Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction
Now we have the Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction for both teams.
The Week 11 matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Miami Dolphins brings together two teams struggling to find their rhythm but still searching for momentum in the second half of the season.
There is a Week 11 clash between the Washington Commanders (3-7) and the Miami Dolphins (3-7), in which Miami is a short home favorite (Dolphins -2.5), and the total has been placed at 47.5. The Washington Commanders are a team that has a record of 3-7. Due to the fact that both teams have battled up to this point, with comparable records, mediocre defenses, and inconsistent offenses, this is a low-ceiling, detail-driven forecast rather than a game that is dominated by one apparent talent advantage.
Run game versus run defense: Washington’s defensive metrics suggest a major susceptibility to the run; their opponent rush totals and chunk plays have been a reoccurring problem. The run game for Washington is quite similar to the run defense. In order to control the tempo of the game and shorten it, Miami can take advantage of this by utilizing De’Von Achane and situational rushing.
Efficiency of Tua Tagovailoa and turnovers: Although Tua Tagovailoa has been able to win games with his big-play passing, turnovers have been an issue that has caused games to be decided. The ability of Miami to maintain possession of the ball will determine whether or not this game is a high-possession, low-score affair or a shootout that is available to all players.
The rushing balance of the Commanders: This season, Washington has had rushing production from a number of different individuals, which helps to maintain drives and relieve pressure on their quarterback. It is possible for them to maintain a competitive late game if they are able to convert extended possessions against Miami’s front.
Miami is ranked first in the league in terms of fumbles recovered, which is an advantage that is not given enough credit. Special teams and turnovers are also important. Turnover luck and special teams have the potential to sway the outcome of games that are close and between teams that are evenly matched.
There are a number of situational tendencies that are favorable to Miami. For example, the Dolphins have recently covered as favorites in matches that are comparable to this one, whilst the Commanders have had difficulty covering as underdogs. Games played in November that involve Washington have a tendency to clear totals, and Miami’s recent favorite games have also tended to lean toward the Over. This suggests that the 47.5 total might be contact-heavy and tilt higher if both offenses establish a groove.
In a practical sense, there are two betting angles that are clean in this situation: you can bet on the low number with Miami if you have faith in their home game plan and ball security, or you can bet on the Over if you believe that both teams will be relying on pace and taking advantage of the defensive flaws of the other team. If you are looking for a single-ticket play, the way to go is to take the Dolphins close to -3. However, if you are looking for a more adventurous play, the Over 47.5 is the better option given the previous trends.
Despite the fact that both teams enter the battle with equal records and evident deficiencies, Miami has a number of minor advantages that build up to make the matchup more favorable for them. The Commanders’ defensive vulnerability to the run, combined with Miami’s ability to recover from turnovers in a timely manner, provides the Dolphins with the weapons necessary to manage the clock and make some crucial stops. There is a possibility that Miami’s passing game may be able to defeat the Commanders vertically, while a consistent dosage of Achane will keep Washington’s rush defense on heels. Anticipate a game that is intensely contested and that Miami wins at home by a margin of a field goal.
