Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends, Prediction, Odds, Conference Championship. The game is set for Saturday, January 26th, 2025. Place a bet on this NFL football game now.

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Bills vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win AFC Conference

Here are the Bills vs Chiefs Betting Odds:

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEYLINE	TOTAL
BUFFALO BILLS	+1	+105	48.5 O
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS	-1	-125	48.5 U

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX

Here are the Bills vs Chiefs Betting Odds to win Super Bowl LIX:

• Bills vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX for Buffalo: +240
• Bills vs Chiefs Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LIX for Kansas City: +220

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends

Here are the Bills vs Chiefs Betting trends for both teams, but first, we have the head-to-head for both teams:

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Head-to-Head

Now in these Bills vs Chiefs Betting trends, we have the head-to-head stats:

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Buffalo

These are the Bills vs Chiefs Betting trends for Buffalo:

• In their last 14 games, Buffalo has a 10-4 ATS record.
• In eight of Buffalo’s previous eleven games, the total has gone OVER.
• In their last 14 games, Buffalo has a 12-2 SU record.
• In their last six meetings with Kansas City, Buffalo has a 4-2 ATS record.
• In their last six meetings with Kansas City, Buffalo has a 4-2 SU record.
• Five of Buffalo’s last six away games have seen the total go OVER.
• In their last 11 away games versus Kansas City, Buffalo has an 8-3 ATS record.
• In their last ten games versus an American Football Conference opponent, Buffalo has a 9-1 SU record.
• In their last five games versus a team in the American Football Conference West division, Buffalo has a 4-1 SU record.
• In four of Buffalo’s last five January games, the total has gone OVER.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Buffalo Best Bets

Now on these Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the best bets for Buffalo:

• In 16 of their previous 21 games, the Buffalo Bills have hit the moneyline (+10.15 units / 19% ROI).
• In 15 of their last 20 games, the Buffalo Bills have hit the team total over (+9.65 units / 41% ROI).
• In 13 of their last 17 games, the Buffalo Bills have hit the 3Q Game Total Over (+8.60 Units / 42% ROI).
• In 11 of their previous 13 games, the Buffalo Bills have covered the 2H Spread (+8.54 Units / 56% ROI).
• In 14 of their previous 21 games, the Buffalo Bills have covered the spread (+6.40 units / 28% ROI).

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Buffalo Player Prop Bets

Next on these Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the best player prop bets for Buffalo:

• In 13 out of his previous 18 games, Josh Allen has nailed the Interceptions Under (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI).
• In his last five away games, Josh Allen has nailed the Carriers Over (+5.15 Units / 87% ROI).
• In 12 of his last 18 games, Josh Allen has hit the Pass Attempts Under (+5.05 Units / 25% ROI).
• In his last five road games, Josh Allen has reached the passing yards over (+5.00 units / 86% ROI).
• In his last five away games, Josh Allen has hit the Completions Over (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI).

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Now on these Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the ATS record for Buffalo:

• This NFL season, the Bills are 12-7 (+4.4 Units / 21.05% ROI) against the spread.
• When wagering on the Moneyline for +9.8 Units / 19.54% ROI, Bills are 15-4.
• When betting the Over for +3.15 Units / 14.96% ROI, the Bills are 11-7.
• When betting the Under for -5.1 Units / ROI, the Bills are 7-11.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Buffalo Keys to the Game

Next on these Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we continue with the keys to the game for Buffalo:

• This season, the Bills had a 0–3 record when they scored fewer than 22 points, which is the T-worst in the NFL; their league average was.229.
• This season, the Bills were 9-1 (.900) when they gave up fewer than 50% of third-down conversion attempts, which is fourth-best in the NFL; their league average was.571.
• This season, the Bills were 6-3 (.667) when they gave up fewer than three explosive runs, which is T-9th-best in the NFL; their league average was.565.
• This season, the Bills were 13-3 (.812) when they forced one or more turnovers, which is fifth-best in the NFL; their league average was.593.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Buffalo Offense Important Stats

• This season, the Bills had the second-best average of 7.1 yards per play on motion plays in the NFL; the league average was 5.8.
• This season, the Bills had the best NFL average of 0.26 epa per play on motion plays; the league average was 0.01.
• This season, the Bills had the greatest home average in the NFL at 0.20 epa per play; the league average was 0.02.
• This season, the Bills only managed 2.3 yards per play versus tight coverage, which is T-2nd-worst in the NFL; the league average is 3.8.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Buffalo Defense Important Stats

