Texans vs Titans Prediction and Pick, Week 11

The Week 11 matchup between the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans features two AFC South rivals heading in completely different directions. Houston enters the game looking to regain control of its division race, while the Titans are simply trying to stop the bleeding after a miserable stretch of losses. Historically, these teams have battled closely, but the recent trend is all Texans — Houston has won four of the last five meetings, including a dominant 26-0 shutout earlier this season. That game showcased just how wide the gap currently is between these two franchises. Houston’s defense completely overwhelmed the Titans’ offensive line, holding Tennessee to under 150 total yards and zero points, while the Texans’ offense controlled the tempo from start to finish. With Houston’s defense ranking among the league’s best in scoring and yards allowed, and the Titans ranking dead last in most offensive categories, this rematch looks heavily tilted toward the Texans once again. Still, divisional games often bring surprises, and the Titans will be eager to prove that their earlier loss was a fluke rather than a preview of what’s to come.

For the Texans, this is a chance to solidify their spot as one of the AFC’s top defensive units while finding more consistency on offense. Houston ranks 20th in scoring (21.9 points per game), but their defensive dominance has kept them competitive in every matchup. C.J. Stroud and company have leaned on balanced play-calling, ranking middle-of-the-pack in both rushing and passing production, but what’s stood out most is their ability to control possession — the Texans average 32 minutes of time on the field per game, ranking fourth in the league. Their win over San Francisco showed that this team can beat anyone when Stroud is sharp and the defense sets the tone. However, Houston’s biggest challenge remains offensive rhythm — they’ve gone through stretches of slow starts, particularly in the third quarter where they rank 27th in scoring. Against a struggling Titans defense that allows nearly 29 points per game and over 140 rushing yards per contest, this is a golden opportunity for Houston to play a complete four-quarter game and keep its foot on the gas heading into the season’s final stretch.

On the other side, the Titans are spiraling through one of the worst offensive stretches in the league. Tennessee ranks last in scoring (13.8 points per game), 31st in total offense, and has been completely unable to move the ball either through the air or on the ground. Will Levis has shown flashes of potential but continues to face constant pressure behind a leaky offensive line that gives up over four sacks per game. The Titans’ rushing attack — once their bread and butter — has fallen apart, producing just 80 yards per game, ranking last in the NFL. Making matters worse, the defense that used to be Tennessee’s strength has regressed badly, allowing nearly 29 points per game and ranking 30th in scoring defense. The Titans have lost eight of their last nine games, and confidence appears to be fading fast. They’ll need a near-perfect performance to avoid being swept by Houston for the second straight season. Unless the Titans suddenly rediscover their offensive identity and find a way to protect their quarterback, they’re in for another long afternoon against a Texans team built to expose their every weakness.

✅ Our Texans vs Titans Pick: TEXANS

Texans vs Titans Prediction: Head to Head

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
9/28/25	@HOU	HOU 26-0	HOU-5.5	U44.5	HOU-218
1/05/25	@TEN	HOU 23-14	TEN+3.0	U45	TEN+130
11/24/24	@HOU	TEN 32-27	HOU-7.5	O42.5	HOU-218
12/31/23	@HOU	HOU 26-3	HOU+1.0	U43	HOU-105
12/17/23	@TEN	HOU 19-16	TEN-3.0	U43	TEN-150
12/24/22	@TEN	HOU 19-14	TEN-7.5	U41	TEN-450
10/30/22	@HOU	TEN 17-10	HOU+5.0	U41	HOU+165
1/09/22	@HOU	TEN 28-25	HOU+10.0	O44	HOU+340
11/21/21	@TEN	HOU 22-13	TEN-9.5	U50.5	TEN-460
1/03/21	@HOU	TEN 41-38	HOU+7.5	O55.5	HOU+290

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
11/02/25	DEN	L 18-15	L+1.5	U45.5	L-105
10/26/25	SF	W 26-15	W+1.5	U45.5	WEVEN
10/20/25	@SEA	L 27-19	L+1.5	O44.5	L+102
10/05/25	@BAL	W 44-10	W+7.5	O47.5	W+270
9/28/25	TEN	W 26-0	W-5.5	U44.5	W-218
9/21/25	@JAC	L 17-10	L-1.5	U46.5	L-120
9/15/25	TB	L 20-19	L-1.5	U46.5	L-122
9/07/25	@LAR	L 14-9	L+2.5	U46.5	L+124
1/18/25	@KC	L 23-14	L+8.0	U42	L+360
1/11/25	LAC	W 32-12	W+2.5	O43.5	W+124

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
11/02/25	LAC	L 27-20	L+4.5	O44.5	L+164
10/26/25	@IND	L 38-14	L+3.5	O44.5	L+145
10/19/25	NE	L 31-13	L+1.5	U44.5	L+102
10/12/25	@LV	L 20-10	L+3.0	U44.5	L+130
10/05/25	@ARI	W 22-21	W+5.5	U46.5	W+185
9/28/25	@HOU	L 26-0	L+5.5	U44.5	L+180
9/21/25	IND	L 41-20	L-1.5	O45.5	L-122
9/14/25	LAR	L 33-19	L+4.5	O45.5	L+170
9/07/25	@DEN	L 20-12	L+7.0	U42.5	L+290
1/05/25	HOU	L 23-14	L+3.0	U45	L+130

Texans vs Titans Prediction: Houston Offense

Texans vs Titans Prediction: Tennessee Offense

Texans vs Titans Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.