Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.

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Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction

Now we have the Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction for both teams.

The Week 11 matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Miami Dolphins brings together two teams struggling to find their rhythm but still searching for momentum in the second half of the season. Both clubs have endured a mix of inconsistent offense and defensive lapses, and this contest could easily turn into a battle of who makes fewer mistakes. The Dolphins come into this one with a record that reflects frustration more than failure—close games have slipped through their fingers due to turnovers and offensive inefficiency. Meanwhile, the Commanders’ season has been a similar rollercoaster, with a few bright moments on the ground but an inability to finish drives or keep pace against stronger offenses. Given Miami’s struggles to generate points and Washington’s difficulties containing opposing attacks, the key will likely be which team can control time of possession and win the turnover battle. Historically, Miami has had Washington’s number, taking four of the last five meetings, including a dominant 45-15 win last season. Both teams are desperate to bounce back, but the Dolphins’ home-field advantage and speed on offense could play a decisive role this time around.

For the Commanders, the recent weeks have been particularly harsh. They’ve dropped four straight games, allowing an average of 36.25 points per contest while struggling to generate consistent production through the air. Washington’s offense ranks 20th in scoring, but their passing attack has been among the league’s weakest—averaging just 189.5 yards per game, ranking 27th. The run game, however, has been a rare bright spot, sitting at fourth overall with nearly 140 yards per game. The offensive line has opened up lanes effectively, helping them average 5.08 yards per carry, third-best in the NFL. Unfortunately, the Commanders’ defense has not kept up its end of the bargain, allowing over 26 points per game and showing vulnerability both through the air and on the ground. Opponents are consistently finding big plays, with Washington surrendering 12.4 yards per pass attempt, the worst mark in the league. If the Commanders are going to pull off an upset, they’ll need to establish the run early, limit mistakes, and hope their front seven can create enough disruption to slow down Miami’s short-passing rhythm.

On the other hand, the Dolphins are also in dire need of a rebound, having lost seven of their last nine games. Miami’s offense has gone cold, managing just 20 points per game and showing a notable drop in efficiency compared to past seasons. They rank 23rd in passing and 25th in rushing, struggling to find balance and rhythm. The Dolphins’ offensive line issues have led to inconsistent protection and a lack of explosive plays, which has hampered their ability to sustain drives. Still, their defense has shown flashes, ranking 10th against the pass and forcing opponents into long, grind-it-out drives. Where they continue to suffer, however, is against the run—allowing 145.5 yards per game, ranking 30th in the league. That weakness plays directly into Washington’s biggest strength, setting up an intriguing clash of styles. If Miami can get back to attacking through the air and tighten up defensively in the red zone, they’ll have a strong chance to control the tempo. Ultimately, while both teams are struggling, Miami’s defensive speed and home advantage should be enough to tilt the balance their way.

Our Commanders vs Dolphins 11 Pick: DOLPHINS

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
8/17/24
MIA 13-6
MIA-1.5
U35.5
MIA-130
12/03/23
MIA 45-15
WAS+3.5
O48.5
WAS+145
10/13/19
WAS 17-16
MIA+4.0
U42.5
MIA+174
9/13/15
MIA 17-10
NL
NL
NL
11/13/11
MIA 20-9
NL
NL
NL
9/09/07
WAS 16-13
NL
NL
NL
11/23/03
MIA 24-23
NL
NL
NL

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Washington Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/02/25
L 38-14
L-5.5
O47.5
L-225
10/27/25
L 28-7
L+3.5
U48.5
L+160
10/19/25
L 44-22
L-2.5
O48.5
L-130
10/13/25
L 25-24
L-4.5
O48.5
L-205
10/05/25
W 27-10
W+1.5
U47.5
W+102
9/28/25
L 34-27
L-3.5
O48.5
L-175
9/21/25
W 41-24
W-7.5
O47.5
W-340
9/11/25
L 27-18
L+1.5
U48.5
LEVEN
9/07/25
W 21-6
W-6.5
U45.5
W-350
1/26/25
L 55-23
L+4.5
O47.5
L+188