• This season, the Bills defense gave up the worst third down conversion rate in the NFL (34%), with the league average being 25%.
• This season, the Bills defense gave up just 8.3 yards per play of open coverage, which is T-2nd best in the NFL; the league average is 9.3.
• Since the 2023 season, the Bills defense has given up points on 19% of opponent possessions in the third quarter, which is the best in the NFL; the league average is 31%.
• Throughout the third quarter of this season, the Bills defense allowed successful plays on 36% of plays, which is the second-best in the NFL; the league average is 43%.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City

These are the Bills vs Chiefs Betting trends for Kansas City:

• In their last 12 games, Kansas City has a 3-9 ATS record.
• Six of Kansas City’s last seven games have seen the total fall UNDER.
• In their previous 20 games, Kansas City is 18-2 SU.
• Five of Kansas City’s previous seven games versus Buffalo have seen the total go OVER.
• In their previous 12 home games, Kansas City is 12-0 SU.
• In their last 11 home games versus Buffalo, Kansas City has a 3-8 ATS record.
• In their last 18 games versus an American Football Conference opponent, Kansas City has a 16-2 record overall.
• Eight of Kansas City’s previous twelve games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division have seen the total go OVER.
• Eight of Kansas City’s last nine January games have seen the total fall UNDER.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Best Bets

Now on these Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the best bets for Kansas City:

• In 14 of their previous 19 games, the Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI).
• In 14 of their last 19 games, the Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline (+8.05 Units / 22% ROI).
• In six of their last seven home games, the Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Moneyline (+6.00 Units / 41% ROI).
• In 12 of their last 19 games, the Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI).
• During their previous eight home games, the Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 4Q Spread six times (+3.90 units / 44% ROI).

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Player Prop Best Bets

Next on these Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the player prop bets for Kansas City:

• In his last eight games, Xavier Worthy has hit the Receptions Over (+8.80 Units / 88% ROI).
• In 12 of his previous 17 games, DeAndre Hopkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI).
• In seven of his last nine home games, Patrick Mahomes has hit the TD Passes Under (+6.35 Units / 65% ROI).
• In his last six home games, Patrick Mahomes has nailed the Interceptions Under (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI).
• In his last six games, Carson Steele has nailed the Rushing Yards Under (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI).

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Now on these Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we continue with the ATS record for Kansas City:

• This NFL season, the Chiefs are 7-10 (-3.85 Units / -19.69% ROI) against the spread.
• When betting on the Moneyline for +14.2 Units / 27% ROI, the Chiefs are 16-2.
• When wagering on the Over for -5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI, the Chiefs are 7-11.
• When betting the Under for +3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI, the Chiefs are 11-7.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Keys to the Game

Next on these Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends, we have the keyes to the game for Kansas City:

• Since the 2023 season, the Chiefs have a league average of.277 and are 14-6 (.700) while rushing fewer than 25 times, which is the best in the NFL.
• This season, the Chiefs were 4-1 (.800) against the top 10 offenses, which is second-best in the NFL; their league average was.318.
• The Chiefs had the greatest NFL record (10-0) when scoring 22 points or more this season; their league average was.745.
• When forcing at least one fumble this season, the Chiefs were unbeaten (6-0); their league average was.621, which is T-best in the NFL.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Offense Important Stats

• In the final four weeks of the regular season, the Chiefs converted first downs on just 6 of 38 plays (16%) on plays up the middle, which is the lowest in the NFL; the league average is 32%.
• In the third quarter of this season, the Chiefs executed successful plays on 57% of rush attempts, which is the highest in the NFL; the league average is 44%.
• The Chiefs’ season-long average of 2.2 yards per play versus close coverage was the lowest in the NFL (the league average was 3.8).
• In the first half of this season, the Chiefs had the greatest third-down conversion rate in the NFL with 52%; the league average was 40%.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends: Kansas City Defense Important Stats

• This season, the Chiefs defense gave up first downs on 75% of third-and-short pass attempts, which is the worst in the NFL; the league average is 55%.
• With 412 carries this season, the Chiefs defense gave up an average of 1.7 yards after contact per carry, which is T-3rd-best in the NFL; the league average is 2.0.
• This season, the Chiefs defense gave up 1.7 yards after contact per carry (314 carries) to running backs, which is T-best in the NFL; the league average is 2.1.
• This season, the Chiefs defense gave up the most yards from scrimmage to running backs (93.7 per game; league average: 126.8) in the NFL.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction

Now, we have the Bills vs Chiefs Betting prediction for both teams.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Buffalo

This is the Bills vs Chiefs Betting prediction for Buffalo.

