Chiefs vs Bills Prediction and Pick, Week 9

The Week 9 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills is shaping up to be one of the most compelling games of the NFL calendar so far. Historically, these two teams have produced high-stakes contests with narrow margins, often decided in the final minutes. Over the last decade, games between KC and BUF have frequently been high-scoring affairs, with both teams demonstrating an ability to strike quickly on offense while also having vulnerabilities on defense. In their most recent meeting in January 2025, the Chiefs eked out a 32-29 victory, highlighting the tight competition that fans have come to expect. Both teams come into this game with elite offensive units: Kansas City ranks in the top 10 in points scored, while Buffalo is fourth in scoring. The Chiefs’ passing attack has been particularly effective, ranking 8th in passing yards per game, while Buffalo has relied on a dominant rushing game, ranking second in the NFL. Special teams and turnovers could also play a crucial role, as both teams have shown the ability to capitalize on mistakes in past encounters. This game has all the ingredients for a classic shootout between two powerhouse squads, each looking to assert dominance in the AFC.

The Kansas City Chiefs enter this matchup with one of the league’s most balanced and dynamic offenses. Their passing game has been particularly sharp, with an average of 241 passing yards per game, ranking 8th in the NFL, and a yards-per-pass mark of 10.49. Quarterback efficiency and the ability to convert in the second and fourth quarters have allowed the Chiefs to maintain momentum even in tightly contested games. While their rushing attack is not as strong—averaging just 118 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th—the Chiefs compensate with precision passing and a high tempo, running 62 plays per game. The offensive line has provided adequate protection, limiting sacks to 1.67 per game, and the Chiefs are careful with the ball, committing only 0.33 turnovers per contest. Defensively, Kansas City faces a tough challenge against Buffalo’s multifaceted offense. They will need to contain the Bills’ rushing attack and apply consistent pressure on the quarterback to prevent big plays. If the Chiefs can establish early rhythm and avoid costly mistakes, they have the firepower to outscore Buffalo in a high-paced contest.

The Buffalo Bills bring a different style to the field, one that emphasizes a balanced yet explosive offensive attack. Ranked fourth in scoring with 27.83 points per game, Buffalo excels in both the run and pass, with 151 rushing yards and 227 passing yards on average. Their rushing attack, led by elite backs, can dominate time of possession, keeping Kansas City’s high-octane offense off the field for extended stretches. Quarterback play has been efficient, completing over 20 passes per game with 11 yards per attempt, and Buffalo ranks in the top 5 in yards per play. Turnovers and penalties have been relatively controlled, giving the team fewer self-inflicted problems. Defensively, the Bills must contend with a Chiefs offense that can strike quickly through the air. Key to Buffalo’s success will be limiting explosive plays, especially in the second half, while leaning on their dominant run game to control the clock and field position. If they execute efficiently and avoid mistakes, the Bills have the tools to edge out a victory in a tightly contested game.

Chiefs vs Bills Prediction: Head to Head

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
1/26/25	@KC	KC 32-29	KC-1.5	O48.5	KC-120
11/17/24	@BUF	BUF 30-21	BUF+1.0	O46.5	BUF-104
1/21/24	@BUF	KC 27-24	BUF-2.5	O46.5	BUF-136
12/10/23	@KC	BUF 20-17	KC-3.5	U51.5	KC-180
10/16/22	@KC	BUF 24-20	KC+1.0	U53.5	KC+105
1/23/22	@KC	KC 42-36	KC-2.0	O54.5	KC-135
10/10/21	@KC	BUF 38-20	KC-2.5	O56.5	KC-139
1/24/21	@KC	KC 38-24	KC-3.0	O54	KC-149
10/19/20	@BUF	KC 26-17	BUF+5.5	U55.5	BUF+200
11/26/17	@KC	BUF 16-10	NL	NL	NL

Chiefs vs Bills Prediction: Kansas City Offense

Chiefs vs Bills Prediction: Buffalo Offense

Chiefs vs Bills Prediction and Pick, Week 9, by YouWager.lv.