Arizona State vs Duke Prediction and Pick TONY THE TIGER SUN BOWL Picks, College Football Picks

It has been decided that the Arizona State Sun Devils will compete against the Duke Blue Devils in the Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl, which will take place in the Sun Bowl in El Paso, Texas. The game is scheduled to take place on Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at 2:00 PM, and it will be broadcast on CBS. Both teams are entering the postseason with records that are comparable to one another, which makes for an intriguing clash. Over the course of the regular season, Arizona State, which competed in the Big 12 conference, finished with an 8-4 record. Their performance on the road is 3-2, despite the fact that they have a solid record of 5-2 at home. Their most recent postseason appearance was a College Football Playoff Quarterfinal matchup against Texas, which they lost by a score of 39-31. The game took place in the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl. After the conclusion of the season, Duke, which was a member of the Atlantic Coast Conference, finished with an 8-5 record. In comparison to their record at home, which is 3-3, they have posted a record of 5-2 when playing away from home. In their final postseason game, Duke was defeated by Ole Miss by a score of 52-20 in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl. This was a devastating disappointment for Duke.

During the 2025 season, the offense of the Duke Blue Devils has demonstrated incredible growth and development. Their aerial attack has been a significant contributor to their success, as seen by the fact that they place sixth in passing yards with a total of 3668 yards.

In spite of the fact that their running game ranks 81st with 1750 yards, they have nevertheless managed to accumulate a good number of first downs, which places them in the 12th position nationwide. They have been able to earn a position in the top 15 for points scored because to the balanced offensive approach that they have used.

In spite of the fact that it ranks 142nd in terms of points allowed, Duke’s defense has been outstanding in other categories. With 13 interceptions, they are tied for 14th place, and they have eight fumbles recovered, which places them in the top 10 of the rankings for fumble recoveries.

They have a total of 26 sacks for the season, which places them in sixteenth place, showcasing their ability to effectively pressure quarterbacks from rival teams. Their recent winning run can be attributed in large part to the effective defense that they have displayed.

Over the course of the season, quarterback Darian Mensah has been an outstanding performance, leading the team in passing yards with 3646 and touchdowns with 30. The success of Duke University can be attributed in large part to his leadership on the field.

Additionally, running back Nate Sheppard has been an important contributor, as he has rushed for 962 yards and scored 10 touchdowns thus far. In important moments of the game, his ability to gain tough yards has proven to be an invaluable asset.

With three consecutive victories under their belt, the Blue Devils are currently on a run. Their most recent triumph, which they achieved against Virginia by a score of 27-20, demonstrated their tenacity when playing away from home.

A demonstration of their offensive prowess was provided by the 49 points that they scored in their victory over Wake Forest. They are getting closer to their next game, and this form could prove to be crucial.

As of this season, Arizona State’s offense has experienced a downturn, and it currently ranks 70th in terms of points scored with 296. They have only accumulated 2,533 yards in their passing game, which places them 85th in the nation. Their passing game has been less productive. Despite this, their running attack continues to be strong, as it currently ranks 32nd with 2,319 yards.

The fact that the Sun Devils were only able to score seven points in their most recent game against Arizona is evidence of the difficulties they face on offense. Due to the fact that they only had 12 first downs and 114 passing yards, they had a difficult time moving the ball effectively.

With 32 sacks, Arizona State’s pass rush ranks tenth in the nation, indicating that the team’s defensive performance has been promising. When it comes to forcing turnovers, they are also very good at it, ranking eighth in both interceptions and fumbles recovered with seven apiece. They are ranked 93rd defensively despite these strengths, as they have allowed 276 points to be scored against them.

After allowing 23 points to be scored against Arizona in their most recent game, their defensive efforts were put to the test. They need to strengthen their defense in order to provide support for their offense in the games that are coming ahead.

During the past few weeks, Arizona State has displayed a range of results, with three of their most recent five games being victories. They had a remarkable performance in their victory over Colorado, in which they scored 42 points and allowed only 17 points to be scored against them. On the other hand, their performance has been inconsistent, as evidenced by their defeats versus Arizona and Houston.

In their victory over West Virginia, which was decided by a razor-thin margin of 25-23, the Sun Devils displayed a remarkable level of resiliency. As they face opponents that are more difficult to beat, they need to continue to build on this momentum.

With only seven games under his belt, quarterback Sam Leavitt has performed exceptionally well, accumulating 1,628 passing yards and ten touchdowns. Nevertheless, the team will miss him greatly owing to the injury he sustained a while ago. In terms of the rushing game, Raleek Brown has been an outstanding performer, as he currently ranks 15th nationally with 1,141 yards.

Wide receiver Jordyn Tyson has shown to be a dependable target, as evidenced by his 711 receiving yards and eight touchdowns, respectively. It will be impossible for them to overcome the offensive obstacles they are currently facing without his help.

As the Duke Blue Devils prepare to compete against the Arizona State Sun Devils in the Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl, they are a small favorite with a 1.5 point advantage. As of this season, Duke’s offense has been performing exceptionally well, as evidenced by their ranking of 15th in points scored and 6th in passing yards. The fact that they are able to maximize on their offensive capabilities, particularly in passing, should serve them well when they are competing against the defense of Arizona State.

Despite the fact that Arizona State has been competitive this season, the team has demonstrated weaknesses, particularly on the defensive side, where they now rank 93rd in terms of points allowed. The balanced strategy that Duke takes should be able to negate Arizona State’s attempts, despite the fact that they have a potent rushing offense. The recent postseason history of Arizona State indicates that the school faces difficulties when competing against powerful offensive teams.

With a record of 24-5 in their previous 29 games, Duke has an exceptional track record as favorites. This record indicates that they have a consistent track record of winning games that they are anticipated to win. The fact that they have finished with a record of 19-6 in games played at home since 2022 is more evidence that they are capable of doing well in this environment. On account of Duke’s offensive depth and strategic play-calling, the outdoor environment of the Sun Bowl ought to be suitable for the Blue Devils.

The Dukes are in a strong position to cover the -1.5 spread for a number of reasons, including their overall advantage in offensive capabilities and their historical performance as favorites. A close contest is reflected in the projected score, which supports the notion that Duke’s offensive strength will prevail in the end.

✅ Our Arizona State vs Duke Prediction: Duke

 

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