Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction and Pick, Week 13, NFL Betting Picks
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction and Pick, Week 13, NFL Betting Picks. Place a bet on this game with the best odds.
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction
Now we have the Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction for both teams.
The Kansas City Chiefs were classified as 4-point road chalk on the holiday Thursday, according to the look-ahead line that was available before the results of Week 12 were announced. In the aftermath of the comeback that the Dallas Cowboys made against Philadelphia, the official opening line was set at Kansas City -3.5, which is just a hair away from the underappreciated crucial number of four.
As of the morning of Monday, the wager on the favorite is -105, and the choice that is more affordable is K.C. -3.5. I believe that this spread will continue for a short period of time, taking into consideration the fact that there will be public backing for both sides. However, given that the Chiefs are still competing for a spot in the postseason, it would not come as a surprise to me if the Chiefs were to turn up with a score of -4.
It’s not for those reasons that I’m leaning toward the Chiefs, but otherwise. It was more the Eagles losing that game than it was the Cowboys winning it that led to Dallas’ comeback for the Cowboys. In the beginning of the game, Philadelphia took a three-score lead, but Dallas was able to draw back into the game thanks to errors and penalties.
Due to the fact that this will be the Cowboys’ third game in a span of ten days, they are now in danger of suffering a defeat on a short week. After 14 Thanksgiving games, they have a record of 3-11 against the spread.
During the first few hours of play, this number fluctuated between 51.5 and 52.5, and it remained just above the crucial total of 51 points.
Due to the fact that it is a Thanksgiving Day game, a large number of people will be playing at the Over. Considering that this current number appears to be padded for that action, if you are interested in betting on the Under, you need make sure that you are getting a figure that is greater than 51 points.
Due to a dearth of explosive plays on offense, the Chiefs need to avoid getting into a shootout with the Cowboys. They simply cannot afford to lose. The Kansas City Chiefs will play possession football, just like they did against Indianapolis, and will work their way down the field in a systematic manner.
When it came to restricting the most effective offense in the league in Week 12, Kansas City’s defense performed an excellent job, particularly when it came to stuffing the run game of Indianapolis. That pass pressure won’t give Dak Prescott enough time to hit his wide receivers for long looks, and Dallas will have a brief window of opportunity to prepare for the creative blitzes that Steve Spagnoulo will be implementing.
✅ Our Chiefs vs Cowboys Pick: CHIEFS
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction: Trends
- Six of Kansas City’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- In its most recent nine games, Kansas City has a winning percentage of 6-3.
- In its previous seven games played away from home, Kansas City has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- The last five games that Kansas City has played on the road versus Dallas have resulted in a losing record of 0-5.
- During the last 11 games that Kansas City has played against an opponent from the National Football Conference, the team has a winning record of 9-2.
- During the last five games that Kansas City has played against teams that are members of the National Football Conference East division, the total has been under in four of those games.
- After eight games played in November, Kansas City has a record of 0-8 against the spread.
- In six of Dallas’ most recent eight games, the total has been “over.”
- There have been six of Dallas’ last eight games against Kansas City in which the total has been UNDER.
- In its previous seven games played at home, Dallas has a home record of 5-2 against the spread.
- When playing at home versus Kansas City, Dallas has a perfect straight-up record of 5-0 in its last five games.
- Four out of the five most recent games that Dallas has played against an opponent from the American Football Conference have resulted in the total going over.
- Seven out of the previous ten games that Dallas has played against teams that are members of the American Football Conference West division have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- The over/under record for Dallas’s previous five games played in November is 4-1.
- In its last ten games played in week 13, Dallas has a winning percentage of 8-2.
