Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction and Pick, Week 13, College Football Picks
Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction and Pick, Week 13, College Football Picks. Place a bet on this NCAAF game with the best odds.
Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction – College Football Picks
Now we have the Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction for both teams.
In Week 13 of the 2025 College Football Regular Season, the Michigan State Spartans will travel to Iowa City to compete against the Iowa Hawkeyes. The game will take place in Iowa City. Kinnick Stadium will serve as the venue for the game, and the schedule calls for the game to begin at 3:30 p.m. on Saturday, November 22, 2025. As the action unfolds, fans can watch it live on FS1.
As of right now, Michigan State has a record of 3-7, and they are looking to win their first game away from home this season. They have struggled throughout the season, with a record of 0-4 away from home and a record of 0-7 in Big Ten conference play. The Spartans have exhibited offensive potential in previous games but have constantly fallen short, as demonstrated in their recent 28-10 loss to Penn State.
On the other hand, the Iowa Hawkeyes have been more competitive within the conference, holding a 4-3 record. They have a record of 6-4 overall. The Iowa Hawkeyes have been solid at home, with a record of 4-2 at Kinnick Stadium, despite recent disappointments, including a close loss to the University of Southern California by a score of 26-21. Iowa will seek to bounce back and boost their place in the Big Ten.
During the current season, the Iowa Hawkeyes have demonstrated some difficulties in their passing game, as they currently rank 124th with only 1336 passing yards. This indicates that they continue to rely on their ground game, which currently ranks 45th in the nation with 1813 yards gained through rushing the ball. It will be extremely important for them to strike a balance between the two facets of their offense when they play Michigan State.
As of this season, the Hawkeyes have scored 287 points, which places them in the 50th overall position. In order for them to gain an advantage over the Spartans, it will be essential for them to be able to convert opportunities into points.
Iowa’s defense has been a strong suit, as they have only allowed 149 points, which places them 58th in the country in terms of scoring defense. They have been successful in their pass rush, as evidenced by their 19 sacks, which places them 17th in the nation. The capacity of the defense to exert pressure will be of critical importance in the process of disrupting the offensive rhythm of Michigan State.
Additionally, the Hawkeyes’ secondary has been stellar, as evidenced by their ranking of eleventh with ten interceptions so far this season. Creating turnovers will be essential in obtaining field position and maybe scoring opportunities.
At the quarterback position, Mark Gronowski is the driving force behind Iowa’s offense. He has thrown for 1216 yards and six touchdowns with his passing. When it comes to achieving a balance in Iowa’s attacking approach, his performance will be crucial.
As a running back, Kamari Moulton is an outstanding performer, as evidenced by his 612 yards gained on the ground. His ability to gain yardage on the ground will be instrumental in controlling the game’s pace.
Having just suffered a narrow defeat at the hands of USC by a score of 26-21, the Hawkeyes have demonstrated their competitive attitude when facing top-tier teams. The rushing game that Iowa played against USC was a testament to their tenacity, as they recorded 183 yards on the ground.
Iowa’s defense had a difficult time stopping the run in their most recent game against Oregon, which resulted in the team conceding 261 yards of rushing. In order to be successful against a physically demanding team like Michigan State, it will be vital to address these defensive mistakes.
The Michigan State Spartans have struggled this season, with their offensive productivity ranked 72nd in points scored. Despite having a respectable performance in terms of throwing yards, where they are ranked 83rd, their rushing game has been lacking, and they are now ranked 99th. Because of this disparity in their offensive capabilities, they have encountered a significant obstacle.
Defensively, the Spartans have showed some strength in areas like as sacks, where they rank 19th, and interceptions, where they hold an astounding 4th position. The fact that they allowed 311 points to be scored against them places them in 120th place, which brings their overall defensive ranking down. This disparity suggests that the team is capable of making significant plays but has difficulty maintaining consistency.
During their most recent matchup against Penn State, the Spartans were crushed by a score of 28-10. They were only able to generate 12 first downs, while their opponent was able to generate 19. Despite the fact that their passing yardage was marginally more effective than Penn State’s, it was not sufficient to secure a victory for them. As evidenced by their limited ground game against the Nittany Lions, another area of concern has been the offense’s ability to gain yards through the rush.
Although the Spartans were defeated by Minnesota by a score of 23-20, they displayed a more balanced offensive approach by gaining 311 yards through the air and 156 yards through the ground. Michigan State was unable to capitalize on opportunities in the vital moments, despite the fact that they gained more yardage than Minnesota. Over the course of this season, there has been a recurrent theme of games that are close but fall short in terms of execution.
Aidan Chiles, the best quarterback for the Spartans, has thrown for 1,392 yards and ten touchdowns, but his future is currently uncertain due to an injury that has not been disclosed. This might have a huge impact on the offensive game plan that Michigan State employs in the event that he is unable to play. Makhi Frazier is the leader of the rushing offense on the ground, with 520 yards per game, despite the fact that his production ranks 122nd nationally.
The Spartans are battling with a number of ailments, some of which include players such as Alante Brown, Kaden Schickel, and Ben Roberts, who are all considered to be questionable. It is possible that these injuries, particularly those that have occurred on the offensive line and in key skill positions, will make it even more difficult for them to execute effectively against Iowa.
The Iowa Hawkeyes are the opponent that Michigan State is getting ready to face at Kinnick Stadium. The Hawkeyes are the underdogs by 16.5 points going into the game. It is anticipated that this matchup will have a low number of points scored, which is why the total points for this matchup have been set at 42.5. In terms of covering the spread, the Spartans have been performing admirably on the road, as evidenced by their 4-0 record against the spread in games played away from home this season.
In the upcoming matchup between the Iowa Hawkeyes and the Michigan State Spartans, the Hawkeyes are the favorites by 16.5 points on the betting line. With a record of 4-2 at home so far this season, Iowa has been particularly successful. Although their most recent defeat at the hands of USC may have been a setback, their historical tendency demonstrates perseverance, particularly with a 6-0 ATS record following a defeat.
On the other hand, Michigan State has a poor record when playing away from home, with a record of 0-4 so far this season. Additionally, they have not won a single game in conference play. Additionally, their defense has allowed 311 points this season, which places them 120th in the league, while their offensive statistics are not among the top 70. The Spartans’ difficulties on the road and against conference opponents make covering a high spread challenging.
Iowa’s offense, though not explosive, is complemented by a defense that has allowed only 149 points this season, placing them in the top half nationally. These defensive strengths are in line with Iowa’s ability to cover large spreads, which is especially important when playing against teams like Michigan State that have offensive difficulties.
Given the discrepancies in both teams’ performances and Iowa’s strong track record at home, the Hawkeyes are in a favorable position to cover the 16.5-point spread. At Kinnick Stadium, you should anticipate Iowa to win by a significant margin.
✅ Our Michigan State vs Iowa Pick: IOWA
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