Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction and Pick Week 5, 2025

Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction and Pick Week 5, 2025

Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction Week 5, 2025. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.

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Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction

Now we have the Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction for both teams, starting with the head to head stats.

When looking at betting angles, both teams bring compelling trends to the table. Washington has been one of the better ATS teams in October, yet their overall inconsistency and struggles on the road can’t be ignored. The Chargers, with their strong defense and passing efficiency, seem to match up perfectly against Washington’s weaknesses. While Washington’s rushing dominance gives them a fighting chance, the Chargers’ ability to neutralize the run and exploit the Commanders’ pass defense suggests a clear advantage. Add in the head-to-head dominance from Los Angeles, and the Chargers appear primed to protect their home field in Week 5.

Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Head to Head

Date Team Opp Close Result ATS/OU
Sep 12, 2021 Chargers @Commanders +2.5 / 45.5 Won 20-16 Won / Under
Dec 10, 2017 Chargers Commanders -6 / 46.5 Won 30-13 Won / Under
Nov 3, 2013 Chargers Commanders -1 / 49.5 Lost 0-0 Lost / Under
Jan 3, 2010 Chargers @Commanders +3 / 39 Lost 0-0 Won / Under
Nov 27, 2005 Chargers Commanders +3.5 / 43.5 Lost 0-0 Won / Under

Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Washington

The Commanders enter this Week 5 clash with one of the league’s most dangerous ground games, averaging over 157 rushing yards per contest. This physical rushing approach has been their identity, as they rank first in yards per carry and consistently wear down defenses late in games. However, their offensive balance remains an issue. The passing attack has struggled to generate consistent production, sitting near the bottom of the NFL in yards per game. On the other side of the ball, their defense has shown weaknesses against the pass, giving up 229 yards per game, which could be a major liability against the Chargers’ aerial assault. Washington’s road record is another concern, as they are just 1-5 against the Chargers historically and have struggled against AFC opponents in general.

Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Washington Trends

  • Four of Washington’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
  • Washington has a winning record of 9-3 in its previous 12 games.
  • Washington has a record of 1-4-1 versus the Los Angeles Chargers in its last six games.
  • When it comes to the Los Angeles Chargers, Washington has a record of 1-5 on the road.
  • In its previous eight games played away from home, Washington has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
  • In eight of Washington’s most recent eight games against opponents from the American Football Conference, the total has turned out to be higher than the point spread.
  • A total of six of Washington’s previous eight games against opponents from the American Football Conference West division have ended with the total falling below the point spread.
  • After playing 12 games in October, Washington has a record of 8-2-2 against the spread.
  • During the fifth week of the season, Washington has a record of 1-6 on the road.

Washington Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
9/28/25
L 34-27
L-3.5
O48.5
L-175
9/21/25
W 41-24
W-7.5
O47.5
W-340
9/11/25
L 27-18
L+1.5
U48.5
LEVEN
9/07/25
W 21-6
W-6.5
U45.5
W-350
1/26/25
L 55-23
L+4.5
O47.5
L+188
1/18/25
W 45-31
W+8.5
O55.5
W+410
1/12/25
W 23-20
W+3.0
U50.5
W+145
1/05/25
W 23-19
W+5.5
U46.5
W+185
12/29/24
W 30-24
W+2.0
O46
W+110
12/22/24
W 36-33
W+2.5
O46.5
W+114

Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Washington Offense

Overall

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LAC Defense
26.67 7 Points Scored 3 16.67
196.67 20 Passing Yards 9 182.00
157.33 2 Rushing Yards 8 94.67
28:23 23 Time on Field 6 27:33
61.33 18 Number of Plays 7 57.00
5.77 6 Yards Per Play 9 4.85

Scoring

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LAC Defense
26.67 7 Points Scored 3 16.67
4.67 15 First Quarter 3 1.00
7.67 13 Second Quarter 10 5.33
4.67 12 Third Quarter 23 5.33
9.67 6 Fourth Quarter 8 5.00

Passing

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LAC Defense
196.67 20 Passing Yards 9 182.00
31.00 23 Pass Attempts 24 35.67
19.33 24 Pass Completions 12 20.67
2.67 23 Sacks 18 2.33
16.67 11 Sack Yards 17 15.00
10.17 14 Yards Per Pass 9 8.81

Rushing

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LAC Defense
157.33 2 Rushing Yards 8 94.67
27.67 11 Rush Attempts 1 19.00
5.69 1 Yards Per Rush 26 4.98