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Miami Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/30/25
L 28-6
L+5.5
U47.5
L+185
10/26/25
W 34-10
W+1.5
U46.5
WEVEN
10/19/25
L 31-6
L-1.5
U43.5
L-122
10/12/25
L 29-27
L+1.5
O45.5
L+102
10/05/25
L 27-24
L-1.5
O46.5
L-120
9/29/25
W 27-21
W-5.5
O44.5
W-230
9/18/25
L 31-21
L+8.5
O48.5
L+300
9/14/25
L 33-27
L-2.5
O45.5
L-142
9/07/25
L 33-8
L+1.5
U45.5
L-104
1/05/25
L 32-20
L+1.5
O47
L+102

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Washington Offense

Overall

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
22.33 20 Points Scored 25 27.00
189.56 27 Passing Yards 10 198.11
139.89 4 Rushing Yards 30 145.56
28:23 27 Time on Field 24 31:36
58.67 23 Number of Plays 10 58.44
5.62 13 Yards Per Play 28 5.88

Scoring

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
22.33 20 Points Scored 25 27.00
2.44 31 First Quarter 17 4.22
7.89 9 Second Quarter 21 7.44
5.22 15 Third Quarter 30 7.00
6.78 18 Fourth Quarter 23 8.33

Passing

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
189.56 27 Passing Yards 10 198.11
28.44 29 Pass Attempts 2 27.44
17.89 32 Pass Completions 13 20.33
2.67 23 Sacks 26 1.89
13.00 21 Sack Yards 10 12.56
10.60 10 Yards Per Pass 10 9.74

Rushing

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
139.89 4 Rushing Yards 30 145.56
27.56 12 Rush Attempts 26 29.11
5.08 3 Yards Per Rush 28 5.00

Turn Overs

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
0.67 20 Interceptions 30 0.11
1.33 30 Fumbles 10 1.22
0.67 28 Fumbles Lost 5 0.67
1.33 23 Total Turnovers 27 0.78
7.11 23 Penalties 14 7.22
61.22 27 Penalty Yards 10 57.33

Drives & Special Teams

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
28:23 27 Time on Field 24 31:36
58.67 23 Number of Plays 10 58.44
5.62 13 Yards Per Play 28 5.88
3.22 11 Punts 26 3.00
48.60 12 Punt Average 31 49.97
147.00 9 Return Yards 17 131.33

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Miami Offense

Overall

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
26.22 22 Points Scored 26 20.00
253.56 29 Passing Yards 23 194.22
124.22 22 Rushing Yards 25 97.22
31:37 25 Time on Field 26 28:23
61.33 17 Number of Plays 30 56.22
6.16 30 Yards Per Play 20 5.18

Scoring

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
26.22 22 Points Scored 26 20.00
6.67 29 First Quarter 23 3.33
8.00 23 Second Quarter 15 7.44
6.44 26 Third Quarter 28 3.00
5.11 8 Fourth Quarter 21 6.22

Passing

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
253.56 29 Passing Yards 23 194.22
30.33 12 Pass Attempts 18 32.11
20.44 14 Pass Completions 16 21.78
2.44 15 Sacks 15 2.22
15.00 15 Sack Yards 18 13.78
12.40 32 Yards Per Pass 26 8.92

Rushing

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
124.22 22 Rushing Yards 25 97.22
28.56 25 Rush Attempts 30 21.89
4.35 19 Yards Per Rush 13 4.44

Turn Overs

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
0.56 20 Interceptions 31 1.22
0.89 19 Fumbles 29 1.33
0.11 32 Fumbles Lost 19 0.44
0.67 30 Total Turnovers 32 1.67
7.78 6 Penalties 11 6.44
66.44 5 Penalty Yards 19 54.22

Drives & Special Teams

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
31:37 25 Time on Field 26 28:23
61.33 17 Number of Plays 30 56.22
6.16 30 Yards Per Play 20 5.18
3.22 21 Punts 10 3.22
49.21 26 Punt Average 11 48.63
98.89 3 Return Yards 4 152.67

 

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