 16 | Rush Attempts | 6 | 21.00 |
| 5.31 | 3 | Yards Per Rush | 18 | 4.26 |
Turn Overs
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | 12 | Interceptions | 7 | 1.00 |
| 0.00 | 6 | Fumbles | 2 | 2.00 |
| 0.00 | 15 | Fumbles Lost | 2 | 1.00 |
| 0.00 | 6 | Total Turnovers | 3 | 2.00 |
| 8.50 | 26 | Penalties | 15 | 6.50 |
| 59.50 | 20 | Penalty Yards | 11 | 55.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ATL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:31 | 21 | Time on Field | 1 | 24:08 |
| 65.00 | 10 | Number of Plays | 2 | 51.00 |
| 5.09 | 21 | Yards Per Play | 4 | 4.49 |
| 4.50 | 28 | Punts | 12 | 4.00 |
| 48.02 | 17 | Punt Average | 25 | 51.15 |
| 119.50 | 18 | Return Yards | 21 | 138.00 |
Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction: Atlanta
For Atlanta, the challenge lies in overcoming recent struggles and finding balance on offense. The Falcons were blanked 30-0 by Carolina in Week 3, raising major concerns about their offensive execution. While their rushing attack is among the league’s best with 143.5 yards per game, the lack of explosive plays in the passing game continues to limit their ceiling. Atlanta has also been a weak bet recently, going just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games and 2-6 ATS against NFC opponents. Despite a defense that has held opponents to 14.5 points per contest, the Falcons’ inability to sustain drives and win at home has been costly.
Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction: Atlanta Trends
- Over the past five games, Atlanta has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- Nine of Atlanta’s last twelve games have resulted with the total going UNDER.
- In its last five games, Atlanta has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- Five of Atlanta’s previous six games played at home have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- When playing at home versus Washington, Atlanta has a record of 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.
- Atlanta has a record of 2-6 against the spread in its previous eight games against teams that are members of the National Football Conference.
- A total of six of Atlanta’s last seven games against opponents from the National Football Conference East division have resulted in the total being lower than the point spread.
- In the past twenty games that Atlanta has played in the month of September, they have a record of 7 wins and 13 losses.
- After playing eight games in week 4, Atlanta has a record of 2-6 on the season.
Atlanta Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9/21/25
|
@CAR
|
L 30-0
|
L+1.5
|
U46.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/14/25
|
@MIN
|
W 22-6
|
W+4.5
|
U45.5
|
W+170
|
|
9/07/25
|
TB
|
L 23-20
|
L+1.5
|
U48.5
|
L+108
|
|
1/05/25
|
CAR
|
L 44-38
|
L-6.5
|
O45.5
|
L-278
|
|
12/29/24
|
@WAS
|
L 30-24
|
L-2.0
|
O46
|
L-130
|
|
12/22/24
|
NYG
|
W 34-7
|
W-4.5
|
U44.5
|
W-198
|
|
12/16/24
|
@LV
|
W 15-9
|
W-1.0
|
U45.5
|
W-115
|
|
12/08/24
|
@MIN
|
L 42-21
|
L-1.0
|
O45
|
L-118
|
|
12/01/24
|
LAC
|
L 17-13
|
L-2.5
|
U47.5
|
L-135
|
|
11/17/24
|
@DEN
|
L 38-6
|
L-3.0
|
U44.5
|
L-170
|
Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction: Atlanta Offense
Overall
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.50 | 6 | Points Scored | 21 | 21.00 |
| 213.00 | 18 | Passing Yards | 19 | 198.50 |
| 104.50 | 14 | Rushing Yards | 4 | 143.50 |
| 31:29 | 19 | Time on Field | 1 | 35:52 |
| 62.50 | 19 | Number of Plays | 8 | 67.00 |
| 5.08 | 12 | Yards Per Play | 20 | 5.10 |
Scoring
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.50 | 6 | Points Scored | 21 | 21.00 |
| 3.50 | 15 | First Quarter | 10 | 6.50 |
| 5.00 | 13 | Second Quarter | 28 | 3.00 |
| 3.00 | 14 | Third Quarter | 19 | 3.00 |
| 5.00 | 13 | Fourth Quarter | 12 | 8.50 |
Passing
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.00 | 18 | Passing Yards | 19 | 198.50 |
| 34.00 | 22 | Pass Attempts | 20 | 31.50 |
| 18.00 | 8 | Pass Completions | 22 | 20.00 |
| 2.00 | 24 | Sacks | 9 | 2.00 |
| 17.00 | 20 | Sack Yards | 12 | 18.00 |
| 11.83 | 29 | Yards Per Pass | 17 | 9.93 |
Rushing
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104.50 | 14 | Rushing Yards | 4 | 143.50 |
| 26.50 | 19 | Rush Attempts | 4 | 33.50 |
| 3.94 | 12 | Yards Per Rush | 19 | 4.28 |
Turn Overs
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | 32 | Interceptions | 1 | 0.00 |
| 0.50 | 28 | Fumbles | 14 | 1.00 |
| 0.00 | 32 | Fumbles Lost | 17 | 0.50 |
| 0.00 | 32 | Total Turnovers | 8 | 0.50 |
| 8.00 | 9 | Penalties | 12 | 6.50 |
| 56.00 | 10 | Penalty Yards | 7 | 42.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ATL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:29 | 19 | Time on Field | 1 | 35:52 |
| 62.50 | 19 | Number of Plays | 8 | 67.00 |
| 5.08 | 12 | Yards Per Play | 20 | 5.10 |
| 5.00 | 5 | Punts | 7 | 3.00 |
| 50.00 | 22 | Punt Average | 25 | 46.20 |
| 61.50 | 1 | Return Yards | 27 | 87.50 |
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Commanders vs Falcons Betting Prediction, NFL Week 18, by YouWager.lv.