Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.

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Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction

Now we have the Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction for both teams.

The Week 11 matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Miami Dolphins brings together two teams struggling to find their rhythm but still searching for momentum in the second half of the season.

There is a Week 11 clash between the Washington Commanders (3-7) and the Miami Dolphins (3-7), in which Miami is a short home favorite (Dolphins -2.5), and the total has been placed at 47.5. The Washington Commanders are a team that has a record of 3-7. Due to the fact that both teams have battled up to this point, with comparable records, mediocre defenses, and inconsistent offenses, this is a low-ceiling, detail-driven forecast rather than a game that is dominated by one apparent talent advantage.

Run game versus run defense: Washington’s defensive metrics suggest a major susceptibility to the run; their opponent rush totals and chunk plays have been a reoccurring problem. The run game for Washington is quite similar to the run defense. In order to control the tempo of the game and shorten it, Miami can take advantage of this by utilizing De’Von Achane and situational rushing.

Efficiency of Tua Tagovailoa and turnovers: Although Tua Tagovailoa has been able to win games with his big-play passing, turnovers have been an issue that has caused games to be decided. The ability of Miami to maintain possession of the ball will determine whether or not this game is a high-possession, low-score affair or a shootout that is available to all players.

The rushing balance of the Commanders: This season, Washington has had rushing production from a number of different individuals, which helps to maintain drives and relieve pressure on their quarterback. It is possible for them to maintain a competitive late game if they are able to convert extended possessions against Miami’s front.

Miami is ranked first in the league in terms of fumbles recovered, which is an advantage that is not given enough credit. Special teams and turnovers are also important. Turnover luck and special teams have the potential to sway the outcome of games that are close and between teams that are evenly matched.

There are a number of situational tendencies that are favorable to Miami. For example, the Dolphins have recently covered as favorites in matches that are comparable to this one, whilst the Commanders have had difficulty covering as underdogs. Games played in November that involve Washington have a tendency to clear totals, and Miami’s recent favorite games have also tended to lean toward the Over. This suggests that the 47.5 total might be contact-heavy and tilt higher if both offenses establish a groove.

In a practical sense, there are two betting angles that are clean in this situation: you can bet on the low number with Miami if you have faith in their home game plan and ball security, or you can bet on the Over if you believe that both teams will be relying on pace and taking advantage of the defensive flaws of the other team. If you are looking for a single-ticket play, the way to go is to take the Dolphins close to -3. However, if you are looking for a more adventurous play, the Over 47.5 is the better option given the previous trends.

Despite the fact that both teams enter the battle with equal records and evident deficiencies, Miami has a number of minor advantages that build up to make the matchup more favorable for them. The Commanders’ defensive vulnerability to the run, combined with Miami’s ability to recover from turnovers in a timely manner, provides the Dolphins with the weapons necessary to manage the clock and make some crucial stops. There is a possibility that Miami’s passing game may be able to defeat the Commanders vertically, while a consistent dosage of Achane will keep Washington’s rush defense on heels. Anticipate a game that is intensely contested and that Miami wins at home by a margin of a field goal.

Our Commanders vs Dolphins 11 Pick: DOLPHINS

Commanders vs Dolphins Odds

Now, we have the Commanders vs Dolphins odds:

TEAM SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
Commanders +3 +125 47 O
Dolphins -3 -145 47 U

Commanders Futures Odds, and Dolphins Futures Odds

Commanders Division Odds, and Dolphins Division Odds

Now, we have the Commanders Division Odds, and Dolphins Division Odds:

TEAM DIVISION ODDS
Commanders Division Odds +10000
Dolphins Division Odds +40000

Commanders NFC Championship Odds, and Dolphins AFC Championship Odds

Now, we have the Commanders NFC Championship Odds, and Dolphins AFC Championship Odds:

TEAM CONFERENCE ODDS
Commanders NFC Championship Odds +40000
Dolphins AFC Championship Odds +65000

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
8/17/24
MIA 13-6
MIA-1.5
U35.5
MIA-130
12/03/23
MIA 45-15
WAS+3.5
O48.5
WAS+145
10/13/19
WAS 17-16
MIA+4.0
U42.5
MIA+174
9/13/15
MIA 17-10
NL
NL
NL
11/13/11
MIA 20-9
NL
NL
NL
9/09/07
WAS 16-13
NL
NL
NL
11/23/03
MIA 24-23
NL
NL
NL

