Patriots vs Bills Betting Trends, Prediction, NFL Week 16
Patriots vs Bills Betting Trends, Prediction, NFL Week 16. The game is set for Sunday, December 22nd, 2024. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.
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Patriots vs Bills Betting Odds
Here are the Patriots vs Bills Betting Odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| PATRIOTS | +5.5 | +245 | 49.5 O |
| BILLS | -5.5 | -205 | 49.5 U |
Patriots vs Bills Betting Trends
Here are the Patriots vs Bills Betting trends for both teams, but first, we have the head-to-head for both teams:
Patriots vs Bills Betting Trends: Head-to-Head
Now in these Patriots vs Bills Betting trends, we have the head-to-head stats:
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | Bills | Patriots | -14.5 / 40 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Bills | @Patriots | -7.5 / 41.5 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Bills | Patriots | -8.5 / 44 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Dec 1, 2022 | Bills | @Patriots | -3.5 / 43.5 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Bills | Patriots | -4.5 / 43 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Dec 26, 2021 | Bills | @Patriots | – / 43.5 | Lost 0-0 | – / Under |
| Dec 6, 2021 | Bills | Patriots | -3 / 40 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Dec 28, 2020 | Bills | @Patriots | -7 / 47 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Bills | Patriots | -4 / 41 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Bills | @Patriots | +7 / 39.5 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
Patriots vs Bills Betting Trends: New England
These are the Patriots vs Bills Betting trends for New England:
- Over their last 12 games, New England scores 4–8 ATS.
- In four of New England’s last five games, the total has gone OVER.
- Over their last 13 games, New England has 2-11 SU.
- Out of their last six games versus Buffalo, New England scores 2–4 ATS.
- Against Buffalo, New England scores 1–5 SU in their last six games.
- Over their last seven road games, New England scores 1–6 SU.
- New England’s previous five games on the road against Buffalo show 1–4 SU.
- In their last five games against an American Football Conference East division opponent, New England score 1–4 ATS.
- In six of New England’s most recent December games, the total has gone over.
- In their previous six games in week sixteen, New England scores 2–4 ATS.
Patriots vs Bills Betting Trends: New England Player Props
- Over the Patriots’ last three East Coast games, Drake Maye has amassed 222+ throwing yards in each.
- In seven of his last eight away games versus AFC East opponent, Kendrick Bourne has recorded thirty+ rushing and receiving yards.
- In three of his last four visits to clubs with a winning record, Hunter Henry has scored at least one touchdown.
- Nine of Austin Hooper’s last ten December road visits have seen him recording 22+ receiving yards.
- With his club as a road underdog an AFC East opponent, Antonio Gibson has recorded 29+ running yards in each of his five prior outings.
- Over four of the Patriots’ past five games versus AFC opponents, Drake Maye has compiled 22+ completions.
- Just one short from ten career interceptions is Kyle Dugger.
Patriots vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo
These are the Patriots vs Bills Betting trends for Buffalo:
- In their last five games Buffalo has 4-1 ATS.
- In five of Buffalo’s last six games, the total has gone OVER.
- In their last nine games Buffalo has an 8-1 SU record.
- In five of Buffalo’s previous six games versus New England, the total has gone OVER.
- Buffalo’s previous six games at home have a 6-0 SU record.
- In four of Buffalo’s last five games versus New England, the total has gone OVER.
- In their most recent five games versus an American Football league league opponent, Buffalo have a 5-0 SU record.
- Out of Buffalo’s last 12 games against an American Football Conference East division opponent, the total has gone OVER in eight.
- In their last six games in week sixteen Buffalo had a 4-2 ATS.
- Buffalo’s last eight Sunday games have a 6-2 ATS record.
Patriots vs Bills Betting Trends: Buffalo Player Props
- In every last eight December game the Bills have seen Josh Allen score at least one touchdown.
- Dalton Kincaid has earned 32+ receiving yards in every one of his past eight home games versus AFC opponents.
- As home favorites versus AFC East opponent, Josh Allen has recorded 44+ rushing yards in five of the Bills’ last six December games.
- As favorites, Josh Allen has scored the last touchdown in each of the Bills’ past three Sunday games.
- Over four of the Bills’ last five Sunday games, Josh Allen has posted 262+ passing yards.
- In 13 of the Bills’ last 16 games at Highmark Stadium, James Cook has amassed 69+ running and receiving yards.
- In every last five December game the Bills have seen Josh Allen score two or more touchdowns.
- Over four of the Bills’ last five home games versus AFC opponents, Josh Allen has registered 23+ completions.
- Six of the Bills’ last seven home games against AFC East opponents have Josh Allen thrown three or more touchdowns.
- Just one shy from twenty career interceptions is Rasul Douglas.
Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction
Now, we have the Patriots vs Bills Betting prediction for both teams.
Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: New England
This is the Patriots vs Bills Betting prediction for New England.