The Buffalo Bills, who finished 13-4 in the regular season, defeated the Jaguars 37-10 in week three to recover from two consecutive defeats. With a 4-point advantage, Buffalo easily covered the spread, and the 57 total points were sufficient to strike the over. The Bills defeated the Dolphins 31–10 on the road in week two, despite being 2.5 points underdogs. That game’s 41 points were below the 49-point threshold. In week one, Buffalo defeated the Cardinals 34-28 as well, but they were unable to cover the 6.5-point differential.

In our NFL power rankings, Buffalo started the third week in third place. They finished second in the AFC after going 5-1 in the AFC East and 11-3 in conference play. This season, the Bills were 5-4 away from home but 10-0 at home. They went 12-7 against the spread, with a 9-5 record as favorites and a 3-2 record as underdogs. They also had an average scoring margin of +9.6 points per game. With games averaging 51.7 points as opposed to a 46.7-point line, they also had a 12-7 O/U record.

As the AFC Championship game approaches, Buffalo’s offense occupies the third position in our power rankings. They are second in the NFL in terms of scoring (30.7 points per game on average) and tenth in terms of total yards (360.5) per game. They rank 11th in passing yards, averaging 224.3 per game, but 27th in passing attempts. With 136.2 yards per game, the Bills rank seventh in rushing attempts and ninth in rushing yards. Buffalo is 30th in the NFL in terms of red zone conversion percentage, but 7th in terms of third-down conversions, with a 44.1% success rate.

Following his 272-yard, 2-touchdown effort against the Broncos in the Wild Card round, Josh Allen threw for 127 yards on 16/22 passes in the divisional round. Khalil Shakir had six receptions for 67 yards, and James Cook led the rushing assault with 67 yards on 17 runs. Buffalo held the Ravens scoreless in the third quarter despite scoring seven points in the first and fourteen in the second.

In their 27-25 victory over the Ravens, the Bills’ defense allowed 176 rushing yards on just 30 attempts. Buffalo’s defense made some crucial plays to help seal the victory even though they gave up 416 total yards. They restricted the Ravens to a 72% completion rate on third down, recorded two sacks, and intercepted one pass.

Throughout the game, Buffalo gave up two passing touchdowns and 240 passing yards. With an average of 5.9 yards per attempt, the Ravens also had a strong day running the ball. But the Bills’ defense performed well enough to win.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting: Buffalo Injury Report

Pos	Player	Status
RB	Ray Davis (Concussion)	Questionable
DB	Brandon Codrington (Hamstring)	Questionable
LB	Terrel Bernard (Quad)	Out
WR	Amari Cooper (Personal)	Out
WR	Curtis Samuel (Ribs)	Questionable
WR	Curtis Samuel (Ribs)	Out
DB	Cam Lewis (Shoulder)	Questionable

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Kansas City

This is the Bills vs Chiefs Betting prediction for Kansas City.

With a 15-2 record going into the conference championship game versus the Bills, the Kansas City Chiefs have earned the top AFC berth. They had an 11-2 conference record and a 5-1 division record. This season, Kansas City was 7-2 away from home and 9-0 at home.

The Chiefs entered week three in sixth place in our power rankings. They are 7-10-1 against the spread and have an average scoring margin of +3.8 points per game. They have a 7-11 O/U record and have underhit in their last two games.

When it comes to offensive power, we rate the Chiefs eighth going into the conference championship. They average 22.7 points per game, which puts them in 14th place in the NFL, and 321.2 yards per game, which puts them in 19th place. Kansas City has been effective on third down, ranking second in the league with a 48.5% conversion rate. With an average of 219 passing yards per game, they rank 16th, and with 102.2 rushing yards per game, they rank 24th.

Patrick Mahomes completed 16 of 25 throws for 177 yards and a touchdown in the divisional round. Kareem Hunt had 44 rushing yards on 8 carries, and Travis Kelce led the team with 7 catches for 117 yards. Following their 3rd quarter shutout, the Chiefs scored 10 points in the fourth quarter against Houston.

The Chiefs’ defense restricted Houston to just 187 passing yards and recorded an incredible eight sacks in their 23–14 victory over the Texans. They still had trouble stopping the run, giving up 149 yards on 29 tries. Throughout the game, the Chiefs’ offense amassed 336 total yards.

The Chiefs let the Texans convert 58.8% of their third down attempts despite their outstanding pass defense. In addition to having six more quarterback hits than the Texans, Kansas City’s eight sacks were a major influence in the game.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting: Kansas City Injury Report

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Our Picks

Next in this Bills vs Chiefs Betting prediction, we have the picks for this game.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: MoneyLine

First, we have the Bills vs Chiefs Betting prediction on the moneyline.