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | Chiefs | Cowboys | -2.5 / 56 | Won 19-9 | Won / Under |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Chiefs | @Cowboys | +2 / 53 | Lost 17-28 | Lost / Under |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Chiefs | @Cowboys | +3 / 45 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
| Oct 11, 2009 | Chiefs | @Cowboys | -7 / 43.5 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Dec 11, 2005 | Chiefs | Cowboys | -3 / 43.5 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Sep 2, 2004 | Chiefs | Cowboys | -2 / 39 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction: Kansas City Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| WR | Xavier Worthy (Ankle) | Questionable |
| RB | Isiah Pacheco (Knee) | Out |
| RB | Isiah Pacheco (Knee) | Questionable |
| RB | Isiah Pacheco (Knee) | Out |
| RB | Isiah Pacheco (Knee) | Questionable |
| RB | Isiah Pacheco (Knee) | Doubtful |
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction: Dallas Injury List
N/A
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction: Kansas City Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/23/25
|
IND
|
W 23-20
|
L-9.5
|
U45.5
|
W-425
|
|
11/16/25
|
@DEN
|
L 22-19
|
L-1.5
|
U44.5
|
L-120
|
|
11/02/25
|
@BUF
|
L 28-21
|
L+2.5
|
O48.5
|
L+114
|
|
10/27/25
|
WAS
|
W 28-7
|
W-3.5
|
U48.5
|
W-192
|
|
10/19/25
|
LV
|
W 31-0
|
W-9.5
|
U45.5
|
W-425
|
|
10/12/25
|
DET
|
W 30-17
|
W-3.0
|
U48.5
|
W-155
|
|
10/06/25
|
@JAC
|
L 31-28
|
L-4.5
|
O47.5
|
L-218
|
|
9/28/25
|
BAL
|
W 37-20
|
W-1.5
|
O48.5
|
W-122
|
|
9/21/25
|
@NYG
|
W 22-9
|
W-6.5
|
U43.5
|
W-285
|
|
9/14/25
|
PHI
|
L 20-17
|
LEVEN
|
U46.5
|
L-110
|
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction: Dallas Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/23/25
|
PHI
|
W 24-21
|
W+4.5
|
U46.5
|
W+164
|
|
11/17/25
|
@LV
|
W 33-16
|
W-1.5
|
O45.5
|
W-120
|
|
11/03/25
|
ARI
|
L 27-17
|
L-1.5
|
U52.5
|
L-122
|
|
10/26/25
|
@DEN
|
L 44-24
|
L+4.5
|
O45.5
|
L+164
|
|
10/19/25
|
WAS
|
W 44-22
|
W+2.5
|
O48.5
|
W+110
|
|
10/12/25
|
@CAR
|
L 30-27
|
L-1.5
|
O46.5
|
L-120
|
|
10/05/25
|
@NYJ
|
W 37-22
|
W-1.5
|
O44.5
|
W-120
|
|
9/28/25
|
GB
|
W 40-40
|
W+1.5
|
O47.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/21/25
|
@CHI
|
L 31-14
|
L+3.0
|
U47.5
|
L+130
|
|
9/14/25
|
NYG
|
W 40-37
|
L-4.5
|
O44.5
|
W-185
|
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction: Kansas City Offense
Overall
| KC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DAL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.18 | 9 | Points Scored | 31 | 28.55 |
| 257.73 | 2 | Passing Yards | 30 | 252.27 |
| 118.27 | 14 | Rushing Yards | 22 | 125.18 |
| 32:35 | 1 | Time on Field | 22 | 31:08 |
| 66.45 | 1 | Number of Plays | 26 | 63.82 |
| 5.66 | 9 | Yards Per Play | 28 | 5.91 |
Scoring
| KC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DAL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.18 | 9 | Points Scored | 31 | 28.55 |
| 2.64 | 30 | First Quarter | 31 | 7.73 |
| 9.00 | 6 | Second Quarter | 24 | 8.27 |
| 5.55 | 8 | Third Quarter | 17 | 4.55 |
| 7.73 | 10 | Fourth Quarter | 23 | 7.73 |
Passing
| KC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DAL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257.73 | 2 | Passing Yards | 30 | 252.27 |
| 37.00 | 4 | Pass Attempts | 24 | 34.45 |