✅ Our Commanders vs Dolphins 11 Pick: DOLPHINS
Commanders vs Dolphins Odds
Now, we have the Commanders vs Dolphins odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +3 | +125 | 47 O |
| Dolphins | -3 | -145 | 47 U |
Commanders Futures Odds, and Dolphins Futures Odds
Commanders Division Odds, and Dolphins Division Odds
Now, we have the Commanders Division Odds, and Dolphins Division Odds:
| TEAM | DIVISION ODDS |
|---|---|
| Commanders Division Odds | +10000 |
| Dolphins Division Odds | +40000 |
Commanders NFC Championship Odds, and Dolphins AFC Championship Odds
Now, we have the Commanders NFC Championship Odds, and Dolphins AFC Championship Odds:
| TEAM | CONFERENCE ODDS |
|---|---|
| Commanders NFC Championship Odds | +40000 |
| Dolphins AFC Championship Odds | +65000 |
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8/17/24
|
@MIA
|
MIA 13-6
|
MIA-1.5
|
U35.5
|
MIA-130
|
|
12/03/23
|
@WAS
|
MIA 45-15
|
WAS+3.5
|
O48.5
|
WAS+145
|
|
10/13/19
|
@MIA
|
WAS 17-16
|
MIA+4.0
|
U42.5
|
MIA+174
|
|
9/13/15
|
@WAS
|
MIA 17-10
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/13/11
|
@MIA
|
MIA 20-9
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
9/09/07
|
@WAS
|
WAS 16-13
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/23/03
|
@MIA
|
MIA 24-23
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Washington Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/02/25
|
SEA
|
L 38-14
|
L-5.5
|
O47.5
|
L-225
|
|
10/27/25
|
@KC
|
L 28-7
|
L+3.5
|
U48.5
|
L+160
|
|
10/19/25
|
@DAL
|
L 44-22
|
L-2.5
|
O48.5
|
L-130
|
|
10/13/25
|
CHI
|
L 25-24
|
L-4.5
|
O48.5
|
L-205
|
|
10/05/25
|
@LAC
|
W 27-10
|
W+1.5
|
U47.5
|
W+102
|
|
9/28/25
|
@ATL
|
L 34-27
|
L-3.5
|
O48.5
|
L-175
|
|
9/21/25
|
LV
|
W 41-24
|
W-7.5
|
O47.5
|
W-340
|
|
9/11/25
|
@GB
|
L 27-18
|
L+1.5
|
U48.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/07/25
|
NYG
|
W 21-6
|
W-6.5
|
U45.5
|
W-350
|
|
1/26/25
|
@PHI
|
L 55-23
|
L+4.5
|
O47.5
|
L+188
|
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Miami Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/30/25
|
BAL
|
L 28-6
|
L+5.5
|
U47.5
|
L+185
|
|
10/26/25
|
@ATL
|
W 34-10
|
W+1.5
|
U46.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
10/19/25
|
@CLE
|
L 31-6
|
L-1.5
|
U43.5
|
L-122
|
|
10/12/25
|
LAC
|
L 29-27
|
L+1.5
|
O45.5
|
L+102
|
|
10/05/25
|
@CAR
|
L 27-24
|
L-1.5
|
O46.5
|
L-120
|
|
9/29/25
|
NYJ
|
W 27-21
|
W-5.5
|
O44.5
|
W-230
|
|
9/18/25
|
@BUF
|
L 31-21
|
L+8.5
|
O48.5
|
L+300
|
|
9/14/25
|
NE
|
L 33-27
|
L-2.5
|
O45.5
|
L-142
|
|
9/07/25
|
@IND
|
L 33-8
|
L+1.5
|
U45.5
|
L-104
|
|
1/05/25
|
@NYJ
|
L 32-20
|
L+1.5
|
O47
|
L+102
|
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Washington Offense
Overall
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.33 | 20 | Points Scored | 25 | 27.00 |
| 189.56 | 27 | Passing Yards | 10 | 198.11 |
| 139.89 | 4 | Rushing Yards | 30 | 145.56 |
| 28:23 | 27 | Time on Field | 24 | 31:36 |
| 58.67 | 23 | Number of Plays | 10 | 58.44 |
| 5.62 | 13 | Yards Per Play | 28 | 5.88 |
Scoring
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.33 | 20 | Points Scored | 25 | 27.00 |
| 2.44 | 31 | First Quarter | 17 | 4.22 |
| 7.89 | 9 | Second Quarter | 21 | 7.44 |
| 5.22 | 15 | Third Quarter | 30 | 7.00 |
| 6.78 | 18 | Fourth Quarter | 23 | 8.33 |
Passing
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189.56 | 27 | Passing Yards | 10 | 198.11 |
| 28.44 | 29 | Pass Attempts | 2 | 27.44 |
| 17.89 | 32 | Pass Completions | 13 | 20.33 |
| 2.67 | 23 | Sacks | 26 | 1.89 |
| 13.00 | 21 | Sack Yards | 10 | 12.56 |
| 10.60 | 10 | Yards Per Pass | 10 | 9.74 |
Rushing
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139.89 | 4 | Rushing Yards | 30 | 145.56 |