Currently ranked third in the NFL in our offensive power rankings, the Bills average 30.7 points per game, which puts them in second place. They are 11th in the league in passing yards, averaging 224.3 per game, and 10th in total yards per game, 360.5. Buffalo averages 136.2 running yards per game, which is ninth in the NFL, but ranks seventh in rushing attempts and 27th in passing attempts. The Bills rank seventh in the NFL with a conversion rate of 44.1% on third down.

In the divisional round, Josh Allen completed 16 of 22 throws for 127 yards without a score or an interception. Khalil Shakir had six receptions for 67 yards, and James Cook led the club in rushing with 67 yards on 17 runs. Buffalo held the Ravens scoreless in the third quarter despite scoring 14 points in the second. Allen passed for 272 yards and two touchdowns against the Broncos in the Wild Card round.

Following his 320-yard, three-touchdown performance in week 17, Patrick Mahomes recovered in the divisional round, throwing for 177 yards and a touchdown on 16/25 passes. Against the Texans, he made seven passes to Travis Kelce for 117 yards and a touchdown. With eight carries for 44 yards, Kareem Hunt dominated the ground game.

The Chiefs only managed 71 passing yards and 27 rushing yards in week 18, with Carson Wentz starting at quarterback, before Mahomes returned in the divisional round. Kansas City averages 22.7 points per game, which puts them in 14th place in the NFL, and 219 passing yards per game, which puts them in 16th place.

• Free MoneyLine Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: BUFFALO.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Total

Next, we have the Bills vs Chiefs Betting prediction on the total.

The defense of the Bills gave up 176 running yards on 30 attempts during their 27–25 victory over the Ravens. Even though Buffalo gave up 416 total yards, they still won. Baltimore was able to average 9.6 yards per attempt in the passing game because the Bills’ secondary struggled. They only made 18 completions, giving up 240 yards through the air. The Ravens converted 70% of their third-down opportunities.

During the game, Buffalo’s defense did manage two sacks and one interception. Additionally, they made the Ravens complete 72% of their throws.

In their 23–14 victory over the Texans, the Chiefs’ defense was outstanding, recording an incredible eight sacks. The Chiefs kept the Texans to 14 points and only 187 passing yards, despite allowing 149 rushing yards on 29 attempts. The Texans had a strong third-down conversion rate of 58.8% thanks in part to Kansas City’s eight sacks.

The Chiefs also failed to give up a throwing score during the contest. Despite giving up 336 total yards, they were successful because they were able to put pressure on the quarterback and interfere with the throwing game.

• Free Total Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: OVER.

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Spread

And now, we have the Bills vs Chiefs Betting prediction on the spread.

The Bills are now 13-4 and in second place in the AFC following a 28-10 victory over the Jaguars in week three. They won the AFC East after going 5-1 in the division and 11-3 in the conference. Buffalo defeated Jacksonville, including a 25-point loss to the Ravens in week four, to recover from two consecutive defeats. In week six, they defeated the Jets by three points, but they also lost to the Texans in week five.

Our power rankings had the Bills in third place going into week three. They are 12-7 against the spread and have an average scoring margin of +9.6 points per game. They have a 12-7 O/U record and have been overhitting in their last two games.

Buffalo has played three games in a row with a 2-1 record. Additionally, they have a 2-1 over-under record and a 2-1 ATS record during this time frame.
Buffalo has had a strong record against the spread, going 3-2 in their previous five road games. They averaged 33 points per game and finished 3-2 overall in their contests.

With a 15-2 record going into the conference championship, the Chiefs are leading the AFC. They had an 11-2 conference record and a 5-1 division record. Kansas City has a 9-0 home record and a 7-2 road record. They started the third week ranked sixth in our power rankings.

The Chiefs have an average scoring margin of +3.8 points per game and are 7-10-1 against the spread. They have a 7-11 O/U record and have underhit in their last two games. In contrast to the average line of 43.9 points, their games have averaged 41.6 points.

In their last three games, the Chiefs had a 3-0 record. They have a 1-2 over-under record in these games and have gone 1-2 against the spread.
Despite having a perfect record of 3-2 in their previous five home games, Kansas City has struggled against the spread, which is 2-3. In these contests, the team averaged 20 points per contest.

• Free Spread Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: BUFFALO.

FREE Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: Our Picks

• Free MoneyLine Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: BUFFALO.
• Free Total Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: OVER.
• Free Spread Bills vs Chiefs Betting Prediction: BUFFALO.

 

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