| 23.82 | 4 | Pass Completions | 27 | 23.45 |
| 2.18 | 14 | Sacks | 16 | 2.27 |
| 12.91 | 22 | Sack Yards | 22 | 18.00 |
| 10.82 | 8 | Yards Per Pass | 27 | 10.76 |
Rushing
| KC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DAL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118.27 | 14 | Rushing Yards | 22 | 125.18 |
| 27.27 | 14 | Rush Attempts | 22 | 27.09 |
| 4.34 | 17 | Yards Per Rush | 24 | 4.62 |
Turn Overs
| KC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DAL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.64 | 15 | Interceptions | 25 | 0.45 |
| 0.91 | 12 | Fumbles | 20 | 0.82 |
| 0.09 | 1 | Fumbles Lost | 16 | 0.45 |
| 0.73 | 5 | Total Turnovers | 24 | 0.91 |
| 6.91 | 18 | Penalties | 2 | 8.36 |
| 57.64 | 23 | Penalty Yards | 1 | 71.64 |
Drives & Special Teams
| KC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | DAL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32:35 | 1 | Time on Field | 22 | 31:08 |
| 66.45 | 1 | Number of Plays | 26 | 63.82 |
| 5.66 | 9 | Yards Per Play | 28 | 5.91 |
| 2.64 | 2 | Punts | 21 | 3.27 |
| 47.34 | 18 | Punt Average | 11 | 46.58 |
| 121.18 | 20 | Return Yards | 15 | 128.09 |
Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction: Dallas Offense
Overall
| KC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DAL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.27 | 4 | Points Scored | 4 | 29.09 |
| 195.36 | 11 | Passing Yards | 1 | 266.82 |
| 97.64 | 8 | Rushing Yards | 12 | 120.45 |
| 28:08 | 4 | Time on Field | 14 | 30:40 |
| 54.36 | 1 | Number of Plays | 5 | 64.82 |
| 5.39 | 19 | Yards Per Play | 5 | 5.97 |
Scoring
| KC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DAL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.27 | 4 | Points Scored | 4 | 29.09 |
| 4.00 | 12 | First Quarter | 24 | 3.55 |
| 5.45 | 5 | Second Quarter | 1 | 12.36 |
| 4.27 | 15 | Third Quarter | 7 | 6.00 |
| 4.55 | 5 | Fourth Quarter | 19 | 6.64 |
Passing
| KC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DAL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.36 | 11 | Passing Yards | 1 | 266.82 |
| 28.91 | 6 | Pass Attempts | 3 | 37.00 |
| 20.09 | 13 | Pass Completions | 2 | 25.64 |
| 2.00 | 23 | Sacks | 6 | 1.55 |
| 8.18 | 3 | Sack Yards | 29 | 9.55 |
| 9.72 | 8 | Yards Per Pass | 14 | 10.41 |
Rushing
| KC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DAL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.64 | 8 | Rushing Yards | 12 | 120.45 |
| 23.45 | 4 | Rush Attempts | 20 | 26.27 |
| 4.16 | 17 | Yards Per Rush | 11 | 4.58 |
Turn Overs
| KC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DAL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | 23 | Interceptions | 19 | 0.73 |
| 0.82 | 21 | Fumbles | 29 | 1.27 |
| 0.27 | 27 | Fumbles Lost | 22 | 0.55 |
| 0.82 | 28 | Total Turnovers | 19 | 1.27 |
| 6.27 | 22 | Penalties | 30 | 7.91 |
| 60.09 | 3 | Penalty Yards | 30 | 66.27 |
Drives & Special Teams
| KC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | DAL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:08 | 4 | Time on Field | 14 | 30:40 |
| 54.36 | 1 | Number of Plays | 5 | 64.82 |
| 5.39 | 19 | Yards Per Play | 5 | 5.97 |
| 3.36 | 19 | Punts | 6 | 3.09 |
| 48.39 | 23 | Punt Average | 15 | 47.75 |
| 144.36 | 25 | Return Yards | 17 | 127.55 |
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