With their playoff prospects currently at 0.0%, the Patriots rank 26th in our NFL power rankings approaching week 16. Four straight games had New England lost; in week 15, they lost the Cardinals 30-17. Although the Patriots were +6 underdogs in that game, they failed to cover the spread, therefore increasing their ATS record to 5-8-1 this season. Having underdogs in every game thus far, their average score margin is -7.1 points per game.
With an O/U record of 9-5, New England has over hit in every previous four game. While the O/U line has averaged 40.9 points this season, their games have averaged 41.1 points.
Entering week sixteen, the Patriots place 26th in our offensive power score. averaging 17, they are 28th in the NFL in points per game; their yards per game rank 29th with 292.4. Though it ranks lowest in passing yards per game, averaging 173.1, New England is 19th in passing attempts. Ground-wise, they have 119.3, 13th in rushing yards per game and 18th in rushing attempts. Though they rank 9th in red zone conversion rate, the Patriots are 27th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage, converting 34.3% of their tries.
In week 15, Drake Maye passed for 202 yards on 19/23 passing along with one touchdown and one interception. With 69 rushing yards on 13 runs, Rhamondre Stevenson led the club; Kendrick Bourne had 3 receptions for 44 yards. The Patriots failed to convert any of their six tries on third down, but they scored on two of their three red zone excursions. Held to just 3 points in the first 3 quarters, New England scored 14 points in the 4th quarter.
With their defense allowing Arizona to convert 66.7% of their third down efforts, the Patriots’ lost 30-17 against the Cardinals With a 5.1 average, they also yielded 163 running yards on 32 attempts. Despite not allowing any passing touchdowns, the Patriots allowed Arizona to complete 78.1% of their passes for 232 yards.
New England’s defense lost both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials and struggled to pressure the quarterback finishing with no sacks. The Patriots let 395 total yards across the field overall.
Patriots vs Bills Betting: New England Injury Report
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| G | Cole Strange (Knee) | Questionable |
| DT | Jaquelin Roy (Foot) | Out |
| T | Caedan Wallace (Ankle) | Out |
| DT | Christian Barmore (Undisclosed ) | Questionable |
| CB | Christian Gonzalez (Shoulder) | Questionable |
| WR | Javon Baker (Concussion) | Out |
| G | Cole Strange (Knee) | Out |
| DT | Jaquelin Roy (Neck) | Questionable |
| S | Jabrill Peppers (Knee) | Questionable |
| WR | DeMario Douglas (Ankle) | Questionable |
| DT | Christian Barmore (Personal) | Questionable |
| LB | Anfernee Jennings (Knee) | Questionable |
| CB | Christian Gonzalez (Hip) | Questionable |
| DE | Keion White (Knee) | Questionable |
| G | Cole Strange (Knee) | Questionable |
| DT | Jaquelin Roy (Neck) | Out |
Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: Buffalo
This is the Patriots vs Bills Betting prediction for Buffalo.
Ranked second in our NFL power rankings, the Bills have an 11-3 record and top the AFC East. Buffalo has a 100% chance of making the playoffs and winning the division according to our forecasts. Included a 48-42 victory over the Lions in week 15, the Bills are 6-0 at home and 5-3 on the road. Though they were 2.5-point underdogs in that game, the teams combined for 90 points and emerged on top in a high-scoring contest.
This season Buffalo is 9-5 against the spread and has an average scoring margin of +9.6 points per game. As underdogs, they are 2-2; as favorites, they are 7-3. With over hitting in their last two games, their O/U record is 9-5.
Going into week 16, our offensive power rankings have the bills perched atop them. Though they rank 20th in passing attempts, they are 2nd in the NFL in points per game with 31.8 and 7th in passing yards per game with 238.8. On 28.3 attempts per game, they average 130.8 running yards on the ground, eighth among all. Though they are 31st in red zone conversion rate, Buffalo leads the NFL in red zone attempts and is eighth in 3rd-down conversion percentage.
With 362 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Lions, Josh Allen has been on fire, rating 122 in week 15. In his last three games he hasn’t thrown an interceptions or been sacked. In week 15 James Cook rushed for 105 yards on 14 runs; Ty Johnson led the club in receiving with 5 catches for 114 yards.
In their 48-42 victory over the Lions, the Bills let up just 48 yards on the ground despite allowing 473 passing yards. With 15 running attempts, Buffalo’s defense was taxed and yet limited to 3.2 yards each attempt. Effective in recording three sacks and winning the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials, the Bills’ pass rush
Buffalo did let five throwing touchdowns, while the Lions converted on 46.2% of their third downs. The defense of the Bills will want to get better in passing defense for their next game.
