Cubs vs Reds MLB Prediction and Pick, Today's MLB Betting Picks, 7-11-2026

Cubs vs Reds MLB Prediction and Pick, 7-11-2026. Today’s MLB Betting Picks – Best available odds at YouWager.lv. Claim your signup bonus.

Our Cubs vs Reds Pick: REDS

Despite Chicago’s stronger offensive production and defensive metrics, Cincinnati offers value behind Nick Lodolo, who owns a solid 4.15 career ERA with an impressive 3.56 strikeout-to-walk ratio. The Reds’ bullpen has been more reliable at converting save opportunities than Chicago’s, while their relief corps has also done a better job stranding inherited runners. Although the Cubs average over five runs per game, their pitching staff has struggled with home runs and late-game consistency. If Lodolo delivers a quality start, Cincinnati has the opportunity to capitalize on Chicago’s bullpen issues. Pick: Cincinnati.

MATCHUP	Cubs	Reds
Cubs vs Reds Moneyline	-150	+125
Where	Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
When	Saturday, July 11, 2026

Cubs vs Reds MLB Prediction – 7-11-2026 – MLB Betting Picks

Here is our Cubs vs Reds MLB Prediction for both teams:

Cubs Preview

In terms of the average number of runs scored per game, the Chicago Cubs are currently ranked fifth in the league with 5.1. Along with having an on-base percentage of.337 as a club, they have scored a total of 471 runs since the beginning of the season. As a team, the Cubs have been responsible for 147 two-baggers and have been responsible for 118 balls that have been hit out of the park. In addition to the 776 hits they have collected throughout the season, they have also racked up 439 runs batted in, and their batting average at the plate is.244. The Chicago Cubs have a batting average of.412, have struck out 778 times, and have struck out 778 times while drawing a walk 406 times.

The team’s pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.27, and they have a K/BB ratio of 2.49 with their pitchers. In addition to allowing 421 runs in total, Cubs pitchers have yielded 142 home runs, which places them seventeenth in the league. During the course of the game, Chicago has allowed 761 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and 400 earned runs. As of the end of the season, the Cubs have a team earned run average of 4.35, which places them twenty-first in the league. Additionally, their pitching staff has racked up 726 hits. This season, their pitching staff has walked 291 batters from opposing teams, and their batting average per innings (FIP) has been 4.78.

Over the course of the season, the Cubs have sent 305 relief pitchers to the mound to take on the challenge of pitching. To this point in the season, relief pitchers have been responsible for inheriting 139 base runners, and 33.1% of those players have ended up scoring against them. This year, the relievers have a total of 33 holds, which places them 29th in the league. There have been 96 instances in which Cubs relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base, and they have also made 89 appearances in high leverage situations. During the course of the season, they have made 18 saves, but they have failed to make 16 of the 34 save opportunities they have had. There have been 73 different save situations in which the Cubs bullpen has entered the game, and they have a save percentage of 52.9%.

There have been 7,446 innings played by the Cubs, and they have converted 71.9% of balls hit into play into outs. This puts them in second place in the Major League Baseball. Over the course of this season, the Chicago Cubs have racked up 2,482 putouts, 858 assists, and 37 errors from their players. Together, they have 69 double plays and a fielding percentage of.989, which places them in fourth place in the Major League Baseball.

Over the course of his professional baseball career, Assad has thrown for 387 innings and has a total of 304 strikeouts to his credit. For his career, he has a WHIP of 1.297 and an earned run average of 3.53 (152 earned runs allowed). With 151 walks, he has allowed 351 base knocks, which is equivalent to 8.2 hits per nine innings pitched. Assad has a career record of 24-13 wins and 13 losses, and he has earned a fielding-in percentage of 3.48. During his time in the major leagues, Assad has faced 1,630 batters from opposing teams.

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a club batting average of.227 and an on-base percentage of.309 for the season. Additionally, the Reds have a team on-base percentage of.399. Among the Major League Baseball players, they have a total of 698 base hits and have struck out 876 times. During the course of the season, Cincinnati has not only hit 113 home runs but also contributed 365 runs batted in. On average, the Reds are generating 4.17 runs per game, which places them in 23rd place in the league. Their team slugging percentage is.389. A total of 384 runs have been scored by them, and they have hit 145 two-baggers. Additionally, they have won 344 free bases.

As a staff, the Reds have a WHIP of 1.447 and a FIP of 4.96 for the year. Additionally, the Reds have a WHIP of their own. As a pitching staff, they are presently placed twenty-first in the Major League Baseball in terms of total hits allowed, with 772. In the current season, the Cincinnati pitching staff has allowed 442 runs to be scored against them, resulting in an earned run average of 4.53 (412 earned runs surrendered). They have a strikeout-to-base ratio of 8.10, which accounts for 738 strikeouts against 413 free passes. They have allowed 124 home runs, and their run average per nine innings is 4.86, which places them twenty-first in the league.

The team has a save percentage of 55.3%, which places them in the 25th position in the league, and they have used 328 relievers throughout the course of the season. The bullpen relievers for this team have been called upon to pitch 112 times in high leverage situations, and they have also done so 105 times with runners on base. The Reds have a total of 90 save situations, 51 of which they have held, and 17 of which they not held. In the 38 save opportunities that Cincinnati has had, the bullpen relievers have been called upon to take the mound, and they have managed to come away with 21 saves. The bullpen relievers in Cincinnati have an inherited scoring percentage of 24.7% out of 146 runners that they have inherited at their disposal.

The Reds have played 7,371 innings on the field, and their defensive efficiency is currently at 70.5%, which places them eleventh in all of baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have a fielding percentage of.985, which places them 18th in all of professional baseball. They have also been the recipients of 68 double plays. At this point in the season, the Reds have racked up a total of 2,457 putouts, 756 assists, and 50 errors.

With a career record of 27-24, Lodolo has a 4.15 earned run average (ERA) while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings pitched. Over the course of his career, he has faced 1,999 batters from opposing teams, and he has a strikeout-to-base ratio of 3.56. Along with a WHIP of 1.244 and a FIP of 4.1, he has allowed 215 earned runs to be scored against him. The total number of base hits that Lodolo has allowed throughout his career is 439, and he has recorded 502 strikeouts while pitching 466 innings.

Today’s Betting Picks 7-11-2026

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Cubs vs Reds MLB Prediction and Pick, 7-11-2026. MLB Betting Picks, by YouWagert.lv

Cubs vs Reds MLB Prediction and Pick, Today’s MLB Betting Picks, 7-11-2026