| 27.56 | 12 | Rush Attempts | 26 | 29.11 |
| 5.08 | 3 | Yards Per Rush | 28 | 5.00 |
Turn Overs
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 20 | Interceptions | 30 | 0.11 |
| 1.33 | 30 | Fumbles | 10 | 1.22 |
| 0.67 | 28 | Fumbles Lost | 5 | 0.67 |
| 1.33 | 23 | Total Turnovers | 27 | 0.78 |
| 7.11 | 23 | Penalties | 14 | 7.22 |
| 61.22 | 27 | Penalty Yards | 10 | 57.33 |
Drives & Special Teams
| WAS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIA Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:23 | 27 | Time on Field | 24 | 31:36 |
| 58.67 | 23 | Number of Plays | 10 | 58.44 |
| 5.62 | 13 | Yards Per Play | 28 | 5.88 |
| 3.22 | 11 | Punts | 26 | 3.00 |
| 48.60 | 12 | Punt Average | 31 | 49.97 |
| 147.00 | 9 | Return Yards | 17 | 131.33 |
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Miami Offense
Overall
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.22 | 22 | Points Scored | 26 | 20.00 |
| 253.56 | 29 | Passing Yards | 23 | 194.22 |
| 124.22 | 22 | Rushing Yards | 25 | 97.22 |
| 31:37 | 25 | Time on Field | 26 | 28:23 |
| 61.33 | 17 | Number of Plays | 30 | 56.22 |
| 6.16 | 30 | Yards Per Play | 20 | 5.18 |
Scoring
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.22 | 22 | Points Scored | 26 | 20.00 |
| 6.67 | 29 | First Quarter | 23 | 3.33 |
| 8.00 | 23 | Second Quarter | 15 | 7.44 |
| 6.44 | 26 | Third Quarter | 28 | 3.00 |
| 5.11 | 8 | Fourth Quarter | 21 | 6.22 |
Passing
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253.56 | 29 | Passing Yards | 23 | 194.22 |
| 30.33 | 12 | Pass Attempts | 18 | 32.11 |
| 20.44 | 14 | Pass Completions | 16 | 21.78 |
| 2.44 | 15 | Sacks | 15 | 2.22 |
| 15.00 | 15 | Sack Yards | 18 | 13.78 |
| 12.40 | 32 | Yards Per Pass | 26 | 8.92 |
Rushing
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.22 | 22 | Rushing Yards | 25 | 97.22 |
| 28.56 | 25 | Rush Attempts | 30 | 21.89 |
| 4.35 | 19 | Yards Per Rush | 13 | 4.44 |
Turn Overs
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | 20 | Interceptions | 31 | 1.22 |
| 0.89 | 19 | Fumbles | 29 | 1.33 |
| 0.11 | 32 | Fumbles LosCommanders | 9 | 0.44 |
| 0.67 | 30 | Total Turnovers | 32 | 1.67 |
| 7.78 | 6 | Penalties | 11 | 6.44 |
| 66.44 | 5 | Penalty Yards | 19 | 54.22 |
Drives & Special Teams
| WAS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIA Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:37 | 25 | Time on Field | 26 | 28:23 |
| 61.33 | 17 | Number of Plays | 30 | 56.22 |
| 6.16 | 30 | Yards Per Play | 20 | 5.18 |
| 3.22 | 21 | Punts | 10 | 3.22 |
| 49.21 | 26 | Punt Average | 11 | 48.63 |
| 98.89 | 3 | Return Yards | 4 | 152.67 |
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
Jets vs Patriots Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Panthers vs Falcons Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Bears vs Vikings Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Texans vs Titans Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Bengals vs Steelers Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Packers vs Giants Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Chargers vs Jaguars Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Seahawks vs Rams Prediction and Pick, Week 11
49ers vs Cardinals Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Ravens vs Browns Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Lions vs Eagles Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Learn more about NFL Betting here.Visit the Betting school and learn how to wager on the moneyline, spread, and total; on your favorite team or an undervalued underdog. Sign up with YouWager.lv now and get in the game with the best welcome bonus, click below:

