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Liberty vs MTSU Betting Odds

Here are the Liberty vs MTSU Betting Odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
Liberty Flames	+1	+100	140 O
MTSU Blue Raiders	-1	-120	140 U

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends

Here are the Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends for both teams, but first, the head-to-head stats:

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends: Head-to-Head

Date	Team	Opp	Close	Result	ATS/OU
Jan 4, 2025	Liberty	Middle Tennessee	-7.5 / 139.5	Won 73-63	Won / Under
Mar 5, 2024	Liberty	@Middle Tennessee	-5.5 / 136.5	Lost 61-69	Lost / Under
Feb 8, 2024	Liberty	Middle Tennessee	-11.5 / 129.5	Won 88-53	Won / Over

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends: Flames

Now, we have the Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends for the Flames:

• Seven of Liberty’s previous nine games have had the total fall UNDER.
• In their previous seven games, Liberty has a 6-1 SU record.
• In their previous five away games, Liberty has a 4-1 ATS record.
• In their previous 11 games versus Conference USA opponents, Liberty has a 9-2 SU record.
• In their previous five games versus an East Division opponent, Liberty has a 4-1 SU record.
• In their previous five March games, Liberty had a 0–5 ATS record.
• Four of Liberty’s previous five Thursday games have seen the total fall UNDER.

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends: Blue Raiders

Now, we have the Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends for the Blue Raiders:

• In their previous six games, Middle Tennessee has a 4-2 ATS record.
• Six of Middle Tennessee’s last nine games have seen the total fall UNDER.
• In their previous six games, Middle Tennessee has a 5-1 SU record.
• In their previous 19 home games, Middle Tennessee has a 16-3 SU record.
• In their previous five meetings with Conference USA opponents, Middle Tennessee has a 4-1 SU record.
• In eight of Middle Tennessee’s previous ten games against an East Division opponent, the total has gone UNDER.
• Eight of Middle Tennessee’s previous twelve March games have seen the total go OVER.
• In their previous six Thursday games, Middle Tennessee is 2-4 ATS.
• In their previous 20 Thursday home games, Middle Tennessee has a 14-6 ATS record.

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends: Against the Spread

Now, in these Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends, we have the against the spread info:

• Middle Tennessee has covered 16 times in 27 games with a spread this season.
• Liberty is 17-9-0 ATS this season.
• The Flames average 61.7 points per game, while the Blue Raiders score 75.9 points, 14.2 more.
• When scoring more than 61.7 points, Middle Tennessee is 20-8 overall and 16-10 against the spread.
• Liberty is giving up less than 75.9 points and is 17-6 against the spread and 23-3 overall.
• On average, the Flames score 75.4 points per game, which is only 4.0 points higher than the 71.4 points the Blue Raiders allow their opponents to score.
• Liberty is 14-3 overall and 10-4 against the spread when it scores more than 71.4 points.
• Middle Tennessee is 16-3 overall and 12-5 ATS when its opponents score fewer than 75.4 points.

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends: Over/Under

Now, in these Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends, we have the over/ under info:

• Compared to the anticipated point total of 71 for Thursday’s game, the Blue Raiders’ season-average implied point total of 76.1 is 5.1 points higher.
• Middle Tennessee has scored over 71 points in 19 games so far this season.
• The Flames’ predicted total of 69 points in this game is four points below than their average indicated total for the season, which is 73 points.
• Liberty has scored more than 69 points in 16 games this season.

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends: Moneyline

Now, in these Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends, we have the m

• Middle Tennessee had a 10-3 record (winning 76.9% of those games) when it was the moneyline favorite.
• When the Blue Raiders are the moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or less, they have a 10-3 record (winning 76.9% of their games).
• The Middle Tennessee moneyline win probability for this game is 55.6%.
• Despite starting as the underdog in four of the games this season, Liberty has won all of them.
• The Flames have triumphed in both of their games this season despite being at least a +105 moneyline underdog.
• Given the moneyline’s implied probability, Liberty’s odds of winning this game are 48.8%.

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Prediction

Now we have the Liberty vs MTSU Betting Prediction for both teams.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (20-9, 11-5 CUSA) will try to stretch their winning run to three games when they face the Liberty Flames (23-6, 11-5 CUSA) on Thursday, March 6, 2025, at 7:30 p.m. ET. The game will air on CBS Sports Network. In our preview, we look at the Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty lines and odds.

The Blue Raiders are only a 1.5-point favorite when they play the Flames, which should be a close game. The game’s over/under is 139.5.

Middle Tennessee’s ATS record this season is 16-11-0 against the spread, while Liberty’s is 17-9-0. The Flames are 11-15-0 and the Blue Raiders are 12-15-0 when it comes to hitting the over. With an average of 151.3 points each game, the two sides score 11.8 more points than the total during their fight. Liberty is 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall, while Middle Tennessee is 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last ten games.

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Prediction: Flames

Here is the Liberty vs MTSU Betting Prediction for the Flames:

The Liberty Flames just played Kennesaw State and did not win, losing 85-80. In terms of personal fouls, the Flames only managed 16 while Kennesaw State committed 24. They also made 11 of their 29 shots from outside the arc. Kennesaw State had a shooting percentage of 76.9% after making 10 of 13 free throws. Furthermore, at the end of the game, Kennesaw State had no rejections despite possessing 35 rebounds (6 offensive, 29 defensive).

Kennesaw State distributed 17 dimes and had six thefts during this game. Liberty’s defense allowed their opponent to shoot 32 of 63, or 50.8%, from the field. During this game, they distributed 15 assists, forced the opposition into 10 turnovers, and earned five steals.

Two of the boards were on the offensive end of their 26-board haul. With 27 of 36 tries, the Flames had a 75.0% conversion rate in the charity stripe. Liberty finished the game with a 45.8% FG percentage (22 of 48) and converted 9 of their 24 3-point attempts.

Kaden Metheny is one man that made contributions to this contest. He scored 16 points on 4 of 11 shots. He played 32 minutes on the floor, but at the end of the game, he failed to grab any rebounds. He had a 36.4% field goal percentage, but he didn’t end up with any money.

With a 23-6 campaign record, Liberty will be in court. They are currently in 134th position in Division 1 with an average of 75.4 points per game and a 48.5% field goal percentage. The Flames are shooting 37.8% from downtown and 65.4% from the charity stripe (297 of 786).

In terms of passing the ball, Liberty has finished 53rd in the country this season with 477 assists and 33.3 rebounds per game. As a team, they are turning it over 10.2 times per game and committing 12.7 fouls.

The Flames have forced 12.6 turnovers per game and drawn 14.2 personal fouls per game on defense. They rank third in college in terms of assists allowed to the opposition, having given up 269 this season. The Flames allow 34.0 rebounds per game and a 40.0% field goal percentage (670 of 1,676) as a team. They are sixth in college basketball in terms of PPG (61.7) and give up 27.7% of their efforts from outside the arc.

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends: Flames Last 10 Games

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
3/02/25	KENN	L 85-80	L-8.5	O137	L-490
2/27/25	JVST	W 59-55	L-7.0	U135	W-285
2/22/25	FIU	W 58-45	L-15.0	U138	W-2000
2/15/25	@UTEP	W 76-69	W-1.5	O138.5	W-128
2/13/25	@NMSU	W 64-54	W-4.5	U132.5	W-182
2/08/25	SHSU	W 64-61	L-12.5	U144.5	W-900
2/06/25	LT	W 77-53	W-7.5	U134	W-305
2/01/25	@JVST	L 72-61	L-3.5	U135.5	L-170
1/30/25	@KENN	W 76-68	W-4.5	U145.5	W-194
1/25/25	@FIU	W 82-59	W-8.5	O137	W-355

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Prediction: Blue Raiders

Here is the Liberty vs MTSU Betting Prediction for the Blue Raiders:

In their most recent encounter on the court, the MTSU Blue Raiders defeated UTEP 76-75. MTSU let UTEP score 40 points overall (5 offensive) in glass-attacking. They made 16 of 22 shots from the charity stripe (72.7%) and 5 of 23 shots from outside the arc, for a shooting percentage of 21.7%. After the Blue Raiders gave up 27 of their 64 field goals, UTEP ended the game with a 42.2% shooting percentage.

After shooting 30 for 78 from the field, the Blue Raiders finished the game with a shooting percentage of 38.5%. MTSU made eight of their 37 three-point attempts (21.6%). By eliminating eight of those, they were able to attain a 53.3% success rate. UTEP committed 13 personal fouls throughout this game, which allowed the Blue Raiders to score 15 tries from the free throw line. They lost 11 possessions and had six steals in this game. The Blue Raiders had 43 rebounds at the end of the game, 12 of which were offensive and 31 of which were defensive.

Essam Mostafa contributed for the Blue Raiders in this game. He finished the game with a 66.7% shooting percentage, 16 rebounds, and 6 of 9 field goals. During his 35 minutes on the court, he finished with 16 points and two assists.

MTSU has a 20-9 campaign win-loss record. The Blue Raiders commit 17.0 fouls per game and have a 67.8% shooting percentage from the charity stripe. They rank 267th in the nation in terms of helping teammates 12.5 times per game, in addition to losing possession by turning the ball over 11.2 times per game. MTSU has averaged 2,201 points (75.9 points per game) and 38.0 rebounds per game this season. With 45.3% of their shots from the field, the Blue Raiders rank 149th in the US in terms of offensive shooting.

The Blue Raiders are 161st in Division 1 after giving up 71.4 points per game. They are forcing 11.7 turnovers per game and letting teams shoot 42.0% from the field, which is 85th in NCAA basketball. The defense gives up 30.7% of MTSU’s efforts from beyond the arc, while the opposition makes 73.5% of their free throw tries (197 of 641). They rank 126th and 268th in college basketball, respectively, in terms of the number of rebounds they allow per game (12.5 and 35.8).

Liberty vs MTSU Betting Trends: Blue Raiders Last 10 Games

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
3/01/25	@UTEP	W 76-75	W+2.5	O147.5	W-102
2/27/25	@NMSU	W 71-66	W+2.5	U138.5	W+115
2/22/25	SHSU	W 74-70	L-4.5	U147.5	W-210
2/20/25	LT	L 85-74	L-7.5	O141.5	L-225
2/15/25	@WKU	W 87-77	W+3.5	O155.5	W+125
2/08/25	@KENN	W 76-75	W+3.5	U151.5	W+150
2/06/25	@JVST	L 77-63	L+1.5	U142.5	LEVEN
2/01/25	UTEP	W 71-68	L-3.5	U143.5	W-210
1/30/25	NMSU	L 61-57	W+7.5	U141.5	L-285
1/25/25	@LT	L 75-69	L+2.5	O142.5	L+135

 

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