Patriots vs Bills Betting: Buffalo Injury Report
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| TE | Dalton Kincaid (Knee) | Questionable |
| T | Tylan Grable (Groin) | Out |
| S | Taylor Rapp (Neck) | Questionable |
| TE | Quintin Morris (Shoulder) | Questionable |
| DE | Dawuane Smoot (Wrist) | Questionable |
| S | Damar Hamlin (Back) | Questionable |
| DE | Casey Toohill (Ribs) | Questionable |
| CB | Rasul Douglas (Knee) | Out |
| TE | Dalton Kincaid (Knee) | Questionable |
| TE | Dalton Kincaid (Knee) | Doubtful |
| DT | DeWayne Carter (Wrist) | Questionable |
| T | Tylan Grable (Groin) | Questionable |
| TE | Dalton Kincaid (Knee) | Questionable |
| DT | DeWayne Carter (Wrist) | Out |
| T | Tylan Grable (Groin) | Out |
| DT | DeWayne Carter (Wrist) | Questionable |
| LB | Matt Milano (Biceps) | Questionable |
| WR | Keon Coleman (Wrist) | Questionable |
| TE | Dalton Kincaid (Knee) | Out |
| WR | Keon Coleman (Wrist) | Doubtful |
| TE | Dalton Kincaid (Knee) | Questionable |
Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: Our Picks
Next in this Patriots vs Bills Betting prediction, we have the picks for this game.
Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: MoneyLine
In each of his last three games, Drake Maye has passed for more than 200 yards; in week 15 against the Cardinals, quarterback completed 19 of 23 passes and had one touchdown and one interception. He tossed for 238 yards in week 14 and 222 yards in week 13. On third down in week 15, New England’s offense failed to convert any of their six tries but did score on two of their three red zone trips.
Entering week sixteen, the Patriots have average points per game of 17, rank 28th in the NFL overall yards per game with 292.4, and With 173.1, they rank 32nd in passing yards per game; yet, they rank 13th in running, with 119.3 yards per game. Our offensive power rankings place New England 26th.
Over his previous three games, Josh Allen has been on fire; his passer ratings in week 15, week 14, and week 13 are 121, 117, and 141. On his most recent performance, he passed for 2 touchdowns and 362 yards against the Lions without an interception. Not allowing a sack in these three games, Buffalo’s offensive line has kept Allen free.
James Cook has been a major player in the run game; on 14 runs in week 15 he rushed for 105 yards and 2 touchdowns. He got 82 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 14 and 107 yards in week 13 prior that. With five catches for 114 yards, Ty Johnson paced the club in receiving in week 15.
- Free MoneyLine Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: BUFFALO.
Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: Total
The Patriots’ defense let Arizona convert on 66.7% of their third down tries in their 30-17 loss to the Cardinals. They battled to create pressure, finishing without sacks and losing both the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials even though they denied a passing score. The Patriots gave up 395 overall yards, with 163 coming on the ground over 32 tries. Arizona’s completion of 78.1% of their throws for 232 yards allowed by New England allowed
Buffalo defeated the Lions 48-42 with 473 yards passed through the air. The Bills had a great offensive effort, but their defense let five passing touchdowns and 38 completions. On third down, the Lions converted 46.2% of their chances, therefore showing a decent degree of success.
Recording three sacks and winning the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials, the Bills’ defense did manage to reach the quarterback. Detroit only carried the ball 15 times for 48 yards, while Buffalo’s defense held them to 3.2 yards per try.
- Free Total Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: UNDER.
Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: Spread
The Patriots are on a four-game losing run heading into week 16; they lost 30-17 to the Cardinals in week 15. New England slipped to 3-11, and today they rank 26th among our powers. Having been underdogs in all of their thus far games, they have a -7.1 scoring margin and are 5-8-1 against the spread.
The Patriots are more concerned in finishing the season well since they are not in playoff contention. Their division game record is 1-3; they are 2-6 on the road and 1-5 at home. With four straight over hits, New England is 9-5 on over/unders.
In their last three regular season games, New England has compiled a 0-3 record. Their record against the spread in this span is 1-2 to complement an over-under mark of 3-0. The Patriots let 23 and averaged 16 points per game over their last five away games. In these bouts, their record against the spread was 2-3; going 1-4 straight-up yields a different result.
With an 11-3 record entering week 16, the Bills rank second in our NFL power ratings and first in the AFC East. Buffalo is 9-5 against the spread and has a plus 9.6 scoring margin. As underdogs, they are 2-2; as favorites, they are 7-3. Their O/U record is 9-5, and they over hit two straight games.
The Bills recovered following a week 14 defeat to the Rams with a 48-42 victory over the Lions in week 15. In the contest Buffalo was a 2.5-point underdog; the 90 combined points readily cleared the 55.5-point line. The Bills have a perfect chance of qualifying for the playoffs and capturing the AFC East.
Across their last three games, Buffalo has gone 3-0. Regarding betting, the team came 2-1 ATS in these games. Their over/under in these games comes out as 2-1. Buffalo has averaging 34 points per game over their last five home games, allowing 27. The club went 4-1 against the spread, however their record in this run was 4-1.
- Free Spread Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: BUFFALO.
FREE Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: Our Picks
- Free MoneyLine Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: BUFFALO.
- Free Total Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: UNDER.
- Free Spread Patriots vs Bills Betting Prediction: BUFFALO.
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