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Washington Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/02/25
L 38-14
L-5.5
O47.5
L-225
10/27/25
L 28-7
L+3.5
U48.5
L+160
10/19/25
L 44-22
L-2.5
O48.5
L-130
10/13/25
L 25-24
L-4.5
O48.5
L-205
10/05/25
W 27-10
W+1.5
U47.5
W+102
9/28/25
L 34-27
L-3.5
O48.5
L-175
9/21/25
W 41-24
W-7.5
O47.5
W-340
9/11/25
L 27-18
L+1.5
U48.5
LEVEN
9/07/25
W 21-6
W-6.5
U45.5
W-350
1/26/25
L 55-23
L+4.5
O47.5
L+188

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Miami Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/30/25
L 28-6
L+5.5
U47.5
L+185
10/26/25
W 34-10
W+1.5
U46.5
WEVEN
10/19/25
L 31-6
L-1.5
U43.5
L-122
10/12/25
L 29-27
L+1.5
O45.5
L+102
10/05/25
L 27-24
L-1.5
O46.5
L-120
9/29/25
W 27-21
W-5.5
O44.5
W-230
9/18/25
L 31-21
L+8.5
O48.5
L+300
9/14/25
L 33-27
L-2.5
O45.5
L-142
9/07/25
L 33-8
L+1.5
U45.5
L-104
1/05/25
L 32-20
L+1.5
O47
L+102

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Washington Offense

Overall

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
22.33 20 Points Scored 25 27.00
189.56 27 Passing Yards 10 198.11
139.89 4 Rushing Yards 30 145.56
28:23 27 Time on Field 24 31:36
58.67 23 Number of Plays 10 58.44
5.62 13 Yards Per Play 28 5.88

Scoring

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
22.33 20 Points Scored 25 27.00
2.44 31 First Quarter 17 4.22
7.89 9 Second Quarter 21 7.44
5.22 15 Third Quarter 30 7.00
6.78 18 Fourth Quarter 23 8.33

Passing

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
189.56 27 Passing Yards 10 198.11
28.44 29 Pass Attempts 2 27.44
17.89 32 Pass Completions 13 20.33
2.67 23 Sacks 26 1.89
13.00 21 Sack Yards 10 12.56
10.60 10 Yards Per Pass 10 9.74

Rushing

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
139.89 4 Rushing Yards 30 145.56
27.56 12 Rush Attempts 26 29.11
5.08 3 Yards Per Rush 28 5.00

Turn Overs

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
0.67 20 Interceptions 30 0.11
1.33 30 Fumbles 10 1.22
0.67 28 Fumbles Lost 5 0.67
1.33 23 Total Turnovers 27 0.78
7.11 23 Penalties 14 7.22
61.22 27 Penalty Yards 10 57.33

Drives & Special Teams

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MIA Defense
28:23 27 Time on Field 24 31:36
58.67 23 Number of Plays 10 58.44
5.62 13 Yards Per Play 28 5.88
3.22 11 Punts 26 3.00
48.60 12 Punt Average 31 49.97
147.00 9 Return Yards 17 131.33

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction: Miami Offense

Overall

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
26.22 22 Points Scored 26 20.00
253.56 29 Passing Yards 23 194.22
124.22 22 Rushing Yards 25 97.22
31:37 25 Time on Field 26 28:23
61.33 17 Number of Plays 30 56.22
6.16 30 Yards Per Play 20 5.18

Scoring

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
26.22 22 Points Scored 26 20.00
6.67 29 First Quarter 23 3.33
8.00 23 Second Quarter 15 7.44
6.44 26 Third Quarter 28 3.00
5.11 8 Fourth Quarter 21 6.22

Passing

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
253.56 29 Passing Yards 23 194.22
30.33 12 Pass Attempts 18 32.11
20.44 14 Pass Completions 16 21.78
2.44 15 Sacks 15 2.22
15.00 15 Sack Yards 18 13.78
12.40 32 Yards Per Pass 26 8.92

Rushing

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
124.22 22 Rushing Yards 25 97.22
28.56 25 Rush Attempts 30 21.89
4.35 19 Yards Per Rush 13 4.44

Turn Overs

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
0.56 20 Interceptions 31 1.22
0.89 19 Fumbles 29 1.33
0.11 32 Fumbles LosCommanders 9 0.44
0.67 30 Total Turnovers 32 1.67
7.78 6 Penalties 11 6.44
66.44 5 Penalty Yards 19 54.22

Drives & Special Teams

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MIA Offense
31:37 25 Time on Field 26 28:23
61.33 17 Number of Plays 30 56.22
6.16 30 Yards Per Play 20 5.18
3.22 21 Punts 10 3.22
49.21 26 Punt Average 11 48.63
98.89 3 Return Yards 4 152.67

 

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Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.

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