Turn Overs

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LAC Defense
0.00 6 Interceptions 7 1.00
0.33 8 Fumbles 22 0.67
0.33 18 Fumbles Lost 26 0.00
0.33 8 Total Turnovers 16 1.00
8.00 22 Penalties 9 8.33
57.67 16 Penalty Yards 8 69.33

Drives & Special Teams

WAS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LAC Defense
28:23 23 Time on Field 6 27:33
61.33 18 Number of Plays 7 57.00
5.77 6 Yards Per Play 9 4.85
4.00 22 Punts 12 4.00
47.52 18 Punt Average 11 46.65
161.33 5 Return Yards 26 152.33

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Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Los Angeles

The Chargers, meanwhile, look like a team starting to find rhythm. They rank second in the league in passing yards per game, led by explosive quarterback play and efficient ball distribution. Averaging over 270 yards through the air, they pose a serious challenge to a Commanders secondary that has had trouble containing opposing quarterbacks. Defensively, Los Angeles has been stellar, giving up just 16.6 points per game, ranking among the best in the NFL. They also excel at controlling the pace of play, maintaining possession and limiting opportunities for their opponents. Despite their relatively modest rushing numbers, their ability to finish games strong and limit late scoring from opponents makes them particularly dangerous in close matchups.

Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Los Angeles Trends

  • Four of Washington’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
  • Washington has a winning record of 9-3 in its previous 12 games.
  • Washington has a record of 1-4-1 versus the Los Angeles Chargers in its last six games.
  • When it comes to the Los Angeles Chargers, Washington has a record of 1-5 on the road.
  • In its previous eight games played away from home, Washington has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
  • In eight of Washington’s most recent eight games against opponents from the American Football Conference, the total has turned out to be higher than the point spread.
  • A total of six of Washington’s previous eight games against opponents from the American Football Conference West division have ended with the total falling below the point spread.
  • After playing 12 games in October, Washington has a record of 8-2-2 against the spread.
  • During the fifth week of the season, Washington has a record of 1-6 on the road.

Los Angeles Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
9/28/25
L 21-18
L-3.5
U43.5
L-175
9/21/25
W 23-20
W-1.5
U44.5
W-120
9/15/25
W 20-9
W-3.0
U44.5
W-155
9/05/25
W 27-21
W+3.0
O45.5
W+122
1/11/25
L 32-12
L-2.5
O43.5
L-148
1/05/25
W 34-20
W-1.0
O44.5
W-122
12/28/24
W 40-7
W-2.5
O41
W-135
12/19/24
W 34-27
W-3.5
O45
W-180
12/15/24
L 40-17
L-3.0
O42.5
L-148
12/08/24
L 19-17
W+6.5
U44.5
L+215

Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction: Los Angeles Offense

Overall

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LAC Offense
19.00 12 Points Scored 15 23.33
229.00 23 Passing Yards 2 270.00
100.67 12 Rushing Yards 24 92.33
31:37 22 Time on Field 6 32:27
62.33 23 Number of Plays 8 65.67
5.29 17 Yards Per Play 10 5.52

Scoring

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LAC Offense
19.00 12 Points Scored 15 23.33
3.33 12 First Quarter 7 6.67
5.67 14 Second Quarter 19 6.67
2.00 5 Third Quarter 15 4.33
8.00 21 Fourth Quarter 24 5.67

Passing

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LAC Offense
229.00 23 Passing Yards 2 270.00
32.33 18 Pass Attempts 8 36.00
18.33 5 Pass Completions 7 24.00
3.00 10 Sacks 27 3.33
20.67 26 Sack Yards 10 16.67
12.49 31 Yards Per Pass 7 11.25

Rushing

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LAC Offense
100.67 12 Rushing Yards 24 92.33
27.00 20 Rush Attempts 15 26.33
3.73 8 Yards Per Rush 27 3.51

Turn Overs

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LAC Offense
0.00 32 Interceptions 11 0.33
0.33 30 Fumbles 29 1.67
0.00 32 Fumbles Lost 25 0.67
0.00 32 Total Turnovers 13 1.00
7.33 15 Penalties 4 5.00
55.33 16 Penalty Yards 5 35.67

Drives & Special Teams

WAS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LAC Offense
31:37 22 Time on Field 6 32:27
62.33 23 Number of Plays 8 65.67
5.29 17 Yards Per Play 10 5.52
5.33 3 Punts 13 3.33
49.63 27 Punt Average 6 51.31
81.00 4 Return Yards 20 113.00

 

Our Pick: COMMANDERS

 

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Commanders vs Chargers Betting Prediction, NFL Week 5, by YouWager.lv.

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